Title: Lehman Brothers 2003 CEO Energy/Power Conference
1Lehman Brothers2003 CEO Energy/Power Conference
2Cautionary Statements And Risk Factors That May
Affect Future Results
- In connection with the safe harbor provisions of
the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of
1995 (Reform Act), FPL Group, Inc. (FPL Group)
and Florida Power Light Company (FPL) are
hereby filing cautionary statements identifying
important factors that could cause FPL Group's or
FPL's actual results to differ materially from
those projected in forward-looking statements (as
such term is defined in the Reform Act) made by
or on behalf of FPL Group and FPL in this
presentation, in response to questions or
otherwise. Any statements that express, or
involve discussions as to expectations, beliefs,
plans, objectives, assumptions or future events
or performance (often, but not always, through
the use of words or phrases such as will likely
result, are expected to, will continue, is
anticipated, believe, could, estimated, may,
plan, potential, projection, target, outlook) are
not statements of historical facts and may be
forward-looking. Forward-looking statements
involve estimates, assumptions and uncertainties.
Accordingly, any such statements are qualified
in their entirety by reference to, and are
accompanied by, the following important factors
(in addition to any assumptions and other factors
referred to specifically in connection with such
forward-looking statements) that could cause FPL
Group's or FPL's actual results to differ
materially from those contained in
forward-looking statements made by or on behalf
of FPL Group and FPL. - Any forward-looking statement speaks only as of
the date on which such statement is made, and FPL
Group and FPL undertake no obligation to update
any forward-looking statement to reflect events
or circumstances after the date on which such
statement is made or to reflect the occurrence of
unanticipated events. New factors emerge from
time to time and it is not possible for
management to predict all of such factors, nor
can it assess the impact of each such factor on
the business or the extent to which any factor,
or combination of factors, may cause actual
results to differ materially from those contained
in any forward-looking statement. - The following are some important factors that
could have a significant impact on FPL Group's
and FPL's operations and financial results, and
could cause FPL Group's and FPL's actual results
or outcomes to differ materially from those
discussed in the forward-looking statements - FPL Group and FPL are subject to changes in laws
or regulations, including the Public Utility
Regulatory Policies Act of 1978, as amended
(PURPA), and the Public Utility Holding Company
Act of 1935, as amended (Holding Company Act),
changing governmental policies and regulatory
actions, including those of the Federal Energy
Regulatory Commission (FERC), the Florida Public
Service Commission (FPSC) and the utility
commissions of other states in which FPL Group
has operations, and the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory
Commission (NRC), with respect to, among other
things, allowed rates of return, industry and
rate structure, operation of nuclear power
facilities, operation and construction of plant
facilities, operation and construction of
transmission facilities, acquisition, disposal,
depreciation and amortization of assets and
facilities, recovery of fuel and purchased power
costs, decommissioning costs, return on common
equity and equity ratio limits, and present or
prospective wholesale and retail competition
(including but not limited to retail wheeling and
transmission costs). The FPSC has the authority
to disallow recovery of costs that it considers
excessive or imprudently incurred. - The regulatory process generally restricts FPL's
ability to grow earnings and does not provide any
assurance as to achievement of earnings levels. - FPL Group and FPL are subject to extensive
federal, state and local environmental statutes,
rules and regulations relating to air quality,
water quality, waste management, natural
resources and health and safety that could, among
other things, restrict or limit the output of
certain facilities or the use of certain fuels
required for the production of electricity and/or
increase costs. There are significant capital,
operating and other costs associated with
compliance with these environmental statutes,
rules and regulations, and those costs could be
even more significant in the future.
3- The operation of power generation facilities
involves many risks, including start up risks,
breakdown or failure of equipment, transmission
lines or pipelines, use of new technology, the
dependence on a specific fuel source or the
impact of unusual or adverse weather conditions
(including natural disasters such as hurricanes),
as well as the risk of performance below expected
levels of output or efficiency. This could
result in lost revenues and/or increased
expenses. Insurance, warranties or performance
guarantees may not cover any or all of the lost
revenues or increased expenses, including the
cost of replacement power. In addition to these
risks, FPL Group's and FPL's nuclear units face
certain risks that are unique to the nuclear
industry including the ability to dispose of
spent nuclear fuel, as well as additional
regulatory actions up to and including shutdown
of the units stemming from public safety
concerns, whether at FPL Group's and FPL's
plants, or at the plants of other nuclear
operators. Breakdown or failure of an FPL
Energy, LLC (FPL Energy) operating facility may
prevent the facility from performing under
applicable power sales agreements which, in
certain situations, could result in termination
of the agreement or incurring a liability for
liquidated damages. - FPL Group's and FPL's ability to successfully and
timely complete their power generation facilities
currently under construction, those projects yet
to begin construction or capital improvements to
existing facilities is contingent upon many
variables and subject to substantial risks.
Should any such efforts be unsuccessful, FPL
Group and FPL could be subject to additional
costs, termination payments under committed
contracts and/or the write-off of their
investment in the project or improvement. - FPL Group and FPL use derivative instruments,
such as swaps, options, futures and forwards to
manage their commodity and financial market
risks, and to a lesser extent, engage in limited
trading activities. FPL Group could recognize
financial losses as a result of volatility in the
market values of these contracts, or if a
counterparty fails to perform. In the absence of
actively quoted market prices and pricing
information from external sources, the valuation
of these derivative instruments involves
management's judgment or use of estimates. As a
result, changes in the underlying assumptions or
use of alternative valuation methods could affect
the value of the reported fair value of these
contracts. In addition, FPL's use of such
instruments could be subject to prudency
challenges by the FPSC and if found imprudent,
cost disallowance. - There are other risks associated with FPL Group's
non-rate regulated businesses, particularly FPL
Energy. In addition to risks discussed
elsewhere, risk factors specifically affecting
FPL Energy's success in competitive wholesale
markets include the ability to efficiently
develop and operate generating assets, the
successful and timely completion of project
restructuring activities, the price and supply of
fuel, transmission constraints, competition from
new sources of generation, excess generation
capacity and demand for power. There can be
significant volatility in market prices for fuel
and electricity, and there are other financial,
counterparty and market risks that are beyond the
control of FPL Energy. FPL Energy's inability or
failure to effectively hedge its assets or
positions against changes in commodity prices,
interest rates, counterparty credit risk or other
risk measures could significantly impair its
future financial results. In keeping with
industry trends, a portion of FPL Energy's power
generation facilities operate wholly or partially
without long-term power purchase agreements. As a
result, power from these facilities is sold on
the spot market or on a short-term contractual
basis, which may affect the volatility of FPL
Group's financial results. In addition, FPL
Energy's business depends upon transmission
facilities owned and operated by others if
transmission is disrupted or capacity is
inadequate or unavailable, FPL Energy's ability
to sell and deliver its wholesale power may be
limited. - FPL Group is likely to encounter significant
competition for acquisition opportunities that
may become available as a result of the
consolidation of the power industry. In
addition, FPL Group may be unable to identify
attractive acquisition opportunities at favorable
prices and to successfully and timely complete
and integrate them. - FPL Group and FPL rely on access to capital
markets as a significant source of liquidity for
capital requirements not satisfied by operating
cash flows. The inability of FPL Group and FPL
to maintain their current credit ratings could
affect their ability to raise capital on
favorable terms, particularly during times of
uncertainty in the capital markets which, in
turn, could impact FPL Group's and FPL's ability
to grow their businesses and would likely
increase interest costs.
4- FPL Group's and FPL's results of operations can
be affected by changes in the weather. Weather
conditions directly influence the demand for
electricity and natural gas and affect the price
of energy commodities, and can affect the
production of electricity at wind and
hydro-powered facilities. In addition, severe
weather can be destructive, causing outages
and/or property damage, which could require
additional costs to be incurred. - FPL Group and FPL are subject to costs and other
effects of legal and administrative proceedings,
settlements, investigations and claims as well
as the effect of new, or changes in, tax rates or
policies, rates of inflation, accounting
standards, securities laws or corporate
governance requirements. - FPL Group and FPL are subject to direct and
indirect effects of terrorist threats and
activities. Generation and transmission
facilities, in general, have been identified as
potential targets. The effects of terrorist
threats and activities include, among other
things, terrorist actions or responses to such
actions or threats, the inability to generate,
purchase or transmit power, the risk of a
significant slowdown in growth or a decline in
the U.S. economy, delay in economic recovery in
the U.S., and the increased cost and adequacy of
security and insurance. - FPL Group's and FPL's ability to obtain
insurance, and the cost of and coverage provided
by such insurance, could be affected by national
events as well as company-specific events. - FPL Group and FPL are subject to employee
workforce factors, including loss or retirement
of key executives, availability of qualified
personnel, collective bargaining agreements with
union employees or work stoppage. - The issues and associated risks and uncertainties
described above are not the only ones FPL Group
and FPL may face. Additional issues may arise or
become material as the energy industry evolves.
The risks and uncertainties associated with these
additional issues could impair FPL Group's and
FPL's businesses in the future.
5(No Transcript)
6Capitalizing on Our Strengths
- Premier integrated utility
- high growth, stable customer base
- favorable regulatory climate
- operational excellence
- Successful wholesale generation business
- well diversified portfolio
- substantially hedged
- uniquely positioned for growth
- Strong financial position
- Substantial cash flow
7FPL Group A Strong Balance
Earnings Contribution 2003E 1
- 2003 Capacity
- contracted 2 FPL
100 FPL Energy 77 - Total FPL Group 3 97
Florida Power Light
FPL Energy Corp. Other
Notes 1 Excludes the mark-to-market effect of
non-managed hedges, which cannot be determined at
this time 2 As of 7/7/03 3 Weighted average based
on 2003 estimated earnings contribution
8(No Transcript)
9FPL Strong Top-Line Growth
- Customer growth of 2.1 1
- over 4 million accounts
- favorable mix
Strong Demand Growth
3.7 avg annual kWh growth
of Revenues by Customer Class 2
FPL
2.4 avg annual kWh growth
Industry
55
35
FPL
Industry Average
- Underlying usage growth of 1.6 1
- inland expansion
- increasing average home size
Notes 1 Over last 10 years 2 As of 12/31/02
10Constructive Regulatory Environment in Florida
- Appointed public service commission
- 5 commissioners with staggered terms
- Fuel, purchased power directly passed through
- Rate certainty through end of 2005
- incentive-based agreement allowing shareholders
to benefit from productivity improvements - win-win revenue sharing provision instead of
ROE measure - No current activity on wholesale restructuring
11Delivering Value to Customers
Base Portion of 1,000 kWh Residential Bill
Real dollars (2002)
40
Nominal dollars
Residential Bill Comparison 1,000 kWh Bill
Rates of FPL as of 7/31/03 excluding municipal
taxes and franchise fees. Rates for PEF and TECO
as of 4/1/03 excluding municipal taxes and
franchise fees. Rates outside of Florida as
reported in EEI Typical Bills Report Winter 2003
(5/15/03).
12Superior Cost Performance(OM per customer)
Industry Average
1
FPL
Note 1 Includes a one-time 35 million FPSC
approved addition to the storm fund reserve.
13Operational Excellence at FPL
Plant Availability
Service Reliability Outage Time Per Customer
(Min.)
Fossil
Nuclear
FPL 50 better than average
FPL information as of 2002 industry information
as of 2001.
14Emission Rates Leadership Position
Nitrogen Oxide and Sulfur Dioxide (lbs/mwh)
Industry Average SO2
FPL SO2
Industry Average NOx
FPL NOx
Carbon Dioxide (lbs/kwh)
Industry Average
FPL
FPL historic information Emissions from AOR's,
Generation from 1192's reflects FPL ownership
share only, purchased power not included.
Electric Utility Industry historical data from
DOE's EIA Electric Power Annual 2001
(3/03). Electric Utility Industry projected data
from DOE's EIA Annual Energy Outlook 2003
(1/03).
15FPL Value Proposition
- Growing demand for electricity in our service
territory - Collaborative and progressive regulatory
environment - Outstanding operating performance
- Low environmental risk
Strong earnings and cash flow potential
16(No Transcript)
17FPL Energy A DisciplinedWholesale Generator
- Moderate risk approach
- diversified by region, fuel source
- well hedged portfolio
- emphasis on base-load assets
- Low cost provider
- modern, efficient, clean plants
- operational excellence
- Industry leader in wind generation
- Conservative, integrated asset optimization
function
- 9,691 1 net MW in operation
- presence in 24 states
Note 1 As of 8/26/03.
18Diversified Portfolio at FPL EnergyYear-end 2004
(Projected)
(11,763 1 Net MW in Operation)
Regional Diversity
Fuel Diversity
Gas
58
Northeast
Central
25
35
Wind
22
Other
Mid-Atlantic
1
24
Hydro
Nuclear
Oil
West
3
9
7
16
Note 1 As of 8/26/03.
19FPL Energy Moderate Risk Approach2004 Hedging
Program
Notes1 Weighted to reflect in-service dates,
planned maintenance and a Seabrook refueling
outage in 2003 2 Reflects RTC MW 3 Reflects
on-peak MW
20Other Projects/QF Portfolio Stable Earnings
- 1,255 MW net ownership
- Variety of fuels and technologies
- 87 natural gas
- includes solar, coal, waste-coal, and waste-wood
- Bellingham/Sayreville and Doswell 80 of MW
Solid Long-term Contract Coverage 1
Note 1 As of 7/7/03.
21Wind A Unique Advantage
- U.S. market leader with over 40 market share
- 1,767 net MW in operation
- Supported by policy trends (RPS, PTCs) and
economics
- Attractive financial characteristics
- long-term power contracts (15 25 years)
- ROEs in the high teens/low 20s
- accretive in first full year
- Approximately 835 MW to be added in 2003
22Seabrook Creating Significant Value
- Acquired premier nuclear unit for 799 million
- 1,024 MW ownership share (88.2 of total)
- purchase price represents 34/kw per year of
remaining operating life (license expires 2026) - Opportunity to create significant shareholder
value - more than 500 million of NPV estimated in the
acquisition pro forma - performance to date exceeding expectations (2003)
Contract Coverage 1
Note 1 As of 7/7/03.
23Fossil Merchant Upside Leverage
Regional Diversity 1
- Low cost, efficient base load generation
- Liquid, gas-on-margin markets
- Cash flow positive at weak spark spreads
- Longer term upside potential
ERCOT
48
NEPOOL/PJM/NYPP
30
WECC/SERC
22
Note 1 As of 7/31/03. Includes projects under
construction/advanced development coming on-line
in 2003.
24FPL Energy Value Proposition
- Moderate risk approach
- Well diversified by region and fuel source
- Growth opportunities in wind building on our
competitive advantage - Nuclear creating substantial value
- Merchant portfolio offers longer term upside
leverage - Disciplined hedging/optimization
- Opportunity to pursue acquisitions that are
accretive, strategically attractive and
financeable
25(No Transcript)
26FPL Group Strong Financial Position
- Financial discipline
- Strong credit ratings
- Prudent dividend policy
FPL
Includes AEE, AEP, CEG, CIN, CMS, CNP, D, DTE,
DUK, ED, ETR, EXC, FE , FPL, PCG, PGN, PNW, PPL,
SO, TE, TXU, and XEL.
27Total Shareholder Return
28FPL Group Earnings Contributions by Major
Segment
FPL Energy Contribution to EPS
FPL Contribution to EPS
1
1
1
1
GAAP
GAAP
Adjusted
Adjusted
4
2
2
2
2
3
3
3
3
4
Notes 1 Assuming dilution. 2 2000 results
include merger-related expenses at FPL of 0.23
per share and at FPL Energy of 0.01 per share.
3 2001 results include merger-related expenses
at FPL of 0.09 per share and at FPL Energy net
unrealized mark-to-market gains associated with
non-managed hedges of 0.04 per share. 4 FPL
Energys 2002 results include the cumulative
effect of an accounting change of 1.28 per
share, restructuring and other charges of 0.42
per share and net unrealized mark-to-market gains
associated with non-managed hedges of 1 million
after-tax.
29FPL Group Earnings Performance
1
1
GAAP
Adjusted
2
3
4
2
3
4
Notes 1 Assuming dilution. 2 2000 results
include merger-related expenses at FPL of 0.23
per share, at FPL Energy of 0.01 per share and
at Corporate Other of 2 million
after-tax. 3 2001 results include merger-related
expenses at FPL of 0.09 per share and at
Corporate Other of 0.02 per share and at FPL
Energy net unrealized mark-to-market gains
associated with non-managed hedges of 0.04 per
share. 4 2002 results include the cumulative
effect of an accounting change at FPL Energy of
1.28 per share, restructuring and other charges
at FPL Energy of 0.42 per share,
restructuring and impairment charges at Corporate
Other of 0.37 per share, a reserve for
leveraged leases at Corporate Other for 0.17
per share, a favorable settlement of litigation
with IRS at Corporate Other of 0.17 per
share, and net unrealized mark-to-market gains
associated with non-managed hedges at FPL Energy
of 1 million after-tax.
30Outlook for 2003 Remains Strong
- FPL
- Expect earnings of 725 - 735 million assuming
normal weather for the balance of the year - FPL Energy
- Expect earnings of 165 - 190 million 1
- Corporate and Other
- Breakeven results at FPL FiberNet
- Higher interest expense
- Net drag of 20 - 30 cents per share
EPS of 4.80 to 5.00 1
1 Excluding the effect of non-managed hedges
which cannot be determined at this time.
31FPL Group A Solid Investment
- Premier integrated utility serving a vibrant
territory - Growing wholesale generation business with
moderate risk profile - Operational and environmental excellence
- Financial strength and discipline
- Proven track record
- Solid corporate governance policies and practices
32Appendix
33Organizational Structure(Credit Ratings -
SP/Moodys/Fitch)
FPL Group, Inc. Holding Company A/Not
Rated/A Outlook Negative/Not Rated/Stable
Florida Power Light Company (Utility
Operation) Issuer Rating A,A-1/A1/Not
Rated Secured A/Aa3/AA- Commercial Paper
A-1/P-1/F1 Outlook Negative/Stable/Stable
FPL Group Capital Inc (Funding Co. for
Non-regulated Ops) Issuer Rating A,A-1/Not
Rated/Not Rated Unsecured A-/A2/A Commercial
Paper A-1/P-1/F1 Outlook Negative/Negative/Stable
FPL Energy, LLC (Non-rate regulated Operations)
34Debt Maturities( millions)
2
1
Notes 1 At 6/30/03, 100 million and 72 million
of short-term investments were available for FPL
and Corporate Other, respectively. In early
July 2003, loan proceeds from long-term
financings at FPL Energy were used to pay down
approximately 500 million short-term debt. 2 At
6/30/03, 69 million of cash was earmarked for
FPL bond redemptions in late July 2003.
35Liquidity Resources( millions)
Maturity
Total
FPL Group Capital
Florida Power Light
Syndicated Facilities
October 2003
1,436
957
479
October 2004
1,500
1,000
500
Bilateral Facilities
146
146
0
October 2004
3,082
2,103
979
Total
As of 8/8/03
36Pension Update( millions)
- Expected long-term rate of return is 7.75
- Weighted average discount rate used for
determining obligation is 6.00 - FPL Groups pension status ranks very favorably
relative to its peers
2,388
Fair Value of Pension Assets at 9/30/02
Pension Benefit Obligation at 9/30/02
1,405
Funded Status at 9/30/02
983
37FPL Substantial Regulated Generation Fleet
Energy Sources (based on kWh produced in 2002)
- 18,591 1 MW of generating capability in Florida
- 300 additional MW to be added in 2003
- 1,900 MW to be added in 2005
- 1,100 MW to be added in 2007
- Diverse fuel mix
Nuclear
Purchased Power
Natural Gas
Oil
Coal
Note 1 As of 6/30/03
38FPL Superior Cost Management(OM per retail
kWh)
Industry Average
1
FPL
Note 1 Includes a one-time 35 million FPSC
approved addition to the storm fund reserve.
39FPL Potential Drivers of 2003Earnings
Variability
Note 1 As of 2Q03
See Safe Harbor Statement and SEC filings for
full discussion of risks
40FPL Energy Market Price SensitivityUnhedged
Segment
Notes1 Weighted to reflect in-service dates
all assets adjusted for 2003 outages, including
refueling outage for Seabrook2 Represents
range of variability observed Jan. July 2003.
Variability in the second quarter was lower. 3
Pricing based on NEPOOL RI Zone 4 Reflects
on-peak MW unhedged only As of 2Q03
41U.S. Wind Market Share (MW)
Competitors with less than 50 MW (lt1) each 16.1
FPL Energy 42.3
Competitors at 1 to lt7 each 41.6
Yearly Market Share (MW) 2001 2002 2003
1 Total New Capacity Installed 1,697 410
1,534 FPL Energy Contribution 843 201 2
812 3 50 49 53
Notes 1 Estimated as of 8/26/03 2 Excludes 123
MW of acquisitions. 3 Excludes 24 MW of
acquisitions.
42FPL Energy Wind Portfolio 2003
MW
In Operation
1,767
812
Advance Development
2,579
Total MW
43FPL Energy Wind EconomicsCash Flow Profile
Illustrative 100 MW
ROE
IRR
44Wind MW under Contract
As of 7/23/03. Excludes small project of 3 MW
45States with Renewable Portfolio Standards
Source Union of Concerned Scientists
46QF Restructuring (Illustrative)
- Curtail plant during off-peak hours, sell fuel
and supply PPA with low-cost wholesale power - Utility shares savings through reduced rates
under PPA - Negotiated transactions with other project
participants (steam host)
QF Savings
Utility Savings
5/MWh
5/MWh
MW
MW
Wholesale Power Market
QF Project
Utility
100/MWh
42/MWh
95/MWh
50/MWh
2/MWh
Fuel Cost
VOM Cost
47(No Transcript)