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Working with Preferences

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Title: Working with Preferences


1
Working with Preferences
  • Ronen Brafman
  • Computer Science Department
  • Ben-Gurion University

2
Goal of our Work Provide tools and build systems
that can make, or can help users make, good
choices. Such systems must understand the
users preferences to be useful.
3
Applications of Interest
  • optimal product/item selection
  • Select a flight, a camera, a movie,
  • optimal product configuration
  • Configure a PC, a vacation, a car,
  • personalization
  • Personalize content, interface,
  • guiding program choices
  • Program will make choices based on a preference
    model provided by the designer
  • We target lay users and application designers
    with no background in decision theory

4
Focus of this Talk Provide an overview of an
approach to preference handling based on the
xCP-net models and algorithms, and discuss some
applications
5
Constrained Optimization Process
Manufacturer Constraints
Feedback ? Spec Revision
Updated Choice
6
The Key Ideas
  • Preference elicitation
  • Use natural language like statements make it
    simple
  • Support heterogeneous types of statements
  • Make scaling up to quantitative assessment
    possible
  • Calculating optimal choices
  • Efficient methods for ordering sets
  • Algorithms for constrained optimization
  • Efficient data-driven incremental elicitation

7
Elicitation and Modeling
8
Natural Preferences Statements
  • Value preferences
  • Strict I prefer an isle seat to a window seat
  • Conditional I prefer isle to window in economy
    class
  • Attribute importance
  • Strict Seat assignment is more important than
    airline
  • Conditional Seat assignment is less important
    than airline in domestic flights

9
The Ceteris Paribus Semantics
  • Ceteris Paribus Latin all else being equal
  • I prefer an isle seat to a window seat ?
  • Given two flights that differ only in seat
    assignment, I prefer the one with an isle seat.
  • Otherwise, cant infer a preference
  • Seat assignment is less important than airline
    in domestic flights ?
  • Given two domestic flights that differ in seat
    assignment and airline only, I prefer the one
    with a better airline
  • Says nothing about two international flights

10
CP-nets (Boutilier, Brafman, Hoos, Poole 99,
Boutilier, Brafman, Domshlak, Hoos, Poole 04)
  • A qualitative, graphical model of preferences,
    that captures and organizes statements of
    conditional value preference.
  • Each node represents a domain variable.
  • Parents(v) are those variables that affect users
    preference over the values of v
  • Parents(class) airline
  • Conditional preference table (CPT) associated
    with every node in the CP-net
  • Provides an ordering over the values of the node
    for every possible parent context

11
Example of a CP-net
12
Semantics and Consistency
Any acyclic CP-net defines a (consistent)
partial order over the outcome space.
13
Importance Relations
14
More Complex Example
Day of the flight
Airline
Departure Time
Stop-overs
Class
15
Day of the flight
Departure Time
Airline
Stop-over
Class
16
Day of the flight
Departure Time
Airline
Stop-overs
Class
17
nodes ? variables
cp-arcs (directed)
A
i-arcs (directed)
ci-arcs (undirected)
B
E
cp-tables
ci-tables
C
D
18
Role of Graphical Structure
  • Users need not be aware of the underlying
    graphical structure
  • User employs statement templates or some other
    input interface
  • System constructs the network on the fly
  • Graphical structure important for
  • Analysis query complexity related to structure
  • Algorithms often use topological sort

19
Preferences ? Plausibility
  • CP Conditional Plausibility (Jerome Lang)
  • p is more plausible than p given q (ceteris
    paribus)
  • Given two worlds satisfying q that are identical
    except for the value of p, the one satisfying p
    is more plausible than the one satisfying p.
  • p is more important, plausibility wise, than q
    (ceteris paribus)
  • Worlds in which p has its more plausible value
    are more plausible than worlds in which q has its
    more plausible value

20
UCP-Nets Boutilier, Bacchus, Brafman
  • Quantified CPT
  • Simplified semantics sum of utility factors
    U(abcd)
  • fA(a)fB(b)fC(abc)fD(cd)
  • 5 4 .6 .9 10.5
  • Linear time computation
  • Linear time comparison

a a 5 2
b b 4 3
c c
C
a b .6 .1 a b .2 .8 a b .3 .8 a b .9 .3
d d
c .9 .8 c .2 .3
D
21
Compiling Diverse Information into UCP-nets
  • Diverse statement can be compiled into UCP-net
  • Independence information maintained by graph
  • Value preferences and variables preferences
  • Two-way comparisons of complete outcomes
  • Quantitative information
  • Simple compilation based on linear constraints
  • Good for incremental refinement
  • Start with qualitative model no cold start!
  • Refine with user feedback/additional observations

22
Using (T)CP-nets Algorithms
  1. Selecting the best element
  2. Ordering and constrained optimization

23
1. Ordering Elements
  • Need Order (the many) results of a query
  • Naïve solution pairwise comparison -- ogto ?
  • Problem NP-hard in general
  • Alternative solution linearize the partial order
  • Insight some linearizations are easy to obtain
  • Key
  • One of oeo or oeo can be decided quickly
  • Answers used to generate consistent ordering

24
1. Preferential Optimization
Finding the preferentially optimal outcome for an
acyclic network is straightforward!
25
2. Preference-Based Constrained Optimization
(PCO)
  • Given
  • User preferences
  • An implicitly specified set of feasible options
  • Find one/all/k optimal, feasible element(s)
  • Applications
  • Product configuration (PC, vacation)
  • Optimal plan selection
  • Content/display adaptation and personalization

26
Solving PCOOrdered Generate Test
  • Generate outcomes in non-increasing order
  • linearize the partial order over all possible
    elements
  • Test for feasibility
  • Check for optimality
  • First feasible outcome is optimal!
  • Need more?
  • Maintain set of optimal solutions
  • New solution is optimal if not dominated by any
    previously generated solution

27
Generating a Non-increasing Sequence of Outcomes
  • Topologically sort the variables
  • Build an assignment (search) tree by
    instantiating variables according to this order
  • Order variable values based on the CPT
  • Leaf nodes, ordered left to right ( depth-first
    traversal of the tree) correspond to a
    non-increasing sequence of outcomes

28
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29
Sorting?
  • We just saw how we can order all outcomes
  • This method does not work for sorting a subset of
    all possible assignments
  • Fortunately, there is a method that can be used
    to sort n outcomes in time O(n log n)

30
Ordered Generate and Test ? Efficient Constrained
Optimization
  • Tree search favorite CSP pruning techniques
  • Equivalent to solving the CSP with meta-level
    constrains on variable and value ordering
  • Branch and bound eliminate sub-tree when
  • We assign a variable to a less preferred value
  • Current set of constraints as strong as for some
    previous value of this variable

31
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32
Anytime Behavior
  • First feasible solution is optimal!
  • No theoretical overhead beyond standard CSP
    solution
  • No item withdrawn from set of current solutions
  • To obtain more than one solution dominance
    testing required
  • Can lead to considerable computational overhead

33
Applications
34
Flight Selection (Brafman, Domshlak, Kogan
UAI04)
  • Instance of selecting optimal element problem
  • Approach
  • User supplies
  • constraints (source, destination, etc.)
  • initial preferences
  • Preferences compiled into UCP-net
  • Top k results shown
  • User provides feedback
  • Which flight is most preferred among k best
  • Any new preferences
  • Top results revised accordingly

35
Planning for Data Products (Golden et. al.)
  • NASA collects much raw data about earth
  • Requires extensive processing to be useful
  • Each Earth scientists needs different processing
  • ImageBot generates data plans for such products
  • Data plans run scientific models, combine and
    transform data in order to achieve data goals
  • Many plans can generate one data product
  • Each plan has different value
  • Using a simple preference language ImageBot
    planning algorithm is biased towards more
    preferred plans

36
Adaptive, Personalized Rich Media Presentations
  • Presentations with diverse media elements
    requiring spatio-temporal synchronization
  • Target wide audiences
  • Audience members have different tastes, different
    network connections, and use different devices
  • Goal provide designers with tools for designing
    presentations that adapt to user and user context
  • Demo

37
Example ESPN Promo
  • Presentation with five elements
  • Video featuring upcoming broadcast
  • 2 image ads
  • Video ad
  • Running text with scores/news
  • Each media element is a variable
  • Additional variables denote user properties,
    device properties, bandwidth
  • Variable values different content and quality
    options

38
How Does It Work?
  • Variables denote different presentation elements
    (video, ads, running text)
  • Additional variables denote context information
  • TCP-nets specify preference relation over
    presentations
  • Author may specify additional constraints
  • At download time combine
  • TCP-net
  • Information about user and user context
  • Resulting constrained optimization problem solved
  • Output a SMIL presentation

39
CP-Net for ESPN Promo
Gender
Nationality
40
Real-Time Content Selection for Command and
Control
  • Imagine a decision maker monitoring masses of
    data in a real-time command control center for
    all rescue forces in Paris
  • Video streams
  • Sensor data
  • Results of relevant queries
  • Results of data analysis (e.g., simulations, risk
    assessment)
  • Task Which data to show at each point in time?

41
Possible Information Sources
  • Cameras on fireman helmet
  • Fixed surveillance cameras
  • Heat sensors, smoke detectors, co2-levels
  • Area maps, building plans, driving distance,
    number of residents
  • Simulation of structure strength, time to contain
    a fire as function of wind and other weather
    conditions, etc.
  • Demo

42
Our Proposal Decision Theoretic Control
  • Offline build a preference model capturing the
    value of different choices
  • Online compute best choices
  • In our case which data to show
  • In general whatever choices the system must make
  • Not new, but not too practical, so far
  • Main obstacle preference handling

43
What Are the Challenges
  • ESPN solution (using CP-nets) is static
  • We know all the variables and their possible
    values at specification time
  • Our context is dynamic
  • Different cities will have different relevant
    information streams
  • Same city will have different relevant
    information streams at each time
  • A single specification should handle LA, Paris,
    NY, etc.
  • Our solution relational preference rules
  • A relational model that generalizes of UCP-nets
  • Assumes concepts/classes are fixed (fireman,
    fire, fire truck)
  • Does not assume anything about specific instances

44
Modeling a Fire Department
  • Rules
  • Fireman(x) ? fire(y) ? x.location y.location
  • ? x.camera.display on 4, off 0
  • Fireman(x) ? x.co2-levelhigh
  • ? x.camera.display on 8, off 0

45
Other Interesting Issues
  • Set preferences specifying and computing
    preferred subsets when items have synergy
    AAAI06,AAAI07
  • Browsing large heterogeneous databases
  • Joint work with Scott Klemer, Ron Yeh, and Yoav
    Shoham supported by NSF

46
Collaborators
  • Carmel Domshlak Technion
  • Craig Boutilier University of Toronto
  • Holger Hoos, David Poole UBC
  • Doron Friedman University College London
  • Solomon Shimony Ben-Gurion University

47
Summary
  • Much recent interest in work on preference
    representation, elicitation, and reasoning
  • xCP-nets offer a simple preference language and
    convenient graphical and algorithmic tools
  • UCP-nets provide good target for knowledge
    compilation
  • Many applications in e-commerce and user
    interfaces

48
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