Title: Capital Budgeting Decisions
1Capital Budgeting Decisions
2Capital Budgeting
- How managers plan significant outlays on projects
that have long-term implications such as the
purchase of new equipment and introduction of new
products.
3Typical Capital Budgeting Decisions
Plant expansion
Equipment selection
Equipment replacement
Lease or buy
Cost reduction
4Typical Capital Budgeting Decisions
- Capital budgeting tends to fall into two broad
categories . . . - Screening decisions. Does a proposed project meet
some present standard of acceptance? - Preference decisions. Selecting from among
several competing courses of action.
5Time Value of Money
- Business investments extend over long periods of
time, so we must recognize the time value of
money. - Investments that promise returns earlier in time
are preferable to those that promise returns
later in time.
6Time Value of Money
- A dollar today is worth more than a dollar a
year from now since a dollar received today can
be invested, yielding more than a dollar a year
from now.
7Interest and the Time Value of Money
- If 100 is invested today at 8 interest, how
much will you have in two years? - At the end of one year
- 100 0.08?100 (1.08)?100 108
- At the end of two years
- 108 0.08?108 (1.08)?108
- (1.08)?(1.08)?100
- (1.08)2 ?100 116.64
8Interest and the Time Value of Money
-
- If P dollars are invested today at the annual
interest rate r, then in n years you would have
Fn dollars computed as follows - Fn P(1 r)n
9Interest and the Time Value of Money
- The present value of any sum to be received in
the future can be computed by turning the
interest formula around and solving for P -
10Interest and the Time Value of Money
- A bond will pay 100 in two years. What is
the present value of the 100 if an investor can
earn a return of 12 on investments? - P 100 (0.797)
- P 79.70
11Interest and the Time Value of Money
- A bond will pay 100 in two years. What is
the present value of the 100 if an investor can
earn a return of 12 on investments? - Present Value 79.70
-
What does this mean? If 79.70 is put in the bank
today, it will be worth 100 in two years. In
that sense, 79.70 today is equivalent to 100 in
two years.
12Interest and the Time Value of Money
- Lets verify that if we put 79.70 in the bank
today at 12 interest that it would grow to 100
at the end of two years. -
13Time Value of Money
- A bond will pay 100 in two years. What is the
present value of the 100 if an investor can earn
a return of 12 on investments?
We can also determine the present value using
present value tables.
14Time Value of Money
- Excerpt from Present Value of 1 Table in the
Appendix to Chapter 12
15Time Value of Money
100 0.797 79.70 present value
16Quick Check ?
- How much would you have to put in the bank
today to have 100 at the end of five years if
the interest rate is 10? - a. 62.10
- b. 56.70
- c. 90.90
- d. 51.90
17Quick Check ?
- How much would you have to put in the bank
today to have 100 at the end of five years if
the interest rate is 10? - a. 62.10
- b. 56.70
- c. 90.90
- d. 51.90
100 ? 0.621 62.10
18Time Value of Money
- An investment that involves a series of identical
cash flows at the end of each year is called an
annuity.
19Time Value of Money
- Lacey Inc. purchased a tract of land on which a
60,000 payment will be due each year for the
next five years. What is the present value of
this stream of cash payments when the discount
rate is 12?
20Time Value of Money
- We could solve the problem like this . . .
Look in Appendix B of this Chapter for
the Present Value of an Annuity of 1 Table
21Time Value of Money
- We could solve the problem like this . . .
60,000 3.605 216,300
22Quick Check ?
- If the interest rate is 14, how much would you
have to put in the bank today so as to be able to
withdraw 100 at the end of each of the next five
years? - a. 34.33
- b. 500
- c. 343.30
- d. 360.50
23Quick Check ?
- If the interest rate is 14, how much would you
have to put in the bank today so as to be able to
withdraw 100 at the end of each of the next five
years? - a. 34.33
- b. 500
- c. 343.30
- d. 360.50
100 ? 3.433 343.33
24Quick Check ?
- If the interest rate is 14, what is the
present value of 100 to be received at the end
of the 3rd, 4th, and 5th years? - a. 866.90
- b. 178.60
- c. 86.90
- d. 300.00
25Quick Check ?
- If the interest rate is 14, what is the
present value of 100 to be received at the end
of the 3rd, 4th, and 5th years? - a. 866.90
- b. 178.60
- c. 86.90
- d. 300.00
100?(3.433-1.647) 100?1.786
178.60 or 100?(0.6750.5920.519) 100?1.786
178.60
26Typical Cash Outflows
27Typical Cash Inflows
28Illustration of the NPV Method
- Carver Hospital is considering the purchase of an
attachment for its X-ray machine. No
investments are to be made unless they have an
annual return of at least 10.Will we be
allowed to invest in the attachment?
29Illustration of the NPV Method
30Illustration of the NPV Method
31Illustration of the NPV Method
Because the net present value is equal to
zero, the investment in the attachment for the
X-ray machine provides exactly a 10 return.
32Quick Check ?
- Suppose that the investment in the attachment
for the X-ray machine had cost 4,000 and
generated an increase in annual cash inflows of
1,200. What is the net present value of the
investment? - a. 800
- b. 196
- c. (196)
- d. (800)
33Quick Check ?
- Suppose that the investment in the attachment
for the X-ray machine had cost 4,000 and
generated an increase in annual cash inflows of
1,200. What is the net present value of the
investment? - a. 800
- b. 196
- c. (196)
- d. (800)
-4,0001,200?3.170 -4,000 3,804 -196
34Choosing a Discount Rate
- The firms cost of capital is usually regarded as
the most appropriate choice for the discount
rate. - The cost of capital is the average rate of return
the company must pay to its long-term creditors
and stockholders for the use of their funds.
35The Net Present Value Method
- To determine net present value we . . .
- Calculate the present value of cash inflows,
- Calculate the present value of cash outflows,
- Subtract the present value of the outflows from
the present value of the inflows.
36The Net Present Value Method
- General decision rule . . .
37The Net Present Value Method
38The Net Present Value Method
- Lester Company has been offered a five year
contract to provide component parts for a large
manufacturer.
39The Net Present Value Method
- At the end of five years the working capital will
be released and may be used elsewhere by Lester. - Lester Company uses a discount rate of
10.Should the contract be accepted?
40The Net Present Value Method
- Annual net cash inflows from operations
41The Net Present Value Method
42The Net Present Value Method
43The Net Present Value Method
44The Net Present Value Method
45The Net Present Value Method
Accept the contract because the project has a
positive net present value.
46Quick Check Data
- Denny Associates has been offered a four-year
contract to supply the computing requirements for
a local bank.
- The working capital would be released at the end
of the contract. - Denny Associates requires a 14 return.
47Quick Check ?
- What is the net present value of the contract
with the local bank? - a. 150,000
- b. 28,230
- c. 92,340
- d. 132,916
48Quick Check ?
- What is the net present value of the contract
with the local bank? - a. 150,000
- b. 28,230
- c. 92,340
- d. 132,916
49Expanding the Net Present Value Method
- To compare competing investment projects we can
use the following net present value approaches - Total-cost
- Incremental cost
50The Total-Cost Approach
- White Co. has two alternatives (1) remodel an
old car wash or, (2) remove it and install a new
one. - The company uses a discount rate of 10.
51The Total-Cost Approach
- If White installs a new washer . . .
Lets look at the present valueof this
alternative.
52The Total-Cost Approach
53The Total-Cost Approach
54The Total-Cost Approach
55The Total-Cost Approach
56The Total-Cost Approach
57The Total-Cost Approach
If we install the new washer, the investment will
yield a positive net present value of 83,202.
58The Total-Cost Approach
- If White remodels the existing washer . . .
Lets look at the present valueof this second
alternative.
59The Total-Cost Approach
60The Total-Cost Approach
61The Total-Cost Approach
62The Total-Cost Approach
If we remodel the existing washer, we will
produce a positive net present value of 56,405.
63The Total-Cost Approach
Both projects yield a positive net present value.
However, investing in the new washer will produce
a higher net present value than remodeling the
old washer.
64The Incremental-Cost Approach
- Under the incremental-cost approach, only those
cash flows that differ between the two
alternatives are considered. - Lets look at an analysis of the White Co.
decision using the incremental-cost approach.
65The Incremental-Cost Approach
66The Incremental-Cost Approach
67The Incremental-Cost Approach
68The Incremental-Cost Approach
69Quick Check ?
- Consider the following alternative projects.
Each project would last for five years. - Project A Project B
- Initial investment 80,000 60,000
- Annual net cash inflows 20,000 16,000
- Salvage value 10,000 8,000
- The company uses a discount rate of 14 to
evaluate projects. Which of the following
statements is true? - a. NPV of Project A gt NPV of Project B by 5,230
- b. NPV of Project B gt NPV of Project A by 5,230
- c. NPV of Project A gt NPV of Project B by 2,000
- d. NPV of Project B gt NPV of Project A by 2,000
70Quick Check ?
- Consider the following alternative projects.
Each project would last for five years. - Project A Project B
- Initial investment 80,000 60,000
- Annual net cash inflows 20,000 16,000
- Salvage value 10,000 8,000
- The company uses a discount rate of 14 to
evaluate projects. Which of the following
statements is true? - a. NPV of Project A gt NPV of Project B by 5,230
- b. NPV of Project B gt NPV of Project A by 5,230
- c. NPV of Project A gt NPV of Project B by 2,000
- d. NPV of Project B gt NPV of Project A by 2,000
71Least Cost Decisions
- In decisions where revenues are not directly
involved, managers should choose the alternative
that has the least total cost from a present
value perspective. - Lets look at the Home Furniture Company.
72Least Cost Decisions
- Home Furniture Company is trying to decide
whether to overhaul an old delivery truck now or
purchase a new one. - The company uses a discount rate of 10.
73Least Cost Decisions
Here is information about the trucks . . .
74Least Cost Decisions
75Least Cost Decisions
- Home Furniture should purchase the new truck.
76Ranking Investment Projects
The higher the profitability index, the more
desirable the project.
77Other Approaches toCapital Budgeting Decisions
- Other methods of making capital budgeting
decisions include . . . - The Payback Method.
- Simple Rate of Return.
78The Payback Method
- The payback period is the length of time that it
takes for a project to recover its initial cost
out of the cash receipts that it generates. - When the net annual cash inflow is the same each
year, this formula can be used to compute the
payback period
79The Payback Method
- Management at The Daily Grind wants to install an
espresso bar in its restaurant. - The espresso bar
- Costs 140,000 and has a 10-year life.
- Will generate net annual cash inflows of 35,000.
- Management requires a payback period of 5 years
or less on all investments. - What is the payback period for the espresso bar?
80The Payback Method
According to the companys criterion, management
would invest in the espresso bar because its
payback period is less than 5 years.
81Quick Check ?
- Consider the following two investments
- Project X Project Y
- Initial investment 100,00 100,000
- Year 1 cash inflow 60,000 60,000
- Year 2 cash inflow 40,000 35,000
- Year 3-10 cash inflows 0 25,000
- Which project has the shortest payback period?
- a. Project X
- b. Project Y
- c. Cannot be determined
82Quick Check ?
Project X has a payback period of 2 years.
Project Y has a payback period of slightly more
than 2 years. Which project do you think is
better?
- Consider the following two investments
- Project X Project Y
- Initial investment 100,00 100,000
- Year 1 cash inflow 60,000 60,000
- Year 2 cash inflow 40,000 35,000
- Year 3-10 cash inflows 0 25,000
- Which project has the shortest payback period?
- a. Project X
- b. Project Y
- c. Cannot be determined
83Evaluation of the Payback Method
Short-comings of the Payback Period.
84The Simple Rate of Return Method
- Does not focus on cash flows -- rather it focuses
on accounting income. - The following formula is used to calculate the
simple rate of return
-
85The Simple Rate of Return Method
- Management of The Daily Grind wants to install an
espresso bar in its restaurant. - The espresso bar
- Cost 140,000 and has a 10-year life.
- Will generate incremental revenues of 100,000
and incremental expenses of 65,000 including
depreciation. - What is the simple rate of return on the
investment project?
86The Simple Rate of Return Method
The simple rate of return method is not
recommended for a variety of reasons, the most
important of which is that it ignores the time
value of money.
87Quick Check ?
- Inland Airlines is considering the purchase of
an aircraft for 20 million that would last for
10 years and generate incremental revenues of 9
million per year and incremental expenses,
excluding depreciation, of 5 million per year.
What is the simple rate of return on the
aircraft? - a. 10
- b. 15
- c. 20
- d. 25
88Quick Check ?
- Inland Airlines is considering the purchase of
an aircraft for 20 million that would last for
10 years and generate incremental revenues of 9
million per year and incremental expenses,
excluding depreciation, of 5 million per year.
What is the simple rate of return on the
aircraft? - a. 10
- b. 15
- c. 20
- d. 25
9 (5 2) / 20 15
89Postaudit of Investment Projects
- A postaudit is a follow-up after the project has
been approved to see whether or not expected
results are actually realized.
90End of Chapter 12