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SEACOOSMPCC

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Detailed (written) plans for initial implementation of Nowcast/Forecast System ... Elevation; Tides large scale signal (weather other) FES, OSU's TPXO, Tierney et. Al. ... – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: SEACOOSMPCC


1
SEA-COOS Model-Products Coordinating Committee
27-28 January 2003 North Carolina Computer
Center RTP, NC
  • Participants
  • Eric Sills, NCSC
  • Inkweon Bang, UMiami, RSMAS
  • Ruoying He, USF
  • Alfredo Aretxabaleta, Brian Blanton
  • Karen Edwards, UNC

2
Agenda
  • MON AM
  • Meeting Goals (B. Blanton)
  • Orientation to NCSC (E. Sills)
  • Outline thoughts on SNFE (B. Blanton)
  • EFSIS experience to Date (I. Bang)
  • Outline thoughts on SSRA (R. He)
  • MON PM
  • Draft plan for SNFE (all)
  • TUES AM
  • Draft plan for SSRA (all)
  • TUES NOON
  • Adjourn

3
SEACOOS Model Domains
  • Scale of Atmos Forcing
  • Mixed Tidal Regimes
  • Various Manifestations of Western Boundary
    Current ( Loop Current/Florida Current/Gulf
    Stream Complex)

4
Meeting Goals To Develop
  • Common
  • Met. Model surface fluxes
  • Tidal Elevations on OBC
  • Detailed (written) plans for HindCast Experiments
  • Dates of interest
  • Parameters of interest
  • Independent Model Runs
  • Common visualization/output
  • Detailed (written) plans for initial
    implementation of Nowcast/Forecast System
  • Dynamics only (no DA)
  • Barotropic mode only
  • No model coupling

5
Meeting Goals, Contd
  • Table of Models used by SEACOOS regions
  • Parameters/Physics among groups
  • MODEL DETAILS web page
  • Statements from each group regarding Models,
    regions, etc. for the SEACOOS web developers
  • List of Institution Urls
  • NCSC Allocation request for upcoming
    computational year

6
Model Parameter/Physics Table
7
Common Modeling Issues
Regardless of Hind/Now/Forecast
  • Offshore Open BCs
  • Elevation Tideslarge scale signal
    (weatherother)
  • FES, OSUs TPXO, Tierney et. Al.
  • Mass Flux
  • Surface Fluxes , Various Met Model Choice
  • AWIP versions of NCEPs ETA10
  • Nonhydrostatic research versions
  • Reanalyses
  • ARLs EDAS 80km Archive
  • Interior Initialization Mass Field
  • Climatology
  • HYCOM,MERCATOR, COFS, POM (Oey)

8
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9
SEACOOS SNFE
  • Computation of 24Hr Nowcasts
  • Followed by XX Hr Forecasts
  • Driven by Met Model Flux Forecasts

10
UNCs Nowcast/Forecast System
11
UNCs Nowcast/Forecast System
12
UNCs Nowcast/Forecast System
WindTide
Data Assimilation Component
13
Operational System Timeline
14
Nowcast/Forecast Issues
  • Timely acquisition of Met Model Output
  • Either Direct from NCEP ftp or via LDM
  • Manipulation of GRiB data to Model
  • GRiB -gt netCDF -gt Model nodes using wgrib and
    Ncar ncl command scripts
  • Coordination of needed model fields
  • Perl functions to extract, build input data,
    schedule model runs
  • Queue management (NQS)
  • Storage (Data Migration Facility)
  • Perl function access to tape archive

15
Mapping GRiB to Model Nodes
NCL scripts
TriPack
GRiB netCDF
Arbitrary nodes
16
Useful URLs
  • NCSC http//www.ncsc.org
  • NCSC Users Guide
  • http//www.ncsc.org/usersupport/USERGUIDE/toc.html
  • Queue management (NQS)
  • http//www.ncsc.org/usersupport/USERGUIDE/9.html
  • Origin - http//www.ncsc.org/usersupport/USERGUIDE
    /11.html
  • SP - http//www.ncsc.org/usersupport/USERGUIDE/10.
    html
  • Storage (Data Migration Facility /dmf)
  • http//www.ncsc.org/usersupport/USERGUIDE/7.html

17
Useful URLs (contd)
  • UCAR/NCAR
  • http//www.ucar.edu/ucar/
  • Ncar Resources http//ngwww.ucar.edu/
  • Command Language (NCL) resources
  • Ncar Graphics
  • GRiB Met Files
  • Grib Format
  • http//dss.ucar.edu/docs/formats/
  • Wgrib (C GRiB file manipulator/decoder)
  • http//wesley.wwb.noaa.gov/
  • http//wesley.wwb.noaa.gov/wgrib.html
  • Ggrib GRiB file subdomain extractor
  • http//wesley.wwb.noaa.gov/ggrib.html
  • READ_GRIB Matlab GRiB decoder
  • http//www.opnml.unc.edu/OPNML_Matlab/

18
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19
SEACOOS SSRA Hindcast Experiments
Regional and SEACOOS-wide responses
  • March 2001
  • Clear SeaWIFS images
  • November 2001
  • May-June 2002
  • Jan 2003

20
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21
March 2001
  • 5-8 March
  • 19-23 March
  • ARL/EDAS 80km winds
  • FES95 Tidal BCS

22
SABSOON
Instrumented Navy Towers
Operating towers
23
ARL/EDAS 80km Grid
24
Storm 1
25
6 March 2001 Water Vapor
26
GS 07 March 2001
07 March 2001
27
Storm 2
28
Storm 2
29
22 March 2001 Water Vapor
30
GS 26 March 2001
26 March 2001
31
6 March ARL/EDAS 80km Winds
32
Water Level
Observed
33
Water Level
Observed
34
19-23 March 2001
35
Drifters (1)
Courtesy, J. Hare, NMFS, Beaufort NC
36
Drifters (2)
Courtesy, J. Hare NMFS, Beaufort NC
37
Drifters (3)
Courtesy, J. Hare NMFS, Beaufort NC
38
Mod Vs. Drifters
  • Vertically Avgd
  • Purely Passive
  • Filtered
  • Wind Strength in ARL/EDAS poor!
  • Missing Cross shelf flow

39
Grays Reef Wind Stress
40
R2 Wind Speed
41
March 2001 SeaWIFS
07 March
08 March
42
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43
November 2001
44
Nov 01 SeaWIFS
45
(No Transcript)
46
Jan 2003
47
Jan 2003
48
22 Jan 2003 SST
49
(No Transcript)
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