Title: Options
1Options
2Background
- Put and call prices are affected by
- Price of underlying asset
- Options exercise price
- Length of time until expiration of option
- Volatility of underlying asset
- Risk-free interest rate
- Cash flows such as dividends
- Premiums can be derived from the above factors
- Investors expectations about the direction of
the underlying assets price change does not
impact the value of an option
3Introduction to Binomial Option Pricing
- A simple valuation model is used to determine the
price for a call option - Assumes only two possible rates of return over
time period - The price could either rise or fall
- For instance, if a stocks price is currently
45.45 and it can change by either 10 over the
next period, the possible prices are - 45.45 x 1.10 50
- 45.45 x 0.90 40.91
- Ignores taxes, commissions and margin
requirements - Assumes investor can gain immediate use of short
sale funds - Assume no cash flows are paid
4One-Period Binomial Call Pricing Formula
- Intrinsic ValueCall MAX0, Stock Price
Exercise Price - If the an option has an exercise price of 40 and
- The stock price was 50 upon expiration the
option would be valued at - COPUp MAX0,50 - 40 10
- The stock price was 40.91 upon expiration the
option would be valued at - COPDown MAX0, 40.91 - 40 0.91
5One-Period Binomial Call Pricing Formula
- If we borrowed the money needed to purchase the
optioned security at the risk-free rate - We would not need to invest any money to get
started (AKA self-financing portfolio) - If the stock price rose the ending value of the
portfolio would be - VUp Value of stock (1 risk-free)(amount
borrowed) - If the stock price fell the ending value of the
portfolio would be - VDown Value of stock (1 risk-free)(amount
borrowed)
6One-Period Binomial Call Pricing Formula
- To find the options price you must find the
values for the amount of stock and borrowed funds
that will equate COPUp and COPDown to ValueUp and
ValueDown or - MAX 0, Price0Up exercise price COPUp
ValueUp Up value of stock (1risk-free rate
amount borrowed) - MAX 0, Price0Down exercise price COPDown
ValueDown Down value of stock (1risk-free
rate amount borrowed) - Equations can be solved simultaneously to
determine the hedge ratio
7One-Period Binomial Call Pricing Formula
- The hedge ratio represents the number of shares
of stock costing P0 financed by borrowing B
dollars - This will duplicate the expiration payoffs from a
call option
8One-Period Binomial Call Pricing Formula
- The initial price (COP0) of the call option is
- Hedge ratio P0 B COP0
- Observations
- P0 is a major determinant of a call options
initial price - The probability of the price fluctuations do not
impact COP0 - Model is risk-neutral
- Call has the same value whether investor is
risk-averse, risk-neutral or risk-seeking
9Multi-Period Binomial Call Pricing Formula
- One-period model can be used to
- Encompass multiple time periods
- Value common stock, bonds, mortgages
- What if stock currently priced at 45.45 could
either rise or fall in value by 10 over each of
the next two time periods
10Multi-Period Binomial Call Pricing Formula
11Multi-Period Binomial Call Pricing Formula
- This concept can be extended to any number of
time periods - Can add cash flow payments to the branches
- When a large number of small time periods are
involved, we obtain Pascals triangle
12Multi-Period Binomial Call Pricing Formula
Resembles a normal probability distribution as n
increases.
13Multi-Period Binomial Call Pricing Formula
- Pascals triangle in tree form
14Black and Scholes Call Option Pricing Model
- Black Scholes (BS) developed a formula to
price call options - Assume normally distributed rates of return
15BS Call Valuation Formula
- Use a self-financing portfolio
- COP0 (P0h B)
- Assume a hedge ratio of N(x)
- Borrowings equal XPe(-RFR)dN(y)
- BS equation
- COP0 P0 N(x)- XPe(-RFR)dN(y)
- where
Fraction of year until call expires
Values of x and y have no intuitive meaning.
16BS Call Valuation Formula
- N(x) is a cumulative normal-density function of x
- Gives the probability that a value less than x
will occur in a normal probability distribution - To use the BS model you need
- Table of natural logarithms (or a calculator)
- Table of cumulative normal distribution
probabilities
17Example
- Given the following information, calculate the
value of the call - P0 60
- XP (strike or exercise price) 50
- d (time to expiration) 4 months or 1/3 of a
year - Risk-free rate 7
- Variance (returns) 14.4
18Example
Looking this value up in the table yields an N(x)
of 0.853.
Looking this value up in the table yields an N(y)
of 0.796.
- Substituting the values for N(x) and N(y) into
the COP0 equation - COP0 60(0.853) - 50(0.977)(0.796) 51.18 -
38.89 12.29
19The Hedge Ratio
- Represents the fraction of a change in an
options premium caused by a 1 change in the
price of the underlying asset - AKA delta, neutral hedge ratio, elasticity,
equivalence ratio - Calls have a hedge ratio between 0 and 1
- Hedgers would like a hedge ratio that will
completely eliminate changes in their hedged
portfolio - Is presented as N(x) in the BS equation
- If x has a value of 1.65, N(x) has a value of
0.9505 - Means that 95.05 shares of a stock should be sold
short to establish a perfect hedge against 100
shares in an offsetting position
20Risk Statistics and Option Values
- Investor normally estimates an assets standard
deviation of returns and uses it as an input into
the BS model - However, can insert the calls current price into
the model and compute the implied volatility of
the underlying asset - Risk statistics change over time
21Put-Call Parity Formula
- Formula represents an arbitrage-free relationship
between put and call prices on the same
underlying asset - If the two options have identical strike prices
and times to maturity - Consider the following
Portfolio of 3 positions in same stock Position Value When Options Expire Position Value When Options Expire
Portfolio of 3 positions in same stock If P lt XP If P gt XP
1) Long position on underlying stock P P
2) Short position in call option (sell call) 0 XP P
3) Long position in put option (buy put) XP P 0
Portfolios two total values XP XP
Values are the same whether the stock is in or
out of the money when options expirethus
portfolio is perfectly hedged.
22Put-Call Parity Formula
- This portfolio is worth the present value of the
options exercise price or - XP ? (1RFR)d under either outcome
- The portfolio must also be worth
- P POP COP
- This leads to the Put-Call Parity equation
- P POP COP XP ? (1RFR)d
23Pricing Put Options
- We can use put-call parity to value a put after
the value of a call on the same security has been
determined - POP COP (XP ? (1RFR)d) P
- Example Calculate the price of a put option on
a stock with a current price of 60, a strike
price of 50, 4 months remaining until
expiration, a risk-free rate of 7 and a variance
of 14.4 with a call valued at 12.29 - POP 12.29 (50 ? (1.07)0.333)-60 1.18
24Checking Alignment of Put and Call Prices
- When prices for both puts and calls on the same
underlying stock are available - Put-call parity can be used to determine if the
prices are properly aligned - If not, arbitrage profits can be earned
25Example
- Given information
- On 7/12/2000 KOs stock was selling for 57
- Call options with a strike price of 60 and one
month until expiration were selling for 1.625 - Puts were selling for 4.125
- 3-month T-bills were yielding 6
- Plugging data into the put-call parity equation
- 4.125 ? 1.625 60/1.060.0833 57
- 4.125 ? 4.3344
- Either puts were under priced by 21 or calls
were over priced by 21 - Ignores transaction costs
26The Effects of Cash Dividend Payments
- Ex-dividend date
- First trading day after the cash dividend is paid
- Stock trades at a reduced price
- Reduced by the amount of the cash dividend
- Stockholders are no longer entitled to the
dividend, therefore they should not pay for it - The ex-dividend stock price drop-off
- Reduces value of call options
- Increases value of put options
27The Effects of Cash Dividend Payments
- Impacts the value of an American call option
Price curve reflects the options price if it is
not exercised and not expired (alive).
If the options live value before ex-dividend gt
value ex dividend by more than dividend, call
should be exercised before it trades ex-dividend
to capture cash dividend (while embedded in
stocks price).
On the ex-dividend date the stock price drops
from Pd to Pe. Option prices usually do not drop
by the same amount because the slope of the price
curve lt 1.
28The Effects of Cash Dividend Payments
- The present value of the cash dividend payment
should be considered in the BS option pricing
model - COPe P0 Div/(1RFR)N(x) XPe(-RFR)dN(y)
- Example
- P0 60
- XP (strike or exercise price) 50
- d (time to expiration) 4 months or 1/3 of a
year - Risk-free rate 7
- Variance (returns) 14.4
- Expected cash dividend of 2 in one year
- Present value of dividend 2/1.07 1.869
- COPe 60 1.8690.853 500.9770.796 10.69
The addition of the cash dividend has lowered
the call value by 1.60.
29Options Markets
- Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE)
- Founded in 1973 but is now the largest options
exchange in world - American Stock Exchange
- Second largest options exchange
- Many options transactions are cleared through
- Options Clearing Corporation (OCC)
- International Securities Exchange (ISE)
- Opened in 2000
- Electronic exchange
- Competes with CBOE, AMEX, PHIX, PSE
30Synthetic Positions Can Be Created From Options
- Buying a call and selling a put on the same
security - Creates the same position as a buy-and-hold
position in the security - AKA synthetic long position
31Example
- Given information
- Phelps stock is currently trading for 40 a
share - You buy a six-month call with a 40 exercise
price for a 5 cost - You write an 8-month put with an exercise price
of 40 for 5 in premium income
32Example
- Contrasting the actual and synthetic long
positions
Possible Price of stock at option expiration Results from 6-month call with 50 exercise price Results from 5 put written with 50 exercise price Result from combined option positions Result from long position in stock (100 shares)
30 -500 -500 -1,000 -1,000
35 -500 0 -500 -500
40 -500 500 0 0
45 0 500 500 500
50 500 500 1,000 1,000
55 -1,000 500 1,500 1,500
If the call and put prices ?, the synthetic
position ? the actual position.
Put-call parity shows that the price of a put
must be lt the price of a similar call. Thus, to
make the put price call price, put had to have
a longer time to expiration (8 months vs. 6
months).
33Synthetic Positions Can Be Created From Options
- Some investors prefer a synthetic long position
to an actual long position - Requires smaller initial investment
- Creates more financial leverage
- Owner of a synthetic long position does not
collect cash dividends or coupon interest from
underlying securities as they do not actually own
those securities - Also, when options expire additional premiums
must be paid to re-establish position
34Synthetic Short Position
- Can create a synthetic short position by
- Selling (writing) a call and simultaneously
buying a put with a similar exercise price on the
same underlying stock - Superior to an actual short position in the stock
- The premium income from selling the call should
be gt premium paid to buy the put - Requires a smaller initial investment than an
actual short sell - Does not have to pay cash dividends on the
optioned stock - Disadvantages of a synthetic short position
- After expiration of option more money would have
to be spent to re-establish position - Could accumulate unlimited losses if the stock
price rose high enough
35Writing Covered Calls
- Covered call
- Writing a call option against securities you
already own - Cover the writers exposure to potential loss
- If call owner exercises the option
- Option-writer delivers the already owned
securities without having to buy them in the
market - Not all covered call positions are profitable
- If stock price falls
- Long position in underlying stock decreases
- However, receive call premium income
36Writing Covered Calls
- Naked call writing
- Occurs when call writer does not own the
underlying security - Risky if the price of the underlying security
increases - Initial margin of 15 or more required
- Whereas a covered option writer does not have to
put up extra margin to write a covered call
37Writing Covered Calls
- Covered call writers
- Gain the most when stock price remains at
exercise price and option expired unexercised - Receive premium income and get to keep the stock
- If stock price increases significantly would have
been better off not having written the option - Will have to give security to exerciser
38Straddles
- Straddle occurs when
- Equal number of puts and calls are bought on the
same underlying asset - Must have same maturity and strike price
- Long straddle position
- Profit if optioned asset either
- Experiences a large increase in price
- Experiences a large decrease in price
- Experiences large increases and decreases in
price - Useful for a stock experiencing great deal of
volatility
39Long Straddle Position
- Infinite number of break-even points for a long
straddle position - Downside limit
- Sum of put and call prices
- Upside limit
- Sum of put and call prices
- Believe the underlying stock has potential for
enough price movements to make the straddle
profitable before expiration - Only a small probability of losing the aggregate
premium outlay
40Short Straddle Position
- Symmetrically opposite to long straddle position
- Believe stock price will not vary significantly
before options expire - Probability that straddle will keep 100 of
premium income is small
41Spreads
- The purchase of one option and sale of a similar
but different option - Can be either puts or calls but not puts and
calls - Spread can occur based on
- Different strike prices (vertical spreads)
- Different expirations (horizontal spreads)
- Time spreads, calendar spreads
42Spreads
- Diagonal spreads combine vertical and horizontal
spreads - Credit spreads
- Generate premium income exceeding related costs
- Debit spreads
- Generate an initial cash outflow
43Strangles
- Involves a put and call with same expiration date
but different strike prices - Involves smaller total outlay than a straddle
Price of underlying asset Payoff from put Payoff from call Strangles total payoff
XPp ? P XPp P 0 XPp P
XPC gt P gt XPp 0 0 0
P gt XPC 0 P XPC P XPC
44Strangles
- Long strangle
- Debit transaction
- No premiums from writing options are received
- Short strangle
- Credit transaction
- No outlays
- Small premiums received but also small chance
options will be exercised against writer
45Bull Spread
- Vertical spread involving two calls with same
expiration date - Debit transaction
- Used if believe price of underlying asset will
rise, but not significantly
46Bear Spread
- Vertical spread involving two puts with same
expiration date but different strike prices - Are profitable only if asset price declines
between the two exercise prices - Losses are limited if expectations are incorrect
47Butterfly Spreads
- Combination of a bull and bear spread on the same
underlying security - Long butterfly spread
- Will maximize profit if underlying assets price
does not fluctuate from XPB - Short butterfly spread
- Profitable if optioned asset experiences large up
and/or down price fluctuations
48The Bottom Line
- Binomial option pricing model
- Mathematically simple
- BS Option Pricing Model
- First closed-form option pricing model
- Binomial option pricing model is equivalent to
BS if there are an infinite number of tiny time
periods - Put prices can be determined using put-call
parity formula
49The Bottom Line
- Ex-dividend stock price drop-off decreases
(increases) value of a call (put) option - Puts and calls can be assembled to build more
complex investing positions - Can build a position that will allow investor to
benefit if price of underlying asset - Rises
- Falls
- Fluctuates up and down
- Never changes
- Options allow us to analyze securities in ways we
might not have originally realized