????????????????? ????????? ??? ??????? ????????????? ????? ??????? ???????????? ??????? icef-research@hse.ru http://epee.hse.ru - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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????????????????? ????????? ??? ??????? ????????????? ????? ??????? ???????????? ??????? icef-research@hse.ru http://epee.hse.ru

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Title: ????????????????? ????????? ??? ??????? ????????????? ????? ??????? ???????????? ??????? icef-research@hse.ru http://epee.hse.ru


1
????????????????????????????? ???????
????????????? ???????????? ????????????
???????icef-research_at_hse.ruhttp//epee.hse.ru
2
??????????? ? ????????? ? ??????????
  • 1980-? ?????? ??????????? ?????? ?? ?????? ??
    ???????????? ?????? ??????????, ??????????,
    ????????????, ????????...
  • ??? ??? ?????????? ?????? ?? ??????????!
    (G.Stigler, Nobel Memorial Prize in Economics,
    1982)
  • 2000-? ??????????? ?????? ?? ?????????
    ?????????? ????????? ?.???????? ? ??????????
    ?.????? ?? ????????? ???????????? ? ???????
    ????????????????? ?????????.
  • ????? ???????????? ? ???????????, ????????????
    ???????????? ?????????, ??????? ?????? ??????,
    ??? ????????
  • ??????? Journal of Behavioural Decision Making,
    Organizational Behaviour and Human Decision
    Processes, Journal of Economic Psychology
    Quarterly Journal of Economics, Econometrica
  • ?????????? http//iarep.org http//sabe.org
    http//icabeep-school.epee.hse.ru...
  • ???? H.A.Simon, A.Tversky, R.D.Luce, D.Kahneman,
    P.Slovic, S.Lichtenstein, B.Fischhoff, D.Prelec,
    G.Loewenstein

3
????????????? vs ??????????????? ????????????
  • ??? ????????? ??????????? ?????? ????? ??????
    ??????? ???????? ?????????
  • ???????, ??????????, ??????, ????????, ?????????,
    ??????
  • ??? ?????????? ?????? ????? ?????? ?????????
    ???????????? ????????????? ?????? ???, ???
    ???????? ?? ???????? ?????? ?????????? ?/???
    ??????????
  • ?????????????? ?????????, ?????? ???, ??????
    ??????????
  • ???????? ?? ?????? ? ???????????? ? ? ?????
    ??????
  • ? ? ????? ????? ????????????? ????.,
  • ?????????????????? (neuroeconomics Colin
    Camerer)
  • ??????? (field experiments John List)

4
?????? ??? ???????????? ?????,??????????? ???
?????? ??????????
  • ???????????? ????????? XX ?. ??????? ?? ??????
    homo oeconomicus ???????? ?????????????
  • ?????? ?????? ????? ????????? (??????????)
  • ??????????? ?????????? ? ??????
  • ?????????? ?????? ? ?????????
  • ??????????????? ?????????
  • ????????????????? ????????? ?????????? ???
    ????????????? ??????? ?? ??? ????????

5
??????? ???????
  • ????????? ???????????? ?? 50?
  • I.Fisher ????????? ?????????? E.Chamberlin -
    ?????
  • 50-e ???????????? ?? ?????? ???????????????
    ????????? ? ???????????? ?????? ?????????
    M.Allais ? D.Ellsberg?, Fouraker-Siegel
  • 60-? ????????????????? ????? ??????? ????????
    ????????
  • V.Smith, M.Shubik, Ch.Plott ? ??.
  • 70-? ???????????? ?????????, ????????????
    ???????????
  • A.Tversky, D.Kahneman ? ??.
  • 80-90-? mainstream

6
? ??? ??? ??..
  • Experimental markets
  • Auctions
  • Financial markets
  • Public goods
  • Game theory
  • Bargaining
  • Individual choice

7
??????????? ????????????? ?????????????
  • ?? ???????? ??????
  • ??? ??????? ??????????
  • ?? ????????????? ? ?????? ???????????????
    ????????
  • ??? ????????????? ?????????? (? ????????????
    ??????????????? ????????)

8
????? ?????? ????????????
  • ????????????? ?????? ? ?? ????????????
    (??????????? ?????????)
  • ???????????? ???????????? (????) ??????????
    ????????? ????????
  • ?????????? ?????? ?????????? ???????, ?????? ??
    ???????, ??????? ??????
  • ??????????? ???????? ??????? (treatment) ? ?????
    ???????? ???????? ? ????????? (??????????
    ????????????)
  • ????????????? ???????? ???????? ??????
    ??????????????? (saliency)
  • ???????????? ??????????? ? ????????? ? ????????
    ???? (external validity)

9
?????? I ?????? ??????????????? ?????? ?
???????? ?????
  • ??????? ?????? ????????? ?????????? (???
    ??????-???????????, 1944 1947)
  • ???????? ????????????? ????????? ??????????
    ?????????
  • ??????? ????????????? ??????? ?? ??????
  • ?????? ???????????????
  • ?????????????
  • ?????????????
  • ????????? ???? (1950 1953) ?????????
    ???????????? ????????? ?????????????? ????????
    ??????? ?????????????

10
?????? 2 ???????? ??????????
  • ?????????? ?????? ? ??????????? ????????? ???
    ??????????? ?????
  • ? ?????? ????????????? (?????????) ??
    ???????????
  • ?????? ???? (1962)????? ???????? ?????????
    ?????? ??????????? ???????, ??? 8 ?????????? ?
    8 ?????? ?????? ????????? ????????? ??????????
  • ?????????? ???????????? ?????????? ???????? ?
    ??????????????? ????????

11
?????? 3 ????????????? ??????
  • ??? (1982) ??? ?????? ????? ????? ???????? 100.
  • ?? ?????? ???? ???? ??????????????? ?????????
    ???? (????? ?????? ????????) x ???????
    ?????????
  • ?? ?????? ?????? ????? ????????? ??? ?????????
    ???????????
  • ?????????? ???? ? ????? ???? ?????????? ???????
    ??????? ??????, ??????? ??? ?????????.
  • ?? ???? ????? 1 ?????? ?????????? x40-50, ???
    ??????????? ????????, ??????????? x20 ?????
    2 ????????? ? ???????? ???????

12
?????? 4 ???? ? ?????????
  • ?????? ?????? ?? ??, ??? ? ? Ultimatum game, ??
    ?????? ????? ?? ????? ?????????? ???????????
  • ??? ???????, ?????????? ??????, ??? ?????? ?
    Ultimatum games
  • ???????? ?? ??????? ?????? ?? ??????? ??? ??????
    ?????????, ???? ????? 1 ????? ?? ??????
    ?????????? ? ??????? 2, ?? ? ?????? ? ???? ?????
    ??? ???????. (Fehr, Kirchsteiger and Reidl, 1993
    Berg, Dickhaut and McCabe, 1995).
  • ?????????? ???????
  • ?????? ???? ?????????? ???????????? ??? ??????
    ??????????
  • ?????? ???? ?????????
  • ??? ????????? ????????? ????????? ???????

13
?????? 5 ????????
  • ?????? ???????????? ????? ???, ?????
  • ????????? ???????? ?? ???????????
  • ???????? ?? ???????????? ???????
  • ??????? ?? ???, ??? ?????? ????? ???????????.
  • ????????
  • ?????????? ??????????? ?? ????????????
  • ????? ?????????? (winners curse)
  • ?????? ??????? ?????????
  • ??????????? ??????? (????????)
  • ???????? ?? ????????? ??????
  • ????????
  • ???. ?????????

14
?????? 6 ???????????? ?????
  • N ?????????? ???????? ?? 10 ???????? ? ??????????
    ???? ?? ????? ????????? ???? x ????, ? ???? 1-x
    ?????????? ?? ???????? ????????????? ?????
  • ????? ?? ????????????? ????? ???????? ??? ????, ?
    ?????????????? ????? ???????
  • ??????????? ???????????? ??????
    ???????????????? ????? ?? ??????? ??????
    ?????? ?? ???????????? ?????, ????????? ?? ?????
    ?????? ?????????? ??, ??? ????? ??????
  • ?? ???? ?????? ??????? ??????????? ????? 50, ?
    ?? ? ?????? ????????

15
???????? ??????? Gaechter and Herrmann, 2008
16
???????? ?????????Gaechter and Herrmann, 2008
17
?????? 7 ?????????????? ?????????
  • ???? ??????????? ???????????? (??? ?????)
  • ???????????? ???????? ????
  • ?????????? ??????? ? ???? ??????? (WTA vs WTP,
    Kahneman Knetch Thaler, 1992)
  • ?????? ???? ?????? (Dan Ariely, 2008)
  • ????????????? ?????????
  • Altruism vs. Warm Glow
  • Costly punishment
  • ??????? ? ?????????? ???????? ??????????
  • ???????? ??????????(heuristics and biases)
  • ????????

18
?????, ??????, ?????, ??????????, ???????????????
?????, ???????????, ??????? ??????? ? ??????
??????!
19
????? ??????????? ?????????????
  • ???????? ????????????? ?????? ? ?? ??????????
    ????????
  • ???????????? ???????????? ????????????? ?????????
    ? ????????? ??????????/?????????
  • ?????? ????????????? ?????????? ??? ?????
    ????????????? ????????
  • ?????????!

20
Information
21
?????????? ?????????? ?? ????? http//epee.hse.ru
???????
?? ????????!
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