Title: Q1 2005 Analyst meeting, 25 May 2005
1Q1 2005Analyst meeting, 25 May 2005
2Contents
- The quarter in brief
- DFDS Seaways
- DFDS Tor Line
- The quarter in figures
- Profit forecast 2005
3Financial performance, 1st quarter 2005
- Revenue rose by 9
- Operating profit (EBITA) and pre-tax profit are
on a par with the same period last year - Considerable rise in invested capital following
the addition of five new ro-ro vessels
4Benchmarking
DFDS Seaways on a level with most comparable
companies
DFDS Tor Line lower average than comparable
companies
5Benchmarking
6DFDS Seaways
7DFDS Seaways - Market development
- Positive reception for the upgrading of the Oslo
ferry - Generally stable market development, particularly
in Scandinavia - High level of competition due to an increasing
range of short-break destinations - Changes in duties on land, e.g. in the
Netherlands, have influenced on-board sales - Introduction of new vessels and consequently
greater capacity in Norway primarily aimed at the
German market
8DFDS Seaways - Financial performance
9DFDS Seaways - Financial performance
- Revenues negatively affected by fewer departures
due to upgrading, and by alterations in Dutch
tobacco duties - 26 growth in passenger numbers per departure on
Oslo route. Upgrading and early Easter helped
progress - The booking situation for the rest of the year is
on a par with last year
10Upgrading welcomed by customers
- Customer surveys on Copenhagen-Oslo route
revealed that - The surveys were taken in the period immediately
prior to the upgrading, and in each of the first
10 weeks after the upgrading
11On-board sales undergoing transformation
- Changes in duties ashore have created new
conditions for on-board sales - Restructuring from mainly tax-free to more
conventional shopping - The process of improving retail skills is ongoing
- Continued major potential for shopping as part of
income base
12New concepts Sea Shops
- New, brighter interior with more open areas
- Retention of traditional tax-free and
shop-in-shop concept - New product range
13Examples of new products
- Jack Stella products
- PILGRIM jewellery
- MontBlanc
- Up-market watches
- Toys bestsellers / season
- Sun-glasses
- Ver de Terre RTW for children (outdoor)
- Ski RTW accessories
- Gastronomic specialities
- International tourist souvenirs gift articles
14Examples of new products
- More local products and customised themes
introduced on non-tax-free routes - More seasonal variation, special offers and
adaptation to varying customer segments in the
course of the year, e.g. incoming guests - Performance of existing product groups tested on
an ongoing basis
15Examples of other measures
- Logistics optimisation, business intelligence and
retail skills - Clearer communication of savings and advantages
- Best Buys
- Shopping lists
- Signage on board and in shops
- TV on board
- Etc.
16DFDS Tor Line
17DFDS Tor Line - Market development
- Market in North Sea region was stable, with
positive developments in areas affected by the
new German road tax - Growth supported by good progress in Scandinavia,
while UK is more subdued - continued lack of
balance in east/west traffic - East/west traffic in the Baltic region remains
affected by over-capacity in the land transport
sector - the overall market is however growing - Bad weather in the 1st quarter caused some
disruption of operations
18DFDS Tor Line - Financial performance
19DFDS Tor Line - Financial performance
- Revenue positively affected by the purchase of
Swedish transport activities, increased activity
on North Sea routes and Lys-Line, and the DFDS
Nordic Terminal - Co-operation agreement with MACS increased
volumes between UK and Benelux in the 1st quarter
- First quarter for BelgoBridge was hit by
operational difficulties, resulting in a high
level of costs - Bad weather increased the general level of costs
20New EU member nations influencing the transport
market
21Open borders, less waiting time, increased
capacity by 30
22Rates under pressure in several areas
231st quarter 2005 in figures
24Revenue rose by 9 to DKK 1,302 m.
25Costs and EBITDA development
- Bad weather in the 1st quarter increased vessels'
operating costs for DFDS Tor Line - Operational difficulties increased costs for the
new BelgoBridge route - Training expenses rose for DFDS Seaways in
association with upgradings
26Depreciation and EBITA development
- DKK 7 mill. profit on the sales of two
multi-purpose vessels in LISCO - Slightly lower level of depreciation for ships
27EBITA on a par with last year
28Financing, tax and profits for the year
- The cost of financing remained on a par with last
year despite a 23 rise in the average net
interest-bearing debt
29Rate of turnover, invested capital
30Newbuilding no. 5 delivered at the beginning of
2005
31Stronger equity ratio expected for the whole year
32Transition to IFRS, 1st quarter 2005
33Profit forecast 2005
- Revenue will increase by around 6-8 on the basis
of growth in both divisions - Net investments of around DKK 500 m.
- DKK 300 m. in connection with the fifth and sixth
new ro-ro ships - DKK 100 m. in connection with the upgrading of
cruise ferry ships - Hedging
- A significant proportion of the expected oil
consumption for the remainder of the year is
hedged via price regulation agreements and
financial contracts - The majority of the cash flows denominated in USD
are hedged - Currency risks are overall very limited in 2005
34Profit forecast 2005
- DFDS Seaways' operating profit (EBITA) is
expected to rise by around 10-15 - DFDS Tor Line's operating profit (EBITA) is
expected to rise by around 5-10 - A small rise is expected in non-allocated costs
- For the DFDS Group, pre-tax profits are expected
to be approximately DKK 225 m. - The profit forecast has been calculated pursuant
to IFRS rules. Calculated in the same manner,
profits before tax for 2004 were DKK 201 m.
35DFDS Q1 2005