Title:
1Intelligent Design Philosophy of Science Issues
- Wesley R. Elsberry
- Wildlife Fisheries Sciences
- Texas AM University
2Did you hear about the Aggie professor?
3Problems With Intelligent Design Arguments
- Use of marker of intelligent agency approach is
invalid in principle (Irreducible Complexity
Specified Complexity) - Mistaking criticism of Darwinian theories for a
positive case for Intelligent Design - Making unsubstantiated or overblown claims
- False claims of scientific status
- Poor track record of following scientific
practice in pursuing Intelligent Design arguments
4Dembskis Explanatory Filter Design Inference
(EF/DI)
- Explanatory Filter Supposed to capture the
essential features of how humans already make
design inferences - Design Inference Supposed to make the argument
of the Explanatory Filter rigorous - Argument by elimination of alternatives
- Design is a residue
- Going from design to agency is based upon
induction
5Criticism of Dembskis EF/DI Invalidity
- In spite of limited publication venue of EF/DI,
it has attracted significant criticism - Several critics contend that Dembskis basic
arguments are invalid - Fitelson Sober, 1999
- Ellery Eells, 1999
- Massimo Pigliucci, 1999
- Eli Chiprout, 1999
- Richard Wein
6Criticism of EF/DI Improper Procedures
- The methods deployed in Dembskis EF/DI have come
under criticism - Elsberry, 1999
- Wilkins Elsberry, (in press)
- Ivar Ylvisakar
7Criticism of EF/DI Interpretation
- Some critics contend that even if basic EF/DI is
a valid argument, that certain interpretations
made do not follow - Elsberry, 1999
- Wilkins Elsberry, (in press)
8Criticism of EF/DI Theology
- Criticism of Dembskis EF/DI on theological
grounds - Howard Van Till
- Edward Oakes
- Nancey Murphy
9Criticism of EF/DI Methodology
- Bill Jefferys point that DI is not predictive
- Proper practice of natural science
- Show the work before making public claims
- No significant empirical testing of EF or DI
- Is DI even subject to empirical test? (Dembski
1997) - Dembski has thus far only proposed a
verificationist program - Historical review (regression testing)
- Does DI put fairies in the fairy rings?
- Look where the evidence is, not where it isnt
- Examine Krebs citric acid cycle, mammalian
middle ear, etc.
10The Ordinary the Extraordinary
- Humans certain animals executing plans to a
purpose are within our empirical experience, and
hence are ordinary - Action of God is not within the same scope of
empirical experience, hence extraordinary - This cell made by YHWHä example
- Naturalizes God, result is a God who is not very
Godly Pennock
11Design Inferences The Ordinary the Rarefied
- Inference to Ordinary Design a class of causal
regularity warranted in cases of known agency - Inference to Rarefied Design a class of
causation based solely upon characters of
artifacts examined - The color Red as an invalid marker of Rarefied
Design - CSI as a(n invalid) marker of Rarefied Design
- Mnemonics
- Ordinary Design, DAWKINS Design As We Know It,
Not Supernatural - Rarefied Design, DEMBSKI Design (Exclusively
Maintained By Scanty Knowledge) Inference
Acronyms due to John Wilkins
12The Pitfalls of Inferring Intelligent Agency
- The question is not really over design
- The point of the ID movement is to infer
intelligent agency (IA) as a cause for
biological examples - Design has simply been a means to this end
- Replacement of artifact with event
- What does an inference to intelligent agency
require of us?
13Finding the Action of an Intelligent Agent
- Desired class of events
- Intelligent Agency (IA)
- Sufficient grounds We observe the agent produce
the artifact - Epistemological warrant often occurs via multiple
independent lines of evidence which imply
existence and/or establish the identity of the
agent causing the artifact - Artifacts classed in IA because of evaluation of
all the relevant evidence consideration of the
plausibility of agent causation - Are we limited to ordinary design in assigning
an artifact to IA? I argue Yes.
14Are we limited to ordinary design in assigning
an artifact to IA?
- Consider an IA inference by looking at sets via
Venn diagrams - Set view shows problems in the generalized
logical argument - Instances of artifacts with attribute X are in IA
- No instances of artifacts with attribute X are
not in IA - Thus, attribute X is a reliable marker that an
artifact is in IA - Call such classes Marker of Intelligent AgencyX
15The ID Treasure Map The Search for a Reliable
Marker of Intelligent Agency
- Argument from design advocates have searched
exhaustively for their own treasure map - No map so far has gotten them to a reliable means
of inferring rarefied design - Specified Complexity marks the spot
- Latest treasure map features statistics
- Same old conceptual problems remain
16Reliability
- Claim by Dembski that his EF/DI makes no false
positive attributions - Ignores a priori biases in application
- Ignores reliance upon current ignorance
- No test procedure yet given by an ID advocate
- Claim by Dembski that his EF/DI finds design in
biological systems - Where are the calculations?
- No fulfillment of requests for the work
17Marker of Intelligent Agency An Invalid Approach
to Infer IA
- Marker of Intelligent AgencyX (MIAX) is then
taken to imply IA without reference to
plausibility of the designing agent or other
evidence of an event - Inductive basis of argument provides no warrant
for claims of reliability of any MIAX approach,
whatever X instantiates - MIAX is an attempt to conclude IA on the cheap
18MIAX is an Appeal to Current Ignorance
- Consider red color as a possible marker of
intelligent agency
- Small enough experience favors view that MIARED
is a proper subset of IA, and thus warrants
inferring that event E in MIARED -gt IA - Examples Red flashlight, fire truck, toolbox,
fire hydrant
Intelligent Agency
MIARED
19Induction Means That MIAX Is Inherently
Unreliable
- View that MIARED is a proper subset is based
inductively - Testing status are done by reference to empirical
data
- Logic is insufficient to establish warrant for
use of MIARED - Asymmetry can establish that MIARED is not a
proper subset, but cannot establish that it is a
proper subset
IA
This -gt
MIARED
IA
MIARED
Or this -gt
20Dembski Markers
- In The Design Inference (Cambridge, 1998) I
argue that specified complexity is a reliable
empirical marker of intelligent design. - Thus a likelihood analysis that pits competing
design and chance hypotheses against each other
must itself presuppose the legitimacy of
specified complexity as a reliable empirical
marker of intelligence. WA Dembski, Another
Way to Detect Design?
21MIASC Is an Unreliable Basis Upon Which to Infer
IA
- MIASC fares no better than any other MIAX
- Quantitative difference, not qualitative
difference
gt50 bits
gt100 bits
Intelligent Agency
gt250 bits
1
2
MIASC gt500 bits
3
4
5
22MIAIC Is an Unreliable Basis Upon Which to Infer
IA
- Michael Behes irreducible complexity (IC) is
yet another case of MIAX, has the same
problems - Examining MIAIC
- Given a mousetrap knowledge of mousetrap
makers, make ordinary design inference to IA (IC
attribute is superfluous) - Given a defective mousetrap knowledge of
fallible mousetrap makers, make ordinary design
inference to IA (non-IC does not interfere with
ordinary DI) - Given sealed box labeled, Contains IC widget,
have no warrant to make either an ordinary or a
rarefied design inference to IA (IC attribute is
uninformative regarding IA) Behes black box
23Falsifiability
- Popperian concept of falsifiability
- What is falsifiability?
- Theory X implies class of observation Y
- If there exists y in Y such that y, then X
- Need to state theory as a specific proposition
- For example, Flight is not specific enough, but
All birds fly is a falsifiable proposition - Finding a flightless bird falsifies the
proposition - A basic statement which contradicts the theory
is a falsifier - Nothing in there about somebody elses idea
24Dembski Falsifiability
- Dembskis claim that Darwinian explanation of
bacterial flagellum would falsify specified
complexity as a marker of intelligent agency
(2001/04/25) reveals confusion - No entailment, and thus no consequences for SC
- Can simply say, OK, what about this other
example? - Not really falsification
25Behe Falsifiability
- Claim that IC as a marker of intelligent agency
would be falsified by a Darwinian explanation of
a bacterial flagellum - Same problem no statement of a specific
proposition implied class of required
consequences - Same confusion the validity of another
proposition in no way constitutes a falsification
of the proposition being tested
26The Excluded Muddle
- EF/DI as an argument by elimination has practical
as well as philosophical problems - Relies upon current ignorance (like all marker
of intelligent agency approaches) - Relies upon completeness of generation of
alternative hypotheses (regularity or chance) - Relies upon accurate assessment of plausibility
of causation by regularity or chance hypotheses - Begging the question by broaching hypothesis, but
not correctly assessing its ability to cause the
event - EF/DI is a conduit for a priori biases
27Real Design Inferences Are Ordinary Design
Inferences
- Properties of warranted design inferences
- Use design as an independent category, not a
residue of elimination - Evaluate plausibility of agent causation
- Compare evidence plausibility with respect to
various causal hypotheses - Allow uncertainty to lead to categorization in
dont know yet/get more data bin - World is open, not closed
28Real Design Inferences are Ordinary Design
Inferences
- Where the Rubber Meets the Road
- Dembskis examples of existing DIs are examples
of Inference to Ordinary Design - Includes SETI, Made By YHWHä examples
- Dembskis real-world examples include the
properties of warranted design inferences use
of ordinary design inferences (last slide) - Dembski extrapolates ordinary design inferences
to rarefied design inferences - Not warranted
29Summary (1)
- Inductive arguments from a marker of intelligent
agency give no warrant for either ordinary or
rarefied design inferences - Ordinary design inferences remain our only
reliable approach to inferring intelligent agency - Critics have argued variously against Dembski's
underlying logic, his procedures, and his
interpretations of results
30Summary (2)
- Dembski has consistently failed to properly
subject his ideas to effective empirical test - Dembski has put little effort into explicating DI
methodology in the peer-reviewed scientific
literature - Dembski has failed to fulfill requests from his
colleagues for data and work underlying
publicly-made assertions - Dembskis implication that his EF/DI is something
that re-invents the basis of doing science is hype
31The End
32Dembski the Genome
- Features of genome due to de-evolution (U.
Georgia lecture, 2001) - TDI says that the specificity of information can
imply plagiary - Why is the specific information of dead viruses,
parts of bacterial genes, and transposable
elements not evidence of copying?
33Dembski ID Activism
- Though design theorists believe Darwinism is
dead wrong, unlike the creationist movement of
the 1980's, they do not try to win a place for
their views by taking to the courts. Instead of
pressing their case by lobbying for fair
treatment acts in state legislatures (i.e., acts
that oblige public schools in a given state to
teach both creation and evolution in their
science curricula), design theorists are much
more concerned with bringing about an
intellectual revolution starting from the top
down. Their method is debate and persuasion. They
aim to convince the intellectual elite and let
the school curricula take care of themselves. By
adopting this approach design theorists have
enjoyed far more success in getting across their
views than their creationist counterparts. WA
Dembski, What every theologian should know about
creation, evolution and design
34Dembski on Criticism
- "I would go further than that and say that I
value objective peer review. I always learn more
from my critics than from the people who think
I'm wonderful." - - William A. Dembski as quoted by Fred Heeren
35Dembski on Visceral Responses
- "If we're generating such strong, visceral
responses, we must be doing something right." - William Dembski as quoted by Lynn Vincent
- Does this imply that when critics evoke a strong,
visceral response from Dembski, that they too are
doing something right?
36Who is Wesley R. Elsberry? (1)
- Wesleys allocation of scholarly effort
- Lets look at the publications participation
from the time of the NTSE conference - () Enterprising science needs naturalism, 1997
- () Optimality book, co-editor, INNS series, 1997
- () First audiogram of a marine mammal at depth,
JASA, 1997 - () TTS in delphinoids, JASA, 1997
- () U.S. Navy technical report 1751 on TTS, 1997
- () Letter responding to TTS comments, JASA, 1998
- () Dolphin dorsal fin morphology poster, 1998
37Who is Wesley R. Elsberry? (2)
- Wesleys allocation of scholarly effort
- More publications and participation
- () Simultaneous digital data of physiological
acoustic signals during dolphin biosonar, poster,
1999 - (-) Review of TDI by William A. Dembski, 1999
- () Review of Tower of Babel by Robert Pennock,
1999 - () Dissertation research (intranarial pressure
and biosonar click production in bottlenose
dolphins), 1999-present - () Multiple sound sources in the bottlenose
dolphin, JASA, 2000 - () Deep Hear paper, J. Exp. Biol., in press
- (-) Wilkins Elsberry, Biol. Phil., in press
38Who is Wesley R. Elsberry? (3)
- Wesleys allocation of scholarly effort
- Other activities
- (-) Dembski commentary on the Internet
(talk.origins, web page, other fora) - () Non-Dembski EvC discussion on the Internet
39Dembski Markers (1)
- When SETI (Search for Extra-Terrestrial
Intelligence) researchers attempt to discover
intelligence in the extra-terrestrial radio
transmissions they are monitoring, they assume an
extra-terrestrial intelligence could have chosen
any number of possible radio transmissions, and
then attempt to match the transmissions they
observe with certain patterns as opposed to
others (patterns that presumably are markers of
intelligence). WA Dembski, Intelligent Design
as a Theory of Information
40MIACSI Is an Unreliable Basis Upon Which to
Infer IA
- MIACSI fares no better than any other MIAX
- Proper subset?
- Examples known
- from IA are expected
- this does not
- validate inference to
- IA
IA
MIACSI gt500 bits
41MIACSI Is an Unreliable Basis Upon Which to
Infer IA
- MIACSI fares no better than any other MIAX
- Assertion that no example is outside IA
- Current ignorance
IA
MIACSI gt500 bits
42MIACSI Is an Unreliable Basis Upon Which to
Infer IA
- MIACSI fares no better than any other MIAX
- What about local small probability bounds?
gt50 bits
IA
gt100 bits
gt250 bits
1
2
MIACSI gt500 bits
3
43History Arguments To From Design
- Paleys watch and watchmaker
- The artifact implies an artificer
- Paley and criticism
- The Pre-criticism of Hume
- The insufficiency of analogy as a warrant
- Darwin alternative explanation
- The sufficiency of natural causation to explain
adaptation - Dawkins and the Blind Watchmaker
44More on Paley
- A Sober Re-evaluation of Paley
- Elliott Sobers classification of Paleys
argument as abduction - Paley Redux The Intelligent Design Movement
- The rehabilitation of natural theology?
45Dusting for Fingerprints
- Forensics fingerprints
- Trace evidence implies existence of an agent
- Trace evidence can identify the agent
- This trace evidence is in the form of physical
artifacts - The search for Gods fingerprints
- A popular theological pastime
- 100 failure rate so far
- Track record commends modesty in claimants
46Why Do We Find Mans Fingerprints Not Gods?
- We know the features actions of our fellow
humans by our sense experience intersubjective
critique - God has not yet deigned to be examined under the
microscope