Dr' Gus Koehler

1
Dr. Gus Koehler

• Dr. Gus Koehler (Principal Consultant) Time
  Structures
• Adjunct Faculty (Regional and Economic
  Development) at the University of Southern
  California.
• Time Structures Focuses on Temporal (Time) Issues
  Associated with Business and Policy Development
  and Implementation.
• Consulting Areas
• Planning for Transport Systems to the European
  Union
• Computer Public Policy Simulations to RAND
• California Legislatures Joint Committee for
  Preparing California for the 21st Century.
• NSF grant to Develop a Computer Simulation on the
  Timing of Public Policy Interventions and the
  Affects on Industry Clusters.

2
California

• California Redevelopment Association provides
  policy research and legislative advocacy support.
• Former Director of Community Colleges Economic
  Development Program
• led a successful statewide legislative effort to
  reauthorize the program, receiving unanimous
  approval from both Houses and the Governor.
• Created ten initiatives to directly address
  workforce and economic development training
  concerns, the transferring of technology to
  business, business development services, and
  international trade.
• Developed and Implemented a performance reporting
  system, including ROI and C/B analysis of
  outcomes.

3
Research

• Senior Policy Analyst with the California
  Research Bureau
• Conducted Policy Research for the California
  State Legislature
• The Governor and other elected officials.
• His research responsibilities included
  identifying and evaluating state economic
  development issues and recommending strategies to
  address them.
• 27 years in government service in such as areas
  as disaster response and management, consumer
  protection, and health services.

4
Technical Advisor and Author

• Provided Technical Advice
• California Economic Development Strategy Panel,
• Senate Select Committee on Economic Development
• California Council on Science and Technology
• The Workforce Investment Boards Small Business
  Advisory Committee
• The Legislative Internet Caucus
• The Assembly Standing Committee on Jobs, Economic
  Development and the Economy
• Member of the Council of Economic Advisors to the
  Workforce Investment Board.
• Prepared public policy reports on
• Biotechnology, Californias foreign trade policy,
  bio-industry, small manufacturing, business
  networks, and California economic development.
• Received a Small Business Administration Vision
  2000 award for his research on early-stage
  venture capital investment.
• Written over 100 Academic Articles and Studies
• Presented Papers and Speeches to various
  government, academic and private sector
  organizations.
• Ph.D. in Political Science and Sociology,
  University of California at Davis.

5
Connections Make All The Difference

• Gus Koehler
• Time Structures
• Sacramento, CA
• 916-564-8683
• rhythm3_at_earthlink.net

6

• The Problem
• A disconnect between the velocity of government
  and its capacity to envision and manage complex
  regulatory and programmatic interventions, and
  the velocity of the regulated sector, producing
  unexpected future outcomes.
• The Solution
• Ideally, adaptive Governance permits government
  to pattern an intervention to match the velocity
  of a regulated sector thereby achieving a desired
  future goal.

7
Global Competition Factors Affecting Firms and
Jobs
Firms
Regions

• Trained, productive labor
• Faster technology churn
• Rapid product development
• Price and quality competition
• Protection or invasion of markets
• Information technology
• Flexible strategies
• Global alliances and networks

• Global availability of talent
• Increased innovation globally
• Converging competitive advantage of high-tech
  regions
• Global adoption of Information and Communications
  technology
• Regional independence conditioned multinational
  corporations, new forms of business networking
  and associated global distribution systems.

8
Californias Six-Surge Economy
Bubbleburst2000
ColdWarend
Vietnam Warend
Internet
WWII
Depression
Civil War
WWI
1860
1900
1930
1950
1970
1990
2000
9
Velocity of Government Policy Time

• 6 months to 2 years for an issue to become
  politically visible
• 10-20 minutes to advocate concept to Legislator
  or staff
• 1-2 years to complete legislative process
• Urgency bill 9 months
• 10 days to 6 months for emergency regulations
• 1-2 years for non-emergency regulations
• 1-2 years to design and staff or seriously change
  existing government programs
• 6 months to 1 year to make and refine policy
  initiatives based on field experience
• Litigation of various time (years)

10
(No Transcript)
11
Nodes, Hubs, And Links
A
A
C
B
D
F
E
F
Hub a point with multiple links to many nodes
(airport hub).
Node a pointperson at a party for
examplehaving about The same number of links to
another (road map)
Links The higher the Connectivity The less the
distance, the faster the Dispersion of
information, ideas, products
12
(No Transcript)
13
(No Transcript)
14
Government Nodes and Links
15
Government Hub
16
Percolation And Links
                                     
50 Connectivity makes Networks grow like a
Forest fire. Think ideas, information, and
products
17
SE Bakersfield Enterprise Zone
18
ETP
19
Connections Summary

• Government is a hierarchy of nodes. It is rigid,
  suitable for mass production
• Economic Development services are resources,
  ideas and information nodes connected by hubs.
  They are rhizomic like industry
• New industry clusters are new connections and
  rapidly disseminated information, resources,
  products (percolating)
• Interlocking policy and management networks
  create hubs that keep the network productive and
  reduces vulnerability to failure particularly if
  percolation is encouraged.