Title: How publishing replication studies and negative results helps science
1Replication Studiesand Negative Results
2What do journals hesitate to publish?
Lets understand these two types of submissions
better.
3Replication studies
4What are replication studies?
- A replication study involves
- repeating a study using the same methods but with
different subjects and experimenters.
- Replication studies
- Ensure that results are reliable and valid
- Apply the previous results to new situations
- Inspire new research that builds upon previous
findings from related studies
5Importance of replication studies
- Scientific experiments must be reproducible!
- If you cannot repeat a trial using a different
set of parameters, your scientific method has
failed.
Did you know? The results of a landmark study,
which had been cited over 1,900 times, could not
be reproduced even by the original researchers in
their own laboratory.
- Validation of research findings is the
cornerstone of science. - If you cannot replicate the results of a study,
you must report it. This can lead to new
discoveries and a better understanding of the
original study.
6Why most journals do not favor replication studies
- Replication studies may not interest some
journals because their publishers - Are biased towards publishing original research
- Feel that this will give authors an easy way to
get published - Believe that replication studies dont reveal new
information - Think the results are not dramatic enough to
attract the journals readership - Want to avoid any potential controversy regarding
the - results of the replication
- Prefer to publish successful replication results,
and not all replication studies are successful
7This is a problem
- If journals do not publish replication studies
- Fewer researchers will choose to perform
reproducibility experiments. - Scientific development could be at stake.
- In the case of clinical trials, in particular,
this could lead to serious health care
consequences.
8Some solutions
- Journals could publish yearly special
issues/include regular sections dedicated to
replication studies.
Publishers could set up forums that encourage
alternative forms of publishing, e.g., a
website/blog that publishes replication studies.
We need tools to validate scientific research
data. One such tool is CrossMark, which validates
content with a unique approval stamp and displays
most updated data readers can assume that
information without the approval stamp is not up
to date/has not yet been taken up for a
replication check and that the results may be
inaccurate.
9Negative results
NEGATIVE RESULTS
10What are negative results?
When a hypothesis turns out to be incorrect, the
study is considered to have produced negative
results.
- Example
- A researcher conducts a study to prove that drug
X can destroy cancerous cells in the human body. - But the researcher finds out that drug X is
incapable of fighting cancerous cells. - Thus, he ends up with a negative result.
11Why journals do not favor negative results
- Negative findings have lesser impact than
positive results. - Papers with negative results may not have a high
number of citations, affecting the journals
impact factor. - Readers may not be as interested in reading
about negative results as they would be in
breakthrough results.
12Proportion of negative and positive results in
the literature
13Did you know this about negative results?
- More than 60 of research experiments fail to
produce results or expected discoveries. - Negative results have been gradually disappearing
from academic literature over the past two
decades. - Articles primarily and clearly stating positive
results have grown by 22 between 1990 and 2007.
Annual odds of a positive result getting
published have increased by around 6 every year.
This is a problem! Just because an experiment
failed, it does not mean that it should not be
shared/published. In fact, publishing negative
results will only give other researchers the
opportunity to build upon the data and make
further discoveries.
14How can we solve this problem?
Together! Every member of the academic
publishing community should work towards
embracing negative results and their publication.
- The perspective towards negative results can be
changed by - Creating awareness (among authors, journals, and
publishers) about the importance of publishing
negative results - Increased focus on journals that publish negative
results (e.g. Journal of Negative Results in
Biomedicine, PLoS ONE, The All Results Journals) - Universities, funding committees, and companies
backing researchers for publishing important
negative findings
15Moving towards scientific progress
Authors
Publishers
- The next time you want to replicate an experiment
- OR
- Publish negative results of your study
- Go ahead and submit it
- because
The next time you receive a replication
study OR A paper that describes negative
results Give it a fair chance because
By doing so, youre helping science grow!
16References
- http//scholarlykitchen.sspnet.org/2012/07/18/a-pr
oposed-list-60-things-journal-publishers-do/ - http//scholarlykitchen.sspnet.org//?swhatdojou
rnalsconsiderwhenacceptingapaperforpublicat
ion - https//becker.wustl.edu/sites/default/files/archi
ved-pdfs/preparepub.pdf - http//jech.bmj.com/content/65/2/119
- http//scx.sagepub.com/content/early/2013/01/24/10
75547012472684.abstract - http//www.nature.com/news/replication-studies-bad
-copy-1.10634 - http//andrewgelman.com/2011/06/13/how_should_jour
/ - http//www.crossref.org/crossmark/
- http//blogs.nature.com/news/2012/12/is-the-scient
ific-literature-self-correcting.html
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