Title: Identifying Enforcement And Class Action
1Identifying Enforcement And Class Action Risk
Factors In Mortgage Servicing Brian P.
Brooks OMelveny Myers LLP 1625 Eye Street,
N.W. Washington, D.C. 20006 (202) 383-5127 (202)
383-5414 (fax) bbrooks_at_omm.com
2Overview
- The hypothesis behind regulatory proceedings and
class actions Subprime servicers are supposedly
driven by financial incentives to manage loans
into delinquency. - The compliance dilemma for servicers Managing to
measurable standards vs. managing to adjectives - Compliance initiatives to reduce enforcement and
class action risk Three key metrics
3Testing the Incentive Hypothesis Are Delinquent
Loans More Profitable Than Performing Loans?
- Analyzing loan-related cash flows
- For a given loan pool, what is the average net
income (usually expressed in bps)? - What is the average net income for 31-89 day
delinquent loans? - What is the average net income for 90 day
delinquent loans? All delinquent loans? - Comparing all delinquency-related revenues (late
fees, inspection fees, BPO fees, etc.) with all
delinquency-related costs (REO, lost servicing
fee income, etc.)?
4- Testing The Payment Posting Hypothesis
- Are Timely Payments Posted Late?
- Analyzing payment posting issues
- Posting vs. crediting
- What percentage of borrower payments are posted
on the date of receipt? Within 24 hours? Within
48 hours? Etc. - For payments posted after the date of receipt,
are payments credited effective as of the date
of receipt? Are any interim delinquency-related
charges reversed? Is the reversal process
automated or manual? - To what extent are late postings attributable to
servicing processes (e.g., data entry error) vs.
borrower conduct (e.g., absence of loan number
absence of property address incorrect/insufficien
t payment amount)? To what extent are the causes
of late posting documented?
5Testing The Excessive Delinquency
HypothesisAre Delinquencies Explained By
Servicing PracticesOr Credit Quality?
- Comparing delinquency rates to predictive
delinquency models - FICO scores, if available and sufficiently recent
- Predictive models based on pre-boarding
delinquency profiles - Comparing delinquency rates to industry averages
- Loan Performance data
- AFSA data
6Risk Management Strategies
- Dont wait for the crisis. Ongoing monitoring of
cash flows, payment posting/crediting
effectiveness, and credit quality-adjusted
delinquency rates can identify issues before they
mature into enforcement actions or litigation. - Many processes that relate to risk factors
involve human error. Consider whether automated
solutions are available and practicable. - To avoid allegations that servicers have a
financial incentive to charge delinquency-related
fees, consider extent to which expected servicing
costs (including delinquency-related costs) can
be priced into the initial servicing-rights
transaction.