A Scan of the Environment Surrounding Tech Prep in Illinois: Past, Present

1
A Scan ofthe Environment Surrounding Tech Prep
in IllinoisPast, Present Future

• Eunyoung Kim
• Cathy Kirby

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Environmental Scanning Diagram
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Environmental Scanning Defined

• Knowing and predicting about events, trends, and
  relationships in an organizations external
  environment and using the information to plan the
  organizations future course of action.
• (adapted from Aguilar, 1967)

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Why Environmental Scanning?

• Objective To identify current and future
• trends
• projections
• opportunities
• threats
• facing us over the life of the strategic planning
  period.
• In order to strategically plan the future of
  CTE Tech Prep, we need to grasp the dynamic,
  complex, interrelated environment that impacts
  education in Illinois.

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Scope of Environmental Factors

• Demographic Factors
• Economic Factors
• Socio-Cultural Factors
• Education Factors
• Industry/Workforce Factors

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IL Demographic Factors (US Census, 2000)
Illinois Consortium Area
Total population 12.5 million
White 73.5
African American 15.1
Asian 3.4
Hispanic 12.3
Native American 0.2
Population change 2.4
(US Census Bureau State and County Quickfacts
http//quickfacts.census.gov/qfd/states/17000.html
)
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IL Economic Factors (US Census, 2000)
Illinois Consortium Area
Per capita income 23,104
Poverty level 10.7
Unemployment rate 5.7 (as of October, 2005)
Other?
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Multi-Dimensions of Poverty

• Income poverty
• Health poverty
• Education poverty
• Individual attributes self-esteem, confidence,
  capability
• Social political attributes public policy,
  leadership
• (Thorbecke, 2005)

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Socio-Cultural Factors

• Percentage of Traditionally Underserved
  Populations
• Below poverty level
• 1st generation college goers
• Racial/ethnic minorities (e.g., Hispanic,
  African- American)
• Students with disabilities
• LEP/Immigrants
• Attitudes and perceptions of CTE
• Other?

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IL Education Factors (Measuring Up, 2004)
Category Illinois Consortium Area
18-24 age group w/ high school diploma 87.5
Dropout 4.0
High school graduates who enter college 60
18-24 age group enrolled in college 33
13th grade CC student retention rate 53
Remediation rate ??
Tech Prep program completion rate ??
)
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IL Education Funding Disparity

• Highest  
• Rondout School District 72 23,799 (Lake
  Forest-Lake)
• Butler School District 53 15,511 (Oak
  Brook-Dupage)
• Northbrook Elementary School District 27 15,308
  (Northbrook-Cook)
• Lowest  
• Union School District 81 5,157 (Joliet-Will)
• Community Consolidated School District 168 6,026
  (Huntley-McHenry)
• Mokena School District 159 5,532 (Mokena-Will)
• (ISBE, 2004)

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Industry/Workforce Trends

• Education level remains positively associated
  with higher income
• Growth areas in IL include computer
  information technology instructional
  coordinators electrical engineering medical
  assistants sales and business services legal
  services social services
• Higher levels of 1) skills, 2) knowledge, 3)
  postsecondary degrees will continue to grow
• Learning to learn preparing for lifelong
  education
• (Judy, D'Amico, Geipels Workforce2020,
  1997)

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IL Economic Development Region
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IL Tech Prep Factors

• 39 public community college districts, 59
  regional vocational systems, over 500 high
  schools
• Multiple consortium arrangements funding
• Linkages between academic and career and
  technical educators
• Articulation between secondary and postsecondary
  education
• Collaboration between educators and the business
  community
• Reauthorization of Carl D. Perkins Vocational
  and Technical Education Act Changes???

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Teacher Shortage CTE

• Impending teacher retirements
• (National Education Association US
  Department of Education)
• New teacher turnover
• (National Education Association US
  Department of Education)
• 10 projected growth of CTE teaching positions
  (Occupational Outlook Handbook)
• Declining capacity to produce CTE teachers
• (Lynch, 1998)
• Lack of professional development training
• Shortages in your consortium?

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CTE High School Reform

• CTEs role and leadership in high school reform
• CTE model to increase college readiness
• Initiatives
• -Career pathways
• -Career academies
• -Small schools/restructuring/breakup of
  comprehensive HS
• -High Schools That Work
• States set priorities to redesign high schools
  promote transition from high school to college
  (NGA, 2005)

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Next Steps

• Well share this template for local use
• Use SWOT activity to summarize
• Draft summary of consortium environmental
  scanning process - more info date to follow
• State level Assemble Working Group
• Spring Regional Meeting Continue discussion
• Consider us a resource
• More information will be available on OCCRL
  website
• http//occrl.ed.uiuc.edu/