Title: REDUCTION OF HIGHLY REACTIVE VOLATILE ORGANIC COMPOUNDS
1REDUCTION OF HIGHLY REACTIVE VOLATILE ORGANIC
COMPOUNDS VARIABLE EMISSIONS IN
HOUSTON/GALVESTONMONITORING, MODELING,
MEASURING, RULEMAKING
- David Allen
- Department of Chemical Engineering, and
- Center for Energy and Environmental Resources
- University of Texas
- (512-471-0049 allen_at_che.utexas.edu)
2The Houston-Galveston area is a severe ozone
non-attainment area costs and benefits of
controls have been estimated to be 5
billion/yr The current EPA approved State
Implementation Plan (SIP, approved in 2000) calls
for significant NOx emission reductions
(approximately 70 of the 2007 inventory 90
for point sources) SIP also called for some VOC
emission reductions Proposed new plan adds
emission reductions for highly reactive VOCs from
industrial facilities and applies 80, rather
than 90 industrial NOx emission reductions
3Outline
- Why focus on Highly Reactive Volatile Organic
Compounds (HRVOCs)? Why are we considering
variability in emissions? This presentation will
provide an overview of the scientific basis for
decision-making - Impact of scientific findings on air quality
policy and current direction of technical
analyses impacting policy decisions
4Focus on HRVOCs emerged out of the Texas Air
Quality Study -2000(TEXAQS - 2000)
- (www.utexas.edu/research/ceer/texaqs/)
(www.utexas.edu/research/ceer/texaqsarchive)
5TEXAQS - 2000 Study overview
- Study conducted from approximately August 15 -
September 15 - Approximately 300 investigators
- 5 aircraft
- 5 major ground chemistry sites
- Coordinated with Houston fine particulate matter
Supersite sampling intensive
6TexAQS and other research programs address key
areas of uncertainty
- Emission inventories
- Chemical and physical processes in the
atmosphere, particularly those leading to rapid
and efficient ozone formation (a.k.a. ozone
spikes) - Regional air quality modeling/air quality
policies
7Chemical and physical processes in the
atmosphere Rapid ozone formation events
8TexAQS data have played a crucial role in
understanding these events Physical insights
9Hydrocarbon Reactivities
Top 10 of samples exhibit reactivities that are
4x the mean value. For the most part the highest
reactivities are geographically associated with
industries in the Ship Channel.
10Apportionment of reactivity for high reactivity
samples
- For the high reactivity samples, low molecular
weight alkenes (propene, ethene and butenes) are
a major source of hydrocarbon reactivity for
ozone formation.
Twin Otter VOC Samples Average for 26 samples
with kgt10 s-1
11TexAQS showed us that HRVOCs are important, but
what is relative importance of short, episodic
releases vs. continuous, steady emissions?
12HRVOC emissions
- HRVOCs defined as ethylene, propylene, butylenes
and 1,3-butadiene - Continuous emissions to be addressed with a CAP
(and trade?) program - Emission events to be handled through a short
term cap
13Conceptual issue
In most of US, industrial emissions are
relatively constant or are small enough that
meteorology is cause of worst conditions In
Houston, both meteorology and emissions are cause
of worst conditions
14Conceptual issue
15Estimating variability for continuous emissions
16Event Emissions and their impact on ozone
formation in the Houston Galveston Area
17Key Questions
- Are the magnitudes of emission events, singularly
and collectively, significant relative to routine
emissions? - What are the characteristics of the events in
terms of time, space, and composition? - How do the events influence ozone formation?
18- TCEQ event database, established in early 2003
- First 11 Months of reporting
- NOx emission event emissions are small compared
to annual average emissions - At specific times and locations, VOC and HRVOC
emissions can be large relative to annual average
emissions
Average hourly emissions of all point sources
19VOCs 4,000,000 lb
- Total mass of over 4 millions pounds (2000 tons)
contributes 4 to the 45,000 tons of VOC emitted
over a single year from point sources in the four
counties. - 14 times (18 hours) during the eleven-month
period, event emissions exceed the annual average
for all facilities in the region.
20HRVOCs 1,650,000 lb
- Total mass of over 1.6 millions pounds (830 tons)
is 12 of the 6800 tons of HRVOC emitted over a
single year from point sources in the four
counties. - 29 times (115 hours) during the eleven-month
period, event emissions exceed the annual
average.
211,3-Butadiene 50,000 lb
Propene 500,000 lb
Butenes 100,000 lb
Ethene 1,000,000 lb
22What are the characteristics of the events in
terms of time, space, and composition?
Less than 24 hours
Daily
2-3 times per week
Most HRVOC events last less than a day, many last
less than an hour Largest number of events is
from events of 100-1000 lb, but most of the mass
is associated with events greater than 1000 lb,
which occur, on average, several times per week
23Conceptual model
- Events with emissions of more than 1000 pounds of
HRVOCs occur several times per week, on average
events with emissions of more than 10,000 pounds
of HRVOCs occur several times per month, on
average - Many are relatively short (well under one hour in
duration) - Among the HRVOCs, ethene and propene dominate
- Events occur primarily in Harris and Brazoria
counties at chemical manufacturing facilities
24What are the consequences for ozone formation?
- Example of worst case scenario Monitoring data
from a 6700 lb, 30 minute ethylene release at
LaPorte
2510,000 lb ethylene release at LaPorte, (6700 lb
between 11 and 1125 AM) 3/27/2002
26Short term ozone enhancements of up to 100 ppb
27Add Event to Air Quality Model(most recent
version with 1-km resolution)
Without Event
With Event
Layer One 149.9 ppb vs203.0 ppb
28Outline
- Why Highly Reactive Volatile Organic Compounds
(HRVOCs)? Why are we considering variability in
emissions? An overview of the scientific basis
for decision-making - Impact of scientific findings on air quality
policy and current direction of technical
analyses impacting policy decisions
29Actions taken by the TCEQ and current technical
analyses
- Based on the data from TexAQS, which indicate
that VOC emissions from industrial facilities are
responsible for rapid and efficient ozone
formation, new rules have been proposed for
emissions of highly reactive volatile organic
compounds (HRVOCs) from flares, cooling towers
and fugitive sources - Balance between NOx and HRVOC emission controls
reevaluated, balance between short term and
annual HRVOC emissions being evaluated focus of
work at UT is on short term releases and on
characterizing scientific uncertainties
30Summary
- Overview of major findings from TexAQS Shift in
focus to reactive hydrocarbons - Impact of findings on air quality policy Shift in
focus to reactive hydrocarbons with a focus on
most reactive hydrocarbons caps on HRVOC
emissions - Current direction of technical analyses impacting
policy decisions (Highly Reactive Volatile
Organic Compounds, HRVOCs) Relative importance of
annual and short term limits on HRVOC emissions