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Common Currency: Pros and Cons of Dollarization

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Title: Common Currency: Pros and Cons of Dollarization


1
Common CurrencyPros and Cons of Dollarization
  • Examples of Dollarized Countries
  • Ecuador (since 2000), El Salvador (since 2001),
    and Panama (since 1904)

2
General economic arguments for dollarization
  • Dollarization practically eliminates the
    likelihood of currency crises and provides
    greater currency stability for the adopting
    country. Without a domestic currency, there is
    no risk of a sharp devaluation or of sudden
    capital outflows driven by fears of devaluation.
    This allows the dollarized country to reduce the
    risk premium and thus interest rates paid on
    foreign debt, thereby lowering the borrowing
    costs for both the government and the private
    sector. Lower interest rates would boost
    business investment and enhance economic growth.
  • Since dollarization minimizes currency exchange
    risks and reduces transaction costs for
    cross-border trade and investment activities, it
    would enhance trade ties with the U.S. and
    attract foreign investment from the U.S. and
    other countries as well. Dollarization would
    thus increase the integration of the dollarized
    economy with both the U.S. and the global economy.

3
General economic arguments against dollarization
  • The dollarized country would lose control over
    monetary policy as a tool to deal with domestic
    economic problems. Specifically, the country
    would not be able to conduct its own monetary
    policy to bolster growth or combat inflation when
    needed. Adopting the dollar means that the U.S.
    central bank would set interest rates. Since the
    U.S. might have different economic conditions and
    different domestic objectives, the U.S. monetary
    policy could be at odds with the needs of the
    dollarized economy.
  • Dollarization would remove the adopting countrys
    ability to use exchange rate adjustment to meet
    domestic economic objectives. If its economy
    gets worse, the dollarized country would not be
    able to boost the economy by devaluing its
    currency to promote exports.
  • If other currencies depreciate substantially
    relative to the dollar, it would hurt the
    competitiveness of the dollarized countrys
    exports seriously. Of course, if other
    currencies appreciate considerably against the
    dollar, it would be a boom to the exports from
    dollarized country.

4
A political argument against dollarization
  • Politically, a country is often reluctant to
    abandon its own currency, a symbol of its
    national pride and sovereignty. As a result,
    political resistance is nearly certain and likely
    to be very strong.
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