Title: lkgal
1- Expanding Carlsbergs Northern European
Leadership
- Carlsberg Breweries
- Acquisition of Holsten-Brauerei
- January 20, 2004
2Acquisition of Leadership Position in Northern
Germany
- Carlsberg is to acquire the main part of the
brewing assets of Holsten for 437m (Enterprise
Value) - Acquisition is being effected through a bid by
Carlsberg for the entire issued share capital of
Holsten at 38.00 per share conditional on
regulatory clearance - The total Enterprise Value of the bid for Holsten
is 1,065m (including 542m of net debt).
Carlsberg has entered into conditional agreements
to buy 51 of Holsten from Eisenbeiss family and
other parties - Carlsberg entered into back-to-back on-sale
agreements to sell certain assets - The Holsten business strengthens Carlsbergs
leading position in the Northern European markets
3Transaction Structure
Envisaged transaction steps
Brewing Assets
Water Companies
- Carlsberg takes over Holsten-Brauerei by public
tender offer - Holsten-Brauerei divests König and Licher to
Bitburger Group - Water business to be sold to third party
Hansa-Brunnen, Rellingen
König Brauerei, Duisburg
Holsten-Brauerei, Hamburg
Hansa-Mineral-brunnen, Rellingen
Mecklenburgische Brauerei Lübz
Licher Privat-brauerei, Lich
Heemann Group,Löhne
Feldschlösschen, Dresden
3rd Party
Feldschlösschen, Braunschweig
Landskron, Görlitz
Note Chart shows structure only. Actual
transaction includes numerous subsidiaries
4Strategic and financial rationale
- Carlsberg secures 1 position in key German
regional markets of Schleswig-Holstein, City of
Hamburg, Mecklenburg-Vorpommern, Lower Saxony and
Saxony - Enhanced brand portfolio with strong potential
benefits from Holsten brand exports especially in
the UK and Russia - Synergies available from cost efficiencies,
production relocation and cross selling of the
Carlsberg and Holsten brands - Acquisition is expected to be earnings neutral
(pre goodwill amortisation and including
synergies) in 2005 - Based on current estimates, the transaction will
meet ROIC requirements by 2006
5Holsten business overview
Competitive environment
Market Shares
Total market size for core markets is approx. 25m
hl representing 25 of the total German market
Northern German Market
Schleswig Holstein and Hamburg
Carlsberg Holsten 21.2 Interbrew 16.1 Brau
und Brunnen 8.4 Warsteiner 7.0 Saxony Radeberg
15.5 Brau und Brunnen 13.2 Carlsberg
Holsten 11.7 Interbrew 7.5
Mecklenburg Vorpommern
Lower Saxony - South
Total capacity added to Carlsberg production
network 7.9m hl
Saxony
Breweries acquired by Carlsberg
Market share data for Carlsbergs share of
Holsten only (2003-H1) Source Deutscher
Brauerbund, 2003, GFK and Nielsen
6Holsten brand portfolio
Regional brands
National brands
7Brand strategy
Offer niche products to ensure a complete and
appealing brand portfolio
National specialty
Aspirational brand positioning driven by strong
advertising and promotional campaigns
Internationalpremium
Support, develop and leverage on existing
platform and heritage
Nationalbrands
Champion regional brands with loyal customer base
and a powerful brand heritage
Regionalbrands
8Carlsberg Northern European Leadership
No 1
No 3
- Expanding the Northern European platform to
build market leadership in all key markets - Reinforces Carlsbergs strong position in the
European brewing industry - strengthens both Carlsberg and local brands by
utilising the powerful distribution network and
sales force in Germany - reinforces the export and license business of the
group by expanding the portfolio with the Holsten
brands
1
3
9Benefits of the acquisition
- Cross-selling
- Strong potential market for Carlsberg
- Holsten enjoys excellent sales force penetration
into off-trade and approximately 20,000 on-trade
points of sale - Capacity Utilisation
- The acquisition will enable Carlsberg to bring
its German production in-house, further
improving Holstens production efficiency and
capacity utilisation - Export Potential
- Holsten is one of the top two exported German
brands - Holsten has significant potential in the UK, and
also in Russia where it is a well-known and
growing brand
10Financial Terms
Purchase price per share
38
523m
Implied equity value for 100
542m
Net debt
1,065m
Enterprise value
Less Enterprise value, sale of certain
Brewing assets Water assets
469m
159m
437m
Enterprise value(Carlsberg part of
Holsten-Brauerei) includes 314m net debt
11Financial background to acquisition
- Carlsberg is acquiring assets from the Holsten
business at a temporary blip in profitability
caused by the impact of the German Deposit Law
Assets to be acquired (pre-synergies)
2001 2002 2003E 2004F
Sales 532 506 441 521 EBITDA 37 48 48 57 EBIT (
3) 8 1 7
(calculated using IAS)
- Holsten has already implemented a strong
turnaround plan to deal with the Deposit Law
involving - switching volumes from cans to PET
- management driven cost reduction
- which defended Holstens EBITDA during that
period (02 03) - Capital employed (pro-forma 2002) ca. 370m
12Synergies
- Carlsberg has identified specific synergy
opportunities - identified annual synergies are expected to be
7m in 2004, 14m in 2005 and 17m by 2006 - include the benefit of an anticipated 200 thl
increase in volume within 12 months of taking
ownership of the assets - from Carlsberg and Tuborg brands in Germany
- of Holsten brands in Germany
- of Holsten exports
- 70 of the synergies are driven by hard cost
savings. This will be generated by 2006 from
Brewery Best Practice, Procurement and Cost
Savings - Anticipate the total cost of achieving the
anticipated synergies to be 35m (pre tax), which
will be capitalised
13Valuation
Pre- Post- synergies synergies 2002A 2003E
2004F 2004F(1)
EV/Sales 0.9x 1.0x 0.8x 0.8x EV/EBITDA 9.1x 9
.1x 7.7x 7.0x EV/EBIT 54.6x nm 62.4x 35.7x
EV/HL ( ) 57.5 70.5 60.7 59.6
(1) Transaction goodwill 70m Note Estimated
EV/EBITDA and EV/EBIT multiples for 2005 5.3x
and 14.0x respectively
- The transaction will be marginally net earnings
dilutive in 2004 and net earnings neutral in 2005
(pre goodwill amortisation and including
synergies) - Based on current estimates, the transaction will
meet ROIC requirements by 2006
14Carlsberg Germany looking forward
- It is anticipated that Nils S. Andersen will be
elected Chairman of the future Supervisory Board - The implementation plan will be the
responsibility of Wolfgang Burgard who will
remain Head of Carlsbergs German operations - Current Holstens CEO Andreas Rost has been
offered to join the Carlsberg Breweries Groups
management team in Copenhagen and it is
anticipated that he will be elected member of the
future Supervisory Board of Holsten-Brauerei - The headquarters of Carlsberg Germany will be in
Hamburg
15Creating value
Investors
Employees
- Strengthening regional leadership
- Attractive synergy potential
- Value creating from 2006
- Investment in people, brands and infrastructure
- Commercial, production and administrative
excellence - International development
Consumers
Customers
- Maintain brand heritage and high quality
standards - Expand product choice access to broader brand
portfolio - Product innovation
- Support and develop sales organization and
distribution network - Leverage on existing platform with expanded brand
portfolio - Invest in brand through marketing and promotion
-
16In summary
- Carlsberg is offering to acquire Holsten-Brauerei
for an enterprise value of 1,065m - Following the on-sales planned for certain
brewing and water assets, the net consideration
payable for the remaining assets is 437m - This acquisition will make Carlsberg Breweries
the leading brewer in the north of Germany - This will expand the Northern European leadership
position and create considerable synergies - Carlsberg expects the acquisition to become
earnings neutral (post synergies) in 2005 and to
meet ROIC requirements by 2006
17Expanding Carlsbergs Northern European Leadership
18Timing of transaction
- Carlsberg expects the transaction to complete by
Q2 2004. Our best estimate for the key events and
dates are set out below
Carlsberg receives approval from the BaFin of
the offer document and launches conditional
voluntary offer for Holsten Anti-trust approvals
expected to be granted to Carlsberg Carlsberg
anticipate closing offer Shareholder meeting to
approve on-sales
February
end - February
end - March
mid - April