Title: Decision Making Processes
1Decision Making Processes
2Decision Making
- The process by which members of an
organization choose a specific course of action
to respond to both problems and opportunities.
3Decision Making Process
- Decision making unfolds over time it is not
an event - Decision process may be more inquiry-based or
advocacy-based or somewhere in between
4Decision Making Processes
- Rational Models (prescriptive)
- Administrative Models (descriptive)
- Garbage Can Models (descriptive and political)
Inquiry Based
5Components of Decision Making
- Criteria
- Standards that we use to evaluate alternatives
- Alternatives
- Different options from which to choose
- Cause and effect beliefs
- Links between alternatives and criteria
- Example Salary Increase Decisions
6KMBA Fall 2007 Salary Increase Decisions
Differential is the difference between the
highest and lowest award. Numbers in red
indicate candidate was not represented by a group
member. RW was represented in this group.
7Ranks of Salary Increases KMBA Fall 2007
Numbers in red indicate candidate was not
represented by a group member.
8KMBA Salary DecisionsFall 2006
Differential is the difference between the
highest and lowest award Numbers in red indicate
candidate was not represented by a group member.
9Ranks of Salary Increases KMBA Fall 2006
10Rational Model Steps
- List all criteria against which alternatives will
be judged. - Attach weights to the criteria.
- Derive extensive list of alternatives from which
a choice will be made. - Judge each alternative against each criteria.
- Choose the alternative which best meets each
criteria (maximizes your preferred outcomes).
11Assumptions of the Rational Model
- People have access to all the information they
need to make a decision and are able to use this
information - Limitless time and effort available to make
decisions - People make decisions by choosing the best
possible solution to a problem or response to an
opportunity
12Administrative Decision Making Model
- A descriptive approach how we actually make
decisions - Incomplete information, psychological and
sociological processes, and the decision makers
cognitive abilities affect decision making
(bounded rationality) - Decision makers often choose satisfactory, not
optimal, solutions (they satisfice)
13Influences on Decisions
- Sociological influences
- Group norms and roles
- Organizational norms and systems
- National culture values
- Psychological influences
- Personality and ability
- Perception process
- Personal values
- Experiences and knowledge
- Cognitive Style MBTI
14Cognitive Style Preferences
- Preferences with regard to how we gather and
process information about the world - Does not denote a skill but a desired way of
information gathering and processing (can
override preferences) - Myers-Briggs Type Indicator (MBTI) is a popular
measure of cognitive style
15Extraversion vs. Introversion(E vs. I)
- Extraversion (E)
- Process information through social interaction
- Verbalizes ideas
- Thinks out loud
- Prefers face to face communication
- Introversion (I)
- Processes information internally
- Develops ideas and makes decisions alone
- Responds after reflection
- Prefers written forms of communication
16Sensing vs. Intuition (S vs. N)
- Sensing (S)
- Collects data through senses
- Prefers inductive reasoning
- Focus on details
- Learns through experience
- Focus on parts rather than whole system
- Use data (evidence) rather than theory to guide
decisions
- Intuition (N)
- Integrates data into internal models
- Prefers deductive thinking
- Focus on global view
- Learns theoretically
- Sees the connection and integration among parts
of a system - Uses theory to guide decisions
17Thinking vs. Feeling (T vs. F)
- Thinking (T)
- Decides analytically by using facts and
principles - Is logical and objective
- Examines links between causes and effects to make
decisions - Use objective criteria in decision making
- Feeling (F)
- Decides on the basis of subjective values, needs,
and feelings - Is more subjective and value in decision process
- Decision making may not be rational
- Use more subjective criteria in decision making
18Judging vs. Perceiving (J vs. P)
- Judging (J)
- Emphasize decision making and coming to closure
- Prefers order and structure in decision making
- Difficulty multi-tasking (is more linear)
- May develop entire plan before beginning action
- Likes to find a formula or template to guide
decision making
- Perceiving (P)
- Emphasize the gathering of information over
decision making - Prefers to remain flexible and open to new
options - Has difficulty coming to closure
- Likes multi-tasking (is more non-linear)
- Prefers lateral thinking
19Types of Business Students
- Typical student type ESTJ
- 65 E
- 65 S
- 70 T
- 70 J
- Typical faculty type INTJ
- More descriptions www.typelogic.com
20Implications of Cognitive Style
- Employee selection and placement
- Individual career choice
- Decision making
- Team building and counseling
- Instruction or training
21Intuition in Decision Making
- Alternative to rational models
- Intuition as
- Experience/expertise (more N types)
- Intuition as gut feeling (more F types)
- Role of feedback and learning in honing intuition
- Integration of rational and intuitive decision
making
Intuition is sometimes wrong, but never in
doubt.
22Additional Models of Decision Making
- Incremental Managers choose actions close to
past actions to reduce the risk (stable
environments) - Unstructured Managers use judgment and
intuition to make decisions in a series of little
steps that result in a major decision over time
(dynamic environments)
23Garbage Can Models
- Occurs under organized anarchy conditions of
ambiguity in goals and cause and effect
relationships, limited time, and not much data - Four streams of events occur problems,
participants, potential solutions, and choice
opportunities - Above are mixed in garbage can and some
decisions result
24Potential Problems in Decision Making
- Heuristics or shortcuts
- Escalation of commitment
- Groupthink
- Diffusion of responsibility
25Potential Problems in Decision Making
- Polarization
- Interpersonal or emotional conflict
- Lack of procedural fairness
- Appropriate closure
26The Role of Values in Decision Making
- Broad preferences that guide our actions
- Terminal and instrumental values (ends vs. means
values) - Intrinsic and extrinsic work values (or, do you
live to work or work to live?) - Values show up in decision goals and criteria
- Special case Ethical values at work
27Ethical Approaches
- Utilitarianism or consequence-based ethics
- Proponents John Stuart Mill and Jeremy Bentham
- Theory of duties/obligations/rights
- Proponent Immanuel Kant
- Theory of justice or fairness
- Proponent John Rawls
- Ethics of care
- Proponent Carol Gilligan
28What Typical Moral Dilemmas Do Managers Face?
- Failing to act when one observes unethical
behavior - Carrying out decisions/orders that you clearly
believe are wrong - Acting unethically because everyone else is
doing it - Falsifying data to meet deadlines, quality
standards, avoid extra work, etc. - Reducing safety and quality standards for
products sold in other countries with less strict
laws
29What Typical Moral Dilemmas Do Managers Face?
- Making phone calls, surfing the internet, playing
computer games, doing personal business on
company time - Lying about being sick or late
- Stealing office supplies for personal use
- Padding expense accounts or stealing monetary
resources from the company - Harassment of other employees, including e-mail
- Failure to walk the talk or the say-do gap
30What Typical Moral Dilemmas Do Managers Face?
- Failing to act when one observes unethical
behavior - Carrying out decisions/orders that you clearly
believe are wrong - Acting unethically because everyone else is
doing it - Falsifying data to meet deadlines, quality
standards, avoid extra work, etc. - Reducing safety and quality standards for
products sold in other countries with less strict
laws
31What Typical Moral Dilemmas Do Managers Face?
- Making phone calls, surfing the internet, playing
computer games, doing personal business on
company time - Lying about being sick or late
- Stealing office supplies for personal use
- Padding expense accounts or stealing monetary
resources from the company - Harassment of other employees, including e-mail
- Failure to walk the talk or the say-do gap