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Feasibility of postponed prescriptions in the Netherlands

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Method of allocation concealment. Blinding. Loss to follow-up ... allocation concealment. None of the papers provided information. 5 included trials: blinding ... – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: Feasibility of postponed prescriptions in the Netherlands


1
University Medical Center Rotterdam
2
Interventions for Molluscum ContagiosumSystemati
c Review
3
Background
  • Common viral skin infection
  • Probably resolves within months without scarring
  • Usually treated in primary care
  • Many treatments have been promoted
  • Absence of clear evidence supporting treatment

4
More background
  • Caused by virus (Molluscipox)
  • Infection follows contact with infected persons
    or contaminated objects
  • Single or multiple papules, usually lt 20
  • Size may vary from 1 mm to over 10 mm
  • Common form mostly found in children
  • Other forms sexually transmitted variant and in
    immunocompromised hosts

5
Skin diseases in children in general practice
top-5 (incidence / 1000 patient years)
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Many published treatment options for molluscum
contagiosum
  • Surgical
  • Topical
  • Systemic
  • Awaiting natural resolution

8
  • Surgical Cryotherapy, curettage, physical
    expression (squeezing), pulsed dye laser,
    curettage with punch
  • Topical Acidified nitrite, Australian lemon
    myrtle oil, cantharidin, cidofovir, imiquimod,
    povidone iodine salicylic acid, phenol,
    podophyllotoxin (HIV patients), potassium
    hydroxide, retinoic acid, salicylic acid,
    milkweed, silver nitrate
  • Systemic Aureomycine, cimetidine, Calcarea
    carbonica
  • Awaiting natural resolution

9
Molluscum Review Team
  • Marjolein Berger, GP, PhD
  • Chris Butler, GP, professor
  • Sanjai Gajadin, medical student
  • Sander Koning, GP, PhD
  • Jack Menke, GP
  • Lisette van Suijlekom-Smit, pediatrician, PhD
  • Marjolein Tasche, GP, PhD
  • Johannes C van der Wouden, PhD

10
Objective
  • To assess the effects
  • of management strategies (including waiting for
    natural resolution)
  • for cutaneous, non-genital molluscum contagiosum
  • in otherwise healthy people

11
Selection criteria
  • RCTs only
  • For treatment of molluscum contagiosum
  • Excluding trials on sexually transmitted MC
  • Excluding trials on MC in people with lowered
    immunity

12
Search strategy
  • Cochrane Trials Register
  • Skin Group Trials Register
  • MEDLINE
  • EMBASE
  • LILACS
  • References
  • Pharmaceutical companies
  • Experts

13
Collecting papers and quality assessment
  • All in pairs of two reviewers

14
Primary outcome measure
  • Clinical cure
  • (complete disappearance of lesion, as assessed by
    a physician)
  • after 1 month

15
Secondary outcome measures
  • Clinical cure after 3 and 6 months
  • Clinical cure at end of study
  • Time to cure
  • Recurrences
  • Adverse effects of treatment
  • Spread to other people
  • QoL and costs

16
Search results
  • Cochrane registers 17 hits
  • MEDLINE 131 hits
  • EMBASE 148 hits
  • LILACS 45 hits
  • 18 possibly relevant RCT, full text
  • 17 further studies through refs and pharma

17
35 papers
  • Most in english
  • French
  • Japanese
  • Chinese
  • Spanish

18
5 trials were included
  • Antony 2001 (UK)
  • Marchanda 1997 (India)
  • Ohkuma 1990 (Japan)
  • Ormerod 1999 (UK)
  • Short 2002 (UK)

19
Quote 1
  • Question These two papers seem to report on
    partly the same patients. Is that correct?
  • Author Although I don't remember well, I think
    the same patients are used in the two articles.

20
5 included trialspublication type
  • Antony 2001 (conference abstract only)
  • Marchanda 1997 (homeopathy journal)
  • Ohkuma 1990 (full paper)
  • Ormerod 1999 (full paper)
  • Short 2002 (abstract unpublished paper)

21
5 included trialsinterventions
  • Antony 2001 (oral cimetidine vs placebo)
  • Marchanda 1997 (homeopathic Calcarea carbonica vs
    placebo)
  • Ohkuma 1990 (povidone iodine and salicylic
    plaster, alone and combined)
  • Ormerod 1999 (salicylic acid with vs without
    sodium nitrite)
  • Short 2002 (potassium hydroxide vs placebo)

22
5 included trials number of patients enrolled
  • Antony 2001- 38 patients
  • Marchanda 1997 14 patients
  • Ohkuma 1990 35 patients
  • Ormerod 1999 30 patients
  • Short 2002 20 patients
  • Total 137 patients

23
Quote 2
  • Question to Chinese interpreter Could you check
    with Dr H whether patients were randomised?
  • Answer Dr. H does not know what is
    "randomisation method", she said "we some days
    use method A, other days use method B, and so
    on."

24
Methodological quality
  • Randomisation (method of generating sequence)
  • Method of allocation concealment
  • Blinding
  • Loss to follow-up

25
5 included trials randomisation
  • Antony 2001- randomisation in abstract, no
    details
  • Marchanda 1997 not in paper, but personal
    communication
  • Ohkuma 1990 - not in paper, but personal
    communication
  • Ormerod 1999 in paper, group sequential design
  • Short 2002 in paper, no details

26
5 included trials allocation concealment
  • None of the papers provided information

27
5 included trials blinding
  • Antony 2001- double-blind in abstract
  • Marchanda 1997 double-blind, no details
  • Ohkuma 1990 - not in paper, probably not blinded
  • Ormerod 1999 double-blind, no details
  • Short 2002 (UK) double-blind, no details

28
Quote 3
Question How many dropouts in each arm of the
study? Answer There were dropouts, but we did
not count them.
29
5 included trials loss to follow-up
  • Antony 2001- 50 dropouts, for whom no results
  • Marchanda 1997 20 dropouts, for whom no
    results
  • Ohkuma 1990 no loss reported, all patients in
    outcome table
  • Ormerod 1999 30 dropouts at 1 month, ITT
  • Short 2002 (UK) 10 dropouts after 2 weeks, ITT

30
5 included trials results?
  • Given small trials and methodological flaws,
    presenting numerical information not very useful
  • Some differences statistically significant
  • Huge confidence intervals

31
Conclusions of review
  • Evidence insufficient to recommend any one
    intervention
  • Additional well-designed RCTs needed on common
    treatment options against credible placebo or no
    intervention
  • Clinicians should recommend expectant management
    until evidence emerges for safe and effective
    treatment

32
  • Review published April 2006
  • Search finished March 2004
  • Any news?

33
At least two new studies
  • Burke et al (2004), essential oil of Australian
    lemon myrtle vs placebo (n31 children)
  • Hanna et al (2006), comparing four treatments-
    curettage- cantharidin- salicylic acid-
    imiquimod (n 124 children)
  • Awaiting assessment

34
Thanks!
  • Adrie Hollestein, Daan Muris, Kazutomo Ohkuma,
    Tony Ormerod, and Hywel Williams for drawing our
    attention to relevant studies.
  • Drs. Manchanda, Kazutomo Ohkuma and Tony Ormerod
    kindly provided additional information regarding
    their studies and Kate Short generously sent us
    her full paper before it was submitted for
    publication.
  • The editorial base provided help in tracing and
    translating papers.
  • We also thank Himiko Luiken for translating the
    unique study on the natural history of molluscum
    by Tsukasa Takemura and colleagues, and Taixiang
    Wu for interviewing Dr He on details of her study
    design. We thank Philippa Middleton, Tina Leonard
    and Hywel Williams for their comments on earlier
    drafts of the review.
  • The editorial base would like to thank the
    following people who were external referees for
    this review Anthony Ormerod (content expert),
    and Jack Tweed (consumer).

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GP management
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