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Business%20Valuation

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Title: Business%20Valuation


1
Business Valuation
Valuation Methodologies Discounts and Premiums
2
Business Valuation Common Uses of Business
Valuation
  • Tax
  • Estate/Gift
  • Buy/Sell Agreements
  • Bankruptcy and Litigation
  • Liquidation or Reorganization
  • Patent Infringement
  • Partner Disputes
  • Economic Damages
  • Financial Reporting
  • Purchase Price Allocation, Impairment Testing and
    Stock Options and Grants, etc.
  • Strategic Planning/Transaction
  • Value Enhancement
  • Business Plan/Capital Raising
  • Strategic Direction, Spin-Offs, Carve Outs, etc.
  • Acquisitions, Due Diligence
  • Employee Stock Ownership Plan (ESOP)
  • Internal Revenue Codes (IRC) 743, IRC 409A, etc.
  • Solvency and Fairness Opinions
  • Damage Assessment
  • Dissenting Shareholder Actions
  • Marital Dissolutions

3
Business Valuation Valuation Process
1.1 Proposal and Engagement Letter
1.3 Establish Valuation Date
1.2 Establish Standard of Value and Define Purpose
1.4 Data Gathering
Signed Engagement Letter with Retainer
Ongoing Internal Review and Discussion with Other
Professionals and Client
2.1 Company and Industry Analysis
2.3 Adjustments and Recasts (Control)
2.2 Analyze Historical Financial Statements
2.4 Financial Statements Analysis (Ratios, etc.)
Ongoing Internal Review and Discussion with Other
Professionals and Client
3.1 Implement Selected Valuation Methodologies
3.3 Final Internal Review and QC Process
3.2 Narrative Write-up of the Report
3.4 Finalize
Income, Market, Net Asset Approaches
4
Business Valuation Standard of Value
  • Purpose
  • Establish Purpose of the Engagement
  • Estate/Gift, Buy/Sell Agreements, etc.
  • Standards of Value (i.e. Fair Market Value, Fair
    Value, etc.)
  • Interest Being Valued (i.e. Enterprise, Equity,
    Marketable, Non-Marketable, Control, Minority,
    etc.)
  • Valuation Date
  • Agree on a Appropriate Valuation Date
  • Utilize Data Subsequent to the Valuation Date
  • Sometimes can Consider Data After the Valuation
    Date if it was Foreseeable as of the Valuation
    Date

5
Business Valuation Standards of Value
  • Common Standards of Value
  • Fair Market Value (Tax) Fair market value
    applies to virtually all federal and state tax
    matters, including estate, gift, inheritance,
    income and ad valorem taxes as well as many other
    valuation situations.
  • The fair market value is the price at which the
    property would change hands between a willing
    buyer and a willing seller, neither being under
    any compulsion to buy or to sell and both having
    reasonable knowledge of relevant facts. IRS
    Revenue Ruling 59-60
  • Liquidation Value Orderly forced.
  • Fair Value (Financial Reporting) Can vary but it
    is generally similar to Fair market value with
    some exceptions.
  • The amount at which an asset (or liability) could
    be bought (or incurred) or sold (or settled) in a
    current transaction between willing parties, that
    is, other than in a forced or liquidation sale.
    - FASB 157
  • Fair Value (Litigation) Fair value may be the
    applicable standard of value in a number of
    different situations, including shareholder
    dissent and oppression matters, corporate
    dissolution and divorce.

6
Business Valuation Gathering Data
  • Gathering Company Data
  • Articles of Incorporation Operating Agreement
  • History and Background
  • Products and Services
  • Shareholders and Key Personnel Compensations and
    Responsibilities
  • Organization/Corporate Structure
  • Operations
  • Customers/Clients, Target Markets and Suppliers
  • Legal, Tax and Other Considerations
  • Five Year Historical and Latest Interim Financial
    Statements
  • Other Financial Information (A/R, A/P, Fixed
    Asset Ledger, etc. - if needed)
  • Adjustments
  • Projections (If applicable)

7
Business Valuation Analyzing Data
  • Researching Economic and Industry Information
  • U.S. Economy
  • Local Economy
  • Target Industry
  • Financial Statements Analysis
  • Adjustments and Recasts (Control Value)
  • Extraordinary Items, Shareholders Perquisites
    (Personal Expenses), Fair Market Value
    Compensation and Rent, etc.
  • Ratio and Trend Analysis
  • Growth Rates, Liquidity, Leverage, Profitability,
    Efficiency, etc.

8
Valuation Methodologies
Income Approach Market Approach Net Asset
Approach
9
Business Valuation Valuation Approaches
  • Income Approach
  • The Income Approach is a valuation technique that
    provides an estimation of the value of an asset
    based on the present value of expected cash
    flows.
  • The various forms
  • Capitalization of Earnings/Cash Flow Analysis
    (Gordon Growth Model)
  • Discounted Cash Flow Analysis (DCF)
  • Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

10
Business Valuation Income Approach
  • Capitalization of Earnings Approach
  • Single Period Discounted Cash Flow Analysis
  • Simplest for Companies with Stable Growth
  • Next Year Free Cash Flow to Firm (FCFF)
  • Next Year Free Cash Flow to Equity (FCFE)
  • Apply Appropriate Discount Rate

11
Business Valuation Income Approach
  • Common Levels of Value
  • Enterprise Value Free Cash Flow to Firm (FCFF)
  • This is the total cash flow a 100 owner would
    receive assuming no debt
  • NI Depreciation /- Non-Cash Items Interest
    Expense(1-Tax) /- Change in Working Capital
    CAPEX
  • Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC)
  • Equity Value Free Cash Flow to Equity (FCFE)
  • This is the cash flow a shareholder would expect
    to receive after interest and net borrowings
  • Net Income Depreciation /- Non-Cash Items /-
    Change in Working Capital CAPEX /- Net
    Borrowings
  • Cost of Equity (higher than WACC for the levered
    company)

12
Business Valuation Income Approach
  • Discounted Cash Flow Analysis
  • More General and Flexible Than Capitalized
    Earnings Method

13
Business Valuation Weighted Average Cost of
Capital
  • Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC)
  • WACC Weight of Equity (Cost of Equity)
    Weight of Debt (Cost of Debt (1-Tax)) Weight
    of Preferred Security (Cost of Preferred
    Security)
  • Provides Overall Cost of Capital to Whole
    Company
  • Assumes Constant Debt to Capital Over Time

14
Business Valuation Weighted Average Cost of
Capital
  • Cost of Equity Capital Asset Pricing Model
    (CAPM)
  • Simple CAPM
  • For larger publicly-traded companies
  • Re Rf B(Rm Rf)
  • Risk Free Rate (Rf)
  • Risk free rate as of the valuation date (20-year
    U.S. Treasury)
  • Equity risk premium (Source Ibbotson/Morningstar)
  • Size adjustments often are appropriate (Source
    Ibbotson/Morningstar and Duff Phelps Risk
    Premium Reports)
  • Beta is a systematic risk measure

15
Business Valuation Weighted Cost of Capital
  • Cost of Equity Build-up
  • For smaller closely-held companies
  • Inputs are same as CAPM except for the
    application of industry risk premium instead of
    Beta coefficient
  • Industry risk premium based on Morningstar
    (Ibbotson) Yearbook
  • Generally similar to CAPM after adjustments for
    size and specific risks

16
Business Valuation Weighted Cost of Capital
  • Cost of Equity and Leverage
  • Companies with More Debt Relative to Equity are
    Riskier and Have Higher Costs of Equity
  • Beta (B)
  • Beta is a measure of the sensitivity of the
    movement in returns on a particular stock to
    movements in returns on some measure of the
    market (i.e. SP 500, etc.)
  • Published and calculated betas typically reflect
    the capital structure of each respective company
    at market values
  • Unlevered beta is the beta a company would have
    if it had no debt
  • Lever the beta for the subject company based on
    one more assumed capital structure
  • The result will be a market-derived beta
    specifically adjusted for the degree of financial
    leverage of the subject company

Wd Weight of Debt We Weight of Equity Wc
Weight of Capital
17
Business Valuation Weighted Cost of Capital
  • Cost of Debt
  • Cost of Debt Based on Subject Companys Credit
    Rating and Borrowing Rate (i.e. Prime rate 1,
    BBB, BB, B-, Prime Rate, etc.) at Valuation Date
  • After Tax Cost of Debt
  • Cost of Debt x (1 Target Companys Tax Rate)
  • Debt to Capital Ratio
  • Control Value Target/Optimal or Industry Average
    Debt to Capital Ratio
  • Lack of Control/Minority Value Company Specific
    Debt to Capital Ratio

18
Business Valuation Other Notes About Income
Approach
  • Other Notes on Income Approach
  • Generally on a Control, Marketable Basis
  • Levels of Value
  • Synergy Level Cash Flow
  • Control Level Cash Flow
  • Minority Level Cash Flow
  • Publicly-Traded Company Derived Discount Rate
  • Minority and Marketable Level Discount Rate
  • Many Consider it to be Appropriate for Control
    Level

19
Business Valuation Market Approach
  • Publicly-Traded (Guideline) Comparable Company
    Analysis
  • The Guideline Publicly Traded Company Method
    indicates the value of the subject company by
    comparing it to publicly-traded companies in
    similar lines of business
  • Valuation Multiples Vary Based on Industry and
    States of Growth
  • Problem is that there are rarely perfect matches
  • Equity Multiples
  • Fair Market Value of Equity (Stock Price x
    Outstanding Number of Shares)
  • Common Equity Level Multiples
  • Price / Earnings (P/E)
  • Price / Tangible Book Value (P/B)

20
Business Valuation Market Approach
  • Publicly-Traded (Guideline) Comparable Company
    Analysis
  • Enterprise Multiples
  • Enterprise Value (Stock Price x Outstanding
    Number of Shares) Total Debt/Preferred
    Securities Cash and Short-Term Investments
  • Common Enterprise Level Multiples
  • EV / Revenue
  • EV / EBITDA
  • EV / EBIT

21
Business Valuation Market Approach
  • Publicly-Traded (Guideline) Comparable Company
    Analysis
  • Other Multiples
  • EV / RD Expenses of Phase I, Phase II and
    Phase III products in pipeline Early Stage
    Biotechnology
  • EV / of Licenses and Rights Shell Company,
    etc
  • Appropriate Multiple Depends on Company
    Characteristics

22
Business Valuation Market Approach
  • Market Transaction (MA) Approach
  • In the Guideline Merged and Acquired Company
    Method, the value of the business is indicated
    based on multiples paid for entire companies or
    controlling interests.
  • Public Market Transaction Approach
  • Public Buyer or Seller Transactions
  • Control Value
  • Private Market Transaction Approach
  • Private to Private Transactions
  • Control Value
  • Common Transaction Database
  • MergerStat, Pratts Stat, Biz Comps, Capital IQ

23
Business Valuation Market Approach
  • Market Approach Adjustments
  • Most Companies Differ from the Subject Company
  • Need to Adjust for Differences between Market
    Comparables and Subject Company
  • Common Adjustments are Based on
  • Size
  • Growth Rate
  • Profitability
  • Leverage
  • Other Company Specific Factors
  • Discounts and Premiums

24
Business Valuation Reconciling Items
  • Reconciling Items and Adjustments
  • Appropriate Weighting Value Conclusions from
    Different Approaches
  • Non-Operating Assets/Liabilities and Excess
    Working Capital/Cash
  • Pass-Through Entity Tax Adjustments
  • Adjustment for Discounted Cash Flow Analysis and
    Publicly-Traded Guideline Comparable Company
    Analysis
  • Depends on Hypothetical Buyer (C-Corp.? S-Corp.?,
    etc.)
  • Interest-Bearing Debt and Contingent Liabilities
  • Discounts and Premiums
  • Apply to Equity Level
  • Lack of Marketability and Minority Discounts, Key
    Person Discount and Control Premium, etc.

25
Discounts and Premiums
Control Premium Lack of Control/Minority
Discounts Lack of Marketability/Illiquidity
Discounts Others Discounts
26
Business Valuation Lack of Marketability
Discounts
  • Let the Fireworks Begin!!
  • Often subject to wide disparity among
    practitioners
  • Determination based on analogy
  • Data sources problematic
  • Reasonable range

27
Business Valuation Lack of Marketability
Discounts
  • Lack of Marketability Discounts (LOM)
  • Marketability (liquidity) is valuable. Other
    things equal, investors will pay more for the
    more liquid (marketable) asset
  • The discount for lack of marketability is the
    largest money issue in many, if not most,
    disputed valuations of minority interests in
    closely-held, private companies
  • The U.S. Tax Court normally allows discounts for
    lack of marketability for non-controlling
    interests in closely held companies, but the size
    of the discounts varies greatly from one case to
    another
  • Need to carefully study the recent case law in
    the relevant jurisdiction
  • The quality of the expert evidence and testimony
    presented in the Tax Court makes a big difference
    in the outcome
  • The Tax Court expects good empirical evidence,
    relevant to the subject at hand simple averages
    are insufficient

28
Business Valuation Lack of Marketability
Discounts
  • Lack of Marketability Discounts
  • The highest discount that the Tax Court has
    allowed purely for lack of marketability is 45,
    and most discounts have been considerably less
  • The ESOP discounts for lack of marketability are
    generally low because most ESOP stock has a put
    right to sell the stock back to the sponsoring
    company, thus enhancing its liquidity and value.
  • Dissenting shareholder and shareholder oppression
    cases are quite mixed on the matter of discount
    for lack of marketability
  • There is little case law on discount for lack of
    marketability in divorce cases, and what exists
    is also quite mixed
  • If the standard of value is clearly stated as
    fair market value, then a discount for lack of
    marketability is appropriate

29
Business Valuation Lack of Marketability
Discounts
  • Lack of Marketability/Illiquidity Discount for
    Minority Interest
  • Restricted Stock Studies
  • Restricted stocks are, by definition, stocks of
    public companies that are restricted from public
    trading under SEC Rule 144
  • Although they cannot be sold on the open market,
    they can be bought by qualified institutional
    investors. Thus, the restricted stock studies
    compare the price of restricted shares of a
    public company with the freely-traded public
    market price on the same date
  • Price differences are attributed to liquidity
  • Many feel the discounts are a reliable guide to
    discounts for LOM
  • Empirical Studies McConaughy, SEC Institutional
    Investor, Gelman, Trout, Moroney, Maher, Standard
    Research Consultants, Siber, FMV Opinion,
    Management Planning, Johnson, Columbia Financial
    Advisors Studies

30
Business Valuation Lack of Marketability
Discounts
  • Restricted Stock Studies
  • General Findings
  • Show that restricted shares are worth less than
    unrestricted shares generally ranging from 10
    to 30. Discounts as high as 55 have been
    observed
  • Discounts are larger for smaller companies and
    companies with more volatile stocks and more debt
  • These data are most appropriate for valuing
    restricted stocks and are difficult to apply to
    private companies
  • The value of the studies is that the comparisons
    are apples to apples (i.e. liquid stock value vs.
    illiquid stock value of the same company at the
    same time).
  • Restrictions have been relaxed and discounts have
    dropped
  • Statistical studies can explain at best 1/3 of
    the discount

31
Business Valuation Lack of Marketability
Discounts
  • Pre-IPO Stock Studies
  • A pre-IPO transaction is a transaction involving
    a private company stock prior to an Initial
    Public Offering (IPO)
  • The pre-IPO studies compare the price of the
    private stock transaction with the public
    offering price. The percentage below the public
    offering price at which the private transaction
    occurred is a proxy for the discount for lack of
    marketability
  • The application of pre-IPO studies heavily
    debated and criticized because comparisons are
    apples to oranges
  • The dates of the transaction differ at a time
    when the company is changing rapidly (in the year
    before the IPO)
  • Discounts are very large
  • Discounts/premium should be based on specific to
    the subject case and not past court cases

32
Business Valuation Lack of Marketability
Discounts
  • Other Studies
  • Modified put option model (i.e. Finnerty and
    Chaffee)
  • Modified cost of capital total beta (McConaughy
    and Covrig)
  • Private Company Discount by Koeplin, Sarin
    Shapiro, Journal of Applied Corporate Finance
    Winter 2000.
  • Find approximately a 30 discount. Perhaps the
    best study, but limited sample size makes it
    difficult to apply to a specific case.

33
Business Valuation Lack of Marketability
Discounts
  • Factors Affecting Discounts for Lack of
    Marketability
  • Companys Financial Performance and Growth
  • Size of Distributions
  • Prospects for Liquidity (Expected Liquidity
    Event)
  • Restrictions on Transferability
  • Companys Redemption Policy
  • Costs Associated with a Public Offering
  • Pool of Potential Buyers
  • Nature of the Company, Its History, Other Risk
    Factors
  • Amount of Control in Transferred Shares
  • Companys Management

34
Business Valuation Lack of Marketability
Discounts
  • Lack of Marketability/Illiquidity Discounts for
    Controlling Interests
  • Still a controversial concept
  • A company with control can be marketable, but
    illiquid
  • More marketable and liquid than the minority
    interest Higher lack of marketability discount
    for smaller blocks (for closely held companies)
  • Super majority requirement for certain States
  • Typically, private companies sell in 6 months
    which is shorter than the restriction period of
    restricted stocks

35
Business Valuation Control Premium and Minority
Discount
  • Control Premium
  • Other things equal, an interest with control is
    worth more than one that lacks control
  • An amount by which the pro rata value of a
    controlling interest exceeds the pro rata value
    of a noncontrolling interest in a business
    enterprise that reflects the power of control
    often associated with takeovers of public
    companies
  • Some suggest that valuations of controlling
    interests be adjusted upward if they are based on
    publicly-traded stock prices which are minority
    interests
  • Hubris and synergy may explain premia
  • Not needed if cash flows are estimated at the
    control level

36
Business Valuation Control Premium and Minority
Discount
  • Control Premium
  • Common Prerogatives of Control
  • Elect directors and appoint management
  • Determine management compensation and perquisites
  • Set policy and change the course of business
  • Acquire or liquidate assets
  • Select people with whom to do business and award
    contracts
  • Make acquisitions
  • Liquidate, dissolve, sell, leverage or
    recapitalize the company
  • Sell or acquire treasury shares
  • Register the companys stock for a public
    offering
  • Declare and pay dividends
  • Change the articles of incorporation or bylaws or
    operating agreement

37
Business Valuation Control Premium and Minority
Discount
  • Control Premium Database
  • Control Premia Based on Market Transactions
  • Identify one month to six months control premium
    prior to announcement date for public and private
    transactions from Mergerstat, Capital IQ, etc.
  • Control premia should exclude potential synergies
    associated with selected transactions, but this
    is extremely difficult
  • Appropriately adjust for other qualitative
    factors based on control prerogatives

38
Business Valuation Control Premium and Minority
Discount
  • Lack of Control/Minority Discount
  • Some feel that the control premium and the
    minority discounts should have the relationship
    as shown below
  • This is overly simplistic. Ignores hubris and
    synergy and other factors that impact take-over
    premia
  • Must deal with negative premia in databases

39
Business Valuation Control Premium and Minority
Discount
  • Lack of Control/Minority Discount
  • Supermajority Requirement About a quarter of
    the states require something more than 50 plus 1
    share vote to approve certain major corporate
    actions, such as selling out or merging. Thus, a
    discount for a lack of supermajority may be
    appropriate
  • Swing Vote Potential Depending on distribution
    of the stock, a minority, swing block could have
    the potential to gain a premium price over a pure
    minority value
  • Interest of 50 - Discount from lack of control
    value should be less for the interest with some
    control prerogatives and a little greater for the
    interest without the control prerogatives
  • Many experts feel that publicly-traded stocks
    generally sell at a control value

40
Business Valuation Other Discounts
  • Other Discounts
  • Key Person Discount
  • Measure potential negative impact to the
    projected cash flows in the absence of Key
    Personnel
  • Trapped-in Capital Gains
  • A company holding an appreciated asset would have
    to pay a capital gains tax on the sale of the
    asset. If ownership of the company were to
    change, the liability for the tax on the sale of
    the appreciated asset would not disappear
  • Use with Caution, it depends on expected time of
    liquidity event (usually applied when liquidity
    event is imminent
  • Consult a tax expert to analyze the situations
  • Block Discount
  • A large interest may be less liquid than a
    smaller one

41
Business Valuation Other Discounts
  • Other Discounts
  • Voting vs. Non-Voting
  • If a company has both voting and nonvoting
    classes of stock, there may be a price difference
    between the two, usually in favor of the voting
    stock
  • Based on level of influence by the voting
    shareholders, restrictive agreements, state laws
    and policies and the total number of block of
    shares between voting and non-voting
  • Empirical studies indicates premium for voting
    shares
  • Lease, McConnell and Mikkelson Study 5.4
  • Robinson, Rumsey and White Study 3.5 4.5
  • OShea and Siwicki Study 3.5
  • Houlihan Lokey Howard Zukin Study 3.2
    (average), 2.7 (median)

42
Business Valuation Discounts and Premiums
  • Common Errors in Applying Discounts and Premiums
  • Greed produces inconsistencies with economic
    reality
  • Low value desired
  • Conservative projections
  • High discount rate
  • Large DLOM, etc.
  • Higher value desired
  • Aggressive projections
  • Low discount rate
  • Small DLOM, etc.
  • Conservative projections should be accompanied by
    a lower discount rate
  • Aggressive projections should be accompanied by a
    higher discount rate

43
Business Valuation Discounts and Premiums
  • Common Errors in Applying Discounts and Premiums
  • Using synergistic acquisition premia to quantify
    premiums for control
  • Assuming that the discounted cash flow valuation
    method always produces a minority value
  • Assuming that the guideline public company method
    always produces a minority value
  • Valuing underlying assets instead of the stock or
    partnership interests
  • Using minority interest marketability discount
    data to quantify marketability discounts for
    controlling interests
  • Using only pre-initial public offering studies
    and not restricted stock studies as benchmark for
    discounts for lack of marketability
  • Indiscriminate use of average discounts or
    premiums applying (or omitting) a premium or
    discount inappropriately for the legal context
  • Applying discounts or premiums to the entire
    capital structure
  • Quantifying discounts or premiums based on past
    court cases
  • Using a tangible (real property, fixed assets,
    etc.) appraiser to quantity discounts and
    premiums
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