Title: European Option Pricing
1Chapter 5
- European Option Pricing
- ------
- Black-Scholes Formula
2Introduction
- In this chapter,
- we will describe the price movement of an
underlying asset by a continuous model ---
geometrical Brownian motion. - we will set up a mathematical model for the
option pricing (Black-Scholes PDE) and find the
pricing formula (Black-Scholes formula). - We will discuss how to manage risky assets using
the Black-Scholes formula and hedging technique.
3History
- In 1900, Louis Bachelier published his doctoral
thesis Thèorie de la Spèculation", - milestone
of the modern financial theory. In his thesis,
Bachelier made the first attempt to model the
stock price movement as a random walk. Option
pricing problem was also addressed in his thesis.
4History-
- In 1964, Paul Samuelson, a Nobel Economics Prize
winner, modified Bachelier's model, using return
instead of stock price in the original model. - Let be the stock price, then
is its return. The SDE proposed by P. Samuelson
is - This correction eliminates the unrealistic
negative value of stock price in the original
model.
5History--
- P. Samuelson studied the call option pricing
problem (C. Sprenkle (1965) and J. Baness (1964)
also studied it at the same time). The result is
given in the following. (V,etc as before)
6History---
- In 1973, Fischer Black and Myron Scholes gave
the following call - option pricing formula
- Comparing to Samuelsons one, are no
longer present. Instead, the risk-free interest r
enters the formula.
7History----
- The novelty of this formula is that it is
independent of the risk preference of individual
investors. It puts all investors in a
risk-neutral world where the expected return
equals the risk-free interest rate. The 1997
Nobel economics prize was awarded to M. Scholes
and R. Merton (F. Black had died) for this
brilliant formula and a series of contributions
to the option pricing theory based on this
formula.
8Basic Assumptions
- (a) The underlying asset price follows the
geometrical Brownian motion - µ expected return rate (constant)
- s- volatility (constant)
- - standard Brownian motion
9Basic Assumptions -
- (b) Risk-free interest rate r is a constant
- (c) Underlying asset pays no dividend
- (d) No transaction cost and no tax
- (e) The market is arbitrage-free
10A Problem
- Let VV(S,t) denote the option price. At maturity
(tT), - where K is the strike price.
- What is the option's value during its lifetime
(0lt tltT)?
11?-Hedging Technique
- Construct a portfolio
-
- (? denotes shares of the underlying asset),
choose ? such that ? is risk-free in (t,tdt).
12?-Hedging Technique -
- If portfolio ? starts at time t, and ? remains
unchanged in (t,tdt), then the requirement ? be
risk-free means the return of the portfolio at
tdt should be
13?-Hedging Technique --
- Since
- where the stochastic process satisfies
SDE, hence by Ito formula - So
14?-Hedging Technique ---
- Since the right hand side of the equation is
risk-free, the coefficient of the random term
on the left hand side must be zero. Therefore,
we choose -
15?-Hedging Technique ----Black-Scholes Equation
- Substituting it, we get the following PDE
-
- This is the Black-Scholes Equation that describes
the option price movement.
16Remark
- The line segment S0, 0lt tlt T is also a
boundary of the domain . However, since the
equation is degenerated at S0, according to the
PDE theory, there is no need to specify the
boundary value at S0.
17Black-Scholes Equation in Cauchy Form
18Well-posed Problem
- By the PDE theory, above Cauchy problem is
well-posed. Thus the original problem is also
well-posed.
19Remark
- The expected return µ of the asset, a parameter
in the underlying asset model , does not appear
in the Black-Scholes equation . Instead, the
risk-free interest rate r appears it. As we have
seen in the discrete model, by the ?---hedging
technique, the Black-Scholes equation puts the
investors in a risk-neutral world where pricing
is independent of the risk preference of
individual investors. Thus the option price
arrived at by solving the Black-Scholes equation
is a risk-neutral price.
20An Interesting Question
- 1) Starting from the discrete option price
obtained by the BTM, by interpolation, we can
define a function on the domain - S0lt Slt8,0lttltT
- 2) If there exists a function V(S,t), such that
- 3) if V(S,t) 2nd derivatives are continuous in
S, - What differential equation does V(S,t) satisfy?
21Answer of the Question
- V(S,t) satisfies the Black-Scholes equation in S.
i.e., if the option price from the BTM converges
to a sufficiently smooth limit function as ? 0,
then the limit function is a solution to the
Black-Scholes equation.
22Black-Scholes Formula (call)
23Black-Scholes Formula (put)
24Generalized Black-Scholes Model (I)
-----Dividend-Paying Options
- Modify the basic assumptions as follows
- (a)The underlying asset price movement satisfies
the stochastic differential equation -
- (b) Risk-free interest rate rr(t)
- (c) The underlying asset pays continuous
dividends at rate q(t) - (d) and (e) remain unchanged
25?-hedging
- Use the ?-hedging technique to set up a
continuous model of the option pricing, and find
valuation formulas. - Construct a portfolio
- Choose ?, so that ? is risk-neutral in t,tdt.
- the expected return is
-
26?-hedging -
- Taking into account the dividends, the
portfolio's value at is - Therefore, we have
-
27B-S Equation with Dividend
- Apply Ito formula, and choose
- we have
- Thus, B-S Equation with dividend is
28Solve B-S Equation with dividend
- Set
- choose aßto eliminate 0 1st terms
-
-
29Solve B-S Equation with dividend -
- Let aß be the solutions to the following initial
value problems of ODE -
- The solutions of the ODE are
-
30Solve B-S Equation with dividend --
- Thus under the transformation, and take
the
original problem is reduced to -
31Apply B-S Formula
32European Option Pricing (call, with dividend)
- Back to the original variables, we have
-
-
33European Option Pricing (put, with dividend)
34Theorem 5.1
- c(S,t) - price of a European call option
- p(S,t) - price of a European put option,
- with the same strike price K and expiration
date T. - Then the call---put parity is given by
-
- where rr(t) is the risk-free interest rate,
qq(t) is the dividend rate, and s s(t) is the
volatility.
35Proof of Theorem 5.1
- Consider the difference between a call and a put
- W(S,t)c(S,t)-p(S,t).
- At tT,
-
- W is the solution of the following problem
-
36Proof of Theorem 5.1-
- Let W be of the form Wa(t)S-b(t)K, then
- Choose a(t),b(t) such that
37Proof of Theorem 5.1--
- The solution is
- Then we get the call---put parity, the theorem is
proved.
38Predetermined Date Dividend
- If in place of the continuous dividend paying
assumption (c), we assume - (c) the underlying asset pays dividend Q on a
predetermined date tt_1 (0ltt_1ltT) - (if the asset is a stock, then Q is the dividend
per share). - After the dividend payday tt_1, there will be a
change in stock price - S(t_1-0)S(t_10)Q.
39Predetermined Date Dividend -
- However, the option price must be continuous at
tt_1 - V(S(t_1-0),t_1-0)V(S(t_10),t_10).
- Therefore, S and V must satisfy the boundary
condition at tt_1 - V(S,t_1-0)V(S-Q,t_10)
- In order to set up the option pricing model
(take call option as example), consider two
periods 0,t_1, t_1,T separately.
40Predetermined Date Dividend --
- In 0 Slt8, t_1 t T, VV(S,t) satisfies the
boundary-terminal value problem -
- Obtain VV(S,t) on t_1
41Predetermined Date Dividend ---
- in 0 Slt8,0 t t_1,VV(S,t) satisfies
- By solving above problems, we can determine the
premium V(S_0,0) to be paid at the initial date
t0 (S_0 is the stock price at that time).
42Remark1
- Note that there is a subtle difference between
the dividend-paying assumptions (c) and (c)
when we model the option price of dividend-paying
assets.
43Remark1-
- In the case of assumption (c), we used the
dividend rate qq(t), which is related to the
return of the stock. Thus in t_1,t_2, the
dividend payment alone will cause the stock price
By this model,
if the dividend is paid at tt_1 with the
intensity d_Q, - then at tt_1 the stock price
Thus we can derive from the corresponding option
pricing formula.
44Remark1--
- In the case of assumption (c), we used the
dividend Q, which is related to the stock price
itself. So at the payday tt_1, the stock price - Thus we have at tt_1 the boundary condition for
the option price. - We should be aware of this difference when
solving real problems.
45Remark 2
- For commodity options, the storage fee, which
depends on the amount of the commodity, should
also be taken into account. - Therefore, when applying the ?-hedging technique,
for the portfolio - where ?qdt denotes the storage fee for ? amount
of commodity and period dt.
46Remark 2-
- Similar to the derivation we did before, choose
such that ? is risk-free in
(t,tdt). Then we get the terminal-boundary
problem for the option price VV(S,t) - This equation does not have a closed form
solution in general. Numerical approach is
required.
47Remark 2--
- If the storage fee for ? items of commodity and
period dt is in the form of ?qSdt, proportional
to the current price of the commodity, then -
- And the option price is given by the
Black-Scholes formula.
48Generalized B-S Model (II) ------Binary Options
- There are two basic forms of binary option (take
stock option as example)
49Cash-or-nothing call
- Cash-or-nothing call (CONC)
- In Case tT stock price lt strike price, the
option 0 - In Case tT stock price gt strike price, the
holder gets 1 in cash.
50Asset-or nothing call
- Asset-or nothing call (AONC)
- In Case tT stock price lt strike price, the
option 0 - In Case tT stock price lt strike price, the
option pays the stock price.
51Modeling
- If the basic assumptions hold, then the binary
option can be modeled as -
52Relation of CONC,AONC VC
- Consider a vanilla call option, a CONC and a AONC
with the same strike price K and the same
expiration date T. Their prices are denoted by V,
V_C and V_A, respectively. On the expiration date
tT, these prices satisfy -
53Relation of CONC,AONC VC -
- And V(S,t), V_A(S,t) and V_C(S,T) each satisfies
the same Black-Scholes equation. In view of the
linearity of the terminal-boundary problem,
therefore in S0 Slt8,0 t T, - i.e throughout the option's lifetime, a vanilla
call is a combination of an AONC in long position
and K times of CONC in short position.
54Theorem 5.2
55Proof of Theorem 5.2
- Let V_A(S,t)Su(S,t). It is easy to verify that
u(S,t) satisfies - Define , then the above
equation can be written as
56Proof of Theorem 5.2 -
- In S, compare the terminal-boundary problem for
u(S,t), and the terminal-boundary problem for
V_C(S,t). If the constants r, q are replaced by q
and r, then u(S,t) and V_C(S,t) satisfy the same
terminal-boundary value problem. By the
uniqueness of the solution, we claim - Thus the Theorem is proved.
57Solve pricing of CONC AONC
- Once the CONC price V_C(S,tr,q) is found, the
AONC price V_A(S,tr,q) can be determined by
Theorem 5.2. - In order to solve the CONC problem, make
transformation
58Solve pricing of CONC AONC -
- Then the Ori Prob. is reduced to a Cauchy problem
- Analogous to the derivation of the Black-Scholes
formula, we have
59Solve pricing of CONC AONC--
- Back to the original variables (S,t), and by
Theorem 5.2, we have
60Generalized B-S Model (III) ------Compound Options
- A compound option is an option on another option.
There are many varieties of compound options.
Here we explain the simplest forms of compound
options. - A compound option gives its owner the right to
buy (sell) after a certain days (i.e. tT_1) at a
certain price K a call (put) option with the
expiration date tT_2 (T_2gtT_1) and the strike
price K. There are following forms of compound
options
61Compound Options
- 1. At tT_1 buy a call option on a call option
- 2. At tT_1 buy a call option on a put option
- 3. At tT_1 sell a put option on a call option
- 4. At tT_1 sell a put option on a put option
62Compound Options -
- Three risky assets are involved the underlying
asset (stock), the underlying option (stock
option) and the compound option. - First, in domain S_20 Slt8,0 t T_2, define
the underlying option price, which can be given
by the Black-Scholes formula, denoted as V(S,t).
63Compound Options --
- Then on S_10 Slt8,0 t T_1, set up a PDE
problem for the compound option V_co(S,t). For
this we again make use of the ?-hedging technique
to obtain the Black-Scholes equation for
V_co(S,t).
64Compound Options ---
- At tT_1, the corresponding terminal value is
-
-
- For the case when r,q,s are all constants, we can
obtain a pricing formula for this form of the
compound option. Take a call on a call at tT_1
as example.
65Compound Options ----
66Compound Options -----
- S is the root of the following equation
-
-
- and M(a,b?) is the bivariate normal
distribution function - M(a,b?)ProbXa,Yb,
- where X N(0,1), Y N(0,1) are standard normal
distribution, Cov(X,Y)?(-1lt\rholt1).
67Chooser Options (as you like it)
- Chooser option can be regarded as a special form
of compound option. The option holder is given
this right - at tT_1 he can choose to let the option be a
call option at strike price K_1, expiration date
T_2 or let the option be a put option at strike
price K_2, expiration date T_2,(T_2,T_2gtT_1gt0).
68Chooser Options -
- Here four risky assets are involved
- the underlying asset (stock),
- the underlying call option (stock option strike
price K_1, expiration date T_2), - the underlying put option (stock option strike
price K_2, expiration dateT_2) - the chooser option.
69Chooser Options --
- Denote
- both are solutions given by the Black-Scholes
formula. -
70Chooser Options ---
- In order to find the chooser option price
V_ch(S,t) onS_10 Slt8,0 t T_1, we need to
solve the following terminal-boundary value
problem -
71Chooser Options ----
- If the underlying call option V_C and put option
V_P have the same strike price K and expiration
date T_2, then by the call-put parity -
- thus
72Chooser Options -----
- Then by the superposition principle of the linear
equations, we have -
- where
-
-
73Numerical Methods (I) ------ Finite Difference
Method
- With the computation power we enjoy nowadays,
numerical methods are often preferred, although
for European option pricing closed-form solutions
do exist. Especially for complex option pricing
problems, such as compound options and chooser
options, numerical methods are particularly
advantageous.
74BTM vs Finite Difference Method
- The binomial tree method (BTM) is the most
commonly used numerical method in option pricing.
75Questions
- a. How to solve the Black-Scholes equation by
finite difference method (FDM)? - b. What is the relation between FDM and BTM?
- c. How to prove the convergence of BTM, which is
a stochastic algorithm, in the framework of the
numerical solutions of partial differential
equations?
76Introduction to Finite Difference Method
- Finite difference method is a discretization
approach to the boundary value problems for
partial differential equations by replacing the
derivatives with differences.
77Types of Approaches
- There are several approaches to set up finite
difference equations corresponding to the partial
differential equations. - Regarding the equation solving techniques, there
are two basic types - 1. the explicit finite difference scheme, whose
solving process is explicit and solution can be
obtained by direct computation - 2. the implicit finite difference scheme, whose
solution can only be obtained by solving a system
of algebraic equations.
78Definition 5.1
- Suppose is a finite difference
equation obtained from discretization of the PDE
Lu0. - If for any sufficiently smooth function ?(x,t)
there is -
- then the finite difference scheme
is said to be consistent with Lu0.
79Lax's Equivalence Theorem
- Given a properly posed initial-boundary value
problem and a finite difference scheme to it that
satisfies the consistency condition, then
stability is the necessary and sufficient
condition for convergence.
80Implicit Finite Difference Scheme vs Explicit One
- According to the numerical analysis theory of
PDE, for the IB problem, the implicit FDS is
unconditionally stable, whereas the explicit FDS
is stable if a2?t/?x2a1/2, and unstable if
agt1/2. This result indicates, although the
explicit FDS is relatively simple in algorithm,
but in order to obtain a reliable result, the
time interval must satisfy the condition
?t(1/2a2)?x2. In contrast, although the
implicit FDS requires solving a large system of
linear equations in each step, the scheme is
unconditionally stable, thus has no constraint on
time interval ?t. That means if the computation
accuracy is guaranteed, ?t can be large, and the
result is still reliable.
81Explicit FDS of the B-S Equation
- We have shown the Black-Scholes equation can be
reduced to a backward parabolic equation with
constant coefficients under the transformation
xln S
82Theorem 5.4
-
- then the FD scheme of B-S is stable.
83Numerical Methods (II) ------ BTM FDM
- BTM is essentially a stochastic algorithm.
However, if S is regarded as a variable, and
option price VV(S,t) is regarded as a function
of S,t, then BTM is an explicit discrete
algorithm for option pricing. If the higher
orders of ?t can be neglected, we will be able to
show that it is indeed a special form of the
explicit FDS of the Black-Scholes equation.
84Theorem 5.5
- If ud1, ignoring higher order terms
- of ?t, then for European option, pricing the BTM
and the explicit FDS of the Black-Scholes
equation - (?s2?t/(ln u)21) are equivalent.
85Theorem 5.6(Convergence of BTM for E- option)
- If
-
- then as ?t? 0, there must be
- where V_?(S,t) is the linear extrapolation of
V_mn.
86Properties of European Option Price
- European option price depends on 7 factors (take
stock option as example) S (stock price), K
(strike price), r (risk-free interest rate), q
(dividend rate), T (expiration date) , t (time),
s (volatility).
87Dependence on S
- That is, as S increases, call option price goes
up, and put option price goes down.
88Dependence on K
-
- For different strike prices, call option price
decreases with K, and put option price increases
with K.
89Dependence on S K Financially
- When the stock price goes up or the strike price
goes down, the call option holders are more
likely to gain more profits in the future, thus
the call option price goes up In contrast, the
put option holders have smaller chance to gain
profits in the future, thus the put option price
goes down.
90Dependence on r
- If the risk-free interest rate goes up, then the
call option price goes up, but the put option
price goes down.
91Dependence on r Financially
- The risk-free interest rate raise has two
effects for stock price, in a risk-neutral
world, the expected return E(dS/S)(r-q)dt will
go up For cash flow, the cash K received at the
future time (tT) would have a lower value
Ke-r(T-t) at the present time t. Therefore,
for put option holders, who will sell stocks for
cash at the maturity tT, thus the above two
effects result in a decrease of the put option
price. For call option holders, the effects are
just the opposite, and the option price will go
up.
92Dependence on q
- If the dividend rate increases, then the call
option price goes down, and the put option price
goes up.
93Dependence on q Financially
- The dividend rate directly affects the stock
price. In a risk-neutral world, as the dividend
rate increases, the expected return of the stock - E(dS/S)(r-q)dt decreases, thus the call
option price decreases, but the put option price
increases.
94Dependence on s
- when a stock has a high volatility s, its option
price (both call and put) goes up.
95Dependence on sFinancially
- An increase of the volatility s means an increase
of the stock price fluctuation, i.e., increased
investment risk. For the underlying asset itself
(the stock), since E(sdW_t)0, the risks (gain or
loss) are symmetric. But this is not true for an
individual option holder. - Example (call) The holder benefits from stock
price increases, but has only limited downside
risk in the event of stock price decreases,
because the holder's loss is at most the option's
premium. Therefore the stock price change has an
asymmetric impact on the call option value.
Therefore the call option price increases as the
volatility increases. Same reasoning can be
applied to the put option.
96Dependence on tT
97Dependence on tT Financially
- No matter how long the option's lifetime T is, a
European option has only one exercise. A long
expiration does not mean more gaining
opportunity. So, European options do not become
more valuable as time to expiration increases. - As for t, larger t, smaller T-t, means closer to
the exercise day. Therefore, for European options
we cannot predict whether the option price will
go down or go up as the exercise day comes
closer.
98Dependence on tT Financially-
- However, there is an exception. In the case q0,
- i.e. with the expiration day coming closer, the
call option on a non-dividend-paying stock will
go down.
99Table of European Option Price Changes
call put
S -
K -
r -
q -
s
T ? ?
t ? ?
100Risk Management?(Sigma)
-
- ? is the partial derivative of the option or its
portfolio price V with respect to the underlying
asset price S. The seller of the option or its
portfolio should buy ? shares of the underlying
asset to hedge the risk inherited in selling the
option or portfolio.
101Risk ManagementG(Gamma)
-
- Since ? is a function of S t, one must
constantly adjust ? to achieve the goal of the
hedging. In practice, this is not feasible
because of the transaction fee. Therefore in real
operation one must choose the frequency of ?
wisely. This is reflected in the magnitude of G.
A small G means ? changes slowly, and there is no
need to adjust in haste Conversely, if G is
large, then ? is sensitive to change in S, there
will be a risk if ? is not adjusted in time.
102Risk ManagementT(Theta)
- T is the rate of change in the option or
portfolio price over time. The Black-Scholes
equation gives the relation between ?, G and T
103Risk ManagementV (Vega)
-
- V is the partial derivative of the option or its
portfolio price with respect to the volatility of
the underlying asset. - The underlying asset volatility s is the least
known parameter in the Black-Scholes formula. It
is practically impossible to give a precise value
of s Instead, we consider the sensitivity of the
corresponding option price over s This is the
meaning of V
104Risk Management?(rho)
- ? is the partial derivative of the option or
portfolio price with respect to the risk-free
interest rate.
105How to Manage Risk?
- For European options, we have obtained the
expressions of these Greeks in the previous
section. Now we will explain how to use these
parameters (especially ? and G) in risk
management.
106A Specific Example
- Suppose a financial institution has sold a stock
option OTC, and faces a risk due to the option
price change. Therefore it wants to take a
hedging strategy to manage the risk. Ideally, a
hedging strategy should guarantee an approximate
balance of the expense and income, i.e., the
money spent on hedging approximately equals the
income from selling the option premiums.
107How does the hedging strategy work?
- At t0 the seller buys ?_0 shares of stock at S_0
per share, and borrows ?_0 S_0 from the bank. At
tt_1, to adjust the hedging share to ?_1 (S_1 is
the stock price at tt_1), the seller needs to
buy ?_1-?_0 shares at S_1 per share if ?_1gt?_0
and sell ?_0- ?_1 shares at S_1 per share if
?_1lt?_0 and borrow (save) the money needed
(gained) for (from) buying (selling) the stocks,
and at tt_1 pay the interest ?_0 S_0r?t to the
bank for the money borrowed at tt_0. In general,
at tt_n, the seller owns ?_n shares of stock,
and has paid hedging cost D_n
108How does the hedging strategy work? -
- On the option expiration day tT, the seller owns
?_N shares of stock, i.e. - if S_TgtK (i.e. the option is in the money), the
seller owns one share of stock, - if S_TltK (i.e. the option is out of the
money), the seller owns no share of stock. - If the option is in the money, the option holder
will exercise the contract to buy one share of
stock S from the seller with cash K - if the option is out of the money, the option
holder will certainly choose not to exercise the
contract.
109How does the hedging strategy work?--
- The above hedging strategy successfully hedges
the risk in selling the option. - In this deal the sellor's actual profit is
- profitV_0erT-D_T,
- where V_0 is the option premium. If there is
a transaction fee for each hedging strategy
adjustment, then the seller's profit is - profitV_0erT-D_T-S_i0N-1e_i,
- where e_i is the fee for the i-th adjustment.
110Remark
- In practical operation, hedging adjustment
interval ?t is not a constant, and depends - on . If G is large,
adjustment - is made more frequently If G is small,
adjustment can be made less frequently.
111Summary 1
- Introduced a continuous model for the underlying
asset price movement---the stochastic
differential equation. Based on this model,
using the ?-hedging technique and the Ito
formula, we derived the Black-Scholes equation
for the option price, by solving the terminal
value problem of the Black-Scholes equation, we
obtained a fair price for the European option,
independent of each individual investor's risk
preference---the Black-Scholes formula.
112Summary 2
- As derivatives of an underlying asset, a variety
of options can be set up in a various
terminal-boundary problem for the Black-Scholes
equation. To price these various options is to
solve the Black-Scholes equation under various
terminal-boundary conditions.
113Summary 3
- BTM is the most important discrete method of
option pricing. When neglecting the higher orders
of ?t, BTM is equivalent to an explicit finite
difference scheme of the Black-Scholes equation.
By the numerical solution theory of partial
differential equation, we have proved the
convergence of the BTM.
114Summary 4
- The option seller can manage the risk in selling
the option by taking a hedging strategy. Since
the amount of hedging shares ? ?(S,t) changes
constantly, the seller needs to adjust ? at
appropriate frequency according to the magnitude
of G(S,t), to achieve the goal of hedging.