Title: Business%20Valuation
1Business Valuation
Valuation Methodologies Discounts and Premiums
2Business Valuation Common Uses of Business
Valuation
- Tax
- Estate/Gift
- Buy/Sell Agreements
- Bankruptcy and Litigation
- Liquidation or Reorganization
- Patent Infringement
- Partner Disputes
- Economic Damages
- Financial Reporting
- Purchase Price Allocation, Impairment Testing and
Stock Options and Grants, etc. - Strategic Planning/Transaction
- Value Enhancement
- Business Plan/Capital Raising
- Strategic Direction, Spin-Offs, Carve Outs, etc.
- Acquisitions, Due Diligence
- Employee Stock Ownership Plan (ESOP)
- Internal Revenue Codes (IRC) 743, IRC 409A, etc.
- Solvency and Fairness Opinions
- Damage Assessment
- Dissenting Shareholder Actions
- Marital Dissolutions
3Business Valuation Valuation Process
1.1 Proposal and Engagement Letter
1.3 Establish Valuation Date
1.2 Establish Standard of Value and Define Purpose
1.4 Data Gathering
Signed Engagement Letter with Retainer
Ongoing Internal Review and Discussion with Other
Professionals and Client
2.1 Company and Industry Analysis
2.3 Adjustments and Recasts (Control)
2.2 Analyze Historical Financial Statements
2.4 Financial Statements Analysis (Ratios, etc.)
Ongoing Internal Review and Discussion with Other
Professionals and Client
3.1 Implement Selected Valuation Methodologies
3.3 Final Internal Review and QC Process
3.2 Narrative Write-up of the Report
3.4 Finalize
Income, Market, Net Asset Approaches
4Business Valuation Standard of Value
- Purpose
- Establish Purpose of the Engagement
- Estate/Gift, Buy/Sell Agreements, etc.
- Standards of Value (i.e. Fair Market Value, Fair
Value, etc.) - Interest Being Valued (i.e. Enterprise, Equity,
Marketable, Non-Marketable, Control, Minority,
etc.) - Valuation Date
- Agree on a Appropriate Valuation Date
- Utilize Data Subsequent to the Valuation Date
- Sometimes can Consider Data After the Valuation
Date if it was Foreseeable as of the Valuation
Date
5Business Valuation Standards of Value
- Common Standards of Value
- Fair Market Value (Tax) Fair market value
applies to virtually all federal and state tax
matters, including estate, gift, inheritance,
income and ad valorem taxes as well as many other
valuation situations. - The fair market value is the price at which the
property would change hands between a willing
buyer and a willing seller, neither being under
any compulsion to buy or to sell and both having
reasonable knowledge of relevant facts. IRS
Revenue Ruling 59-60 - Liquidation Value Orderly forced.
- Fair Value (Financial Reporting) Can vary but it
is generally similar to Fair market value with
some exceptions. - The amount at which an asset (or liability) could
be bought (or incurred) or sold (or settled) in a
current transaction between willing parties, that
is, other than in a forced or liquidation sale.
- FASB 157 - Fair Value (Litigation) Fair value may be the
applicable standard of value in a number of
different situations, including shareholder
dissent and oppression matters, corporate
dissolution and divorce.
6Business Valuation Gathering Data
- Gathering Company Data
- Articles of Incorporation Operating Agreement
- History and Background
- Products and Services
- Shareholders and Key Personnel Compensations and
Responsibilities - Organization/Corporate Structure
- Operations
- Customers/Clients, Target Markets and Suppliers
- Legal, Tax and Other Considerations
- Five Year Historical and Latest Interim Financial
Statements - Other Financial Information (A/R, A/P, Fixed
Asset Ledger, etc. - if needed) - Adjustments
- Projections (If applicable)
7Business Valuation Analyzing Data
- Researching Economic and Industry Information
- U.S. Economy
- Local Economy
- Target Industry
- Financial Statements Analysis
- Adjustments and Recasts (Control Value)
- Extraordinary Items, Shareholders Perquisites
(Personal Expenses), Fair Market Value
Compensation and Rent, etc. - Ratio and Trend Analysis
- Growth Rates, Liquidity, Leverage, Profitability,
Efficiency, etc.
8Valuation Methodologies
Income Approach Market Approach Net Asset
Approach
9Business Valuation Valuation Approaches
- Income Approach
- The Income Approach is a valuation technique that
provides an estimation of the value of an asset
based on the present value of expected cash
flows. - The various forms
- Capitalization of Earnings/Cash Flow Analysis
(Gordon Growth Model) - Discounted Cash Flow Analysis (DCF)
- Dividend Discount Model (DDM)
10Business Valuation Income Approach
- Capitalization of Earnings Approach
- Single Period Discounted Cash Flow Analysis
- Simplest for Companies with Stable Growth
- Next Year Free Cash Flow to Firm (FCFF)
- Next Year Free Cash Flow to Equity (FCFE)
- Apply Appropriate Discount Rate
11Business Valuation Income Approach
- Common Levels of Value
- Enterprise Value Free Cash Flow to Firm (FCFF)
- This is the total cash flow a 100 owner would
receive assuming no debt - NI Depreciation /- Non-Cash Items Interest
Expense(1-Tax) /- Change in Working Capital
CAPEX - Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC)
- Equity Value Free Cash Flow to Equity (FCFE)
- This is the cash flow a shareholder would expect
to receive after interest and net borrowings - Net Income Depreciation /- Non-Cash Items /-
Change in Working Capital CAPEX /- Net
Borrowings - Cost of Equity (higher than WACC for the levered
company)
12Business Valuation Income Approach
- Discounted Cash Flow Analysis
- More General and Flexible Than Capitalized
Earnings Method -
13Business Valuation Weighted Average Cost of
Capital
- Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC)
- WACC Weight of Equity (Cost of Equity)
Weight of Debt (Cost of Debt (1-Tax)) Weight
of Preferred Security (Cost of Preferred
Security) - Provides Overall Cost of Capital to Whole
Company - Assumes Constant Debt to Capital Over Time
14Business Valuation Weighted Average Cost of
Capital
- Cost of Equity Capital Asset Pricing Model
(CAPM) - Simple CAPM
- For larger publicly-traded companies
- Re Rf B(Rm Rf)
- Risk Free Rate (Rf)
- Risk free rate as of the valuation date (20-year
U.S. Treasury) - Equity risk premium (Source Ibbotson/Morningstar)
- Size adjustments often are appropriate (Source
Ibbotson/Morningstar and Duff Phelps Risk
Premium Reports) - Beta is a systematic risk measure
15Business Valuation Weighted Cost of Capital
- Cost of Equity Build-up
- For smaller closely-held companies
- Inputs are same as CAPM except for the
application of industry risk premium instead of
Beta coefficient - Industry risk premium based on Morningstar
(Ibbotson) Yearbook - Generally similar to CAPM after adjustments for
size and specific risks
16Business Valuation Weighted Cost of Capital
- Cost of Equity and Leverage
- Companies with More Debt Relative to Equity are
Riskier and Have Higher Costs of Equity - Beta (B)
- Beta is a measure of the sensitivity of the
movement in returns on a particular stock to
movements in returns on some measure of the
market (i.e. SP 500, etc.) - Published and calculated betas typically reflect
the capital structure of each respective company
at market values - Unlevered beta is the beta a company would have
if it had no debt - Lever the beta for the subject company based on
one more assumed capital structure - The result will be a market-derived beta
specifically adjusted for the degree of financial
leverage of the subject company
Wd Weight of Debt We Weight of Equity Wc
Weight of Capital
17Business Valuation Weighted Cost of Capital
- Cost of Debt
- Cost of Debt Based on Subject Companys Credit
Rating and Borrowing Rate (i.e. Prime rate 1,
BBB, BB, B-, Prime Rate, etc.) at Valuation Date - After Tax Cost of Debt
- Cost of Debt x (1 Target Companys Tax Rate)
- Debt to Capital Ratio
- Control Value Target/Optimal or Industry Average
Debt to Capital Ratio - Lack of Control/Minority Value Company Specific
Debt to Capital Ratio
18Business Valuation Other Notes About Income
Approach
- Other Notes on Income Approach
- Generally on a Control, Marketable Basis
- Levels of Value
- Synergy Level Cash Flow
- Control Level Cash Flow
- Minority Level Cash Flow
- Publicly-Traded Company Derived Discount Rate
- Minority and Marketable Level Discount Rate
- Many Consider it to be Appropriate for Control
Level
19Business Valuation Market Approach
- Publicly-Traded (Guideline) Comparable Company
Analysis - The Guideline Publicly Traded Company Method
indicates the value of the subject company by
comparing it to publicly-traded companies in
similar lines of business - Valuation Multiples Vary Based on Industry and
States of Growth - Problem is that there are rarely perfect matches
- Equity Multiples
- Fair Market Value of Equity (Stock Price x
Outstanding Number of Shares) - Common Equity Level Multiples
- Price / Earnings (P/E)
- Price / Tangible Book Value (P/B)
20Business Valuation Market Approach
- Publicly-Traded (Guideline) Comparable Company
Analysis - Enterprise Multiples
- Enterprise Value (Stock Price x Outstanding
Number of Shares) Total Debt/Preferred
Securities Cash and Short-Term Investments - Common Enterprise Level Multiples
- EV / Revenue
- EV / EBITDA
- EV / EBIT
21Business Valuation Market Approach
- Publicly-Traded (Guideline) Comparable Company
Analysis - Other Multiples
- EV / RD Expenses of Phase I, Phase II and
Phase III products in pipeline Early Stage
Biotechnology - EV / of Licenses and Rights Shell Company,
etc - Appropriate Multiple Depends on Company
Characteristics
22Business Valuation Market Approach
- Market Transaction (MA) Approach
- In the Guideline Merged and Acquired Company
Method, the value of the business is indicated
based on multiples paid for entire companies or
controlling interests. - Public Market Transaction Approach
- Public Buyer or Seller Transactions
- Control Value
- Private Market Transaction Approach
- Private to Private Transactions
- Control Value
- Common Transaction Database
- MergerStat, Pratts Stat, Biz Comps, Capital IQ
23Business Valuation Market Approach
- Market Approach Adjustments
- Most Companies Differ from the Subject Company
- Need to Adjust for Differences between Market
Comparables and Subject Company - Common Adjustments are Based on
- Size
- Growth Rate
- Profitability
- Leverage
- Other Company Specific Factors
- Discounts and Premiums
24Business Valuation Reconciling Items
- Reconciling Items and Adjustments
- Appropriate Weighting Value Conclusions from
Different Approaches - Non-Operating Assets/Liabilities and Excess
Working Capital/Cash - Pass-Through Entity Tax Adjustments
- Adjustment for Discounted Cash Flow Analysis and
Publicly-Traded Guideline Comparable Company
Analysis - Depends on Hypothetical Buyer (C-Corp.? S-Corp.?,
etc.) - Interest-Bearing Debt and Contingent Liabilities
- Discounts and Premiums
- Apply to Equity Level
- Lack of Marketability and Minority Discounts, Key
Person Discount and Control Premium, etc.
25Discounts and Premiums
Control Premium Lack of Control/Minority
Discounts Lack of Marketability/Illiquidity
Discounts Others Discounts
26Business Valuation Lack of Marketability
Discounts
- Let the Fireworks Begin!!
- Often subject to wide disparity among
practitioners - Determination based on analogy
- Data sources problematic
- Reasonable range
27Business Valuation Lack of Marketability
Discounts
- Lack of Marketability Discounts (LOM)
- Marketability (liquidity) is valuable. Other
things equal, investors will pay more for the
more liquid (marketable) asset - The discount for lack of marketability is the
largest money issue in many, if not most,
disputed valuations of minority interests in
closely-held, private companies - The U.S. Tax Court normally allows discounts for
lack of marketability for non-controlling
interests in closely held companies, but the size
of the discounts varies greatly from one case to
another - Need to carefully study the recent case law in
the relevant jurisdiction - The quality of the expert evidence and testimony
presented in the Tax Court makes a big difference
in the outcome - The Tax Court expects good empirical evidence,
relevant to the subject at hand simple averages
are insufficient
28Business Valuation Lack of Marketability
Discounts
- Lack of Marketability Discounts
- The highest discount that the Tax Court has
allowed purely for lack of marketability is 45,
and most discounts have been considerably less - The ESOP discounts for lack of marketability are
generally low because most ESOP stock has a put
right to sell the stock back to the sponsoring
company, thus enhancing its liquidity and value. - Dissenting shareholder and shareholder oppression
cases are quite mixed on the matter of discount
for lack of marketability - There is little case law on discount for lack of
marketability in divorce cases, and what exists
is also quite mixed - If the standard of value is clearly stated as
fair market value, then a discount for lack of
marketability is appropriate
29Business Valuation Lack of Marketability
Discounts
- Lack of Marketability/Illiquidity Discount for
Minority Interest - Restricted Stock Studies
- Restricted stocks are, by definition, stocks of
public companies that are restricted from public
trading under SEC Rule 144 - Although they cannot be sold on the open market,
they can be bought by qualified institutional
investors. Thus, the restricted stock studies
compare the price of restricted shares of a
public company with the freely-traded public
market price on the same date - Price differences are attributed to liquidity
- Many feel the discounts are a reliable guide to
discounts for LOM - Empirical Studies McConaughy, SEC Institutional
Investor, Gelman, Trout, Moroney, Maher, Standard
Research Consultants, Siber, FMV Opinion,
Management Planning, Johnson, Columbia Financial
Advisors Studies
30Business Valuation Lack of Marketability
Discounts
- Restricted Stock Studies
- General Findings
- Show that restricted shares are worth less than
unrestricted shares generally ranging from 10
to 30. Discounts as high as 55 have been
observed - Discounts are larger for smaller companies and
companies with more volatile stocks and more debt - These data are most appropriate for valuing
restricted stocks and are difficult to apply to
private companies - The value of the studies is that the comparisons
are apples to apples (i.e. liquid stock value vs.
illiquid stock value of the same company at the
same time). - Restrictions have been relaxed and discounts have
dropped - Statistical studies can explain at best 1/3 of
the discount
31Business Valuation Lack of Marketability
Discounts
- Pre-IPO Stock Studies
- A pre-IPO transaction is a transaction involving
a private company stock prior to an Initial
Public Offering (IPO) - The pre-IPO studies compare the price of the
private stock transaction with the public
offering price. The percentage below the public
offering price at which the private transaction
occurred is a proxy for the discount for lack of
marketability - The application of pre-IPO studies heavily
debated and criticized because comparisons are
apples to oranges - The dates of the transaction differ at a time
when the company is changing rapidly (in the year
before the IPO) - Discounts are very large
- Discounts/premium should be based on specific to
the subject case and not past court cases
32Business Valuation Lack of Marketability
Discounts
- Other Studies
- Modified put option model (i.e. Finnerty and
Chaffee) - Modified cost of capital total beta (McConaughy
and Covrig) - Private Company Discount by Koeplin, Sarin
Shapiro, Journal of Applied Corporate Finance
Winter 2000. - Find approximately a 30 discount. Perhaps the
best study, but limited sample size makes it
difficult to apply to a specific case.
33Business Valuation Lack of Marketability
Discounts
- Factors Affecting Discounts for Lack of
Marketability - Companys Financial Performance and Growth
- Size of Distributions
- Prospects for Liquidity (Expected Liquidity
Event) - Restrictions on Transferability
- Companys Redemption Policy
- Costs Associated with a Public Offering
- Pool of Potential Buyers
- Nature of the Company, Its History, Other Risk
Factors - Amount of Control in Transferred Shares
- Companys Management
34Business Valuation Lack of Marketability
Discounts
- Lack of Marketability/Illiquidity Discounts for
Controlling Interests - Still a controversial concept
- A company with control can be marketable, but
illiquid - More marketable and liquid than the minority
interest Higher lack of marketability discount
for smaller blocks (for closely held companies) - Super majority requirement for certain States
- Typically, private companies sell in 6 months
which is shorter than the restriction period of
restricted stocks
35Business Valuation Control Premium and Minority
Discount
- Control Premium
- Other things equal, an interest with control is
worth more than one that lacks control - An amount by which the pro rata value of a
controlling interest exceeds the pro rata value
of a noncontrolling interest in a business
enterprise that reflects the power of control
often associated with takeovers of public
companies - Some suggest that valuations of controlling
interests be adjusted upward if they are based on
publicly-traded stock prices which are minority
interests - Hubris and synergy may explain premia
- Not needed if cash flows are estimated at the
control level
36Business Valuation Control Premium and Minority
Discount
- Control Premium
- Common Prerogatives of Control
- Elect directors and appoint management
- Determine management compensation and perquisites
- Set policy and change the course of business
- Acquire or liquidate assets
- Select people with whom to do business and award
contracts - Make acquisitions
- Liquidate, dissolve, sell, leverage or
recapitalize the company - Sell or acquire treasury shares
- Register the companys stock for a public
offering - Declare and pay dividends
- Change the articles of incorporation or bylaws or
operating agreement
37Business Valuation Control Premium and Minority
Discount
- Control Premium Database
- Control Premia Based on Market Transactions
- Identify one month to six months control premium
prior to announcement date for public and private
transactions from Mergerstat, Capital IQ, etc. - Control premia should exclude potential synergies
associated with selected transactions, but this
is extremely difficult - Appropriately adjust for other qualitative
factors based on control prerogatives
38Business Valuation Control Premium and Minority
Discount
- Lack of Control/Minority Discount
- Some feel that the control premium and the
minority discounts should have the relationship
as shown below - This is overly simplistic. Ignores hubris and
synergy and other factors that impact take-over
premia - Must deal with negative premia in databases
39Business Valuation Control Premium and Minority
Discount
- Lack of Control/Minority Discount
- Supermajority Requirement About a quarter of
the states require something more than 50 plus 1
share vote to approve certain major corporate
actions, such as selling out or merging. Thus, a
discount for a lack of supermajority may be
appropriate - Swing Vote Potential Depending on distribution
of the stock, a minority, swing block could have
the potential to gain a premium price over a pure
minority value - Interest of 50 - Discount from lack of control
value should be less for the interest with some
control prerogatives and a little greater for the
interest without the control prerogatives - Many experts feel that publicly-traded stocks
generally sell at a control value
40Business Valuation Other Discounts
- Other Discounts
- Key Person Discount
- Measure potential negative impact to the
projected cash flows in the absence of Key
Personnel - Trapped-in Capital Gains
- A company holding an appreciated asset would have
to pay a capital gains tax on the sale of the
asset. If ownership of the company were to
change, the liability for the tax on the sale of
the appreciated asset would not disappear - Use with Caution, it depends on expected time of
liquidity event (usually applied when liquidity
event is imminent - Consult a tax expert to analyze the situations
- Block Discount
- A large interest may be less liquid than a
smaller one
41Business Valuation Other Discounts
- Other Discounts
- Voting vs. Non-Voting
- If a company has both voting and nonvoting
classes of stock, there may be a price difference
between the two, usually in favor of the voting
stock - Based on level of influence by the voting
shareholders, restrictive agreements, state laws
and policies and the total number of block of
shares between voting and non-voting - Empirical studies indicates premium for voting
shares - Lease, McConnell and Mikkelson Study 5.4
- Robinson, Rumsey and White Study 3.5 4.5
- OShea and Siwicki Study 3.5
- Houlihan Lokey Howard Zukin Study 3.2
(average), 2.7 (median)
42Business Valuation Discounts and Premiums
- Common Errors in Applying Discounts and Premiums
- Greed produces inconsistencies with economic
reality - Low value desired
- Conservative projections
- High discount rate
- Large DLOM, etc.
- Higher value desired
- Aggressive projections
- Low discount rate
- Small DLOM, etc.
- Conservative projections should be accompanied by
a lower discount rate - Aggressive projections should be accompanied by a
higher discount rate
43Business Valuation Discounts and Premiums
- Common Errors in Applying Discounts and Premiums
- Using synergistic acquisition premia to quantify
premiums for control - Assuming that the discounted cash flow valuation
method always produces a minority value - Assuming that the guideline public company method
always produces a minority value - Valuing underlying assets instead of the stock or
partnership interests - Using minority interest marketability discount
data to quantify marketability discounts for
controlling interests - Using only pre-initial public offering studies
and not restricted stock studies as benchmark for
discounts for lack of marketability - Indiscriminate use of average discounts or
premiums applying (or omitting) a premium or
discount inappropriately for the legal context - Applying discounts or premiums to the entire
capital structure - Quantifying discounts or premiums based on past
court cases - Using a tangible (real property, fixed assets,
etc.) appraiser to quantity discounts and
premiums