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Climate Change

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IPCC Fourth Assessment Report (2007) confirms global scientific consensus that ... Targets for 2020 and beyond will be much more onerous than Kyoto Protocol targets. ... – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: Climate Change


1
  • Climate Change
  • LA/CCMA Conference
  • Joe Crockett
  • Kilkenny County Council.
  • 4 April 2008

2
Global problem/global solution
  • IPCC Fourth Assessment Report (2007) confirms
    global scientific consensus that climate change
    is happening and is directly related to human
    generated greenhouse gas emissions.
  • Economic consensus (Stern Report) that the costs
    of inaction will greatly exceed the costs of
    action.
  • Political momentum now for action.

3
Climate Change Agenda
  • Key elements
  • International agenda
  • UNFCCC (1992)
  • Kyoto Protocol (1997)
  • (Commitment period 2008-2012)
  • IPCC 4th scientific assessment report (2007).
  • EU agenda
  • European Climate Change Programme.
  • National agenda
  • 1st National Climate Change Strategy published
    2000.
  • 2nd Strategy (2007-2012) published April 2007.

4
National emissions
  • Relative to 1990 levels
  • 2001 peaked at approx 27.
  • 2002 23.8.
  • 2003 23.5.
  • 2004 23.6.
  • 2005 26.5.
  • 2006 25.5.

5

Kyoto Protocol Target
6
NCCS Projections to 2020
7
National Policy Framework
  • National Climate Change Strategy (2000)
  • Review of NCCS Irelands Pathway to Kyoto
    Compliance, July 2006.
  • Public consultation Aug-Sept 2006.
  • Energy White Paper, Bioenergy Action Plan,
    National Development Plan.
  • EU commitments on 2020 targets.
  • National Climate Change Strategy 2007-2012.

8
Objectives of Strategy
  • Objectives
  • to show how Ireland will meet its Kyoto Protocol
    commitment in the 2008-2012 period, and
  • to prepare for more stringent emission reduction
    requirements post-2012.
  • Framework to achieve Kyoto target
  • variety of domestic measures to reduce emissions
    throughout the economy,
  • supplemented, as necessary, by the purchase of
    carbon allowances.

9
Meeting 2008-12 commitment
  • (Mt CO2 equivalent)
  • Emissions without any measures 79.829
  • Less Existing measures 8.660
  • Projected emissions after existing
    measures 71.169
  • Less Kyoto target 63.032
  • Distance to target 8.137
  • Additional measures 4.953
  • Flexible mechanisms (i.e. carbon credits)
    3.607
  • Total additional effect 8.560

10
Sources of Emissions in 2005
11
Measures in key sectors
  • Energy
  • 15 of electricity consumed to come from
    renewable sources by 2010 33 by 2020.
  • Extended support for biomass through Bioenergy
    Action Plan.
  • Wind energy critical
  • ESB Plan published
  • Transport
  • More sustainable transport patterns, especially
    through Transport 21.
  • Increased use of biofuels 5.75 by 2010, 10 by
    2020.

12
Measures in key sectors (2)
  • Residential
  • 40 increase in thermal performance from 2008
    aiming for 60 by 2010.
  • Building Energy Ratings.
  • National Spatial Strategy
  • Industry, commercial services sector
  • Higher energy performance standards for
    non-residential buildings and energy management
    programmes.
  • Regulation of industrial gases.

13
Measures in key sectors (3)
  • Agriculture and land-use
  • Reduction in emissions from national herd through
    CAP reform.
  • Improved manure management.
  • Support for afforestation.
  • Support for energy crops biomass harvesting
    scheme.

14
Measures in key sectors (4)
  • Public Sector
  • Energy efficiency programme with target of 33
    reduction in energy use.
  • Measuring, reporting and reducing emissions.
  • Biomass heating in schools.
  • Use of biofuels in public fleets.
  • Offsetting emissions from official air travel.

15
Cross-sectoral measures
  • Use of Flexible Mechanisms under Kyoto Protocol
    (to purchase carbon credits).
  • 15 million multi-annual awareness programme.
  • Research cleaner processes/technologies.
  • Examination of taxation incentives.
  • Spatial and planning policies.
  • National strategy on adaptation Ireland wont
    escape the impacts of climate change.

16
Post-2012 agenda
  • EU policy
  • a unilateral commitment to achieve at least a 20
    reduction of greenhouse gas emissions by 2020,
    compared to 1990,
  • a 30 reduction by 2020, as its contribution to a
    global comprehensive agreement for the period
    beyond 2012, subject to participation by other
    developed countries and the economically more
    advanced developing countries.

17
Meetings of the Parties
  • 13th Conference of the Parties to the UN
    Framework Convention on Climate change and 3rd
    Meeting of the Parties to the Kyoto Protocol in
    Bali, December 2007.
  • Milestone in international agenda formal
    negotiations on new treaty to succeed Kyoto
    Protocol started this week
  • EU expectations agreement on the new treaty at
    the meetings of the Parties in Copenhagen in
    December 2009.

18
EU climate/energy package 2020
  • EU climate action and renewable energy package
    (i.e. 2020 agenda/targets) published by
    Commission on 23 January 2008.
  • Aim by 2020 -
  • reduce EU greenhouse gases by at least 20, and
  • increase renewable energies in total energy
    consumption to 20.
  • Emissions reduction target to be increased to 30
    (by 2020) in context of a new global agreement to
    succeed Kyoto Protocol.

19
Proposed 2020 targets for Ireland
  • EU Emissions Trading Scheme (to be administered
    by Commission from 2013)
  • emissions from all EU installations in the scheme
    (including 100 Irish installations) capped at
    21 below 2005 levels by 2020.
  • Other national emissions
  • transport, agriculture, waste, etc. to be
    reduced by 20 compared to 2005 and
  • Renewable energy a combined 16 target for
    electricity, heat and transport.

20
Conclusion 1 of 3
  • Climate change is one of the greatest threats
    facing mankind, and the climate change agenda is
    a key cross-cutting policy issue for Government
    central and local
  • Global greenhouse gas emissions must be halved by
    2050 emissions in developed countries must be
    reduced by up to 80.
  • Targets for 2020 and beyond will be much more
    onerous than Kyoto Protocol targets.
  • Ireland will not escape the impacts key is
    implementation of responses

21
Conclusion 2 of 4
  • Next steps for LAs
  • Full Compliance with chapter 9 of NCCS
  • Reduce emissions
  • Individual reporting on Emissions Mgt
  • Individual LA Initiatives significant progress
    many authorities expansion

22
Conclusion 3 of 4
  • Draft National Adaptation Strategy participation
  • Local and regional analysis and adaptation
    preparatory work critical
  • Inclusion of elected reps Councils SPCs
    Oireachtas members
  • Suggest Wide Dissemination of Information/
    development of joint approaches/ use of
    participative structures
  • CCMA/LAs continuation/expansion of climate
    change process continuing major focus for
    future

23
Conclusion 4
  • Multi-agency approach central to success close
    relationship with Govt Depts and Agencies
    essential
  • New partnership/collaborative structures?
  • Continued and more intensified programme of
    Emissions Mgt and of Adaptation
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