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South African Higher Education student enrolment

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Title: South African Higher Education student enrolment


1
South African Higher Education student enrolment
retentionMarié FowlerTshwane University of
Technology
Live your life. Create your destiny.
2
Strategic Management Supportl
Intake in HE in South Africa (2003)
  • Total state institutional undergrad enrolment
    approx. 717 793
  • Graduates 109 373 (15.2)
  • Only 15 of students ever graduate!
  • Statistics show that only 22 of tertiary
    students graduate after 5 years. Dep. Ed.
    Minister, Surty (27/02)
  • Problem There are as many graduation and
    retention statistics as there are studies and/or
    reports of those studies

3
Retention problematic in South African HE
  • Enrolments seriously inflated by repeat students
    with little or no prospect of graduation
  • Financial aid problems add to dilemmas
  • Only 15 of students speak English 1st language,
    often the language of instruction (many
    instructors lecture in a language not their own)
  • Good news Student Affairs getting organized
    professionally nationally are committed to
    progress.

4
Strategic Management Support

5
Strategic Management Support
HERD-SA Kellogg Grant and Project
Assist decision makers/practitioners to begin
measuring retention rates (SA defs) by
developing a culturally appropriate methodology
for reviewing presenting meaningful
data. Develop a profile of student
characteristics from data collected/identified
and determine what, if any, relationships the
data may have to student retention and attrition.
6
Strategic Management Support
Direction of Kellogg Grant Project
Focus mainly on first year students yet will
make methodology available for use at all levels
of tertiary education. Share findings with
institutional and governmental agencies adhering
to confidentiality guarantees.
7
l
Strategic Management Support
HERD-SA Project Leaders
Roger B. Ludeman (USA) HERD-SA Project
Director Email herdsa_at_hotmail.com Prof. Amanda
Lourens, HERD-SA Project Assistant
Director North-West University Email
Amanda.Lourens_at_nwu.ac.za Rosemary Hayes
(University of Oklahoma) Consortium for Student
Retention Data Exchange Email rhayes_at_ou.edu http
//www.ou.edu/csrde/index.html
8
Strategic Management Support
HERDSA PROJECT
Institutions taking part Basics and
definitions Methodology Results
9
Strategic Management Support
Participating institutions
  • Tshwane University of Technology
  • Wits University
  • North West University
  • Central University of Technology
  • University of Johannesburg (Comprehensive)
  • University of Cape Town

10
Tshwane University of Technology
  • Result of 2004 Merger of 3 Technikons
  • Biggest residential university in SA
  • 52 000 students on 8 campuses covering 3
    provinces (states)
  • 4.5 International students (2006)
  • 88 Black, 12 white (2006)
  • Technikons
  • Universities of Technology
  • Black black, coloured asian

11
University of Witwatersrand
  • Founded in 1922
  • Total enrolment 24 652 (2006)
  • Highly rated research capacity
  • Race 66 Black, 34 White
  • 7 international students
  • Gender breakdown 50/50

12
North-West University
  • Result of a merger (black white inst)
  • Approximately 38 596 students (2005)
  • 91 undergrad, 7 post grad.
  • 39 male, 61 female
  • 34 White, 66 Black

13
Central University of Technology, Free State
  • Head count (2006) 10 447
  • Race 82 Black, 18 White
  • International students 5

14
University of the Free State
  • Headcount 24 521 (2006)
  • Race 60 Black, 40 White
  • International
  • students 7

15
University of Johannesburg(A comprehensive
university)
  • Headcount 42 655 (2006)
  • 73 Black, 27 White
  • 3.7 international
  • students

16
University of Cape Town
  • Headcount 21 658
  • Gender about 50/50
  • Race White 45, Black 28
  • 14 Coloured, 8 Indian
  • International student 19.6

17
Strategic Management Support
Basic underlying factors problematic
  • Mergers affected almost all
  • Three types of university
  • Years of survey 2000 2003
  • First time entering students as target group
  • Confidentiality
  • Data extraction HEMIS own systems

18
Strategic Management Support
Retention Definitions

Baseline Enrolment First time entering students
enrolled for a 3-year diploma/degree in the year
under consideration. Second year dropout rate
Students of the baseline enrolment cohort who did
not register (enrol) for the 2nd year of study
nor cancelled their studies and did not
graduate. Graduation rate The cumulative number
of students from the baseline cohort who received
a qualification within or before the specified
year.
19
Definitions (continued)
  • First time entering undergraduate or prediplomate
    (HEMIS definition)  
  • The person (a) is effectively registered in the
    collection period for an undergraduate or
    prediplomate course and (b) in the past has not
    been effectively registered in any higher
    education course at the institution or any other
    higher education institution.

20
Strategic Management Support
Methodology
Cohort studies (Track progress over a number of
years) Profiles of stayers and dropouts Use
existing demographic/personal data obtained from
admissions/ registration/financial aid forms.
HEMIS data can also be used for this
step. (Variables include e.g pass rate, age,
gender, race, citizenships, financial aid/
bursary status, previous year activity, grade 12
type aggregate, course load)
21
Strategic Management Support
Variables used for phase 2(Obtained from HEMIS)
  • Year of registration
  • Institution code (as in HEMIS)
  • Student number
  • First time entering status
  • FTE degree credits passed (enrolments/ year)
  • HEMIS qualification type
  • Birth date
  • Gender
  • Race
  • Citizenship (as reported in HEMIS)
  • CESM category

22
Strategic Management Support
Variables (continued)
  • Financial aid
  • Residence
  • Previous year activity (as per HEMIS)
  • Matric type
  • Grade 12 aggregate
  • Dropout status
  • Course load
  • Home postal code
  • Home language
  • Qualification code

23
All Institutions Phase I Enrolment, Dropouts
and Graduates of 20001 cohorts
24
All Institutions Phase I Enrolment, Dropouts
and Graduates of 20023 cohorts
25
All Institutions Phase I Dropout Graduation
Rates
  • Cohorts used in calculations
  • The overall 2nd year dropout rate all cohorts
  • The overall 4th year graduation rate only the
    2000 - 2002 cohorts (when the data was extracted,
    the 2003 cohort had not yet had 4 full years to
    graduate)

26
Descriptive Statistics Phase II data
27
Strategic Management Support
Next plans of the project
  • Bring in other institutions to participate
  • Utilize pilot institutions as consultants to
    assist new institutions to adopt new data
    analysis profiles.
  • Share aggregate profiles as needed. Remember
    data belongs to the institution.
  • Introduce additional ideas for further data
    analysis or research.
  • Develop CD-ROM with structures needed for new
    institutions to enter their data and produce
    their profiles of stayers and leavers

28
Strategic Management Support
HERD-SA Kellogg Grant and Project
Assist decision makers/practitioners to begin
measuring retention rates (SA defs) by
developing a culturally appropriate methodology
for reviewing presenting meaningful
data. Develop a profile of student
characteristics from data collected/identified
and determine what, if any, relationships the
data may have to student retention and attrition.
29
Strategic Management Support
Future Needs and Ideas
  • Work to create ongoing retention research for
    all of South African tertiary education
  • Develop an online clearinghouse of SA student
    retention studies
  • Look at interventions designed to combat
    attrition

30
Strategic Management Support
Thank you Marié Fowler fowlerm_at_tut.ac.za
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