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1One can no more ban derivatives than the
Luddites could ban power looms in the early
nineteenth century.
2Financial Options
- The right, not the obligation, to buy (for a
call) or to sell (for a put) some underlying
financial security, at a predetermined price
(exercise or strike price) at or before a preset
expiration date. - Hedge by buying (not selling) options.
- Short hedge buy puts. Long hedge buy calls.
- Can reduce the cost of options hedge using
compound options such as caps, collars floors.
3Pricing Default-free Bond Options Using the
Binomial Model
- Spot Rates 1 yr 0R1 5 2 yr 0R2 6.5 p.a.
Expectations hypothesis implied forward rate 1R1
8 p.a. Suppose that there is a 50-50 chance
that 1 yr rates 1 yr from now will be either 7
or 9 p.a. - Bond Valuation using the Binomial Model
- Time period 0 Time period 1 Time period 2
- ----50----100/1.0991.74----25----100
- 88.17100/1.0652 ----25----100
- ----50----100/1.0793.46-----25---100
- ----25----100
4Pricing a Call Option on the Bond Using the
Binomial Model
- Exercise Price 92.60 .5(91.74) .5(93.46)
- Time period 0 Time period 1 Time period 2
- ----50----------------0--------------25----7.
40 - 6.93
- .5(0).5(.86)/1.05
------25----7.40 - 7.40/(1.065)2
- ----50---0.86 93.46-92.60-----25---7.40
- ----25----7.40
-
max (0,100-92.60)
5Delta Hedging
- ? ???PO/?PS
- If the options underlying instrument is a bond
then ? ???PO/?B - Delta of call gt0 Delta of put lt0
- Out of the money ??? is between 0 - 0.5
- At the money ??? is around 0.5
- In the money ??? is between 0.5 - 1
6Example of Delta Neutral Option Microhedge
- FI intends to sell its T-bond portfolio in 60
days to underwrite an 11.168m investment
project. The T-bonds are 15 yr 8 p.a. coupon
with FV10m and yield of 6.75 p.a. T-bond MV
11.168m. - Step 1 Analyze the risk of cash position.
Calculate duration 9.33 yrs. Risk that price
(interest rates) will decline (increase) over the
next 60 days. Assume a 50 bp unanticipated
increase in T-bond spot interest rates - ?E ? -DSPS ?RS /(1RS) -9.33(11.168m)(.0050)
1.03375 - - 504,000
- Step 2 Loss of 504,000 on position when T-bond
spot rates increase 50 bp.
7Microhedge Example (contd.)
- Step 3 Perfect hedge would generate cash flows
of 504,000 whenever interest rates go up 50 bp.
Short hedge buy put options. - Step 4 On the day that the hedge is
implemented, the 112 strike price T-bond put
option premium is priced at 1-52 1 52/64
1,812.50 per 100,000 contract. The spot T-bond
price is 111,687.50, so the 112 put is at the
money and has a delta0.5. DO9.33 yrs. 6.75 pa
yield. - Calculate impact on a T-bond put option value of
a 50 bp increase in T-bond rates. - ?O ? -?DOPO ?R /(1R) -(.5)9.33(111,687.50)(.00
50)
1.03375 - 2,520 gain per put option bought
- The number of put options bought is
- NO ?O ?E NO -504,000/2,520 -200 puts
8Microhedge Example (cont.)
- But, the delta neutral options hedge neglects the
cost of the premium. 200 puts would cost
200(1,812.50) 362,500. To fully immunize
against loss, would have to buy
504,000/(2520-1812.50) 712 puts. - There may be basis risk such that rates on the
underlying securities do not have the same
volatility as the cash instruments. So if br
(rates on options underlying)/(rates on cash
instrument) is not equal to 1 - NO ?E/(br?O). So if br 1.15 then the number
of puts bought (without considering the premium)
would be 504,000/(1.15)(2520) 173 put
options rather than 200.
9Example of Macrohedge Against Interest Rate Risk
- Step 1 DA 7.5 yrs. DL2.9 yrs. A750m
L650m. DG 5 yrs. Assume a 25 bp increase in
interest rates such that ?RS /(1RS) 25bp - ?E ? -DGA ?RS /(1RS) -5(750m)(.0025)
- - 9.375m
- Step 2 Loss of 9.375million in the market
value of equity when interest rates unexpectedly
increase by 25 bp.
10Macrohedge Example (cont.)
- Step 3 Perfect hedge would generate positive
cash flows of 9.375 million whenever spot rates
increase 25 bp. Short hedge buy T-bill futures
put options. - Step 4 T-bill future IMM Index price 97.25.
Implies T-bill futures rate 2.75 p.a. T-bill
futures are 91day pure discount instruments.
T-bill futures price PF1m(1-.0275(91)/360)993,
048.61. Options on T-bill futures are at the
money with delta0.5. - ?O ? -?DFPF ?RF /(1RF) -(0.5)0.25(993,048.61)(
.0025)
- 310.33 gain per futures contract
sold - The number of put options bought is
- NO ?O ?E NO -9.375m/310.33 -30,208 puts
on T-bill futures bought to implement macrohedge
to immunize against ALL interest rate risk
11Options Hedge for Interest Rate Risk Immunization
- Summary
- No. of Options Contracts to Immunize Using
- Microhedge NO (DSPS)/(? DOPO)
- Macrohedge NO (DG)A/(? DOPO)
- With Basis Risk
- No. of Options Contracts to Immunize Using
- For microhedge NO (DSPS)/(? DOPObr)
- For macrohedge NO (DG)A/(? DOPObr)
12Options vs. Futures Hedging
- Advantages of Options Hedging
- Options keep upside gain potential.
- Disadvantages of Options Hedging
- Options premium is an upfront cost.
- Premium reduces options gains.
- To reduce the cost of options hedge, use compound
options strategies.
13Pricing a Cap Using the Binomial Model
Current spot rates6 p.a. 50-50 chance of
interest rates increase to 7 or down to 5 in 1
year. In 2 years, 25 chance of 4, 50 of 6,
25 of 8 pa interest rate. Price a cap with a
100m notional value strike P 6pa Cap
premium 849,000 Time period 0 Time
period 1 Time period 2 ----50---(100m)(
.07-.06)1m---25 (8)--2m 6 pa
849,000 .5(0).5(1m)/(1.06)(1.07)
-----25 (6)----0 .25(2m)/(1.06)(1.07)(1.0
8) ----50---0 if 5 pa
-----25 (6)---0 ----25
(4)----0
14Pricing the Floor Using the Binomial Model
Current spot rates6 p.a. 50-50 chance of
interest rates increase to 7 or down to 5 in 1
year. In 2 years, 25 chance of 4, 50 of 6,
25 of 8 pa interest rate. Price a cap with a
100m notional value strike P 5 Cap
premium 215,979 Time period 0 Time
period 1 Time period 2 ----50---0 if 7
pa--------------25 (8)--2m 6 pa 215,979
-----25 (6)----0 .25(1m)/(1.06)(1.05)(1.04)
----50---0 if 5 pa -----25
(6)---0 ----25 (4)----100(.05-.04)1m
15Constructing a Collar By Buying the Cap and
Selling the Floor
- Buy 6 cap with notional value (NV)100m.
Premium849,000 - Sell 5 floor with NV100m. Premium215,979
- Collar premium NV100m 849,000-215,979 (NVc
x pc) - (NVf x pf) (.00849 x 100m) -
(.00215979 x 100m) 633,302 - If out-of-money cap bough and in-the-money floor
then collar premium is negative (money making
product). - Zero cost collar set floor NV so that collar
premium0 - C (NVc x pc) (NVf x pf) 0 so that
- NVf (.00849x100m)/0.00215979 393 million
- Buy 100m 6 cap and sell a 393 million 5 floor
to get a costless collar.
16Hedging Credit Risk Credit Spread Call Option
- Payoff increases as the credit spread (CS) on a
benchmark bond increases above some exercise
spread ST. - Payoff on option Modified duration x FV of
option x (current CS ST) - Basis risk if CS on benchmark bond is not closely
related to borrowers nontraded credit risk. - Figure 15.3 shows the payoff structure.
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19Default Option
- Pays a stated amount in the event of default.
- Usually specifies physical delivery in the event
of default. - Figure 15.4 shows the payoff structure.
- Variation barrier option if CS fall below
some amount, then the option ceases to exist.
Lowers the option premium.
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21Breakdown of Credit Derivatives Rule (2001)
British Bankers Assoc Survey
- 50 of notional value are credit swaps
- 23 are Collateralized Loan Obligations (CLOs)
- 8 are baskets (credit derivatives based on a
small portfolio of loans each listed
individually. A first-to-default basket credit
default swap is triggered by the default of any
security in the portfolio). - 6 are credit spread options