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Business F723 Fixed Income Analysis Week 11 Options and Swaps Option Basics Options are based on buying or selling an asset in the future at a fixed price This ... – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: Business F723


1
Business F723
  • Fixed Income Analysis
  • Week 11
  • Options and Swaps

2
Option Basics
  • Options are based on buying or selling an asset
    in the future at a fixed price
  • This transaction is not guaranteed to take place
  • With an option one party to the option decides
    whether or not the transaction will be completed
    on the specified date

3
Option Basics
  • The option has given one party the right but not
    an obligation to buy or sell the asset at the
    fixed price
  • As you might guess, this party has to pay the
    other party for this privilege
  • The payment is called the option premium

4
Options on Physical
  • Few options on physical are still traded in the
    fixed income segment, US treasury is most active
    on CBOE
  • mainly replaced by futures options
  • Some OTC markets remain
  • Institutional investors hedging specific
    securities are the most common, so the lack of
    liquidity is not a problem

5
Option Terminology
  • Call option the right to buy an asset
  • Put option the right to sell an asset
  • Exercise deciding to buy or sell the asset
  • Exercise price the predetermined price
  • Strike price the predetermined price
  • Expiration date the last day that the option can
    be exercised

6
Option Terminology
  • American option can be exercised at any time on
    or before the expiration date
  • European option can only be exercised on the
    expiration date
  • Note although most options are American, most
    pricing models assume European options
  • This assumption is acceptable if the option is
    not on a dividend paying share or similar asset

7
Option Jargon
  • In the money an option that would yield a profit
    if exercised today
  • Out of the money an option that can not be
    profitably exercised at the current market prices
  • At the money an option where the exercise price
    is the same as the current market price

8
Basic Option Positions
  • Buy a call option
  • Pay a premium to buy at specified price
  • Write a call option
  • Sell the right to buy from you
  • Buy a put option
  • Pay a premium to sell at specified price
  • Write a put option
  • Sell the right to sell to you

9
Option Payoffs
  • For the buyer, if the price moves in their
    favour, they will gain on exercise
  • If the price moves in the other direction, they
    will allow the option to expire unused, so the
    payoff will be zero

10
Payoff Example
  • Given the following options, expiring today, find
    the payoff
  • Option A allows the owner to purchase the asset
    for 25
  • Without the option she can purchase that asset
    for 24
  • The option should not be exercised so its payoff
    is zero

11
Payoff Example
  • Given the following options, expiring today, find
    the payoff
  • With option B the investor can buy the asset for
    30 and immediately sell it for 37
  • This is a payoff of 7
  • Option C allows the investor to sell the asset
    for 20, she can replace it for 18
  • Payoff 2
  • Option D is worthless
  • Payoff 0

12
Option Profits
  • For the option holder profit equals the payoff
    minus the price paid for the option
  • For the writer the profit equals the premium
    received minus the payoff that the holder gets at
    exercise, if any
  • Breakeven is the market price where the payoff
    equals the initial premium

13
Option Value
  • Intrinsic value how much of a profit you could
    make if you exercised the option today
  • Minimum of 0 since exercise is not mandatory
  • Time value the difference between the current
    price of an option and its intrinsic value

14
Logical Limits
  • What is the maximum price at which a call option
    should trade?
  • Since it gives you the right to buy the asset at
    a fixed price the maximum price of a call option
    should be the current price of the asset
  • What is the minimum price?
  • The option should sell for at least its intrinsic
    value, below that price it is better to exercise
    the option than to sell the option

15
Call Option Price
16
Time Value
  • An option which can be profitably exercised today
    will have a positive intrinsic value
  • Should you exercise that option?
  • In most cases the answer is no
  • The reason is that the intrinsic value is the
    minimum price of the option and the option is
    likely selling for more than the minimum

17
Time Value
  • The difference, between the intrinsic value and
    price is the time value of the option
  • As the time to expiry approaches zero, the time
    value of the option approaches zero
  • Exercising an option before expiry yields only
    the intrinsic value, the time value of the option
    is lost

18
When to Exercise Early
  • The main reason to consider exercising an option
    early is if the option is on an asset that has
    periodic cash flows
  • If the option is on a bond that will pay a coupon
    tomorrow, and the coupon is larger than the
    remaining time value of the option, it would make
    sense to exercise the option to get that coupon

19
Futures Options
  • The right to enter into a futures contract at a
    pre-specified price
  • Call option the right to take a long position
  • Put option the right to take a short position
  • If exercised, the futures contract is written at
    the specified price, and immediately marked to
    market by the exchange

20
Exercise Example
  • Call option on futures contract at 85
  • Current futures price 90
  • On exercise writer agrees to sell for 85, call
    owner agrees to buy for 85
  • Immediately marked to market
  • writer pays the exchange 5
  • call owner gets 5 from the exchange

21
Margin Requirements
  • Buyer of option faces no chance of losing money
    beyond what was paid for the option so they post
    no margin
  • Writer of option must post a margin equal to the
    margin requirement of the underlying contract
    plus the option premium
  • Writer can be subject to margin calls

22
Why Futures Options
  • No Accrued interest payments
  • No concern about a delivery squeeze
  • you dont need to deliver a physical asset
  • there is no cost to enter a futures contract
  • Pricing of the option requires knowing the value
    of the underlying asset at all times, easy with
    futures contracts

23
Traded Futures Options
  • Active market for all futures contracts listed in
    the previous lecture
  • T-bond and T-note on CBOT
  • Eurodollar CD on IMM
  • All contracts are American
  • CBOT competing with OTC by introducing the
    flexible treasury futures options

24
Option Pricing
  • Six factors affect the price of an option
  • Current price on underlying (S)
  • Strike or exercise price (X)
  • Time to expiry (t)
  • Risk free rate (Rf)
  • Expected price volatility (s)
  • Coupon rate on bond higher coupon rates will
    make owning the bond better than the option

25
Black-Scholes
  • Most popular option pricing model

N(d1) means the area under the cumulative
standard normal distribution curve with respect
to d1.
26
Put Option Pricing
  • How much is a put option worth?
  • If we buy an asset and a put option on that asset
    and we sell a call option that has the same
    strike price (both European), how much will this
    portfolio be worth at the end of the time period?

27
Put-Call Parity
  • Whether the market value is above or below the
    strike price, the value of the portfolio will be
    the strike price of the options.
  • S P - C X /(1 Rf)
  • P X /(1 Rf) C - S
  • This is known as Put-Call Parity.

28
Problems with Bond Options
  • The maximum value of a bond is the undiscounted
    future cash flows
  • Black-Scholes can give a positive value to a call
    option with a strike price greater than the
    undiscounted future cash flows
  • Price volatility varies with time, interest rate
    volatility is more appropriate as an input

29
Arbitrage-Free Binomial Model
  • A popular model with dealer firms is the
    Black-Derman-Toy model
  • Uses the interest rate ladder method shown in
    lecture 9
  • Also assumes European options
  • Only the volatility component is not observable

30
Valuing Futures Options
  • Most popular model is Fischer Black
  • Similar concerns to Black-Scholes

31
Option Strategy
  • Most common hedge strategy is the protective put
    to guard against a large decrease in value
  • Covered call strategy attempts to enhance yield,
    but limits price appreciation
  • Which is best depends on the goals of the
    portfolio management

32
Interest Rate Swaps
  • Main idea is to trade fixed rate interest
    payments (receipts) for floating rate payments
    (receipts)
  • Swaps have counterparty risks since they are not
    traded on organized exchanges
  • May involve a securities firm or commercial bank
    as a broker or dealer

33
Swap Example
  • Company Z has a bond issue outstanding with a
    face 50 m and a coupon of 9
  • The firm would prefer a floating rate
  • The firm enters into a swap arrangement to pay
    LIBOR on 50 m, and in return receives 2.25 m
    every six months in return
  • Typically only the difference is paid

34
Interpreting a Swap
  • There are 2 ways of looking at a swap
  • A package of forward contracts
  • A package of cash market instruments
  • Buy a 9 fixed coupon 50m bond
  • Finance by borrowing 50m at LIBOR

35
Valuing a Swap
  • At inception, the swap contract will have a value
    of zero, the present value of the traded cash
    flows should be the same or one of the parties
    will not enter the contract
  • As interest rates change, the swap can increase
    or decrease in value

36
Beyond Plain Vanilla
  • Varying principal swaps the principal on which
    interest is calculated changes over time often
    for amortizing securities
  • Basis swaps exchanging floating rate payments
    based on different reference rates
  • Constant Maturity Swap one of the reference
    rates is the constant maturity treasury (CMT)
    rate published by the federal reserve

37
Beyond Plain Vanilla
  • Swaptions an option to enter into a swap
    contract at a point in the future
  • Forward start swap a swap contract were the
    start date of the swap is in the future

38
Interest Rate Agreements
  • Similar to a series of interest rate options or
    insurance policies
  • For an upfront payment, one party agrees to pay
    compensation for unfavourable interest rate
    movements, paid periodically over the life of the
    agreement
  • Also called caps or floors

39
Caps and Floors
  • Interest rate agreements include
  • The reference rate
  • The strike rate (cap or floor)
  • The length of the agreement
  • The frequency of settlement
  • The notional principal

40
Cap Example
  • A 9 cap is sold on LIBOR for a 5 year period
    with semi-annual settlement on a notional
    principal of 5 m
  • If in the next period LIBOR is 8.75, there is no
    payment since it is under the cap
  • If LIBOR is 9.25 half a year later, there is a
    payment of 6,250
  • (0.0925-0.09)/2 x 5,000,000

41
Valuing Caps and Floors
  • Done using the binomial interest rate lattice
    method in chapter 24
  • The value of each individual possible payment
    date (caplet or floorlet) is found independently
    and summed
  • The value at any node is either zero if the
    cap/floor has not been violated, or the amount of
    payment that is required

42
Collars
  • The simultaneous buying of a cap and selling a
    floor
  • Often offered to the floating rate payer by a
    swap dealer, the effect is to restrict the
    floating rate to a certain range
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