Information on NECD and Gothenburg Protocol revisions

1
Information on NECD and Gothenburg Protocol
revisions

• Eduard Dame
• DG Environment European Commission
• Energy Environment

2
Items

• Revision NECD
• Projections under Gothenburg Protocol
• Long term objectives
• Revision Gothenburg Protocol
• PRIMES baseline

3
Items

• Revision NEC Directive will not be proposed by
  current College of Commissioners
• New College will decide how to proceed further
• Preparatory work could of use for revision of
  Gothenburg Protocol

4
NECD Projections

• Horizon for emission projections in NEC Directive
  is 2010. No EU-legal basis for Member States to
  submit emission projections with a horizon beyond
  2010.

5
GP/HM/POP Projections

• EB-decision 2008/16
• Approves the decision by the EMEP Steering Body
  at its thirty-second session that, in addition to
  the (annual update of the) emission projections
  for 2010, 2015 and 2020 as specified in decision
  2005/1, Parties within the geographical scope of
  EMEP shall also report their data on emission
  projections for 2030 and longer-term projections
  if available (for example, 2050), in view of the
  analysis of the links between air pollution and
  climate change

6
Long-term objectives

• TFIAM - Workshop 5-6 March 2009
• http//iiasa.ac.at/rains/meetings/Aspiration2050/
  Presentations.html
• WGSR 20 23 April 2009 invited relevant TFs and
  EPs to continue working on the issue of long
  term objectives.
• Result also interesting for future NECD-revision

7
Revision Gothenburg Protocol

• Article 3, paragraph new number
• 1. Each Party shall
• prepare and update
• annually emission inventories for the air
  pollutants listed in
• biannually emission projections for the air
  pollutants listed in
• annually draw up an informative inventory report
  containing detailed information on methodologies
  used in the preparations of their emission
  inventories and emission projections.
• 2. Parties shall report their emission
  inventories, emission
• projections and inventory reports in accordance
  with the
• reporting requirements set out in Article 7.

8
Revision Gothenburg Protocol

• Article 7, paragraph 1b
• Each Party within the geographical cope of EMEP
  shall report the following information
• ..
• Data on projections emissions.
• an inventory report containing detailed
  information on reported emission inventories and
  emission projections
• With regard to (i) to (iv) Parties shall use the
  units, the
• methodologies, the temporal and spatial
  resolution, time horizons
• and the reporting formats respect the reporting
  deadlines to be
• determined by the Steering Body of EMEP and
  approved by the
• Parties present at a session of the Executive
  Body as "Guidelines for
• Reporting Emissions Data under the Convention on
  Long Range
• Transboundary Air Pollution".

9
PRIMES baseline

• PRIMES 2007 baseline was used for NECD-revision
• Work for PRIMES 2009 is ongoing
• Can be used for NECD revision and for Gothenburg
  Protocol (gap filling in national projections or
  replace national projections for EU-27)

10
Process of consultation

• 31 March 2009 meeting of MS energy economists to
  discuss major assumptions of new energy baseline
• 25 April 2009 comments invited from MS experts
  on the major assumptions for their country
• May-June 2009
• draft results (in terms of energy use) per MS
  available
• Consultation with MS on country results
• Finalization/publication results
• (2007baseline//ec.europa.eu/dgs/energy_transport/
  figures/trends_2030_update_2007/energy_transport_t
  rends_2030_update_2007_en.pdf)
• July 2009 and beyond
• Use of results for policy analysis

11
Contents of consultation so far

• Macroeconomic assumptions per country
• GDP growth rates (lower than for 2007 baseline)
• Population (higher than for 2007 baseline)
• Valued added for 22 sectors (10 energy-intensive
  sectors)
• (World) energy prices up to 2030
• Overview of major energy investments per MS
  (questionnaire) CCS, hydro, other RES, nuclear
  and infrastructure.

12
Procedure

• Consultation input coordinated with MS and to be
  send to DGTREN (Mrs Livia Vasakova)
• Ask Ger Klaassen (DGENV, C5) gerardus.klaassen_at_ec
  .europa.eu for list of energy economic experts
  for your MS to contact (in as far as not done
  already)