Title: Aging in an Aging Society Diversity, Challenges, and Potential for Civic Engagement
1Aging in an Aging SocietyDiversity, Challenges,
and Potential for Civic Engagement
- Victor W. Marshall, PhD
- UNC Institute on Aging
- Victor_marshall_at_unc.edu
Lifelong Access Libraries Institute UNC at
Chapel Hill July 31, 2006
2Outline
- The Aging of America
- Diversity of the Older Population
- Family and Household
- Factors Associated with Civic Engagement
3THE AGING OF AMERICA Three Factors Affect the
Age Structure of any Population
- Birth Rates (which have fallen)
- Life Expectancy (which has increased)
- Immigration and Migration Rates
4U.S. Population Pyramids
1990
2025
2050
Age
Percent Male (blue) and Female (green)
Source of charts US Census Bureau
5Declining Fertility
- US completed fertility higher than most
industrialized countries (about 1.9) - But has declined (from 3.1 in 1975)
- Hispanic womens birth rate 66 higher than
non-hispanic white women (96.9/1000 aged
15-44 versus 58.5) - Source US Census Bureau
618 more years
12 more years
6 more years
4 more years
770 million
35 million
21 million
3 million
4.2 million
8Increases in the Oldest OldU.S. Population Aged
85 (millions)
Source of data U.S. Census Bureau, We the
American Elderly, September 1993.
9Percentage of Americans Age 65 Expected to
Survive Age 90
Four-fold increase
Source of data US Census Bureau
10Living to 100Number of Centenarians in the U.S.
24 of all elderly
10 of all elderly
Source of data US Census Bureau, Current
Populations Reports, P23-199RV, July 1999
11Population Changes
- According to Census Bureau projections, the
elderly population will more than double between
now and the year 2050, to 80 million. - Much of this growth is attributed to the "baby
boom" generation which will enter their elderly
years between 2010 and 2030. - The most populous States are also the ones with
the largest number of elderly. However, the
States with the greatest proportion of elderly
are generally different from those with the
greatest number.
Source of data US Census Bureau
12Percent of Total State Population 65 Years and
Over 1995 to 2025
13Moving to the Sun BeltNet Migration, Age 65,
1985-1990
Negative Net Migration Positive Net Migration
Source of data Longino, Charles F. Retirement
Migration in America. Houston Vacation
Publishers, 1995.
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15Breaking Down Age 65
16Gender, Race, Class, and Health Differentiation
- Elderly women outnumber elderly men.
- The elderly are becoming more racially and
ethnically diverse. - Poverty rates rise with advancing age.
- Great variability by health status
17Women Live LongerU.S. Population by Gender and
Age (2000)
All Ages
Age 65
Age 85
Male48.9
Male30.1
Male41.6
Female51.1
Female58.4
Female69.9
Source of data US Census Bureau, Resident
Population Estimates of the United States by Age
and Sex, 2000
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19Older Women More Likely to Live AloneLiving
Arrangements of Older Adults in U.S. (1998)
WOMEN
MEN
Source of data US Census Bureau, Current
Population Survey, P20-514, March 1998
20Differences in Life ExpectanciesAt Age 65 (1998)
Source of data National Vital Statistics Report,
Vol. 47, No. 13, December 24, 1998
21Projected ChangesRacial Background of U.S.
Elderly (2050)
Note Persons of Hispanic origin may be of any
race. Source of data U.S. Census Bureau, We
the American Elderly, September 1993.
22Income, 65 Households
Source Civic Ventures Fact Sheet on Older
Americans
23At Risk from PovertyPercent of 65 in Poverty in
the U.S. (1998)
All 65 persons10.5
Source of data US Census Bureau, Poverty in the
United States 1998 (P60-207)
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26Change in Median Net Worth of 65 Households
1984 - 2001
- 1984
- Average 98,900
- Whites 113,400
- Blacks 25,600
- 2001
- Average 179,800
- Whites 205,000
- Blacks 41,000
Source Panel Study of Income Dynamics
27Older Adults More Likely to Have Disabilities
Source of data Current Population Reports,
Americans with Disabilities, 1994-95, P70-61,
August 1997.
28http//www.census.gov
29Factors Related to Active Aging and Civic
Engagement
- EDUCATION Volunteering, but also work in paid
employment higher with increased education - LABOR FORCE PARTICIPATION Is increasing at older
ages and policy thrusts will increase it more - CAREGIVING Will place increasing strain on baby
boomers and younger old people
30Flexibility is a Key
- Baby boomers and older workers want flexibility
in working patterns for example, phased
retirement, flexible hours, telecommuting. This
should apply to volunteering and civic engagement
activities
31Educational Attainment of Population 65 by Race
and Hispanic Origin 2003
- Bachelors Degree
- Total 17
- White alone 19
- Asian alone 29
- Black alone 10
- Hispanic of any race 6
- High School
- Total 72
- White alone 76
- Asian alone 70
- Black alone 52
- Hispanic of any race 36
1950 3
1950 17
Source US Census Bureau, Current Population
Survey Annual Social and Economic Supplement
32Reimagining America AARPs Blueprint for the
Future. 2005
33By 2045, older workers add 3 trillion/yr (9) to
GDP
34Value and Cost of Informal Caregiving
- 12.8 million Americans need care
- 7.3 million are 65 and older
- The value of informal caregiving is estimated at
196 billion per year - Informal caregiving exceeds nursing home and home
care expenses by 81 billion - Caregiving costs U.S. businesses 11.4 billion
annually - Caregivers lose up to 659,139 over a lifetime
Geriatric Social Work Initiative, San Jose State
University, College of Social Work
35Older Adults as Volunteers
Age 55-64 Age 65-74 Age 75
Percentage who volunteer 50.3 46.6 43.0
Tot. volunteers 11.9 million 8.5 million 7.1 million
Avg weekly hours per volunteer 3.3 hours 3.6 hours 3.1 hours
Total time volunteered annually 4.8 billion hrs 1.6 billion hrs 1.1 billion hrs
Source Independent Sector, Americas Senior
Volunteers, June 2000
36What the Demographic Data Tell Us
- The population is aging and the older adult
population is the fastest growing sector - Older adults becoming more racially and
ethnically diverse.
37What the Demographic Data Tell Us
- Additional sources of diversity such as
education, health, and family status suggest a
highly variable constituency for libraries and
for civic engagement initiatives - The majority of older adults report good health
and many are able to work and contribute to
family and society
38Acknowledgments
- Danielle Borasky, Associate Director for Library
and Information Services, UNC Institute on Aging,
and the Digital Carousel on the IOA website - Mary Altpeter, Associate Director for Program
Development, UNC Institute on Aging