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IDENTITY AND EMPIRE: RUSSIAN HISTORICAL PATTERNS

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a.Nord-East- Murmansk-Kaliningrad. b.South-West- Black Sea. c.South-East- Pacific coast. d.Nord-East-chukotka, Kamchatka, Behring tr. RUSSIA, THE CONTINENTAL ISLAND ... – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: IDENTITY AND EMPIRE: RUSSIAN HISTORICAL PATTERNS


1
IDENTITY AND EMPIRE RUSSIAN HISTORICAL PATTERNS
  • by
  • Pal TAMAS IS HAS, Budapest

2
THE EASTERN BORDERS OF EUROPE
  • Antique interpretations- Tanais/Don
  • 16.-17.c. -Don, Volga,
    Kama, Ob pieces
  • 1720cca. Tatichev/Stalenberg- Urals
  • Danzig-Triest line

3
EURASIA, 116 C.E.
4
EURASIA, 8TH CENTURY
5
EURASIA, 1288
6
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7
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8
BASIC GEOPOLITICAL UNITS OF RUSSIA
  • COMPOSITE BLOCKS
  • 1.EURO-RUSSIA
  • 2.FAR-EASTERN RUSSIA
  • 3.URALO-SIBIR
  • 1-2. N-S 3.W-E.
  • EXTERNAL GATES
  • a.Nord-East- Murmansk-Kaliningrad
  • b.South-West- Black Sea
  • c.South-East- Pacific coast
  • d.Nord-East-chukotka, Kamchatka, Behring tr.

9
RUSSIA, THE CONTINENTAL ISLAND
  • The Baltic-Black sea continental trait and the
    limitrof V.Cimburskij
  • After 1991 turninng back to Asia/Europe
    imperialistic view no mans land?
  • The real center? Ekaterinburg- Orenburg-Kemerovo
  • The II. Velikorossija M.Iljin

10
GEOPOLITICAL FRAMES
  • Where does Europe stop?
  • What is the scope of the Euro-Atlantic community?
  • What is the present political meaning of
    Euroasia, if any?
  • How relevant is the term Post-Soviet space at
    all?

11
EASTERN INTERPRETATIONS OF EXPANSION/INTEGRATION
  • The Collecting of Lands Model
  • The Moving of Borders Colonization Model
  • The Strategic Border Model
  • The Restoration Model
  • Le Monde Sans Frontiérs Model

12
Russia in the European Politics
  • Bipolarity of Europe- division on the Rhein
  • France/the Holy Empire
  • 18.c. weakening Austria. From 1726 Russia in the
    European big politics
  • AU-SP-RU versus ENG-FR-PRUSS.
  • 1945- elimination of the Austrian-German eastern
    core, Russia is the now the Eastern core- pushed
    out of the system, th west is unipolar from that
    time

13
Russia between Europa and Asia
14
DISCOURSES ON EAST-WEST BORDERS
15
THE NEW GAME
  • VULNERABILITY OF THE NEW ELITES AND STATES AS A
    CENTRAL PROBLEM
  • Primary factors
  • External Western geopolitical interests
  • Programs of militant nation building and
    consolidation
  • Short term Russian geopolitical interests
  • Major socio-economic tensions in the new states

16
THE MAJOR FRONTLINE
  • a.THE NEW MIDEAST THE CAUCASUS as part of the
    region
  • b. Central Asia- as a borderland between China
    and the Moslim world
  • c. Vulnerability of energy supply lines for
    Europe
  • Different Russian-Western interests in the 3
    regions. In c stong co-operation is needed, but
    in A. and b. not.

17
THE GEOPOLITICAL MATRIX
18
MATRIX OF LOCAL STRATEGIES
19
GEOPOLITICS-LOCAL STRATEGIES
20
FUNDAMENTAL QUESTIONS
  • Who does generate Post-Soviet underdevelopment?
  • What are the tools of a low cost energy
    imperialism in comparison with the classical
    imperialism of free trade Ru-EU? in this
    region?
  • How do networks, webs, or circuits of foreign
    origin divide the new political class?
  • Are members of the Post-Soviet intelligentsia
    still modernization zealots?

21
CONCLUSIONS
  • HOTSPOTS
  • ZONES OF EASY COMPROMISES
  • CONFLICT AVOIDING STRATEGIES for the local CIS
    elites
  • a. no, or very few symbolic actions
  • b. selective decisions, networks with
    different vectors
  • c. relative, or step-by-step energy
    independence
  • d.readyness to compromises in local
    social conflicts

22
FUTURE ALTERNATIVE RU-EU SCENARIOS
  • Neo-Finlandization
  • Baltization
  • Mexicanization
  • Selective-competitive co-operation
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