Title: Short Selling
1Short Selling
- Objective Youre bearish on a stock --- you
think its price will be lower in the future. You
want to Sell high now, and in the future Buy at a
lower price. (The opposite of buy now and sell
later.) - Short selling is set up to let people do this.
- How it works
- You borrow shares from another investor (i.e.,
someone who owns the shares) through broker, and
your broker sells them for you. - Later you have your broker buy shares and these
shares are used to repay the investor who lent
you shares (i.e., your stock loan is repaid). - If price drops, profit if price increases, loss.
- Short sellers have to reimburse the lender for
any dividends. - Short seller has to deposit margin / collateral.
2Short selling Problem 1
- If the price keeps going up your losses
areunlimited.
3-2
3Types of Orders
- Market orders
- Immediate execution of the order.
- Filled at best available price.
- Limit orders
- Only filled if marketable. i.e., if limit
price (or better) can be achieved. - Order may not get filled.
- To buy Buy only at that price or lower.
- To sell Sell only at that price or higher.
4Types of Orders
- Special orders
- Stop loss (sell if drops to specific price
youre long and wrong) - E.G. You own stock trading at 40. You could
place a stop loss at 38. The stop loss would
become a market order to sell if the price of the
stock hits 38. - Stop buy (buy if price increases to specific
price youre short and wrong) - E.G. You shorted stock trading at 40. You
could place a stop buy at 42. The stop buy
would become a market order to buy if the price
of the stock hits 42.
5Short selling Problem 1
- The stop-buy order at 128 limits your max loss
to about 8 per share.
3-5
6Short selling Problem 2
(Round Trip)
3-6
7Buying on Margin
- Margin transactions Borrow part of the money to
pay for the stock. - Brokers lend the money and hold the stock as
collateral. They charge an interest rate called
the call money rate (about 1 less than prime). - Equity is the stock value less the money borrowed
from the broker. - Margin (initial) requirement is the minimum
equity percentage required and determines how
much can be borrowed from the broker. Set by the
Federal Reserve Broker. Current margin
requirement is 50. - Maintenance Margin is a required which is less
than the initial margin. If the equity falls
below the maintenance margin, a margin call is
made and additional funds must be deposited to
meet the Maintenance Margin. If not, broker can
close the position/sell stock. - Trading on margin increases risk. (see our
example problems)
8Margin Trade Example
- You buy 200 shares _at_ 50/share 10,000.
- Interest on loan 6
- Commission 50 on the buy and 50 on the sell.
- Initial margin 50. So you have to come up
with 50 of the 10,000 purchase (50)(10,000)
5,000. - You borrow the rest of the purchase price from
the broker - Loan 10,000 - 5,000 5,000.
- Initial Investment 5,000 50 5,050 (dont
forget commission). - Assume 1 year later
- Stock price increases 20 to 60/share (so youll
sell for 12,000). - Interest 6 5,000 300
- Profit 12,000 10,000 300 (250)
1,600 - Profit 1,600 / 5,050 31.7
interest
commissions
sale
purchase
9Suppose we had been asked to ignore commissions
or interest?
9
- You buy 200 shares _at_ 50/share 10,000.
- Initial margin 50. So you have to come up
with 50 of the 10,000 purchase (50)(10,000)
5,000. - You borrow the rest of the purchase price from
the broker - Loan 10,000 - 5,000 5,000.
- Initial Investment 5,000 (we are ignoring the
commission here). - Assume 1 year later
- Stock price increases 20 to 60/share (so youll
sell for 12,000). - Profit 12,000 10,000 2,000
- Profit 2,000 / 5,000 40
- Trading on margin increases risk. Borrowing 50
of the stocks purchase amount means your
leverage is 2. Trading on margin doubled your
investment risk versus the change in stock price.
sale
purchase
10What if the stock price had fallen 20?
10
- You buy 200 shares _at_ 50/share 10,000.
- Interest on loan 6
- Commission 50 on the buy and 50 on the sell.
- Initial margin 50. So you have to come up
with 50 of the 10,000 purchase (50)(10,000)
5,000. - You borrow the rest of the purchase price from
the broker - Loan 10,000 - 5,000 5,000.
- Initial Investment 5,000 50 5,050 (dont
forget commission). - Assume 1 year later
- Stock price decreases 20 to 40/share (so youll
sell for 8,000). - Interest 6 5,000 300
- Profit 8,000 10,000 300 (250) -
2,400 (i.e., a loss) - Profit - 2,400 / 5,050 ? 47.5 (i.e., a
loss)
interest
commissions
sale
purchase
11Margin Trade Example (continued)
11
- Here is a shortcut you can use is you are asked
to ignore commissions and interest on the loan - Calculate stock prices change as a increase or
decrease of initial price. Equals (Sales
Price/Purchase Price) 1. Convert to . - Calculate leverage, which equals (100) /
(Initial Margin ). - Multiply stock prices change by leverage.
Thats your profit or loss. - For gain example
- Stock prices change (60/50)-1 20.
- Leverage (100) / (Initial Margin )
(100)/(50) 2. - Profit (20)( 2 ) 40. (Compare why
40 vs. 31.7?) - For loss example (40/50)-1 - 20. Leverage
2. Profit - 40. - Trading on margin increases risk. Here your
leverage was 2. Trading on margin doubled your
investment risk versus the change in stock price.
12Margin Call Example
12
An investor buys 500 shares of ABC stock at the
market price of 70 on full margin. The initial
margin requirement is 45 and the maintenance
margin is 25. The commission is 10 each on the
purchase and sale. Interest is 5 per year. At
what stock price would the investor receive a
margin call?
- You will receive a margin call when your equity
position is worth less than 25 (i.e., the
maintenance margin) of the stocks value. - Calculate stock price (P) when your equity
exactly equals 25 of stock value. - Your equity is worth the value of the stock less
the amount of your loan. - The amount of your loan (1 - .45) ( 500 )
(70) 19,250. - If the stocks price is P, then your stocks
value (500)(P). - Your equitys value (500)(P) - 19,250.
- We need to know the value of P that solves the
equation - Equitys value (500)(P) - 19,250 0.25
- Stocks value (500)(P)
Initial margin
shares
purchase price
Maintenance margin
CFALA/USC CFA Review Level 1, SS-13
13Margin Call Example (continued)
13
An investor buys 500 shares of ABC stock at the
market price of 70 on full margin. The initial
margin requirement is 45 and the maintenance
margin is 25. The commission is 10 each on the
purchase and sale. Interest is 5 per year. At
what stock price would the investor receive a
margin call?
- Solve for P
- (500)(P) - 19,250 0.25
- (500)(P)
- Multiply both sides of the equation by (500)(P)
gives us - (500)(P) - 19,250 (0.25) (500)(P)
- (500)(P) - 19,250 (125) (P)
- (500 125) (P)
19,250 - P
19,250 / (500 125) 51.33/share - If your stocks price falls below 51.33/shares,
you will receive a margin call. Youll have to
deposit enough to bring your equity back up to
25.
Maintenance margin
CFALA/USC CFA Review Level 1, SS-13
14Margin Call Example (continued)
14
An investor buys 500 shares of ABC stock at the
market price of 70 on full margin. The initial
margin requirement is 45 and the maintenance
margin is 25. The commission is 10 each on the
purchase and sale. Interest is 5 per year. At
what stock price would the investor receive a
margin call?
- Here is a shortcut formula if you can remember
it - Margin call price Loan amount per share divided
by one minus margin maintenance requirement
(MMR). So if Loan is in and N is the number of
shares - P (Loan / N) / (1-MMR)
- (19,250/500) / (1 - .25)
- (38.50) / (.75)
- 51.33.
-
- The solutions in the book write (Loan/N) as
(original price) x (1 initial margin). Your
initial margin was 45, so you borrowed the rest
(55) of each shares purchase. So for each
share you bought, you borrowed (70)(.55)
38.50. You receive a margin call if your equity
is less than 25 of the stocks value. So the
loan cant be more than 75 of the stocks value.
In other words, (75)(P) cant be more than
38.50.
CFALA/USC CFA Review Level 1, SS-13
15Short selling Problem 3
- You sell short 100 shares of stock priced at 60
per share. - The proceeds of 6000 must be pledged to broker.
- You must also pledge 50 margin.
- You put up 3000. Now you have 9000 invested in
margin account. -
- Short Sale Equity Total Margin Account - Market
Value
3-15
16Short selling Problem 3
- Suppose the maintenance margin for short sale of
a stock with price gt 16.75 is 30 of market
value or - So you have 1200 in excess margin. (This may be
withdrawn at your pleasure but assume that it is
not.) - At what stock price do you get a margin call?
30 x 6,000 1,800
3-16
17Short selling Problem 3
When Equity ? (0.30 Market Value) Equity
Market Value 9,000 / (1 0.30)
6,923 Price at which get a margin call6,923
/ 100 shares 69.23
Total Margin Account Market Value
When Market Value Total Margin Account / (1
MMR)
3-17
18Short selling Problem 3
If this occurs Equity Equity as
market value You get a margin call and you
may have to restore the 50 initial margin. If
so you must deposit an additional (6,923 / 2) -
2,077 1,384.5
9,000 - 6,923 2,077
2,077 / 6,923 30
3-18
19Short selling Problem 4
- You are bearish on Telecom and decide to sell
short 100 shares at the current market price of
50 per share. - How much in cash or securities must you put into
your brokerage account if the brokers initial
margin requirement is 50 of the value of the
short position? - How high can the price of a stock go before you
get a margin call if the maintenance margin is
30 of the value of the short position?
20Short selling Problem 5
- Suppose that you short sell 500 shares of Intel,
currently selling for 40 per share, and give
your broker 15,000 to establish your margin
account. - If you earn no interest in the funds in your
margin account, what will be your rate of return
after 1 year if Intel stock is selling at (i) 44
(ii) 40 (iii) 36? Assume that Intel pays no
dividends. - If the maintenance margin is 25, how high can
Intels price rise before you get a margin call? - Redo parts (a) and (b), but now assume that Intel
has paid a year-end dividend of 1 per share.
Assume that the prices in part (a) are
ex-dividend, that is, prices after dividends have
been paid.
21Short selling Problem 5
- Suppose that you short sell 500 shares of Intel,
currently selling for 40 per share, and give
your broker 15,000 to establish your margin
account. - If you earn no interest in the funds in your
margin account, what will be your rate of return
after 1 year if Intel stock is selling at (i) 44
(ii) 40 (iii) 36? Assume that Intel pays no
dividends. - The gain or loss on the short position is (500
X change in price) - Invested funds 15,000
- Therefore rate of return (500 x change in
price)/15,000 - The rate of return in each of the three scenarios
is - rate of return (500 x 4)/15,000 0.1333
13.33 - rate of return (500 x 0)/15,000 0
- rate of return 500 x (4)/15,000 0.1333
13.33
22Short selling Problem 5
- Suppose that you short sell 500 shares of Intel,
currently selling for 40 per share, and give
your broker 15,000 to establish your margin
account. - If the maintenance margin is 25, how high can
Intels price rise before you get a margin call? - Total assets in the margin account are 20,000
(from the sale of the stock) 15,000 (the
initial margin) 35,000. Liabilities are 500P.
A margin call will be issued when - when P 56 or higher
-
23Short selling Problem 5
- Suppose that you short sell 500 shares of Intel,
currently selling for 40 per share, and give
your broker 15,000 to establish your margin
account. - Redo parts (a) and (b), but now assume that Intel
has paid a year-end dividend of 1 per share.
Assume that the prices in part (a) are
ex-dividend, that is, prices after dividends have
been paid. - With a 1 dividend, the short position must now
pay on the borrowed shares (1/share x 500
shares) 500. Rate of return is now (500 x
change in price) 500/15,000 - rate of return (500 ? 4) 500/15,000
0.1667 16.67 - rate of return (500 ? 0) 500/15,000
0.0333 3.33 - rate of return (500) ? (4) 500/15,000
0.1000 10.00 -
- Total assets are 35,000, and liabilities are
(500P 500). A margin call will be issued when - when P 55.20 or higher