Dr. Gus Koehler

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Dr. Gus Koehler

• Dr. Gus Koehler (Principal Consultant) Time
  Structures
• Adjunct Faculty (Regional and Economic
  Development) at the University of Southern
  California.
• Time Structures Focuses on Temporal (Time) Issues
  Associated with Business and Policy Development
  and Implementation.
• Consulting Areas
• Planning for Transport Systems to the European
  Union
• Computer Public Policy Simulations to RAND
• California Legislatures Joint Committee for
  Preparing California for the 21st Century.
• NSF grant to Develop a Computer Simulation on the
  Timing of Public Policy Interventions and the
  Affects on Industry Clusters.

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California

• California Redevelopment Association provides
  policy research and legislative advocacy support.
• Former Director of Community Colleges Economic
  Development Program
• led a successful statewide legislative effort to
  reauthorize the program, receiving unanimous
  approval from both Houses and the Governor.
• Created ten initiatives to directly address
  workforce and economic development training
  concerns, the transferring of technology to
  business, business development services, and
  international trade.
• Developed and Implemented a performance reporting
  system, including ROI and C/B analysis of
  outcomes.

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Research

• Senior Policy Analyst with the California
  Research Bureau
• Conducted Policy Research for the California
  State Legislature
• The Governor and other elected officials.
• His research responsibilities included
  identifying and evaluating state economic
  development issues and recommending strategies to
  address them.
• 27 years in government service in such as areas
  as disaster response and management, consumer
  protection, and health services.

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Technical Advisor and Author

• Provided Technical Advice
• California Economic Development Strategy Panel,
• Senate Select Committee on Economic Development
• California Council on Science and Technology
• The Workforce Investment Boards Small Business
  Advisory Committee
• The Legislative Internet Caucus
• The Assembly Standing Committee on Jobs, Economic
  Development and the Economy
• Member of the Council of Economic Advisors to the
  Workforce Investment Board.
• Prepared public policy reports on
• Biotechnology, Californias foreign trade policy,
  bio-industry, small manufacturing, business
  networks, and California economic development.
• Received a Small Business Administration Vision
  2000 award for his research on early-stage
  venture capital investment.
• Written over 100 Academic Articles and Studies
• Presented Papers and Speeches to various
  government, academic and private sector
  organizations.
• Ph.D. in Political Science and Sociology,
  University of California at Davis.

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Connections Make All The Difference

• Gus Koehler
• Time Structures
• Sacramento, CA
• 916-564-8683
• rhythm3_at_earthlink.net

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• The Problem
• A disconnect between the velocity of government
  and its capacity to envision and manage complex
  regulatory and programmatic interventions, and
  the velocity of the regulated sector, producing
  unexpected future outcomes.
• The Solution
• Ideally, adaptive Governance permits government
  to pattern an intervention to match the velocity
  of a regulated sector thereby achieving a desired
  future goal.

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Global Competition Factors Affecting Firms and
Jobs
Firms
Regions

• Trained, productive labor
• Faster technology churn
• Rapid product development
• Price and quality competition
• Protection or invasion of markets
• Information technology
• Flexible strategies
• Global alliances and networks

• Global availability of talent
• Increased innovation globally
• Converging competitive advantage of high-tech
  regions
• Global adoption of Information and Communications
  technology
• Regional independence conditioned multinational
  corporations, new forms of business networking
  and associated global distribution systems.

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Californias Six-Surge Economy
Bubbleburst2000
ColdWarend
Vietnam Warend
Internet
WWII
Depression
Civil War
WWI
1860
1900
1930
1950
1970
1990
2000
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Velocity of Government Policy Time

• 6 months to 2 years for an issue to become
  politically visible
• 10-20 minutes to advocate concept to Legislator
  or staff
• 1-2 years to complete legislative process
• Urgency bill 9 months
• 10 days to 6 months for emergency regulations
• 1-2 years for non-emergency regulations
• 1-2 years to design and staff or seriously change
  existing government programs
• 6 months to 1 year to make and refine policy
  initiatives based on field experience
• Litigation of various time (years)

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Nodes, Hubs, And Links
A
A
C
B
D
F
E
F
Hub a point with multiple links to many nodes
(airport hub).
Node a pointperson at a party for
examplehaving about The same number of links to
another (road map)
Links The higher the Connectivity The less the
distance, the faster the Dispersion of
information, ideas, products
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Government Nodes and Links
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Government Hub
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Percolation And Links
                                     
50 Connectivity makes Networks grow like a
Forest fire. Think ideas, information, and
products
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SE Bakersfield Enterprise Zone
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ETP
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Connections Summary

• Government is a hierarchy of nodes. It is rigid,
  suitable for mass production
• Economic Development services are resources,
  ideas and information nodes connected by hubs.
  They are rhizomic like industry
• New industry clusters are new connections and
  rapidly disseminated information, resources,
  products (percolating)
• Interlocking policy and management networks
  create hubs that keep the network productive and
  reduces vulnerability to failure particularly if
  percolation is encouraged.