Sea Ice Drift Ensemble [e-mail]

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Sea Ice Drift EnsembleRobert.Grumbine_at_noaa.gov

• Forecast is of drift over next 16 days
• Model being moved from geostrophic winds to real
  winds
• Set of ensemble traces shows significant
  divergences between ensemble members
• Average of ensemble quite different than forecast
  derived from main GFS run
• -gt Verification data, when available, will
  distinguish easily between skill of ensemble
  average and main run.

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