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European Community

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Title: European Community Author: UCIS Last modified by: rleclair Created Date: 1/24/1997 12:35:56 AM Document presentation format: On-screen Show (4:3) – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: European Community


1
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2
European Community
3
Corruption Perception Index
  • Transparency International
  • Gottingen University
  • Berlin, Germany
  • http//www.transparency.org

4
Corruption Perception Index
5
2014 Corruption Perception Index
6
2014 Corruption Perception Index
7
2014 Corruption Perception Index
8
Shapiro Chapter 3
  • The International Monetary System

9
Alternative Exchange Rate Systems
  • Free (Clean) Float
  • Managed (Dirty) Float
  • Target-Zone
  • Fixed Rate
  • Hybrid

10
Free (Clean) Float System
  • Supply demand for currency
  • Price level changes (inflation)
  • Interest rate differentials
  • Economic growth
  • Exchange rates fluctuate randomly
  • Adjust quickly to new information

11
Managed (Dirty) Float System
  • Central bank intervention
  • Reduce economic uncertainty
  • Impact on domestic economy
  • Appreciation (reduces exports)
  • Depreciation (higher inflation)

12
Managed (Dirty) Float System
  • Categories
  • 1. smoothing daily fluctuations
  • 2. leaning against the wind
  • 3. unofficial pegging

13
Fluctuating Value of the Yen per ,1954 - 2015
14
Japan spends 4 trillion yen on currency
interventions in September -MSNBC, 9/30/03
  • Japan spent more than 4 trillion yen (36.2
    billion) over the last month intervening in
    currency markets, adding to a record figure it
    has spent this year in an aggressive
    yen-weakening campaign that has been criticized
    by its trading partners.

15
Japan spends 4 trillion yen on currency
interventions in September -MSNBC, 9/30/03
  • That brought the total for the year to 13.48
    trillion yen (122.01 billion). The cumulative
    figure has already surpassed the previous
    full-year record of 7.64 trillion yen in 1999.

16
Japan spends 4 trillion yen on currency
interventions in September -MSNBC, 9/30/03
  • Japanese officials often threaten to step into
    the market to prevent excessive movements by
    the Japanese currency, whose fluctuations have a
    direct impact on profits by exporters.

17
Target-Zone Arrangement
  • Adjust national economic policies
  • Maintain exchange rates in a band around
    official rates
  • European Monetary System (EMS)

18
Target-Zone ArrangementEuropean Currency Unit
(ECU)
  • electronic unit of account 1979-1999
  • composite currency
  • twelve European countries
  • exchange rate mechanism (ERM)
  • originally a 2.25 range

19
Target Zone ArrangementEuropean Monetary System
Central Rate
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Target Zone ArrangementEuropean Monetary System
2.25
-2.25
21
Target Zone ArrangementEuropean Monetary System
2.25
-2.25
22
Target Zone ArrangementEuropean Monetary System
?
2.25
-2.25
?
23
Target Zone ArrangementEuropean Monetary System
Buy
2.25
-2.25
Sell
24
Target-Zone ArrangementEuropean Currency Unit
(ECU)
  • electronic unit of account 1979-1999
  • composite currency
  • twelve European countries
  • exchange rate mechanism (ERM)
  • originally a 2.25 range
  • adjusted to a 15 range

25
Target Zone ArrangementEuropean Monetary System
15
2.25
-2.25
-15
26
European Monetary Union
  • Maastricht Treaty (7 Feb. 1992)
  • Single central bank (ECB)
  • Single European currency (Euro)
  • Qualification standards
  • inflation
  • currency stability
  • national debt and deficit

27
European Monetary UnionConvergence Criteria
  • Inflation no more than 1.5 above avg. of three
    members with lowest rate
  • L-T interest rate no more than 2 above avg. of
    three members with lowest rate
  • Fiscal deficit no more than 3 of GDP
  • Govt. debt no more than 60 of GDP

28
European Monetary UnionAdvantages
  • Lower currency conversion costs
  • Eliminate risk of currency fluctuations
  • Encourage trade and investment
  • Efficient allocation of resources
  • Coordinate monetary policy
  • Similar inflation rate

29
Fixed-Rate System(Bretton Woods)
  • Target exchange rates
  • Central bank buys or sells currency to maintain
    rate
  • Coordinated monetary policy
  • Same inflation rate for each country
  • Sacrifices control of domestic economic policy

30
The Gold Standard
  • Why? Distrust of fiat (paper) money and
    governments
  • Automatic adjustment mechanism
  • price-specie-flow mechanism

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Reasons for Currency Crises
  • Global trade links
  • Integrated financial systems
  • Debt policy excessive short-term debt

33
Avoiding Financial Crises
  • Currency controls
  • Freely floating currency
  • Fixed exchange rates
  • Better information

34
Economics UA Video
  • Exchange Rates
  • 1183
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