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Short Selling

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A margin call will be issued when: when P = $55.20 or higher * CFALA/USC CFA Review Level 1, SS-13 CFALA/USC CFA Review Level 1, SS-13 ... – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: Short Selling


1
Short Selling
  • Objective Youre bearish on a stock --- you
    think its price will be lower in the future. You
    want to Sell high now, and in the future Buy at a
    lower price. (The opposite of buy now and sell
    later.)
  • Short selling is set up to let people do this.
  • How it works
  • You borrow shares from another investor (i.e.,
    someone who owns the shares) through broker, and
    your broker sells them for you.
  • Later you have your broker buy shares and these
    shares are used to repay the investor who lent
    you shares (i.e., your stock loan is repaid).
  • If price drops, profit if price increases, loss.
  • Short sellers have to reimburse the lender for
    any dividends.
  • Short seller has to deposit margin / collateral.

2
Short selling Problem 1
  1. If the price keeps going up your losses
    areunlimited.

3-2
3
Types of Orders
  • Market orders
  • Immediate execution of the order.
  • Filled at best available price.
  • Limit orders
  • Only filled if marketable. i.e., if limit
    price (or better) can be achieved.
  • Order may not get filled.
  • To buy Buy only at that price or lower.
  • To sell Sell only at that price or higher.

4
Types of Orders
  • Special orders
  • Stop loss (sell if drops to specific price
    youre long and wrong)
  • E.G. You own stock trading at 40. You could
    place a stop loss at 38. The stop loss would
    become a market order to sell if the price of the
    stock hits 38.
  • Stop buy (buy if price increases to specific
    price youre short and wrong)
  • E.G. You shorted stock trading at 40. You
    could place a stop buy at 42. The stop buy
    would become a market order to buy if the price
    of the stock hits 42.

5
Short selling Problem 1
  1. The stop-buy order at 128 limits your max loss
    to about 8 per share.

3-5
6
Short selling Problem 2
(Round Trip)
3-6
7
Buying on Margin
  • Margin transactions Borrow part of the money to
    pay for the stock.
  • Brokers lend the money and hold the stock as
    collateral. They charge an interest rate called
    the call money rate (about 1 less than prime).
  • Equity is the stock value less the money borrowed
    from the broker.
  • Margin (initial) requirement is the minimum
    equity percentage required and determines how
    much can be borrowed from the broker. Set by the
    Federal Reserve Broker. Current margin
    requirement is 50.
  • Maintenance Margin is a required which is less
    than the initial margin. If the equity falls
    below the maintenance margin, a margin call is
    made and additional funds must be deposited to
    meet the Maintenance Margin. If not, broker can
    close the position/sell stock.
  • Trading on margin increases risk. (see our
    example problems)

8
Margin Trade Example
  • You buy 200 shares _at_ 50/share 10,000.
  • Interest on loan 6
  • Commission 50 on the buy and 50 on the sell.
  • Initial margin 50. So you have to come up
    with 50 of the 10,000 purchase (50)(10,000)
    5,000.
  • You borrow the rest of the purchase price from
    the broker
  • Loan 10,000 - 5,000 5,000.
  • Initial Investment 5,000 50 5,050 (dont
    forget commission).
  • Assume 1 year later
  • Stock price increases 20 to 60/share (so youll
    sell for 12,000).
  • Interest 6 5,000 300
  • Profit 12,000 10,000 300 (250)
    1,600
  • Profit 1,600 / 5,050 31.7

interest
commissions
sale
purchase
9
Suppose we had been asked to ignore commissions
or interest?
9
  • You buy 200 shares _at_ 50/share 10,000.
  • Initial margin 50. So you have to come up
    with 50 of the 10,000 purchase (50)(10,000)
    5,000.
  • You borrow the rest of the purchase price from
    the broker
  • Loan 10,000 - 5,000 5,000.
  • Initial Investment 5,000 (we are ignoring the
    commission here).
  • Assume 1 year later
  • Stock price increases 20 to 60/share (so youll
    sell for 12,000).
  • Profit 12,000 10,000 2,000
  • Profit 2,000 / 5,000 40
  • Trading on margin increases risk. Borrowing 50
    of the stocks purchase amount means your
    leverage is 2. Trading on margin doubled your
    investment risk versus the change in stock price.

sale
purchase
10
What if the stock price had fallen 20?
10
  • You buy 200 shares _at_ 50/share 10,000.
  • Interest on loan 6
  • Commission 50 on the buy and 50 on the sell.
  • Initial margin 50. So you have to come up
    with 50 of the 10,000 purchase (50)(10,000)
    5,000.
  • You borrow the rest of the purchase price from
    the broker
  • Loan 10,000 - 5,000 5,000.
  • Initial Investment 5,000 50 5,050 (dont
    forget commission).
  • Assume 1 year later
  • Stock price decreases 20 to 40/share (so youll
    sell for 8,000).
  • Interest 6 5,000 300
  • Profit 8,000 10,000 300 (250) -
    2,400 (i.e., a loss)
  • Profit - 2,400 / 5,050 ? 47.5 (i.e., a
    loss)

interest
commissions
sale
purchase
11
Margin Trade Example (continued)
11
  • Here is a shortcut you can use is you are asked
    to ignore commissions and interest on the loan
  • Calculate stock prices change as a increase or
    decrease of initial price. Equals (Sales
    Price/Purchase Price) 1. Convert to .
  • Calculate leverage, which equals (100) /
    (Initial Margin ).
  • Multiply stock prices change by leverage.
    Thats your profit or loss.
  • For gain example
  • Stock prices change (60/50)-1 20.
  • Leverage (100) / (Initial Margin )
    (100)/(50) 2.
  • Profit (20)( 2 ) 40. (Compare why
    40 vs. 31.7?)
  • For loss example (40/50)-1 - 20. Leverage
    2. Profit - 40.
  • Trading on margin increases risk. Here your
    leverage was 2. Trading on margin doubled your
    investment risk versus the change in stock price.

12
Margin Call Example
12
An investor buys 500 shares of ABC stock at the
market price of 70 on full margin. The initial
margin requirement is 45 and the maintenance
margin is 25. The commission is 10 each on the
purchase and sale. Interest is 5 per year. At
what stock price would the investor receive a
margin call?
  • You will receive a margin call when your equity
    position is worth less than 25 (i.e., the
    maintenance margin) of the stocks value.
  • Calculate stock price (P) when your equity
    exactly equals 25 of stock value.
  • Your equity is worth the value of the stock less
    the amount of your loan.
  • The amount of your loan (1 - .45) ( 500 )
    (70) 19,250.
  • If the stocks price is P, then your stocks
    value (500)(P).
  • Your equitys value (500)(P) - 19,250.
  • We need to know the value of P that solves the
    equation
  • Equitys value (500)(P) - 19,250 0.25
  • Stocks value (500)(P)

Initial margin
shares
purchase price
Maintenance margin
CFALA/USC CFA Review Level 1, SS-13
13
Margin Call Example (continued)
13
An investor buys 500 shares of ABC stock at the
market price of 70 on full margin. The initial
margin requirement is 45 and the maintenance
margin is 25. The commission is 10 each on the
purchase and sale. Interest is 5 per year. At
what stock price would the investor receive a
margin call?
  • Solve for P
  • (500)(P) - 19,250 0.25
  • (500)(P)
  • Multiply both sides of the equation by (500)(P)
    gives us
  • (500)(P) - 19,250 (0.25) (500)(P)
  • (500)(P) - 19,250 (125) (P)
  • (500 125) (P)
    19,250
  • P
    19,250 / (500 125) 51.33/share
  • If your stocks price falls below 51.33/shares,
    you will receive a margin call. Youll have to
    deposit enough to bring your equity back up to
    25.

Maintenance margin
CFALA/USC CFA Review Level 1, SS-13
14
Margin Call Example (continued)
14
An investor buys 500 shares of ABC stock at the
market price of 70 on full margin. The initial
margin requirement is 45 and the maintenance
margin is 25. The commission is 10 each on the
purchase and sale. Interest is 5 per year. At
what stock price would the investor receive a
margin call?
  • Here is a shortcut formula if you can remember
    it
  • Margin call price Loan amount per share divided
    by one minus margin maintenance requirement
    (MMR). So if Loan is in and N is the number of
    shares
  • P (Loan / N) / (1-MMR)
  • (19,250/500) / (1 - .25)
  • (38.50) / (.75)
  • 51.33.
  • The solutions in the book write (Loan/N) as
    (original price) x (1 initial margin). Your
    initial margin was 45, so you borrowed the rest
    (55) of each shares purchase. So for each
    share you bought, you borrowed (70)(.55)
    38.50. You receive a margin call if your equity
    is less than 25 of the stocks value. So the
    loan cant be more than 75 of the stocks value.
    In other words, (75)(P) cant be more than
    38.50.

CFALA/USC CFA Review Level 1, SS-13
15
Short selling Problem 3
  • You sell short 100 shares of stock priced at 60
    per share.
  • The proceeds of 6000 must be pledged to broker.
  • You must also pledge 50 margin.
  • You put up 3000. Now you have 9000 invested in
    margin account.
  • Short Sale Equity Total Margin Account - Market
    Value

3-15
16
Short selling Problem 3
  • Suppose the maintenance margin for short sale of
    a stock with price gt 16.75 is 30 of market
    value or
  • So you have 1200 in excess margin. (This may be
    withdrawn at your pleasure but assume that it is
    not.)
  • At what stock price do you get a margin call?

30 x 6,000 1,800
3-16
17
Short selling Problem 3
When Equity ? (0.30 Market Value) Equity
Market Value 9,000 / (1 0.30)
6,923 Price at which get a margin call6,923
/ 100 shares 69.23
Total Margin Account Market Value
When Market Value Total Margin Account / (1
MMR)
3-17
18
Short selling Problem 3

If this occurs Equity Equity as
market value You get a margin call and you
may have to restore the 50 initial margin. If
so you must deposit an additional (6,923 / 2) -
2,077 1,384.5
9,000 - 6,923 2,077
2,077 / 6,923 30
3-18
19
Short selling Problem 4
  • You are bearish on Telecom and decide to sell
    short 100 shares at the current market price of
    50 per share.
  • How much in cash or securities must you put into
    your brokerage account if the brokers initial
    margin requirement is 50 of the value of the
    short position?
  • How high can the price of a stock go before you
    get a margin call if the maintenance margin is
    30 of the value of the short position?

20
Short selling Problem 5
  • Suppose that you short sell 500 shares of Intel,
    currently selling for 40 per share, and give
    your broker 15,000 to establish your margin
    account.
  • If you earn no interest in the funds in your
    margin account, what will be your rate of return
    after 1 year if Intel stock is selling at (i) 44
    (ii) 40 (iii) 36? Assume that Intel pays no
    dividends.
  • If the maintenance margin is 25, how high can
    Intels price rise before you get a margin call?
  • Redo parts (a) and (b), but now assume that Intel
    has paid a year-end dividend of 1 per share.
    Assume that the prices in part (a) are
    ex-dividend, that is, prices after dividends have
    been paid.

21
Short selling Problem 5
  • Suppose that you short sell 500 shares of Intel,
    currently selling for 40 per share, and give
    your broker 15,000 to establish your margin
    account.
  • If you earn no interest in the funds in your
    margin account, what will be your rate of return
    after 1 year if Intel stock is selling at (i) 44
    (ii) 40 (iii) 36? Assume that Intel pays no
    dividends.
  • The gain or loss on the short position is (500
    X change in price)
  • Invested funds 15,000
  • Therefore rate of return (500 x change in
    price)/15,000
  • The rate of return in each of the three scenarios
    is
  • rate of return (500 x 4)/15,000 0.1333
    13.33
  • rate of return (500 x 0)/15,000 0
  • rate of return 500 x (4)/15,000 0.1333
    13.33

22
Short selling Problem 5
  • Suppose that you short sell 500 shares of Intel,
    currently selling for 40 per share, and give
    your broker 15,000 to establish your margin
    account.
  • If the maintenance margin is 25, how high can
    Intels price rise before you get a margin call?
  • Total assets in the margin account are 20,000
    (from the sale of the stock) 15,000 (the
    initial margin) 35,000. Liabilities are 500P.
    A margin call will be issued when
  • when P 56 or higher 

23
Short selling Problem 5
  • Suppose that you short sell 500 shares of Intel,
    currently selling for 40 per share, and give
    your broker 15,000 to establish your margin
    account.
  • Redo parts (a) and (b), but now assume that Intel
    has paid a year-end dividend of 1 per share.
    Assume that the prices in part (a) are
    ex-dividend, that is, prices after dividends have
    been paid.
  • With a 1 dividend, the short position must now
    pay on the borrowed shares (1/share x 500
    shares) 500. Rate of return is now (500 x
    change in price) 500/15,000
  • rate of return (500 ? 4) 500/15,000
    0.1667 16.67
  • rate of return (500 ? 0) 500/15,000
    0.0333 3.33
  • rate of return (500) ? (4) 500/15,000
    0.1000 10.00
  •  
  • Total assets are 35,000, and liabilities are
    (500P 500). A margin call will be issued when
  • when P 55.20 or higher
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