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Monitoring, especially for wilderness conditions

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obviously need help. Managing for non-degradation. Need trend information? Set a 'floor'? Monitoring for ... Use procedures that provide confidence intervals ... – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: Monitoring, especially for wilderness conditions


1
Monitoring, especially for wilderness conditions
2
  • usually the weak link
  • increasingly mandated
  • start with general principles
  • the discuss wilderness monitoring

3
  • Dont collect information till you know how it
    will be used.
  • Silbee Peterson. 1993
  • define objectives
  • select attributes ( indicators)
  • develop monitoring methods
  • conduct pilot studies/evaluation
  • create institutional framework

4
  • Merigliano 1989, indicators should
  • be quantitative (measurable
  • correlate with man-caused change
  • be feasible
  • be reliable
  • be responsive
  • be sensitive

5
  • provide integration
  • provide early warning
  • have significance

6
  • Two levels of information needed
  • indication of current conditions
  • indication of trends

7
  • Triage - areas that
  • are pristine or nearly so
  • were not sure about
  • obviously need help

8
Managing for non-degradation Need trend
information? Set a floor?
9
  • Monitoring for trends. Four rules
  • Measure same sites/conditions
  • Train those who monitor
  • Use procedures that provide confidence intervals
  • Avoid judgments from people doing the measurements

10
large small confidence
intervals
11
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13
approximate Sample size
fraction observ. range conf. interval
100 .37 .28 - .47 10
250 .37 .31 - .43 6 1,000
.37 .34 - .40 3
Precision increases approximately as square-root
of sample size. To double precision, quadruple
sample size.
14
Monitoring Social Conditions For trends, how do
you find same conditions? Whats an
encounter? What do visitors perceive?
15
  • Monitoring Biological Integrity
  • Problems tend to move downhill and affect streams
  • Index of Biological Integrity (IBI)
  • originally based on fish
  • now many systems using invertebrates
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