PEEP - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

1 / 45
About This Presentation
Title:

PEEP

Description:

Front to Avoid Future Behavioral. Degradations and Inconsistencies, ... Apply Any Cell Value, Row Sum, Column Sum or Group Sum. As Applicable to the Discussion. ... – PowerPoint PPT presentation

Number of Views:815
Avg rating:3.0/5.0
Slides: 46
Provided by: presc
Category:
Tags: peep

less

Transcript and Presenter's Notes

Title: PEEP


1
PEEP
PEEP
PEEP
PEEP
PEEP
PEEP
2
PEEP
at Our Future Survival Information
Consequenceswith the Mathematical Behavioral
Sciences
?
With Dynamic MemoriesPutting in Practice
Rational Beliefs, Likelihoods, and Actions
upFront to Avoid Future BehavioralDegradations
and Inconsistencies,and to Overcoming Threats,
ThusCollectively Achieving Mutual BenefitsWith
Tool-Box Renewals
The People, their Education, their
Economy,their Politics,
and their General Welfare
patterns from a
Knowledge Survival Benefits (KSB) Tool Box
Applying Induction Cases on Complexity,
Predicting, and Using Effective Societal
Self-Governance Information Perpetually in Pure
Democratic Processes Promoting Useful Cycles of
Lives
3
Improve Logic Math Foundations With Redefined
Measuresof Subjective Objective
Effectivenessand Logical Equivalences.
Societal
The State of Being of Workforces of Living Beings
as Intended by Natureand Modified by Ones Kinds
to Extend Survival.
Dynamic Memories Knowledge General Welfare
Abilities to Look Back, Look Around, and Look
ForwardRealizing Rational Realizations
Mutually.Public Good Among Beings, Guided by
Memories Wrapped in Cooperative Rational
Behaviors, Sustained Without Suppressing
Individual Self-Interests.
Self vs. Dictoral Behavioral Control Sciences
The Wise Ones Welcome Rationally As Logically
Precise.Very Few, With Great-Wisdom Knowledge,
KnowDegenerative Emotionalism Breeds Irrational
Imperfectness Universally.
Relationships Interdependency vs. Dependency vs.
Independencyin Social Survival Interrelations Up
Front and Personnel with the People
4
Measuring Causes Effects,and the
Multi-Directional Rates of Change of the
Multi-Variables,of Linked Societal Knowledge and
Dynamic General WelfareFrequently
by Pres
Work
  • Like Us, If You Know You Dont Know, We Welcome
    You to Assist the Solution of These Recurrent
    ProblemsThat Continually, Over the Centuries, to
    Sit On Our Door Steps? Lets PEEP Beyond
    Traditional Linear, Fixed Visions!

by Pres
Email presrhc_at_peoplepc.com or
presrhc_at_hotmail.com
5
Why Do The Perceived Simple ThingsBecome More
Complex?
Complexity tends to increase as functions
and modifications are added to a system to break
through limitations handle
exceptional circumstances or, adapt
to a world itself more complex. This applies,
if you think about it, not just to technologies
and biological organisms but to ...
legal systems, tax codes, scientific theories,
even successive releases of software
programs. Where forces exists to weed out
useless functions, increasing complexity delivers
a smooth, efficient machine. Where they do not,
it merely encumbers. ... But when we seek
it as an end or allow it to go unchecked, it
merely hampers, It is then that we need to
discover new modes, the bold strokes, that bring
fresh simplicity to our organizations, our
technology, our government, our lives. by
W. Brian Arthur, page 144, SCIENTIFIC AMERICAN
May 1993
6
This Presentation Is About Effectively Putting
Our Society In A Sustainable Condition To Face
Our FutureConfronting
The Evolving Environment, Ecology and Ourselves
Perturbating Total Effectiveness in Our General
Welfare Distributions
High Quality in Concert with Optimum Use of
Livable Spaces
Efficient Utilization of Resources, Energy
Spaces
Respect of Ethics, Morality Cultures
And, Gleeful Hugs Among Interdependent
PeopleUsing Honored, Multi-Fancied Knowledge
Transfer Processes
7
Make Our Mission Real! We, The People of the
United States, In Order to 1. Form a More
Perfect Union, 2. Establish Justice, 3. Insure
Tranquility, 4. Provide for Common Defense, 5.
Promote The General Welfare, and, 6. Secure the
Blessings of Liberty to Ourselves and Our
Posterity, 7. Do Ordain and Establish this
Constitution for The United States of
America. The Preamble to the Constitution of the
United States Approved 1787-1789
8
People SafetyLaws, Codes and Regulations
Note A Revision to NY State Building Codes was
Due for Publication in 2006!
For RD of Existing and New Commercial
Facilites
Life Safety CodeHandbookTH9445.P8 L5 2003
Building Codeof New York StateKFN5035.A25 2002
The Codes Guide Book for InteriorsFK5701.H37 2001
Occupational Safety Health Standardswww.osha.go
v
NY State Agency Rules and Regulationswww.gov.stat
e.ny.us/Main_GORR_Pages/Reg_Guide.html
Building Materials Evaluation Handbook TA410.W49
1984Structural Design for Fire Safety (with
Worked Problems) TH1065.B89 2001
Also Refer to Federal Register Vol. 68, No. 124
Friday, June 27 2003 Notice ofOffice of
Management and BudgetCompliance Assistance
Resources Points of Contact Available to Small
Businessesat www.sba.gov/adval/laws/resources.pdf
And Where Is Charles E. Johnson? the past CFO at
EPA, the author ofUseful Life Financing of
Environmental Facilitieswww.epa.gov/efinpae/efab/
usefullifeletter.pdf
9
GreenNew and Renewal Construction ofIndustrial
and Commercial Properties (and the Operational
Functions)
Do Web Search Concerning theComprehensive
Standards RequirementsLEEDLeadership in Energy
and Environmental Design and Building
ProgramsThe National Building Standards
Effective 2007 and Thereafter byU. S. Green
Building Council www.usgbc.org
  • also refer toNew York StateGreen Building
    ImprovementandEnergy Smart Loan
    Programatwww.serda.org/loanfund/appkitcommerical
    .pdf

10
How To See InterdependentQuality of Life of
Viable Operations
The Universal QoL Measuresof A Managements
Vision of an Investment
Useful Life
Resources
ThreatsHuman BehaviorBacteriaCatastrophes
Obsolescence
Utilization
Safety of Human Lives their Facilities
Performance
Public Epistemological DemandsApplication of
Public Philosophical Knowledge Managing Events
Directions Rates of Change
Residue
Events Causes Effectiveness
Payoffs
Spinoffs
Communal Benefits
AcceptableReturns on Capital Investments
Over Long-Term Future Times
... With Variable Horizons!
11
The Ten-Step Phase I Performance-Based,
Operations Research Feasibility,Study Process
1. IntegrateStandard Unique OM Goals
2. DevelopOMObjectives
3. FinalizeOM Criteria
A Prior
Merge Strategic Findings of Feasible
Alternatives Research Tasks
Local Codes, Laws, Regulations
NationalLife Safety Codes
Major MarcoCriteria
6. DevelopQuality Mgm't AssumptionsOccupancySOM
ScenarioLife CharacteristicsLCW Benefits
CostsLegal Issues
7. RefineSafety Factors, VerificationMethods
Functional Requirements Specifications
4. DevelopAesthetics Utilization
5. ProposeFunctionalDesign Concepts
Many Micro Elements
Alternatives Feedback
9. CorrectConceptual DifferencesIn-Among
Alternatives
8. Accept
10. Proceed with Assembling Details ofThe
Functional Requirements Specifications, with
Detail Design-and-Build-to-Cost Bid Package
OM Operations Maintenance
SOM Safety, Operations, Maintenance
LCW Life Cycle WAG (Wild Ass Guess)
12
And the Key Population Function, Form Fit ...
An ExampleHow-When A Local Economy Has
Recovered?Assumed 4-Year Intervals TimelineThe
Local Economy Improves Positively and Socially
Equally,
And, The Bleeding of the Local Population Has
Been Healed.If the Trend Does Not Turn Up, It
Stabilizes or Continue Downwards.
We Are Here at 2008
The Vision Our Posterior Benefits Horizon!
Fiscal Outcomes Mileposts
Economic Objectives
This is an incremented 4-year scale, starting in
1940 running out to years 2064, and beyond to 2xyz
Roots of the trendline equation, at the top of
the chart, provide locations for scheduling
critical milestones.
The Question Is ... How Can Acceptable,
Connected, Growth PatternsBe Generated and
Sustained Over Very Long PeriodsWithin
Fundamental Bounds of Our Constitutional
Principles?
Assessment Tools Project, Office, VB
StudioThink You Bill
13
And ... A Life-Cycle ExampleHow-When Will The
Program Recover?Not With Standing The Trade-Off
Alternative Selected.
A PredictiveMeasure of AggregateTrends of
Causes-Effects
OM Recovery
Start RD Investments
Areas Under Trendline Are Equal WhenLife-Cycle
Effects Breakeven(or Total Payback)is at 25th
Interval
Turn Around OM Phase-In
14
An Example Utilization Planning MatrixFunction
Designations and Groupings Are Problem
Dependent.Apply Any Cell Value, Row Sum, Column
Sum or Group SumAs Applicable to the Discussion.
15
An Overviewof Minimums of theGood-Things-in-Life
Public Enjoyment
Quality of Useful Life Benefits
Quality of Utilization
Quality of Employment
Quality of Tax Payments
Quality of Responsibility to Survival Obligations
16
Universal Measures of Natural and Manmade
EventsThe Success or Failure of Causes and
Effects
Probability (Success) p(t,n) ... where 0 is
less than p(t,n) is less than 1.
Probability (Failure) 1 p(t,n) q(t,n)
Probability
(Accumulated Incipient
Causes of Hazards at Past Times t n
Exceeds Failure Threshold at Present Time
t).
Probability (At time t, Event n is a Success)
Prob(En) Prob(p(t,n)),
p(t,n) Sum(q(0,0) q(1,1) q(2,2) ...
q(t,n) ... Infinity),
p(t,n) / (1 q(t,n),
in its expanded power series format, and its
condensed geometric form.It can be shown there
exists simple, direct relationships between the
above forms and that obtained with the Bayesian
Cumulative Recursion method, and what ever System
Effectiveness measures may be used.
17
Useful Quality-of-Life Out-LookCauses-Effects of
Hazards and Incipient Failures
There are Predictive Auditable Measures of
Beneficial Effectiveness. Given Sets ofLive
Perpetual-Motion, Self-Organizing Local Societal
Ensembles, Our Interests are
  • Mission Effectiveness in the Present of Noise,
    Uncertainty (Entropy) and Order
  • Probability of Not Failing Before Future Time tm,
  • Probability of Failure in a Future Time Interval
    tm to tm1 ,
  • Probability of Surviving Beyond Future Time tn ,
    and ...
  • Given Survival Up to tn , the Propensity to Fail
    in Next Interval tn to tn1.
  • Availability of Resources Before, During a Future
    Out Past the Horizon tn1.
  • Availability of Effective and Timely Preventive,
    and Corrective, Actions.
  • Given All the Above, Are the Ensembles of Local
    Societies Enjoying Life, and Assurances of Well
    Being with Beneficial Solutions to Societal
    Problems?.

Quality Properties2 7 Are Ignoredby Experts
Politicians.
They Are Not Equippedto HandleVery Large
PredictiveData Sets
The Problem ... Nobody Wont to Get into
Predicting Factual Reliability of Our Lives
Their Events Except Actuaries and Some Quality
Assurance Engineers! The Former Wont Talk, and
the Latter are Misdirected.
18
Reliability Prediction of FailuresandRelated
Quality of Life Parameters
Apply the Operations Research specialistsskills
of the following disciplines
Actuaries ... the life realities of live things,
Quality Assurance Reliability Engineers ... the
life realities of physical things,
to every day and future problem solving, then the
absolute values and rates of changes, of total
effects of operational failures depicted on the
previous slide, can be predicted with at least
60 confidence and measured within even a higher
minimum level to drastically reduce chance of
failureand level of poor quality.
19
Uncomplicated SimulationOutcome of Useful Life
of Assets
Let Beginning of Maturity The Program Breakeven
Payoff, and End of Life the Horizon 2xyz
Years,then End of Maturity is theBeginning of a
Non-Recoverable Downturn.
Given the Beginning of Maturity End of Life
Adjust End of Maturity Useful Life Effectiveness
80 Relative Effectiveness Sum 80 Which Must
Be In the Range of Utilization Intersects
65-87. Note the Age Differences Are Balanced at
24-72-24 Yrs for Long-Term Planning Horizon at
129 Yrs.
20
Fit in the Thick of Things ...
Our Society
We The People Our Posterior
They All Are Linked Functions
Our Safety Health
Our Education System
Our Industries Commerce
And What Does It All Mean?
Our Economy
InPerpetualMotion
Our Collective-Behaviors Justice
Our Defense
All Linked Together with Our
Self-Governance
... To Industrially Promote Continued
EducationThus Enhancing Our Economy Ourselves
21
The Human Species Biomass a Graphical-Venn
Network With Dynamically Linked Categorized
Workplace Nodes
There are No Independent Agents in this Biomass
0. DynamicallyDistributedPeople with
Mutually Interdependent Behaviors
Rank1-6
Rank6-12
Here Are 13 Societal Workplaces Coevolving
Energetically Linked In Time, andLogically In
Polynomial, Boolean, Bayesian, Markovan, Social
and Threat Inoculated Networks.
The General Welfare of this Biomass is Equal to
the Total Effectiveness of Survival of All
Elements.For Local Global Visualization of
Intervening Causes Effects Look at All Work
ProcessesOut in the Future Beyond The Peoples
Vision
22
Super Set of Intersections (), with Their
Complements (1 ),Graphical-Venn Network
Biomass Categories Unified Under a Common Dynamic
Mission for Survival
PEEP Power Series Expansion of ßEa / (1 ßEa)
in S Over Time Out to Horizonand ßEa is the
Super Product of the Effectiveness of One All
Workplace Categories
Totally Interlocked Categories A Super Set
Product (ßEa )i for i 0, 1, 2, ..., 12
PeopleDifferent SkillsEverywhereDifferent
SituationsDifferent Times.PEEP Total
MissionEffectiveness Emission Function (S,
ßEa)
One forAll
All for One
S, a and ß are Space Shape with Form and Fit
Parameters
23
a PriorData Dependency Ranked Inaccordance with
Survival LikelihoodPatterns
EColumns
The InterdependentPattern ElementsSequentialBa
yesian Predictionson K (1 -12)Producing a
Distribution, of Relative Contributions,of
RankedCategorical Outcomes
Not EComplementColumns
Wow ...Refer toPreviousSlide.Is Not the
Intersection of All 13 Venn-NetFunctionsthe
SameProduct ßEa ?
Here, Recurrent Peoples Self-Governance Gain
9.78. Objectively Distribute Criterion (0, or
) Gain Down Link. Receive New Data Setand
Repeat.
The Super Product ßEa of Prior Ratios (E, 1-E),
Produced From Same Prior and Likelihood Causes
Is Identical to the Bayesian Prediction of
Posterior Total Effectiveness. Bayesian
Predicted Total Effectiveness and the Super
Product ßEa Are Identical Results.
24
Examples of Interdependent General
WelfareBayesian Future Tine Rank PatternsThe
Construct of Cause-Effect Of Class Status for
Analysis of Patterns
One Pass (1x) Analyses1. One Bayesian Pass with
Raw Categorical Data As Depicted on Previous
Slide2. Verify Expected Posterior Outcome per
Slide 22 When Nearly EqualityPrior Likelihoods
1 to 12 are Also in the Range Multiple Passes
Analyses3. Change Individual Likelihoods to
Prior One-at-a-Time In Ranked Place (12x) 4.
Change All Posterior Likelihoods to Prior
Likelihoods in Ranked Place (?x)5. Repeat Step 3
with Sorted Middle Likelihood Categories 1 11
(2x) 6. As the a Prior, Let Government, and
Middle Categories, Dictate People Lives. Switch
Categories 0 and 12 Prior Ranking and RepeatAny
or All of Steps 3, 4 and 5 (?x)
25
The Pure Democratic General-Welfare Practices
By their very evolving nature, relationships and
influencesin feedback structured systems are
highly variable.Therefore, the transit
statesof living beings in measurable societal
domains,and ranges (greater than zero but less
than unity),with one- or- many-to-none,
one-to-one, one-to-many,many-to-many and
many-to-one directional changes,and time rate of
changes, in interrelationshipsthat are direct
functions of their interdependences.The real
Societal domains, and ranges, are all
thoseplaces and states of being at times where
the livingexist in the recurrent birth, life and
death processesunder natural and self imposed
conditions.
26
The Pure Democratic General-Welfare,Cloaked in
Arrow-of-Time Fluid Patterns
with Multi-Channel Feedforward Feedback Control
ofOur Posteriors Survival
Densely Mixed Joint Distribution Functions Are
Universal In Life!
Space
Biosphere Surface
Entropy
CulturalInterdependency Loop
Accept Criterion
Past Time
Look-Far-Ahead,Birth Life - Death Processes
(tn)
Future Time
Prior (tn-1)
Posterior (tn1)
WorkTransit State Loop
Residue
Resources
Quality of LifeFailures Corrections (tn)
Entropy
Multi-Nodes InformationLinks
Natural Self ImposedEnvironmental-Conditions
Domain(Interdependent Functions, Arbitrary Form,
Universal Fit)
Energy
Heat
27
Measure Density-Growth-Decline, of Societal Lives
Dynamic Changes and Perpetual Turnovers, of
Self-Organizing Beings
The Normalized Domain of Societal Ranges of Life
Infused DynamicallyWithin Four of Six Regions I
VI with Densities Decreasing Outwardly.Highly
Interdependent Variables In Positive Correlated
Distributions.
SphericalFuzzy BoundariesWhy This
Fuzziness?Because of theAggregateCauses-Effects
Uncertainties of a Multitude of Uncertainties of
Current Events!.The Prolate Spherical VolumeIs
4/3pab2
Survival General WelfareAvailable Managing
Future Realizations
Utilization
1, 1
½, 1
0, 1
Strong Interdependences
Weak Interdependences
I
Fluctuations, Ride Real Trajectories,in and
betweenFuzzy RegionsDepending onTheir
TimeChanges in,and the LaggingQuality Control
of, Total Effectiveness (E).
CW Turnovers
StrongInterdependences
II
VI
The Ideal,Study State, Total Effectiveness
(E)Trendlinewith withQuality Control
0, ½
1, ½
.
Not E
III
CCW Turnovers
V
WeakInterdependences
IV
Entropy a Function of E and Not E (Uncertainty)
Disaster General Welfare NotAvailable Region
The 50-50Flip-Flop, MaximumUncertainty Point
0,0
½, 0
1, 0
28
The Dynamic, Evolving and Rotated,Lemniscate-of-B
ernoulli Field Solution Trace OverlayCapitalists
Globalization of Economic Categorical Densities
Upper Region
The Major,Variable Radial (R),Vector Traces
Out The Solution BoundaryMeasured in0 to
nArbitrary Units (U)In The 1st and
3rdSegregatedQuarter-Sectors. Maximum,100,
Radial lengthis reached at45 deg and 225
degangles.
Middle RegionCenteredAround the50-50Unstable
Point
Rmax U
Lower Region
Total Areaof Both Loops 2 U2plus that of the
Ellipse p aba lengthb width
Rmax U
For 0 to 360 in 10 (or 5) degree steps, Radial
Vector equals Square-Root (n U2 times Sin(2 p /
180)).
29
The Eternal Blossom SeedA 3-D ( x-y-z )
Octal-Unit Cube of the Societal Normalized Space
Abstract Topology Geometry and the Real
SpaceSpace is the universal form of the
properties of existence, ..., consequently, when
the problem of the properties of space is raised,
no domain of facts can be separated artificially.
Refer toMathematicsVolume IIIIts Contents,
Methods, and MeaningsbyAleksandrov,
KolmogorovandLavrentevMIT Press 1963
L Logistic Support Resourcescentered at
50-50-50 point
R Reliability
M Maintainability
E Total Effectiveness f (Utilization,
Performance,Enjoyment)
From this Octal Unit Cube Volume (2E)(2R)(2M),
and with reference to the middle plane of
intersections with 50-50-50 center, we explode
out the surfaceS K L / (1 (1 E)(1 R)(
1 M))0 E 1 0 R 1 0 M
1 0 L 1 0 lt K lt 8
The Complement of E Translates into R, M, L
Resources
30
The Societal Eternal BlossomSprouted From
Utilization, Reliability and Logistic Resources
Seed Measures
There are two asynchronous oscillating points on
this forward edge one at ?(0,1) and the other at
½ (0, Inf.)
31
Causes and Effects of Faults InUrban Adaptive
Economic Policies
1. Policies should issues insight of the Entropy,
Growth and Decline potentials of the population.
It all starts with Population and Land Use
Capacities. Followed with societal benefits, and
then capital realizations.
2. There is no such thing as a stable population
only changes and variations. Thus, there are many
situated patterns of dispersion.
3. There is no clearly defined use of our
investments in human capital. There is still an
overly constricted use of just jobs or labor
whose connotations are not appealing to even the
youngest of the youths, nor to the small business
people. Politicos and the elite are not in
concert with the public system which they try to
control as their whipping boy.
4. Practical changes in governmental and their
agents structures, polices and practices must be
forthcoming forthwith. Evolution advances much
faster when future successful paths are noted and
concentrations are pointed towards solutions to
causes of failures and their effects beforehand.
32
One AspectMigration Effects, or Why Do The
People Leave?
It is not the number of jobs. Its the number of
Quality jobs dummies.There is no plan to use
Diversified, Home Grown, Knowable People!
The Complicated Variable Maximum
CapacitySupporting the Peoples Desired Quality
of Life
Entropy(Uncertainty)
Pop Growth Inflow
50-50The HighlyUnstable Point
People Cant Survive So They Flee Pop Decline
Growth-DeclineRate of Change is Highly Depended
on ResourcesAvailability.
Ideal Range ofUtilization72 - 86
Not E
Effectiveness E
Utilization
33
Strive forEfficient, Maximized Public
UtilizationTo Make Society The Most Cool
CommunityforALL Groups and ALL Individuals
Assuring Each One Carry-on At A Workplace
Full-Scope Vision of Future QoL!
Compatibility! Responsibility!
Accountability!
SeriousKnowledgeableFriendliness
DesirableEnjoyableFun
Ensuring Low Rates of Smooth Pop Turnovers.
34
SocietysQuality Management Green-Team
Think About It!
Changing the Way We Think About the Linkage of
Nodes and Communities ...Strategically,
Integrated Operations Criterion Established by
the Top Sextet.
Developing Strategic ScenariosIs ADynamical Art
with Drama.PrepareforGrowths Declines.
PrepareforSpinoffs.
Detailed Technical Processes with Quality
Controls areDetermined and Managed Collectively
by theGeneral Manger the Lower Quartet Functions.
35
SocietysIntegratedDetailed Design and
Development Network
What Ever Your Specialty, Think About It!
As Necessary,Prepare for Replications
36
Strategic Work Planning ...Quality Effectiveness
Evaluation Criterion
Use The Common Life, Business and Facility
Planning Tool
Information Network Theory With Multi-Users,
Multi-Channels Multi-Terminals Feedback
Recurrent Information Transfer During All Program
Management Phases 1. Research Feasibility of
Vision2. Detail Design Prototype Test
Evaluation3. Full Scale Development4. Useful
Life Utilization Effectiveness4.1 Operations
4.2 Maintenance4.3 Logistics
37
Strategic Work Planning ... (cont)Quality
Effectiveness Evaluation Criterion
  • Safe General Arrangement of Life Functions
  • Effective Benefits Cost of Ownership Realizable
    at Recovery, Breakeven Horizon Boundaries
  • Green Operations with Minimum Efficient Energy
    Use
  • Stability of Utilization with Changes toConfront
    Changing Future Conditions
  • Optimum Quality of All Recurrent Operations
  • Maximized Cumulative Effectiveness of Operating
    Modes, Preventive and Corrective Maintenance,
    Availability and Performance
  • Before-Fact Predictive After-Fact Auditing
    Aidsfor Decision Making
  • Easily Upgradeable Access to Prevailing Modes of
    Information Changes

38
Advanced Life Business Educational Societal
(LBES) Research Center
Transferring Societal Quality of Life (QoL)
Knowledge... a PEEP at Survival Criterion ...
  • The Mission Realize Biodynamical General
    Welfare Systems
  • Optimize Social Business Enterprises
  • Cultivate Interactive Societal Capitalist System
  • Investigate Aggregate Behaviors in QoL
    Distributions
  • Balance Competition, Inflation and Fluctuations
  • Investigate Utilization and Profit-Loss
    Distributions
  • Seek, Measure and Calibrate Uncertainty Benefits
  • Identify Predictive and Auditing Measurements and
    Tools

39
Start Now Applying Available Knowledge to Assure
The Future HasA MeasurableViable General
Welfare Infrastructure
Apply Pre-Analysis WAGs to Visions,then Verify
Values,and then Validate Values
Continuously.For ExampleStart Up-Front,
Predicting Usefulness and Effectiveness of
End of Life 120 years or better Elusive, Moving
Horizon
Safety Essentially 99.9 Free of Undesirable
Noise and Threats
Reliability 0.002 or Less Chance of Operation
or Maintenance Failures
Availability 99.995 Chance of Being in Desired
Useable States of Being
Ease of Improvement Modification or Overhaul
Overcoming Wearout and Obsolescence within
the Availability Window
And, Maximized Societal Real Survival Insurances
With Prior Predictive Proofs of Behavioral
Likelihoods
40
Universality of AppliedQuantitative
Qualitative Quality
Irrelative of their kind, density, or
environment,all systems change some faster than
others therefore their probabilitiesof being in
any state do not remain constant.There is a
persistence of evolving perpetual motion.
From the view of quality control, however, it is
desirable that the process conform to the
Bernoulli scheme, and it is an important
discovery that, production can be made to behave
in this way.The purpose of continuous control
is then to discover at an early stage flagrant
departures from the ideal scheme and to use them
as an indication of impending trouble.by
William FellerAn Introduction to Probability
Theory and Its Applications Volume IQA 273.F37
1950, 1957
41
Universality of AppliedQuantitative
Qualitative Qualitycontinued
These were Pre WWI Military Requirements, but
Liked the Knowledge Skills.A WWII Military
Secret Invention that deals with these Material
Quality situations vested in proven skills
related to
Operations Research The systematic reduction of
seemingly complex operations and maintenance
events into integrated methodologies for
ease and assurance of effective future practices.
Quality Assurance The independent verification
of success-failure properties of integrated
future criterion, practices, procedures and
resources.
Quality Control The validation that actual
criterion and recurrent practices are
resulting in the planned outcomes.
42
Useful Life
An ExampleNormalized, Effective Yearly Economic
Valueof Alternative Spaces
Enter InformationIn White Cells and Outcomes
Fallout
Yearly Rate 271 Adjusted to Find
Breakeven,Minimum, Rateto Build Decision Upon
The Comparative Expense Qualitative Benefits of
Each AlternativeMust Be Weighed and Laid In with
the Economic Income Indices
43
An Example Useful Life Utilization
Maximize Public Utilizationof an Operations and
Maintenance Durableto Behavioral, Environmental
and Threat Conditions
Long-Term Visions Must Be Made With Benefits
ofPredicted Assumptions1. Major Societal
Threats 2. Catastrophe Events3. Operations
Maintenance Abilities to Address Wear Outand
Obsolescence Turnovers Effectively and
Timely4. Reasonable, Effective, Economic,
Societal Envelope is Sustained by the People
with their Governments.
44
Determine Feasibility for anAdvanced Computing
Center
PEEP integrated workplaces horizonal studies
?
eventually at an independentSocietal Information
and Practice Institute managed by technically
society knowledgeable seniors
45
Invest to Perform Phase I Future Life
andOperations Research Feasibility Study
1. IntegrateStandard Unique OM Goals
2. DevelopOMObjectives
3. FinalizeOM Criteria
A Prior
Merge Strategic Findings of Feasible
Alternatives Research Tasks
Local Codes, Laws, Regulations
NationalLife Safety Codes
Major MarcoCriteria
6. DevelopQuality Mgm't AssumptionsOccupancySOM
ScenarioLife CharacteristicsLCW Benefits
CostsLegal Issues
7. RefineSafety Factors,VerificationMethods
Functional Requirements Specifications
4. DevelopAesthetics Utilization
5. ProposeFunctional Design Concepts
Many Micro Elements
Alternatives Feedback
9. CorrectConceptual DifferencesIn-Among
Alternatives
8. Accept
10. Proceed with Assembling Details ofThe
Functional Requirements Specifications, with
Detail Design- and- Build-to-Cost Bid Package
OM Operations Maintenance
SOM Safety, Operations, Maintenance
LCW Life Cycle WAG (Wild Ass Guess)
Feasibility Study Investment XXX,XXX
Write a Comment
User Comments (0)
About PowerShow.com