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Identifying Enforcement And Class Action

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Comparing all delinquency-related revenues (late fees, inspection fees, BPO fees, ... Comparing delinquency rates to predictive delinquency models: ... – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: Identifying Enforcement And Class Action


1
Identifying Enforcement And Class Action Risk
Factors In Mortgage Servicing Brian P.
Brooks OMelveny Myers LLP 1625 Eye Street,
N.W. Washington, D.C. 20006 (202) 383-5127 (202)
383-5414 (fax) bbrooks_at_omm.com
2
Overview
  • The hypothesis behind regulatory proceedings and
    class actions Subprime servicers are supposedly
    driven by financial incentives to manage loans
    into delinquency.
  • The compliance dilemma for servicers Managing to
    measurable standards vs. managing to adjectives
  • Compliance initiatives to reduce enforcement and
    class action risk Three key metrics

3
Testing the Incentive Hypothesis Are Delinquent
Loans More Profitable Than Performing Loans?
  • Analyzing loan-related cash flows
  • For a given loan pool, what is the average net
    income (usually expressed in bps)?
  • What is the average net income for 31-89 day
    delinquent loans?
  • What is the average net income for 90 day
    delinquent loans? All delinquent loans?
  • Comparing all delinquency-related revenues (late
    fees, inspection fees, BPO fees, etc.) with all
    delinquency-related costs (REO, lost servicing
    fee income, etc.)?

4
  • Testing The Payment Posting Hypothesis
  • Are Timely Payments Posted Late?
  • Analyzing payment posting issues
  • Posting vs. crediting
  • What percentage of borrower payments are posted
    on the date of receipt? Within 24 hours? Within
    48 hours? Etc.
  • For payments posted after the date of receipt,
    are payments credited effective as of the date
    of receipt? Are any interim delinquency-related
    charges reversed? Is the reversal process
    automated or manual?
  • To what extent are late postings attributable to
    servicing processes (e.g., data entry error) vs.
    borrower conduct (e.g., absence of loan number
    absence of property address incorrect/insufficien
    t payment amount)? To what extent are the causes
    of late posting documented?

5
Testing The Excessive Delinquency
HypothesisAre Delinquencies Explained By
Servicing PracticesOr Credit Quality?
  • Comparing delinquency rates to predictive
    delinquency models
  • FICO scores, if available and sufficiently recent
  • Predictive models based on pre-boarding
    delinquency profiles
  • Comparing delinquency rates to industry averages
  • Loan Performance data
  • AFSA data

6
Risk Management Strategies
  • Dont wait for the crisis. Ongoing monitoring of
    cash flows, payment posting/crediting
    effectiveness, and credit quality-adjusted
    delinquency rates can identify issues before they
    mature into enforcement actions or litigation.
  • Many processes that relate to risk factors
    involve human error. Consider whether automated
    solutions are available and practicable.
  • To avoid allegations that servicers have a
    financial incentive to charge delinquency-related
    fees, consider extent to which expected servicing
    costs (including delinquency-related costs) can
    be priced into the initial servicing-rights
    transaction.
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