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Exchange and Study

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Title: Exchange and Study


1
Exchange and Study
Economic Valuation of Water Resources
  • ???????????
  • China Institute of Water Resources Hydropower
    Research (IWHR)
  • 2006 . 11. 17

2
Outline????
  • Theory Method????
  • Application????

3
?????????Ways to water valuation
  • ???????????????(??/??)??????????
  • ???????????????????????????????????????????(????)?
    ????
  • ????????????,?????????????????????????????????????
    ?????????????????

4
????????(??)
  • ??????????,????????????????
  • 1?????????????(????)
  • ???????????,????,????????,?????
  • 2????????????????(????)
  • ??????,???????????????,??????????????????,?????
    ???????????????????,??????????????????????????????
    ??????????????????????,??????????????????
  • 3????????????????(??????-????)
  • ?????????,????????????????????????????????????
    ??????????
  • 4????????????????(????)
  • ????????????????,????????????????????????,????,???
    ???,?????????

5
??????????
?? ??????? market valuation for physical effects ????????? revealed preference approach ????? Stated Preference Act
? ? ? ? ????? dose- response technique ????? ?????Changes in productivity or effect on production approach ?????cost of illness approach ,human capital approach ?????opportunity cost ?????replacement cost approach ???????(??????,??????????) ?????/??????? ?????travel cost approach ?????preventive expenditure approach ??????? contingent valuation
6
??????????????
???? ??????
??? ????????? ????? ????? ?????
???? ????? ????? ????? ?????????
??? ????? ??????? ?????????
???? ?????????
7
1. Theory Method????
  • 1.1 Duality theory of linear programming
  • ?????????
  • 1.2 Opportunity cost ?????
  • 1.3 Alternative cost ?????
  • 1.4 Cost decomposition ?????
  • 1.5 Equilibrium market price ???????
  • ??????????????????

8
1. Theory Method????
  • Economic value of water resources refers to
    incremental benefit, measured with currency,
    brought by unit natural water (raw water without
    processing as for commodity) to economic and
    social users.
  • ??????? ??????????????????????????????
  • Real value of water resources can not be directly
    observed from the market.
  • There are several methods to evaluate the value
    of water resources

9
1.1 Duality theory of linear programming?????????
  • The price is calculated aiming at maximum
    economic benefit. The shadow price calculated
    reflects consumption of social labour, extent of
    shortage of resources and price of resources.
  • ??????????,??????????????????,????????????????????
    ???????????????????

10
1.1 Duality theory of linear programming?????????
  • The shortcoming difficulty in obtaining all the
    data to derive parameters of the model, the price
    may not represent real value of water resources
    themselves and the shadow price derived by the
    model is static
  • ???????????????????????????,?????????????????????
    ??,????????????????

11
1.2 Opportunity cost?????
  • Opportunity cost of resources occupied, expressed
    as maximum marginal benefit obtained from unit
    resources by giving up other opportunities of
    gains.
  • Theory of land rent is considered as methodology
    of opportunity cost for calculating shadow price
    of water resources. This approach has advantage
    of straightforwardness and easy access to data,
    but disadvantage of poor representativeness.
  • ?????
  • ??????????????????????,????????????????????????
    ????
  • ???????????????????????
  • ??????,?????,?????????

12
Combination of the rent theory and production
price method
?????????????(???,1995)
  • P t annual water price,t1,2,3.n
  • iThe average interest rate
  • R0Basic rent
  • athe coefficient representing abundance and the
    condition of natural resources use, Differential
    rent
  • CFixed capital valueVVariable costmAverage
    profit
  • QdWater demand QsWater supply
  • EdElasticity of water demandEsElasticity of
    water supply?
  • The principle, the complete production cost
    cost profit land rent
  • practical application, the parameter is
    difficult to decide.
  • The rent to reflect natural value of resource,
    the production price reflects the production
    inputs, the elasticity of supply and demand
    reflects the degree of water scarcity.

13
1.3 Alternative cost?????
  • Data which reflect cost or function of
    reproduction of water resources are applied to
    substitute the shadow price of water resources
    approximately.
  • recovery cost (reproduction cost or
    re-procurement cost, cost of wastewater treatment
    or dam construction, for example)
  • loss due to water shortage (damage function).
    This approach has advantage of straightforwardness
    and easy access to data but disadvantage of
    possible distortion from real shadow price of
    water resources.
  • ?????
  • ??????????????????????????????????????
  • ?????(?????,?????,???????????????????????),?????(?
    ????)?
  • ??????,?????,??????????????????????

14
1.4 Cost decomposition?????
  • Based on the assumption of an equilibrium market,
    unit production cost and average profit of
    commodity water are deducted from market price of
    the commodity water by applying method of inverse
    calculation, that is, residual method.
    Reliability of the result of this approach
    depends on rationality of the market price.
  • ?????
  • ??????????,????????????????????????????,????(??)??
  • ???????,?????????????

15
1.4 Cost decomposition?????
??
16
1.4 Cost decomposition?????
  • Assume Factors are owned by different investors
  • (?????????????????)
  • Input of factors Xi Every production factor is
    converted into money value in a consistent way
    according to purchaser price (i.e., determined by
    the production processes of the factor in the
    last time interval), i1,2,,n?
  • ????????????(?????????????????????)?????????,?
    Xi ??,i1,2,,n?

17
1.4 Cost decomposition?????
  • The net return B TS
  • ???B TS ,???? ?
  • The total output Y ,as the result of
    sales price (it is not same time as input)
    multiplied by the quantity of product.
  • ???????(??????????)??????????

18
1.4 Cost decomposition????? Equation????
  • The equation of reasonable calculation
  • the total economic value of water TVW

  • (???????)


  • k-water(???)
  • the net return rate of costs- r(????)
  • r-total of water used(???)


19
1.5 Equilibrium market price???????
  • Developing equations of commodity and resource
    demands and commodity and resource supplies,
    relative prices of commodities and
    productions/consumptions of sectors in the study
    area are simulated under the condition of
    equilibrium economy.
  • ???????
  • ??????????,?????????????????????,?????????????????
    ?????????
  • ????????????,??????????????????????,??????????????
    ,?????????,???????

20
2. Application????
  • In China, approaches used commonly
  • alternative source,
  • loss caused by industrial water shortage,
  • loss caused agricultural water shortage,
  • identical return rate,
  • benefit-sharing coefficient ,
  • shadow price.
  • ????????????????
  • ???????,???????,???????,??????,?????,??????
  • (????????????,1996?)
  • Of all the approaches, benefit-sharing
    coefficient has been extensively applied
  • In late 1980s, this approach was applied for
    benefit calculations of urban water supplies and
    irrigation

21
Approach of Benefit-sharing Coefficient
???????
  • Principle profit-sharing of stock. The benefit
    of industrial production is shared by each of
    production factor according to its proportion of
    input based on the principle of Who gets return
    if he inputs. ??????,???????????????????????
    ?????????
  • Assumption (????)
  • (1)All the input factors are reflected in the
    form of currency in the total input in the
    production process.
  • ??????????????????????????????
  • (2)Input to water supply project is assessed
    according to shadow price of the input factors.
    ??????????????????
  • (3)The water supply project is the optimal
    alternative.??????????????????

22
Approach of Benefit-sharing Coefficient
???????
  • Foundationshould reflect effect and contribution
    of whole water source to user?
  • ????????????????
  • Ways(??)
  • ? proportion of investment, ? proportion of
    fixed assets, ? proportion of cost, ?
    proportion of fund occupied (including fixed fund
    floating fund) or
    ? proportion of discounted annual cost.
  • ?????? ???????? ??????,?????(???????????)???,??
    ????(????????????)????
  • The methods of proportion investment and
    proportion of fixed assets are commonly used
    because of easy access to data and simple
    calculation.
  • ??????,????? ???(?????????????)?

23
Approach of Benefit-sharing Coefficient
???????
  • Equation(????)
  • ???????????????????????????????????
  • e original fixed assets value of water project
    / (original fixed assets value of water project
    original fixed assets value of production sector)

24
??????
  • ?????
  • ??????(?????)??,?????????????????????
  • ???????????????????????????????????(??)
  • ?????
  • ?????????(????)
  • ?????????,????(????????????????? )

25
? ?!
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