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Consider it Advisable to Launch Attack Force
ImmediatelyiA What if? Investigation and
Analysis of the Battle of Midway
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Base, on average, almost precisely modeled
actual outcome
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CV-5 SBD (1000lb)
Min Max StDev Avg
Base Model
Min Max StDev Avg
Strike 1
Min Max StDev Avg
Strike 2
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CV-5 TBD
Min Max StDev Avg
Base Model
Min Max StDev Avg
Strike 1
Min Max StDev Avg
Strike 2
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TF16 F4F (FP)
Min Max StDev Avg
Strike 1
Strike 2
Min Max StDev Avg
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American Carriers
Min Max StDev Avg
Strike 1
Strike 2
Min Max StDev Avg
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Japanese Carriers
Min Max StDev Avg
Base Model
Min Max StDev Avg
Strike 1
Min Max StDev Avg
Strike 2
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Relation between Japanese Carrier dead and
Japanese CAP/FP dead (low)
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Relation between Japanese Carrier dead and
Japanese CAP/FP dead (high)
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Relation between American Fighter Aircraft Dead
and Japanese Carrier Dead (High)
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Relation between American Fighter Aircraft Dead
and Japanese Carrier Dead (Low)
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• Endless number of WHAT IFs?

-Weather -Personality Conflicts (Fletcher
Spruance) -Radio Transmission Range -Lt.
Tomonagas death -VT-3s tardiness -Japanese
carrier decks devoid of aircraft -Willingness of
American pilots to face almost certain
death -Ability of VF-6s pilots (Thatch
weave) -USS Yorktowns late launch
schedule -etc., etc., etc...