Title: CCIM Overview
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2A WORLD WITHOUTBORDERS
Frank N. Simpson, CCIM 2011 CCIM Institute
President
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3Agenda
- Presentation I
- Welcome Introduction
- The Global Real Estate Market Today
- Presentation II
- CCIM Institute Facts
4Frank N. Simpson, CCIM
- CCIM Designated in 1997 Designee 7306
- 2004 president of the 300-member
Georgia CCIM Chapter -
- 25-year Commercial Real Estate
5Introduction
- In addition
- Economic Development Council of the Greater Hall
- Chamber of Commerce - Founding President of the Hall County YMCA.
- Board of Trustees Wesleyan School
6FamilyWendi, Sam, Mike, Frank
7United States Economy2011What We Read
8Economy Comments
- Economy Remains Sluggish
- High Unemployment
- Continues Consumers Still Wary
- Foreclosures Pull Housing Market Down Further
- Community Banks Continue to Struggle
- One in ten mortgage borrowers owe more than 125
of todays value of their home - Housing prices have further to slide
- Say Good-bye to Saturday mail delivery
-
9Economy Comments
- The Great Recession is over
- Retail sales are rising estimated at 5
annually - Personal consumption is rising
- Existing home sales are improving
- Industrial production has been rising during the
past 18 months - Consumer prices are stable and reflect neither
inflationary nor deflationary tendencies - When will we be at the bottom of the commercial
real estate market? Perhaps now indications are
very good - Dow to top 12,500 by EOY 2011
10RE Market Theme
11GREED
- INSIGHTFUL
- Warren Buffett says
- Be fearful when others are greedy Be greedy
when others are fearful
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13Sector Ratings
14U.S. CAP RATES DOWN!
15Home Supply
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24LOOMING DEBT - 1.8 TRILLION
Source Goldman Sachs and REIT filings
252011 Economy
- The economy will show more job growth
- - Private sector up, Government down.
- Housing starts increase
- More CRE transactions
- Dow up
- US dollar strengthens
- Federal Government zero interest policy continues
- United States will see 3-4 Growth in 2011
(Bernanke) - On and On
26Is the Recession over?
- Technically Yes
- 2 Qtrs. Of Positive GDP growth, But
- Slow/Prolonged Recovery
- Unemployment Still Too High!
- Devaluation in Pricing still to occur
- More deals happening.
272011 vs. 2010 Differences
- There is Less Competition!
- Globally, prices are lower, still have some
downward pressure - U.S. is starting a recovery
- Capital Markets
- Bad, but not as bad as 08.
- Global Economy - Varies
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28Ken Riggs, CCIMCCIM Chief Economist
- The recovery will vary by geography and property
type, but for investors seeking to seize market
opportunities, 2010 2011 will be the best time
in generations to buy well-priced, quality
commercial real estate,Investors should view
2010/2011 as a once-in-a-lifetime opportunity to
snag key long-term investments.
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30Moscow Office Vacancy
- Class A 19.6
- Class B15.3
- Class B-12.7
- Overall Average Vacancy 15.1
- Jones Lang LaSalle
31Moscow Office Overview
- The recovery of the Moscow office
market continued in 2011. - 1st Quarter completion volume was 198,800
sq m. - Prime rents reached USD 1,000 per
sq m per year, a 11 growth. - Classes A, B and B- rents remained
unchanged - Jones Lang LaSalle
32Warehouse Overview Cont.
- Vacancy rate continues to decrease Currently
3.7 - Vacancy rates expected to decline further,
indicating increase in rents. - 76,200 Sq M constructed in 1st Quarter 2011.
- Moscow remains 2nd in all of Europe for costs of
Rents (2nd to London) - Jones Lang LaSalle
33Moscow Warehouse Overview
- Due to the high tenant activity, the vacancy
rate continued to decrease in Q1 200 to 3.7. - Absorption volume for 1st Quarter 2011
accounted for 215,670 mn sq m. - Driven by low vacancy rate prime warehouse
rents increased by 8.7. - Jnes Lang LaSalle
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35Largest Network on Earth
15,000
Commercial Real Estate Partners
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37Realtor Stats
- 2006 Peak of 1.5 million Realtors
- 2010 1,063 Million Realtors
- 30/- Percent Decrease
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39International Membership
- 1500 International Members
- 36 Countries
- Courses Russia, Poland, South Korea, Canada,
Mexico, Dubai, Egypt, Taiwan, China - Studying Vietnam, India
40Ken Riggs, CCIMCCIM Chief Economist
For investors who wish to minimize the
uncertainty and the amount of risk in their
investment, commercial real estate remains
attractive because it is tangible and more
transparent than other investmentsinvestors can
actually see the number of tenants in a building
and the rent they are paying.
41Financial Status
42Membership 2010 vs 2011
- 2010 2011
- Designees 8487 8805 3.7
- Candidates 4173 3728 11.9
- Total 12660 12533 1.0
43Membership 2011
- Budget Current
- Designees 9012 8805 98
- Candidates 5885 3728 63
- Total 14,897 12,533 84
- As of April 11, 2011
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45Education Update(All core courses)
- Total Students Budget Students Diff.
- 1191 1746 555
- Total Dollars Budget Dollars Diff
- 516,905 868,471. 351,566
46Education
- Deferred Revenue (Not included)
- GSA 60,000
- GE 196,000
- Bank (1st TN) 34,000.
- Total 290,000/-
- Colliers 100,000. (Potential Rev.)
47CCIM Institute
- Equipping the best minds in commercial and
investment real estate.
48A CCIM is elite
- Only 6 percent of estimated 150,000 commercial
real estate practitioners nationwide hold the
CCIM designation
49To earn theCCIM designation
- Member must become a Candidate
- Pass four core courses (take or challenge)
- Take 200 classroom hours
- Earn three elective credits
- Submit a Portfolio of Qualifying Experience
- Pass the comprehensive exam
50CCIM Education
- Premier commercial real estate education
- Over 18,000 students
- Outstanding instructor cadreof real estate
practitioners
51CCIM Education
- Premier commercial real estate education
- Over 18,000 students
- Outstanding instructor cadreof real estate
practitioners - 2.6 million curriculum redesign
52CCIM Education
- Premier commercial real estate education
- Over 18,000 students
- Outstanding instructor cadreof real estate
practitioners - 2.6 million curriculum redesign
- Online education offerings
53CCIM Education
- Premier commercial real estate education
- Over 18,000 students
- Outstanding instructor cadreof real estate
practitioners - 2.6 million curriculum redesign
- Online education offerings
54CCIM Education
- Premier commercial real estate education
- Over 18,000 students
- Outstanding instructor cadreof real estate
practitioners - 2.6 million curriculum redesign
- Online education offerings
- Non-designation education
55Location. Location. Location.
- Multiple course offerings annually
56Location. Location. Location.
- Multiple course offerings annually
- Primary and secondary cities
57Location. Location. Location.
- Mulitple course offerings annually
- Primary and secondary cities
- More than 50 markets worldwide
58Location. Location. Location.
- Multiple course offerings annually
- Primary and secondary cities
- More than 50 markets worldwide
- Three continents
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60CI 101 - Financial Analysis
- Cash flow model
- Time value of money
- Appraisal
- Investment value and performance
- Tax implications
- Internal rate of return
- Net present value
- Compounding and discounting
61CI 102 - Market Analysis
- Evaluating the market
- Market analysis model
- Market data and GIS
- Supply and demand factors
- Property types
- Technology
- Site selection and feasibility
- Mapping and demographics
62CI 103 - User Decision Analysis
- Lease terminology
- Leasing versus owning
- Buying versus building
- Lease valuation
- Lease comparisons
- Transaction management and alternative user
decision process
63CI 104 - Investment Analysis
- Investment as a process
- Tax implications
- Disposition options
- Acquisition strategies
- Profitability ratios
- Valuation
- Asset management
- Impact of financing and risk
64Training
- Colliers
- Re/Max
- CB Richard Ellis
- ICSC
- Coldwell Banker
- GVA
- Grubb Ellis
- CREW Network
- Ernst Young
- GE Real Estate
- Wal-Mart
- Walgreen's
- McDonalds
- AEGON
65Educating the IndustryWorldwide
66Benefits of Membership
- CCIM Network
- STDB Online
- Online directory of CCIMs
- Legislative affairs
- Continuing education
- MailBridge
- RERC/CCIM ITQ
- Cultural diversity
- Research
67CCIM Chapter Network
- 61 chapters worldwide
- Local networking
- Local education
- 1,000 markets
- Branded web sites (continued work)
- The grassroots of the CCIM Institute
68CCIM Networking
- Close more deals
- Grow your network
- Expand your knowledge
- Gain industry recognition
- Increase your net worth
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71GIS What Is It?
- A geographic information system (GIS) integrates
hardware, software, and data for capturing,
managing, analyzing, and displaying all forms of
geographically referenced information. - GIS allows us to view, understand, question,
interpret, and visualize data in many ways that
reveal relationships, patterns, and trends in the
form of maps, globes, reports, and charts.
72GIS Why Use It?
- GIS can integrate and relate any data with a
spatial component, regardless of the source of
the data. - Rather than you working hard to understand your
data, GIS puts your data to work for you. GIS can
provide you with powerful information -not just
how things are, but how they will be in the
future based on changes you apply.
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89Annotate Uploaded Image
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91Technology Provides Better Decisions
- Location
- Timing
- Demographics
- Location
- Location
- Location
Today Commercial Real Estate is Where, When,
Who, What, How and Why!
92MARKETING
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94Leo Burnett Client Sampling
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96CCIM Russia
- Model to CCIM for International Growth
- Important Political Partner to U.S.
- Expect Russias Impressive Growth Expansion
To Continue
97Success
- Success always involves risk. You must take a
change by investing your time, money, and effort.
It pays to be thoughtful and deliberate in your
analyses of opportunities, but dont let timidity
hold you back No one on earth is going to force
success upon you you will find it only to the
degree that you actively seek it out.
98JOIN BE ACTIVE IN CCIM!
- WE ARE THE SOURCE FOR EDUCATION IN COMMERCIAL
REAL ESTATE - Everyone in CRE should attend!
- Networking
- WORLDWIDE
- GLOBAL OPPORTUNITES
99Thank You
- Frank Simpson, CCIM
- frank_at_simpsoncompany.com
- 770 532 9911 Office
- 770 654 2300 Cell
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