Title: Politics versus Bureaucracy
1Politics versus Bureaucracy
- Analyze further this tentative chain of
causality - (PolAdm) Institutions ?QoG (Corruption) ? Eco
Growth - 1) Pioneering cross-country study of What
Produces QoG - La Porta et al. 1999 few institutions(culture,
traditions, geography) - 2) Politics is what matters
- Tsebelis 1995 a new comparative political theory
(veto players) - Andrews and Montinola 2004 apply veto players
theory ? corruption - 3) What happens in the apartment upstairs does
not matter how the Bureaucracy is
organized/recruited is what matters - Evans and Rauch 1999
2Good press for political institutions
- Quality of Government
- Democracy
- Separation of powers
- Veto players
- Checks and balances
- For both scholars and policy-makers
3Bad press for bureaucracy
- Quality of Government bureaucracy
- Obsolescent, undesirable, and non-viable form of
administration - Market gt Bureaucracy
- Niskanen bureaucrats budget-maximizers
- New Public Management gt Bureaucracy
- States steering gt Private actors rowing
- Although the Effects of New Public Management are
not so clear - in OECD countries, probably positive
- in developing countries, probably negative
4Now, Time to Rediscover Bureaucracy (Johan Olsen
2006)
- Is bureaucracy an organizational dinosaur
helplessly involved in its death struggle? - No!! Chronology of a come back
- 1980s case studies on the importance of the
State ? Development in East Asia (Evans 1995) - 1990s international institutions (World Bank
1997) - 2000s expansion of theoretical empirical
studies - Bureaucracy seem to matter, specially for
developing countries
5La Porta et al. (1999)
- Pioneering first encompassing empirical test of
what produces good government or QoG - Necessity to look at Exogenous factors ? QoG
- No Economic Growth
- What could be an exogenous factor?
6Factors ? QoG
- 1) Ethnic heterogeneity mechanisms?
- Governments become more interventionist ? less
efficient ? less quality of public goods - Alternative?
- 2) Legal Origin Mechanisms?
- Why Common Law gt Civil Law?
- Civil Law instrument of the state for expanding
its power - Socialist Law? It is an extreme civil law
- So, the French, German and Scandinavian Law (as
part of Civil Law) should be bad, but, wait a
minute, they say German and Scandinavian are
goodWhy? - Is there a problem of endogeneity in legal
explanations of QoG/Type of State?
7Factors ? QoG
- 3) Religion mechanisms?
- Max Weber Protestant gt Catholic
- La Porta et al. 1997 hierarchical religions
worse QoG. Why? - Are they more interventionist religions (they
like to tell people what to do) than Protestant? - Iannacone and the positive effects of
fundamentalism www.religionomics.com - In Catholic Muslim countries religions had
excessive power and bureaucracies have developed
from religious ranks (clerk come from cleric) - Is not counter-balancing power good? Arent
religious good civil servants?
8Data
- Good description of government indicators
- Interesting approach
- Correlations between dependent variables (T.2).
Why? - Correlations between in dependent variables (T.3)
Why?
9Results (T.4-6)
- Convincing results for you?
- Some omitted variables? They dont include
colonial status and continent. Right, wrong? - Other omitted variables?
- Not much of political institutions (democracy vs.
dictatorship, veto players..) - Not many interactions always ethnolinguistic
heterogenity is bad? - Generally speaking, very few control variables
- Maybe, better to focus on 1 dep var (instead of
15?)
10Coming back to political institutions
- New typology of political systems Tsebelis Veto
Player Theory (1995, 2002) - Traditional typologies in comparative politics
- Democracy/ Dictatorship
- Presidential/ Parliamentary
- Electoral systems Majoritarian/ Proportional
- E.g. Persson and Tabellini
11Sartori 1984 definition of political systems
- Presidentialism
- Head of State directly elected for a fixed time
span - Government not appointed by the Parliament, but
by the President - Parliamentarism
- Government is appointed by the Parliament
- One-party or multiple-party coalition governments
- Which one is separation-of-powers system and
which one power-sharing systems?
12Tsebelis Veto Players Theory I
- Veto players individual or collective actors
whose agreement is necessary for a change of the
status quo of policies - Prediction the More Veto Players a country has,
the More Policy Stability
13Tsebelis Veto Players Theory II
- Instead of comparing political systems according
to their formal classification as Presidential
or Parliamentary, we should look at their number
of veto players - Italy (where two or three parties must agree for
legislation to pass) the US, where the
agreement between several institutions is needed
to pass a law - UK (all power in hands of one party) a
presidential regime where the President and the
Legislature are in hands of the same party
14Andrews and Montinola 2004
- Prediction More Veto Players ? More Rule of Law
- Theoretical inspiration Madison (The Federalist
Papers) - Institutions must be divided and arranged so that
each may be a check on the other - The more checks (e.g. veto players) ? the less
incumbents may misuse their power
15AMs game-theory model
- Canonical Prisoners Dilemma payoff structure
16Empirical test
- How would you test this theory?
- What should be shown in an empirical test of this
theoretical model?
17Interesting empirical test
- Faithful codification of the number of veto
players in every country following Tsebelis
theory - Very good control variables among others,
Economic Development! (distrust those who dont) - Each vp ? 0.16 increase in the 1-6 index of
rule of law - They test which classification of political
systems works better the traditional
Presidential/Parliamentary regimes or the new
Veto Players one - Presidential regimes lt Parliamentary. Why?
18 Problems with the test?
- 35 emerging democracies in around 20 years
354 observations? - Other variables?
- Legal origin? E.g. veto players only necessary in
civil law countries - Time of democracy?
19More Veto Players ? Better QoG?
20More Veto Players ? Better QoG?
21Party institutionalization in ten Latin American
democracies.
22Evans and Rauch 1999
- What makes QoG are not the characteristics of the
political system (Pres, Parl, VPs), but features
of the Public Administration - Move the focus from the Executive and Legislature
to the State Administration
23The Bringing the State Back In School
- 1980s case studies on the importance of the
State ? Development in East Asia - 1990s also international institutions (World
Bank 1997) - Lack of coherent theory and of broad empirical
analysis (e.g. Evans 1995 Embedded Autonomy)
24Evans Rauch 1999 a double advance
- Theoretically show the mechanisms that connect
the State Administration with Economic Growth - Empirically an original dataset on bureaucracies
- 35 developing countries
- Methodology experts survey
25 Weberian Administration ? Economic Growth
- Weberian Bureaucracy
- Max Weber Patrimonial Administrations vs.
Bureaucratic (Weberian) ones - Bureaucracy meritocratic recruitment
predictable long-term career rewards - Why is it good?
26Mechanisms through which WB affect economic growth
- More Efficient (better types, more competent)
- OK, but why Microsoft does not use them?
- Longer time horizons (Rauch 1995 US cities)
- Signal to the private sector (impartiality)
27Empirical analysis
- 35 semi-industrialized countries
- High correlation between Weberianess Scale and
GDP/cap 0.67 !! - Regression WS trumps out or reduces the effect
of traditional variables explaining economic
growth (human capital, domestic investment)
28Need for more data on bureaucracies
- More within country and cross-country variations
- Problems neglect of comparative datasets on
bureaucracies by political scientists, public
administration scholars and international
organizations
29Rothstein Teorell 2005
- Quality of Government matters, but we lack a
definition - Economists use good governance
good-for-economic-development - Definition of QoG Results of Government ? the
Procedures of government
30QoG impartial government institutions
- Impartiality in policy implementation
- Focus not on how decisions are taken in a
country (dem, dict..), but on if policies are
provided in an impartial way - Does policy implementation favour some people
over others? Or is impartial?
31Comments
- Which are the differences between (the new)
Impartiality and (the traditional) Rule of Law? - Are professional norms impartial?
- A faithful implementation of a discriminatory law
is impartiality? - Do you prefer Evans Rauch 1999 or Rothstein
Teorell 2005 approach to good administration?