Climate change mitigation EU and Russia

1
Climate change mitigationEU and Russia

• Alexander Fedorov
• Centre for Environmental Initiatives,
  St.Petersburg
• Alexey Kokorin
• WWF-Russia, Moscow

2
Temperature variations in the 20th century
Russia
N. Hemisphere
World
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Number of dangerous weather events in Russia 1991
- 2005
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Number of dangerous weather events in Russia 1991
- 2005
70 Warm period (Apr. Oct.) 30 Cold period
(Nov. March)
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Types of dangerous weather events in Russia 1991
2005,
1 wind storms 2 snow storms 3 showers,
thunderstorms, hails 4 frosts, heats 5
floods 6 avalanches, mudflows 7 draughts
8 fires 9 others.
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Russian public and stakeholders opinions on
climate change

• 
  3 years ago now
• Climate change takes place 50 90
• Climate Change is negative for
  Russia 30 70Reason of current climate
  change is anthropogenic GHG emission 10 30U
  rgent actions are necessary 5 10

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GHG emissions in Russia in 1990-2004
Emissions, Mt CO2-eq.
Years
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GDP power intensity in 5 regions of the world

• Energy consumption for production of 1 M GDP
  (toe, 2003)

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The Russian GDP Power Intensity
Clear difference between GDP and GHG emissions
trends
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Russian MEDT post-2012 scenario(Russian
Ministry of Economic Development and Trade)
2015 -22 of 1990 2020 -17 of 1990
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Official view of MEDT www.economy.gov.ru

• ? Russia shares global responsibility for
  increase of GHG emissions, and aims to reach the
  UNFCCC goals, based on the necessity of limiting
  technogenic emissions and increase of absorption
  by GHG absorbers in accordance with its economic
  opportunities and principles of sustainable
  development.
• ? Presently, Russia decreases the GDP power
  intensity by 4 percent per year and more.
• ? Analysis of the EU Emissions Trading Schemes
  (EU ETS) shows that in the foreseeable future
  (2013 2017) Russian business will not be able
  to use this system in a considerable scope.

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Progress in Kyoto Protocol implementation in
Russia
? Progress in GHG Inventory and
RegistryProblems? Absence of sense of
urgency? Politicians, stakeholders and public
(70) are not sure that current climate change is
anthropogenic? Suspending of Joint
Implementation (JI) projects (30-50 projects) due
to absence of progress in domestic JI Regulation
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Consequences of climate change in the Baltic Sea
Region

• ? Neva River run-off increasing 10 by 2015
• gt decreasing salinity in the Baltic Sea
• ? Ice weakening
• gt damage to grey seals (Halichoerus grypus) and
• ringed seals (Phoca hispida
  botnica)
• ? Number of dangerous weather events growing
• 7 per year (almost twice by 2015)? Winds
  pressure on power transmission line increasing
• 20 in 10 years
• ? Ground waters rising
• gt damage to buildings agriculture

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Proposal 1
Foster Joint Implementation projects

• EU
• ? Work also with other actors in Russia,
  including NGOs, additionally to governmental
  institutions, to find partners for JIPs in
  Russia, to considerably broaden the choice

• Russia
• ? Put down barriers to JIPs,
• incl.
• - simplify JIPs registration to one window
  procedures
• - low down the threshold limit for a project
• - etc.

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Proposal 2
Foster Energy Efficiency and Renewables

• EU
• ? Share/transfer experience
• ? Co-operate with NGOs

• Russia
• ? Adopt relevant laws
• ? Adopt relevant state programmes
• ? Co-operate with NGOs

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Climate change mitigationEU and Russia
Thank you for your attention!

• Alexander Fedorov
• Centre for Environmental Initiatives,
  St.Petersburg
• ceispb_at_gmail.com
• Alexey Kokorin
• WWF-Russia, Moscow
• AKokorin_at_wwf.ru