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Q1 2005 Analyst meeting, 25 May 2005

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Title: Q1 2005 Analyst meeting, 25 May 2005


1
Q1 2005Analyst meeting, 25 May 2005
2
Contents
  • The quarter in brief
  • DFDS Seaways
  • DFDS Tor Line
  • The quarter in figures
  • Profit forecast 2005

3
Financial performance, 1st quarter 2005
  • Revenue rose by 9
  • Operating profit (EBITA) and pre-tax profit are
    on a par with the same period last year
  • Considerable rise in invested capital following
    the addition of five new ro-ro vessels

4
Benchmarking
DFDS Seaways on a level with most comparable
companies
DFDS Tor Line lower average than comparable
companies
5
Benchmarking
6
DFDS Seaways
7
DFDS Seaways - Market development
  • Positive reception for the upgrading of the Oslo
    ferry
  • Generally stable market development, particularly
    in Scandinavia
  • High level of competition due to an increasing
    range of short-break destinations
  • Changes in duties on land, e.g. in the
    Netherlands, have influenced on-board sales
  • Introduction of new vessels and consequently
    greater capacity in Norway primarily aimed at the
    German market

8
DFDS Seaways - Financial performance
9
DFDS Seaways - Financial performance
  • Revenues negatively affected by fewer departures
    due to upgrading, and by alterations in Dutch
    tobacco duties
  • 26 growth in passenger numbers per departure on
    Oslo route. Upgrading and early Easter helped
    progress
  • The booking situation for the rest of the year is
    on a par with last year

10
Upgrading welcomed by customers
  • Customer surveys on Copenhagen-Oslo route
    revealed that
  • The surveys were taken in the period immediately
    prior to the upgrading, and in each of the first
    10 weeks after the upgrading

11
On-board sales undergoing transformation
  • Changes in duties ashore have created new
    conditions for on-board sales
  • Restructuring from mainly tax-free to more
    conventional shopping
  • The process of improving retail skills is ongoing
  • Continued major potential for shopping as part of
    income base

12
New concepts Sea Shops
  • New, brighter interior with more open areas
  • Retention of traditional tax-free and
    shop-in-shop concept
  • New product range

13
Examples of new products
  • Jack Stella products
  • PILGRIM jewellery
  • MontBlanc
  • Up-market watches
  • Toys bestsellers / season
  • Sun-glasses
  • Ver de Terre RTW for children (outdoor)
  • Ski RTW accessories
  • Gastronomic specialities
  • International tourist souvenirs gift articles

14
Examples of new products
  • More local products and customised themes
    introduced on non-tax-free routes
  • More seasonal variation, special offers and
    adaptation to varying customer segments in the
    course of the year, e.g. incoming guests
  • Performance of existing product groups tested on
    an ongoing basis

15
Examples of other measures
  • Logistics optimisation, business intelligence and
    retail skills
  • Clearer communication of savings and advantages
  • Best Buys
  • Shopping lists
  • Signage on board and in shops
  • TV on board
  • Etc.

16
DFDS Tor Line
17
DFDS Tor Line - Market development
  • Market in North Sea region was stable, with
    positive developments in areas affected by the
    new German road tax
  • Growth supported by good progress in Scandinavia,
    while UK is more subdued - continued lack of
    balance in east/west traffic
  • East/west traffic in the Baltic region remains
    affected by over-capacity in the land transport
    sector - the overall market is however growing
  • Bad weather in the 1st quarter caused some
    disruption of operations

18
DFDS Tor Line - Financial performance
19
DFDS Tor Line - Financial performance
  • Revenue positively affected by the purchase of
    Swedish transport activities, increased activity
    on North Sea routes and Lys-Line, and the DFDS
    Nordic Terminal
  • Co-operation agreement with MACS increased
    volumes between UK and Benelux in the 1st quarter
  • First quarter for BelgoBridge was hit by
    operational difficulties, resulting in a high
    level of costs
  • Bad weather increased the general level of costs

20
New EU member nations influencing the transport
market
21
Open borders, less waiting time, increased
capacity by 30
22
Rates under pressure in several areas
23
1st quarter 2005 in figures
24
Revenue rose by 9 to DKK 1,302 m.
25
Costs and EBITDA development
  • Bad weather in the 1st quarter increased vessels'
    operating costs for DFDS Tor Line
  • Operational difficulties increased costs for the
    new BelgoBridge route
  • Training expenses rose for DFDS Seaways in
    association with upgradings

26
Depreciation and EBITA development
  • DKK 7 mill. profit on the sales of two
    multi-purpose vessels in LISCO
  • Slightly lower level of depreciation for ships

27
EBITA on a par with last year
28
Financing, tax and profits for the year
  • The cost of financing remained on a par with last
    year despite a 23 rise in the average net
    interest-bearing debt

29
Rate of turnover, invested capital
30
Newbuilding no. 5 delivered at the beginning of
2005
31
Stronger equity ratio expected for the whole year
32
Transition to IFRS, 1st quarter 2005
33
Profit forecast 2005
  • Revenue will increase by around 6-8 on the basis
    of growth in both divisions
  • Net investments of around DKK 500 m.
  • DKK 300 m. in connection with the fifth and sixth
    new ro-ro ships
  • DKK 100 m. in connection with the upgrading of
    cruise ferry ships
  • Hedging
  • A significant proportion of the expected oil
    consumption for the remainder of the year is
    hedged via price regulation agreements and
    financial contracts
  • The majority of the cash flows denominated in USD
    are hedged
  • Currency risks are overall very limited in 2005

34
Profit forecast 2005
  • DFDS Seaways' operating profit (EBITA) is
    expected to rise by around 10-15
  • DFDS Tor Line's operating profit (EBITA) is
    expected to rise by around 5-10
  • A small rise is expected in non-allocated costs
  • For the DFDS Group, pre-tax profits are expected
    to be approximately DKK 225 m.
  • The profit forecast has been calculated pursuant
    to IFRS rules. Calculated in the same manner,
    profits before tax for 2004 were DKK 201 m.

35
DFDS Q1 2005
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