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GRA 6820

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Title: The context of Strategy Author: Carl Br nn Created Date: 9/5/2000 1:40:21 PM Document presentation format: On-screen Show Company: I S, NLH – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: GRA 6820


1
GRA 6820The Social Psychology of Decision
Making(Harrison, Ch.8)
2
Overview of chapter 8
  • Individual versus group decision making
  • Conflict in decision making
  • Participation in decision making
  • Gender differences and similarities in decision
    making
  • Summary

3
Social Psychology
  • A working definition
  • study of the influence that people have upon
    the beliefs or behavior of others.
  • (Aronson, E. (1972). The Social Animal. San
    Francisco W.H. Freeman.)
  • Issues
  • Conformity
  • Mass communication, propaganda, persuasion
  • Self-justification
  • Predjudice
  • Attraction

4
Limits to team learning
5
(No Transcript)
6
Classification of collective decision theories
Theoretical Perspective Individual Preferences Information
Group Decision Theory Different Not considered
Team Theory Same Considered
n-Person Game Theory Different Considered
7
Nested hierarchy of team design problems
8
Why do groups fail...?(or, when 2 2 3)
  • Ineffective leadership skills
  • Lack of rigorous methods
  • Wrong group structure
  • Group member homogeneity

9
Factors affecting group judgment
  • Input variables
  • Conformity
  • Polarization

10
Input variables affecting group processes
  • Task norms.
  • Process norms.
  • Group size.
  • Group communication patterns.
  • Perceived member status.
  • Individual personality characteristics.
  • Group experience.

11
Conformity
  • Tendency for individual responses to conform more
    closely to those of the group after exposure to
    the groups opinion.
  • Factors affecting strength of the effect.
  • Response uncertainty.
  • Concern for self image.
  • To avoid possible censure.
  • Classic example - Groupthink.

12
Conformity and consensus
  • When consensus is the goal, there is additional
    stimulus to assent to the groups position even
    though one may personally disagree with it.
  • Groups decision rule.
  • Factors affecting weight given to individuals
    opinions...
  • Quality of resulting consensus...

13
Conformity (likhet, ensrettethet)
  • Definition
  • A change in a persons behavior or opinions as a
    result of real or imagined pressure from a person
    or a group of people.
  • Dilemma of being a social animal
  • Resultant tension between
  • Values associated with Individuality.
  • Values associated with Conformity.

The Establishment tends to like Conformists
better than Non-conformists.
14
Conformity
  • Variables that affect conformity behavior
  • Whether the majority opinion unanimous or not.
  • Kind of person the individual is (low in
    self-esteem, for example).
  • Who is in the reference group.
  • Group influence increases if
  • It is composed of experts.
  • The members are important to the individual.
  • The members are comparable to the individual

15
Group cohesivenessCauses and consequences
16
Conformity in extremis Groupthink
17
Groupthink in actionThe National Security
Council and the Bay of Pigs - 1961
  • NSC assumption
  • No one will know that the US is involved. CIA
    cover story will be believed.
  • Cuban AF is ineffective and can be destroyed by
    early attack using two B-26 bombers.
  • 1400-man force has high morale and will be a
    superb force.
  • Castros army is very weak. The brigade will be
    able to establish a beachhead.
  • Brigade landing will spark sabotage throughout
    Cuba and lead to Castros overthrow.
  • If the landing fails, the brigade can escape to
    the mountains and reinforce the guerillas.
  • Available counter-evidence
  • Stories appear in newspapers about CIA training
    people in Central America. TV also reports this.
  • B-26s were obsolete, required frequent
    maintenance, could not complete bombing runs.
    British intelligence reports that Cuban AF is
    very effective.
  • High initial morale due to CIA lies of US
    support. NSC members knew of a mutiny attempt in
    Guatemala morale was very low.
  • State Dept. knew the army was very efficient and
    could get to the beachhead rapidly (within 24
    hours the brigade was surrounded by 22,000 men).
  • CIA had no firm intelligence about any
    underground of any size in Cuba. A British paper
    had surveyed Cuba and found all-time high support
    for Castro only 4 months earlier.
  • No one was aware of guerilla forces in the
    mountains. Brigade was trained in brigade tactics
    not guerilla warfare. 120km of swamp and dense
    forest between the Bay and the mountains.

18
Prescriptions for overcoming Groupthink
  • Set high priority to voicing objections and
    concerns in the meeting.
  • Leader should not state preferences in problem
    diagnosis or solution alternatives.
  • Break into subgroups, working on the same
    problem, same goal.
  • Seek external council, outside the group, subject
    to confidentiality concerns.
  • Periodically bring in outside experts to
    challenge current thinking.
  • On a rotating basis, use a Devils Advocate to
    challenge current thinking, pick at weak points.
  • Construct alternate views, scenarios, goals,
    world views.
  • Institute a second chance meeting after a
    conclusion has been reached.

19
Polarization
  • Reported tendency for average group members
    responses to shift further in the direction of
    the groups initially dominant tendency after
    interaction and discussion.
  • Associated primarily with attitudes and
    preferences.
  • Processes leading to polarization...
  • Information effect.
  • Predominant influence of argument and facts.
  • Active espousal of a position.

20
Dysfunctional group behaviors
  • Anchoring Effect
  • Inequality of Participation
  • Causes...
  • Deference to seniors
  • Have less to offer
  • Less data
  • Wrong group structure

21
Self-justification (selvberettigelse)
  • Definition
  • Actions taken by people to justify or explain
    their behaviors to convince themselves (and
    others) that the selected action was logical and
    reasonable.
  • Basic process Cognitive Dissonance
  • A state of tension that occurs when an individual
    simultaneously holds two cognitions (ideas,
    attitudes, beliefs, opinions) that are
    psychologically inconsistent.
  • An unpleasant experience that people try to
    reduce.

22
Self justification an example Washington Post
News Service, November, 1971
23
Theory of cognitive dissonance
  • Man is not a rational animal.
  • Man as a rationalizing animal.
  • People are not motivated so much to be right
    rather, he/she is motivated to believe that he or
    she is right (wise, decent, good)

Its better to look good than to be good
Fernando Lamas
24
Aspects of dissonance
  • As a consequence of making a decision
  • Importance of irrevocability
  • Immoral behavior
  • Justification of effort
  • Dissonance theory predicts that if a person works
    hard to achieve a goal, that goal will be more
    attractive to him than for someone who achieves
    the same goal with little or no effort.
  • Justification of cruelty
  • Why do good people inflict pain on others?
  • And how do they deal with it?

25
Dissonance reduction and rational behavior
  • Dissonance reducing behavior
  • Negative consequences
  • Maladaptive, keeps us from learning important
    facts or finding real solutions
  • Positive consequences
  • Ego defensive behavior, maintains positive self
    image.
  • Results from the lab
  • People do not remember in rational-functional
    manner.
  • Remember plausible arguments for personal
    position
  • Remember implausible arguments in agreement with
    opposing position.
  • Selective Perception

26
Prejudice (fordom)
  • Definition
  • A hostile or negative attitude toward a
    distinguishable group based on generalizations
    derived from faulty or incomplete information.
  • Closely related to stereotyping.
  • An over-generalization attribution of identical
    characteristics to any person in a group,
    regardless of actual variation within the group
    members.
  • Done all the time, can have either positive or
    negative connotations.
  • Characteristics
  • Most stereotypes are not based on valid
    experiences.
  • Hearsay or images from the media are influential.
  • Oten the stereotypes are constructed from pure
    fantasy to justify prejudices and cruelties.

27
Causes of prejudice
  • Economic and political competition.
  • Given limited resources, the dominant group might
    try to exploit a minority group in order to gain
    a material advantage.
  • Prejudice tends to increase in difficult times.
  • Displaced aggression.
  • Scapegoating.
  • Focusing aggression on visible and relatively
    powerless groups that are disliked to begin with.
  • Examples?

28
Causes of prejudice (continued)
  • Personality needs.
  • Some research has shown that there are certain
    personality types that are predisposed to being
    prejudiced, not because of external factors.
  • Implications for management?
  • Conformity to existing social norms.
  • Pressure to conform can be very strong.
  • Examples?

29
Responses to social influence
  • Compliance (imøtekommelighet)
  • Mode of behavior of a person who is motivated to
    gain rewards or avoid punishment.
  • Lasts as long as reward/punishment exists.
  • Identification
  • Response brought about by individuals desire to
    be like the influencer.
  • Internalization
  • Most permanent, deeply rooted response to social
    influence reward for the belief is intrinsic.
  • The behavior becomes independent of the source
    and can be hard to change.

30
Coordinating mechanisms
  • Specific actions
  • Expected results
  • Informal focus on decision processes
  • Formal, intermittent focus on decision processes
  • Formal, continuous focus on decision processes

Rules, policies and procedures
Goal-setting and planning processes
Direct contact and committees
Task forces and temporary teams
Permanent teams and departments
31
Types of coordination
  • Cognitive coordination
  • The degree to which team members share compatible
    conceptual structures with respect to the factors
    that influence the outcomes of their decisions.
  • Semantic coordination
  • Refers to the adequacy and efficiency of the
    language used by team members to communicate
    information.
  • Epistemic coordination
  • Refers to the knowledge aspects of the team
    problem. The need to know and ability to
    know.

32
Group processes
  • Interacting group
  • Nominal group technique
  • Delphi group

33
Interacting group characteristics
  • Most common group structure.
  • Problem statement by the group leader.
  • Unstructured discussion.
  • Consequences for problem solving...

34
Interactive group Disadvantages
  • Lack of structure.
  • High variability in leaders and members.
  • Effort used to maintain socio-emotional
    relationships.
  • Generalization leads to low quality.
  • Reactive search behavior, short focus, task
    avoidance, tangential discussions.
  • Dominant individuals control the agenda.
  • Group norms emphasize conforming behavior.
  • Tendency to conclude without a sense of closure.

35
The Nominal Group technique
36
Nominal group Advantages
  • Consistency in decision making.
  • Balanced concern for socio-emotional and task
    instrumental roles.
  • Opportunity to think and write ideas increases
    tendency for focused ideas of higher quality.
  • Tolerance for off the wall ideas.
  • Structure forces equality of participation.
  • Higher sense of closure, greater feeling of
    satisfaction, greater willingness to work towards
    implementation.

37
The Delphi technique
38
The Delphi method Characteristics
  • Physically dispersed.
  • Systematic collection and combination of
    information.
  • Consensus achieved through feedback.

39
The Delphi method
Disadvantages
Advantages
  • Isolated generation of ideas.
  • Problem complexity addressed in the process.
  • Proactive search behavior.
  • Anonymity and isolation.
  • Lack of socio-emotional satisfaction.
  • Possible communication and interpretation
    problems.
  • Conflicting and incompatible ideas are resolved
    by pooling.
  • No face-to-face problem solving to resolve
    conflicts.

40
Dimensions for comparing group processes
  • Overall methodology
  • Role orientations
  • Relative quantity of ideas
  • Search behavior
  • Nominal behavior
  • Equality of participation
  • Problem solving methods
  • Closure decision process
  • Resources utilized
  • Time requirements

41
Overall methodology
42
Role orientation
43
Relative quantity of ideas
44
Search behavior
45
Normative behavior
46
Equality of participation
47
Method of problem solving
48
Decision process closure
49
Resource utilization
50
Holdout slides
51
Experimentation in social psychology
  • Challenges
  • Control versus Impact
  • Realism
  • Experimental realism experiment has an impact
    on the respondent and forces a serious approach
  • Mundane realism how similar the laboratory
    setup is to the outside world
  • Deception
  • Often needed to achieve experimental realism
  • Requires disguising the true purpose of the study

52
Experimentation in social psychology
  • Challenges (continued)
  • Ethical problems
  • Unethical to tell lies to people
  • Telling lies can lead to invasion of privacy
  • Experimental procedures can entail unpleasant
    experiences
  • Do the Ends justify the Means?
  • Post-experimental session
  • Used to un-do discomforts and deceptions
  • Turn the experiment into an educational
    experience for the respondent

53
Something to think about
  • Morality of finding out unpleasant things
  • What is the moral responsibility of the
    researcher for what is discovered?
  • Example
  • Use of Nazi medical data by researchers.
  • Potentially very useful, but
  • Social scientists are frequently confronted with
    value judgments like this in their work.
  • Again

Do the Ends justify the Means?
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