Title: Diapositive 1
1(No Transcript)
2KEY DEMOGRAPHICS
Asia Europe (25 countries) USA
3,800 million 455 million 291 million
42 million km² 4 million km² 9 million km²
US 4,969 US 23,600 US 36,300
1,720 million 220 million 142 million
per inhabitant
Sources Economist Intelligence Unit - Eurostat
3GDP GROWTH IN ASIA
China
Hong Kong
India
Indonesia
Japan
12
10
8
6
4
2
0
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
-2
Source Economist Intelligence Unit
4GDP GROWTH IN ASIA
Singapore
Vietnam
Philippines
Thailand
Taiwan
Malaysia
9.5
8
6.5
5
3.5
2
0.5
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
-1
-2.5
Source Economist Intelligence Unit
5CHINA 4 OF WORLD GDP
- Consumption
- 27 of worlds steel
- 7.5 of oil
- 34 of coal
- 40 of cement
- 2004 FDI totaled US 60.6 billion
- Disposable income per capita
- 1 135 urban residents
- 353 rural population
- Private economy
- 47 between 1989 and 2003
- generates ¼ more jobs than the state sector
6CHINA GROWTH ENGINE
- Middle Class
- 5 of total population in 2004
- 45 of total population in 2020
- 2004 25 million Chinese can now afford to travel
abroad - 2008 estimation 50 million
- Retail sales
- Growth of 13.3
- 450 million mobile phones
7INDIA THE NEXT CHINA ?
- Strong economic growth (outsourcing from the US
and Europe) - Engineers average salary 8,000 (Germany
40,000 ) - Intel US 40 million invested in Bangalore
2,400 employees - Inadequate infrastructure
- -gt Offices moving out of central Delhi and
Mumbai
8OFFICE MARKETS
- Office part of a mixed use development with
retail, hotels, . - Office markets less speculative
- than the residential market
- 2004 general rents firming
- -gt 30 in 2004 in Hong Kong
- 15 forecast in 2005
- Growing focus on second and
- third tier cities
- Premium office space in Asia 34 million m²
- gt 240 since 1996
9OFFICE MARKETS KEY FIGURES
Rent
Vacancy Rate
US /m²/year
25
700
20.0
600
20
16.5
500
14.5
15
400
8.0
300
10.7
10
7.8
8.0
7.5
200
3.5
5
100
0
0
Beijing
Seoul
Taipei
Tokyo
Mumbai
Shanghai
Hong Kong
Singapore
Ho Chi Minh
10OFFICE MARKETS KEY FIGURES
US / m²
Price
Yield
20,000
16
15.00
18 000
14
16 000
12
11.00
14 000
9.60
10
9.00
12 000
8.00
10 000
8
8 000
5.25
6.00
6
6 000
4.00
4
4 000
2
2 000
0
0
Beijing
Seoul
Tokyo
Mumbai
Shanghai
Singapore
Hong Kong
Ho Chi Minh
11OFFICE MARKET TRENDS
Hong Kong Tokyo
Shanghai Manila
Sunny
Taipei Jakarta Ho Chi Minh
Singapore Bangkok Kuala Lumpur Beijing Seoul
Chilly
12INVESTMENT TRENDS
- Transparency -gt launch of REITs in Singapore,
Japan, South Korea, Malaysia and China - Region attractiveness
- Direct Property investments
Morgan Stanley Beijing, Shanghai, Tianjin
GE Capital Japan
Macquerie ING Shanghai
Carlyle Planned Seoul, Beijing, Shanghai
13SIGNIFICANT TRANSACTION
Beijing Yintai Centre Surface 350,000
m² Date 1st Quarter 2005 Merrill Lynch
purchased a US 30 million stake Owner
Beijing Yintai Property
Under development Delivery June 2007 Total
investment US 480 million
14INVESTMENT TRENDS
- Indirect Property investments
- Early investors in Seoul now selling out
- But Mismatch between reality and expectations
ERGO Tru Asia (sister company of MEAG) Has taken a position in Shui On Properties (developer)
UBS and Hongtai Trust and Investment launch of a fund management joint venture
15SIGNIFICANT TRANSACTION
Star Tower Location Seoul, South
Korea Surface 210,000 m² Date 4th Quarter
2004 Price US 816 825 million Seller
Lone Star Fund III Purchaser GIC Real Estate
Pte Ltd Yield 8-9
16ASIE HIGHLIGHTS
- Regional consumption 5.3 en 2004
- Tourism strong driver for development
- South Korea real estate sector attracting
overseas investors
17ASIE CHALLENGES
- Level of Education
- Rising disposable incomes
- Growth in consumption
- Sustainability
- Global city/regional planning
- Regeneration or new towns?
- Conservation of heritage assets