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UNECE

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... not be a better measure? The VACGME = ICP + GVA is a partial approach. Could this analysis also be integrated into a TiVA / WIOD type of framework? – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: UNECE


1
Introduction of four papers
  • US, Mexico Hong Kong and a contributed paper
    from Czech Republic
  • UNECE Group of Experts on National Accounts, 9
    May 2014, Item 7 Global Production
  • Mark de Haan

2
Three papers on global production
  • Data collection on factoryless goods producers
    and global productionUnited States Bureau of
    Economic Analysis
  • 2008 Global manufacturing production main
    results for MexicoNational Institute of
    Statistics, Geography and Informatics of Mexico
  • Compiling trade in goods and services statistics
    of Hong Kong using the change of ownership
    principleCensus and Statistics Department of
    Hong Kong

3
Contributed paper from Czech Republic
  • Quantification of property income of
    non-residents
  • Focus on 2008 SNA and BPM6 harmonization
  • Recording of dividends arising from the hidden
    economy obtained by residents and non-residents
  • Reinvested earnings on direct foreign investment.
  • Paper addresses challenges in ensuring conceptual
    compliance between national accounts and balance
    of payments exhaustiveness versus targeting.

4
1. US BEA paper
  • Main features
  • Key focus on feasibility of data collection of
    factoryless goods producers (FGPs)
  • Two surveys are extended with FGP related
    questions
  • 2009 Benchmark Survey of U.S. Direct Investment
    Abroad (BE-10)
  • 2011 Benchmark Survey of Transactions in Selected
    Services and Intellectual Property Products with
    Foreign Persons (BE-120)
  • Added questions concentrate on measuring Contract
    Manufacturing Services (CMS)

5
1. US BEA paper
  • (preliminary) Findings/conclusions
  • Number of CMS purchasing enterprises is
    significant (23), particularly in Manufacturing
    (39) and Wholesale trade (30).
  • State of data collection with respect to FGP
    activities will be further assessed
    (implementation foreseen in 2017)
  • Questions
  • Does the supplier under a FGP arrangement produce
    a CMS (relevance of ownership of inputs
    criterion)?
  • Will the CMS purchasing wholesalers be
    reclassified as manufacturers?

6
2. Mexico INEGI paper
  • Main features
  • Starting point 2008 revision of Mexican national
    accounts (implementation of 2008 SNA).
  • Main goal developing indicators measuring the
    size of global production (relative to total
    exports)
  • Perspective is that of the contract manufacturers
    (with the principals situated abroad).
  • Focus on criteria for identifying companies
    engaged in global production.

7
2. Mexico INEGI paper
  • (preliminary) Findings/conclusions
  • Value added content of global production equals
    37 of total manufacturing output.
  • Automotive industry is the most significant
    contributor to global production
  • Questions
  • Would a value added share relative to total value
    added (or GDP) not be a better measure?
  • The VACGME ICP GVA is a partial approach.
    Could this analysis also be integrated into a
    TiVA / WIOD type of framework?

8
3. Hong Kong CSD paper
  • Main features
  • Hong Kong is an exceptional case of a globalized
    economy
  • Merchandize trade value to GDP is 360 in 2013
  • Exports of goods without passing Hong Kong are
    higher than exports shipped from Hong Kong.
  • Processing arrangements, particularly with
    mainland China, have been in existence since the
    1990s.
  • Availability of refined statistics (e.g. OP,
    QSMTA surveys) separating various global
    production arrangements e.g. processing,
    merchanting, GFP
  • Processing and assembling (PA)
  • Processing with imported materials (PIM) FGP?

9
3. Hong Kong CSD paper
  • (preliminary) Findings/conclusions
  • Changing from 1993 to 2008 SNA
  • Upward adjustment of exports of goods (from 492
    to 509 US)
  • 2008 SNA definitions lead to steeper export
    growth path
  • Trade balance, goods versus services, shows a
    very different picture.
  • Questions
  • Does PIM refer to FGP arrangements as addressed
    in the Global Production Guide?
  • Could this paper be used for a country case study
    in the Global Production Guide?

10
  • Thank you!
  • mark.dehaan_at_cbs.nl
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