Risk Management and Mitigation for Cohesive Space Operations

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Risk Management and Mitigation for Cohesive
Space Operations
Russell L. Strachan, P. E Muniz Engineering
Inc. [phone] Russell.L.Strachan_at_Boeing.com

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Risk Management Mitigation

• Definitions
• Risk an undesirable situation which has both
  probability of occurring and a potential
  consequence to program success
• Risk Management an organized, systematic
  decision-making process that identifies,
  analyzes, effectively reduces risks to achieve
  program goals

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Risk Management Mitigation

• Risk Management Flow Chart

Monitor Risk Mitigation
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Risk Management Mitigation

• ISSP Risk Matrix
• Likelihood the chance a situation to occur
• Consequence the magnitude of the impact

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Risk Management Mitigation

• Pitfalls of Risk Management Mitigation
• Late assessments (hind sight)
• Too much or not enough information/data
• Inappropriate tool or technique used
• Meaningless metrics for decision making
• Trivialize to lip service or window dressing with
  management buy-in
• We made this recommendation a year ago

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Risk Management Mitigation

• Obstacles to Cohesive Operations
• Thought Process - over regimented or habitual
• Tunnel or Silo Vision - too goal oriented
• Non-communication
• between parallel flights in development
• Min data exchanged between disciplines
• within and across Directorates (turf battles)
• Documents signed in a timely manner

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Risk Management Mitigation

• Obstacles to Cohesive Operations
• Training Constraints
• HW and Documentation availability
• Time spent in US vs. Russia
• System (emphasis now) vs. Payload (ISS purpose)
• Certification and Workload of Personnel
• Simulation Console Support (need for cert)
• Mission Console Support (some areas thin on 5A)
• Mission Product Development (between support)

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Risk Management Mitigation

• Obstacles to Cohesive Operations
• Different Model Size Requirements
• multiple versions needed
• Software Workarounds
• race between developers, test, training,
  controllers
• Procedures - Detail and Frequency
• STS reminder ISS involved occasional use
• Mission Duration
• STS 16 days max ISS 4 months

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Risk Management Mitigation

• Obstacles to Cohesive Operations
• Resource Management
• test equipment - availability priority
• manufacturing - supply of material or spares
• personnel - special skills limited number
• Timeline Development
• US everyday Russia 4-day cycle
• Response to Perceived Emergencies
• US anticipate Russia as arises

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Risk Management Mitigation

• Obstacles to Cohesive Operations
• Response to Anomalous Performance
• do something vs. wait access
• Anticipating Risk Impacts
• Plan to best vs. worst case
• Umbrella statement vs. detailed
• Problem Resolution
• Complicated vs. Simplistic
• IPP Cultural Differences
• Just two or three of these obstacles out of
  balance can impact the other operations

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Risk Management Mitigation

• Value Added by RMM
• timely, objective and proactive perspective
• promote out of the box thinking
• provides a checks and balances of decisions
• technical expertise to assist with problem areas
• challenges designs, requirements, processes,
  products to ensure safe competent
• unbiased by most budget, schedule, or political
  influences (Programs conscience)

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Risk Management Mitigation

• Summary Conclusion
• RM establishes confidence in the technical
  integrity and safety of NASA programs/projects by
  identifying and tracking risks that might go
  unnoticed until a mishap or failure
• RM helps prepare the shuttle, ISS, and other
  spacecraft to achieve mission goals and success
  now and in the future