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Genetic Epidemiology of Cancer and its Risk Factors

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Title: Genetic Epidemiology of Cancer and its Risk Factors


1
Genetic Epidemiology of Cancer and itsRisk
Factors
  • Hermine Maes
  • Cancer Control
  • March 2006

2
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3
Scandinavian Twin RegistriesLichtenstein et al.
2000 NEJM 34378-85
  • Swedish Twin Registry
  • Born 1886-1925 N10,503p Ncancer4490
  • Born 1926-1958 N12,883p Ncancer1157
  • Swedish Mortality Registry/ Swedish Cancer
    Registry
  • Danish Twin Registry
  • Born 1870-1930 N8461p Ncancer3572
  • Central register of Deaths/ Danish Cancer
    Registry
  • Finnish Twins
  • Born 1880-1958 N12,941p Ncancer1584
  • Central Population Register/ Finnish Cancer
    Registry

4
Types of cancer and concordance by sex/zygosity
in 44,788 pairs of twins from Sweden, Denmark and
FinlandLichtenstein et al. 2000 NEJM 34378-85
5
Genetic Epidemiology of Cancers Lichtenstein et
al. 2000 NEJM 34378-85
6
Genetic Epidemiology of CancersLichtenstein et
al. 2000 NEJM 34378-85
7
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8
Correlations Mammography densityBoyd et al. 2002
NEJM 347886-894
9
Heritability Mammography densityBoyd et al. 2002
NEJM 347886-894
10
Familial Risk for CancerSwedish Family-Cancer
Database
11
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12
Standardized incidence ratioHemminki et al. 2001
Br J Cancer 84388-391
13
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14
Population Attributable FractionHemminki Czene
2002 CEBP 111638-1644
15
Risk Factors for Cancer
  • Obesity
  • Exercise / Physical Activity
  • Smoking
  • Alcohol / Drug Use

16
Obesity
17
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18
Cancer Mortality due to BMI -menCalle et al.
2003 NEJM 3481625-1638
19
Cancer Mortality due to BMI -womenCalle et al.
2003 NEJM 3481625-1638
20
Population Attributable FractionCalle et al.
2003 NEJM 3481625-1638
21
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22
Cancer-attributable deaths EUBanegas et al. 2003
Eur J Clin Nutr 57201-208
23
All-cause deaths to excess weightBanegas et al.
2003 Eur J Clin Nutr 57201-208
24
Reviews on Genetics of Obesity
  • Price, 1987 Bouchard Pérusse, 1988 Stunkard,
    1991 Meyer and Stunkard, 1993 Sorensen and
    Stunkard, 1994 Meyer and Stunkard, 1994
    Bouchard and Pérusse, 1994 Sorensen, 1995,
    Meyer, 1995 Maes et al. 1997 .
  • focus particular type of study adoption, twin
    or family
  • main conclusion genetic factors play a
    significant role in variation of body fatness
  • debate how much is explained by genetic factors?
  • heritability h2
  • twin (.50-.90) gt
  • family (.20-.80) gt
  • adoption (.20-.60) studies
  • measure body mass index (BMI) weight
    (kg)/height2 (m)

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26
Twin correlations for BMI
27
Sibling PO correlations for BMI
28
Non-biological correlations BMI
29
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30
Correlations between RelativesMaes et al. 1997
Behav Genet 27325-351
  • Weighted mean correlation pooled across studies
  • .74 MZ twins .32 DZ twins
  • .24 siblings .19 parents and offspring (PO)
  • .12 spouses .06 adoptive relatives
  • Expectations based on correlations
  • 1-rMZ specific environmental factors
  • rMZ gt rDZ additive genetic factors
  • rDZ gt 1/2rMZ shared environmental factors
  • rDZ lt 1/2rMZ dominance genetic factors
  • rDZ gt rSib twin effects
  • rSib gt rPO age x gene interaction, dominance
  • rPO gt rSib cultural transmission
  • rSpouse gt 0 assortment
  • rAdoptSib/PO gt 0 shared environmental factors

31
Twin Studies of BMIMaes et al. 1997 Behav Genet
27325-351
32
Twin Studies of BMIMaes et al. 1997 Behav Genet
27325-351
33
Longitudinal Twin Studies of BMIMaes et al. 1997
Behav Genet 27325-351
34
Family Adoption Studies of BMIMaes et al. 1997
Behav Genet 27325-351
35
Integrated Approach
  • all collateral two-generational relationships
    identified in kinships of twins (first and second
    degree relatives)
  • gt estimate sex-dependent contributions of genes
    and environment to complex traits in presence of
    assortative mating
  • gt resolve genetic and cultural transmission, and
    both special MZ and special DZ twin environment
    effects
  • Stealth Eaves, 1999
  • ET-model Maes, 2006

36
Virginia 30,000
  • Structure of the Virginia 30,000 Sample
  • pedigrees twins parents, siblings, spouses,
    children
  • gt 80 sex-specific two-generation relationships
  • Ascertainment of the Virginia 30,000 Sample
  • questionnaires on 14,763 twins, ascertained from
    2 sources
  • N5287 families ltVirginia Twin Registry
  • N9476 twins ltAmerican Association of Retired
    Persons
  • BMI
  • log transformed, corrected for the linear and
    quadratic effects of age, sex, twin status,
    source of ascertainment (Virginia vs. AARP), and
    interactions between these terms

37
ET Model Results
  • proportions of variance for most parsimonious
    model
  • additive genes 35 males 39 females
  • genetic effects of assortative mating 2
  • dominance 31 males 26 females
  • gt broad heritabilities of .66 males .65 females
  • special twin environment 7-8
  • unique environmental remaining 27
  • special MZ twin environment, non-scalar sex
    limitation, cultural transmission, non-parental
    shared environment not significant
  • confidence intervals quite narrow lt large sample
    sizes
  • lt relative simplicity of model which accounts for
    covariation in 88 different familial
    relationships with only 10 parameters

38
Summary
  • convergent results for wide variety of
    relationship
  • studies with smaller sample sizes greater
    variability in estimates of correlation between
    relatives
  • gt substantial role for genetic factors in the
    etiology of individual differences in BMI
  • why higher heritability estimates in twin vs
    family studies
  • separate special twin environment for MZs DZs
  • significance of dominance variance
  • twins controlled for age effects
  • maternal effect (intrauterine effects on growth
    of fetus with lasting differences)
  • special MZ twin environment
  • epistatic effects from interaction of genes at
    two or more loci

39
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40
GenomeEUtwin ProjectSchousbou et al. 2003 Twin
Res 6409-421
41
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42
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43
Genetic Epidemiology of BMISchousbou et al. 2003
Twin Res 6409-421
44
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45
Human Obesity Gene MapPerusse et al. 2004 Obes
Res 13381-490
46
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47
Heritability of change in weight/fatBouchard
Tremblay 1997 J Nutr 127943S-947S
48
Heritability of fat mass and BMIFaith et al.
1999 Pediatrics 10461-67
49
Heritability of eating patternsvan den Bree et
al. 1999, Am J Clin Nutr 70456-465
50
Heritability of food intakeHeitmann et al. 1999
Am J Clin Nutr 69597-602
51
Exercise
52
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53
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54
Physical activity and CancerFriedenreich
Orenstein 2002 J Nutr 1323456S-3464S
55
Biological Mechanisms of activity Friedenreich
Orenstein 2002 J Nutr 1323456S-3464S
56
Framework PEACEFriedenreich Orenstein 2002 J
Nutr 1323456S-3464S
57
Twin Studies of ExerciseStubbe de Geus, 2006
Handbook of Behavior Genetics
58
Twin Studies of ExerciseStubbe de Geus, 2006
Handbook of Behavior Genetics
59
Twin Studies of Physical ActivityStubbe de
Geus, 2006 Handbook of Behavior Genetics
60
Genetics of Exercise BehaviorStubbe de Geus,
2006 Handbook of Behavior Genetics
61
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62
Heritability of exercise by ageStubbe et al.
2005 Med Sci Sports Exerc 37563-570
63
Genetic Epidemiology Studies
  • Advantages Disadvantages

64
Classical Twin Study I
  • MZ DZ twins reared together
  • ) age matching
  • gt age-dependent influences of genes or
    environment
  • ) sex limitation (male/female same opposite sex
    twins)
  • gt magnitude/source of effects of genes and
    environment
  • twins versus singletons
  • not generalizable if twins not representative of
    population
  • twins not significantly different from singletons
  • birth / first years of life, but twins catch up
    by age 8
  • self-report zygosity measures (difficulty being
    told apart)
  • discrepant MZ twins more likely classified as DZ
    twins
  • gt increasing heritability estimates

65
Classical Twin Study II
  • equal environment assumption
  • MZ/DZs equal proportion of salient environmental
    factors
  • similarity gt contact gt more shared environmental
    experiences (Lykken et al., 1990)
  • parents respond to, rather than create
    differences (Lytton , 1977)
  • genetic factors control degree to which
    environmental factors are shared by twins
  • special twin environment
  • twins/sibs equal proportion of salient
    environmental factors
  • intrauterine effects on the growth of the fetus
  • siblings lt twins (dichorionic lt monochorionic
    twins)
  • correlating intrapair differences in birth weight
    with those in adult BMI gt intra-uterine period
    not a critical period for development of
    adiposity (Allison et al., 1995)

66
Classical Twin Study III
  • GE correlation
  • genetic and environmental factors not independent
  • particular genetic make-up limits choice of
    environment
  • common source for genes environment parents
    phenotype gt offsprings environment gt combined
    genetic cultural transmission
  • different genotypes actively select different
    environment
  • eliciting genetic effect - with environmental
    pathway
  • GxE interaction
  • sensitivity to unique environment
    genotype-dependent
  • GxE interaction specific environmental effect
  • random mating
  • assortment of partners lt significant marital
    correlation
  • gt h2 overestimated in AE, underestimated in ACE
    model
  • spouse corr significant but low, c2 not
    significant gt h2 overestimated

67
Twins Reared Apart
  • ) prenatal environment
  • ) post-natal environment (age of separation)
  • representativeness
  • parents who put children up for adoption
    representative?
  • parents who adopt representative?
  • gt sampling of both genotypes and environments
    suspect
  • random placement
  • no correlation between biological and adoptive
    parents
  • gt independence of genetic and cultural
    transmission
  • generalizability of twin data
  • GxE interaction
  • random mating
  • no test of common environment

68
Family Studies
  • Nuclear Family Design parent-offspring, sibling
    spouse pairs
  • no separation of genetic and environmental
    transmission
  • significant correlations lt shared genes or
    environments (siblings cultural transmission/
    non-parental shared env)
  • gt measured indices of the environment gt construct
    environmental index free from any genetic
    background?
  • Twin Parent Design classical twin design with
    parents
  • ) separation of genetic and environmental
    transmission
  • 5 parameters heritability, non-parental shared
    env., cultural transmission, assortative mating,
    unique env.
  • model with sex differences applied to sum of
    skinfolds from LLTS (Maes et al., 1996) h2 .79
    males .90 females, genetic effects of assortment
    2, no shared environment

69
Extended Family Design
  • ) separation of genetic and cultural transmission
  • addition of second-degree relatives (over
    first-degree relatives)
  • gt estimation of additional parameters, such as
    dominance
  • ) assortative mating
  • estimate of assortment ltmarital correlation
  • assortative mating more likely explanation than
    cohabitation/marital interaction (Allison et al.,
    1996 Knuiman et al., 1996)
  • age x genotype interaction
  • children parents or siblings measured at
    different ages
  • gt different genetic/environmental factors at
    different ages gt parent-offspring sibling
    correlations reduced gt reduced h2
  • higher correlations of sibs close in age than
    further apart (Mueller Malina, 1980 Tambs et
    al.,1991)
  • longitudinal twin studies genetic correlations
    between twins measured at different ages gt mostly
    same genetic factors, but new genetic factors
    switch on at various ages
  • gt discrepancies between results from family
    twin studies

70
Adoption Studies I
  • Complete Adoption Design adopted/natural
    children adoptive/biological parents
  • ) resolution of effects from genes and shared
    environment
  • correlation of adopted children - biological
    parents gt estimate of genetic transmission
  • correlation of adopted children - adoptive
    parents gt estimate of cultural transmission
  • ) assortment
  • age effects
  • selective placement
  • adopted parents not selected based on any
    characteristic of adopted child or biological
    parents of adopted child
  • gt separation of genetic and environmental
    pathways
  • prenatal environment/ early postnatal
    environment
  • gt genotype-environment covariance

71
Adoption Studies II
  • Partial Adoption Design adopted children
    adoptive parents
  • ) estimate of cultural transmission not
    confounded with genetic transmission
  • adoptive versus regular parent-offspring
    correlations
  • gt estimate of the genetic transmission by
    subtracting and doubling adoptive
    parent-offspring correlation from biological
    parent-offspring correlation
  • ) assortment
  • age effects
  • selective placement
  • prenatal environment/ early postnatal
    environment
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