Retrocausation implies Decline

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Retrocausation implies Decline
Dick J Bierman University of Amsterdam Presented
at the decline effect, Oct. 19-21, Santa Barbara
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The Argument

• 1. Examples of across experiment declines in
  anomaly research
• No regression to the mean
• Increasing quality?
• 2. Models
• Sensory metaphor is inadequate
• All Anomalous effects are retrocausal
• 2. Paradoxes are 'forbidden' in Nature
• Cumulative Effect size is limited to prevent
  paradoxes
• 3. MainStream decline a.o. experimenter psi
  effect?

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Not only 'precognition' but all anomalous
phenomena can and must be modeled as retrocausal

• Traditional Perceptional/informational models
• Extra SENSORY perception
• 3rd EYE, 6th SENSE

Subject is supposed to 'scan' all environment
(all space and time) to select relevant
information, in this case the target. Requires
near infinite amount of processing capacity.
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Limit 'information' to future feedback

• Note that in Ganzfeld (apparent real time)
  telepathy research feedback is given.
• Anomalous correlations only with own FUTURE brain
  state
• Feedback is required
• Effect decreases with distance in time
• Delayed feedback gives smaller effect size

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Physics

• Contrary to Newtonian belief physics is quite
  liberal in accepting 'retrocausality'
• The advanced solution of EM theory
  (time-symmetry)
• Any retrocausal theory has to deal with paradoxes.

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Very recent

• Can a Future Choice Affect a Past Measurement's
  Outcome?
• Yakir Aharonov, Eliahu Cohen, Doron Grossman,
  Avshalom C. Elitzur
• (last revised 18 Sep 2012 (this version, v5))
• An EPR experiment is studied where each particle
  undergoes a few weak measurements of different
  spin-orientations, whose outcomes are
  individually recorded yet iv) The weak
  measurements' outcome agrees with those of the
  strong ones. The only reasonable resolution seems
  to be namely that the weak measurement's
  outcomes anticipate the experimenter's future
  choice, even before the experimenter themselves
  knows what their choice is going to be. Causal
  loops are avoided by this anticipation remaining
  encrypted until the final outcomes enable to
  decipher it.

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What about paradoxes

• Prediction of candle induced fire and responding
  with removal of candles is formally equivalent
  with grandfather paradox
• Novikov consistency principle
• Time-travel is posssible but not in a way that
  potentially paradoxes might be created.
• Schmidt Can effects precede their cause?
• Foundations of Physics, 1978
• Yes but Fooling Nature i.e. Paradox creation)
  results in decrease of effect. DECLINE!!!!!
• Nick Herbert anecdote.

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DECLINE

• If signal/noise ratio is improved then perfect
  predictions become more probable and hence
  paradox creation might be possible.
• Replication increases signal/noise ratio
• Increasing sample size idem

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Main stream declineExperimenter psi?

• Assume that any effect has two contributions
• Normal causal relation
• Anomalous experimenter (FB driven) psi effect
• Then
• The experimenter-psi contribution will decline.
• Experimenter psi is strongest in field of psi
  research due to self selection.

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How to proceed in psi research

• Parallel replications
• No sequential replication of parallel reps

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Thank you for your attention
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Very recent

• Can a Future Choice Affect a Past Measurement's
  Outcome?
• Yakir Aharonov, Eliahu Cohen, Doron Grossman,
  Avshalom C. Elitzur
• (last revised 18 Sep 2012 (this version, v5))
• An EPR experiment is studied where each particle
  undergoes a few weak measurements of different
  spin-orientations, whose outcomes are
  individually recorded yet iv) The weak
  measurements' outcome agrees with those of the
  strong ones. The only reasonable resolution seems
  to be namely that the weak measurement's
  outcomes anticipate the experimenter's future
  choice, even before the experimenter themselves
  knows what their choice is going to be. Causal
  loops are avoided by this anticipation remaining
  encrypted until the final outcomes enable to
  decipher it.