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APV-based free cash flow is identical to that of enterprise DCF. ... Valuation 5e - Chapter 2 Subject: Fundamental Principles Last modified by: Copy Editor – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: Frameworks for Valuation:


1
Chapter 6
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  • Frameworks for Valuation
  • Adjusted Present Value (APV)

2
Adjusted Present Value
  • There are five well-known frameworks for valuing
    a company using discounted flows.
  • In theory, each framework will generate the same
    value. In practice, the ease of implementation
    and the interpretation of results varies across
    frameworks.
  • In this presentation, we examine how to value a
    company using adjusted present value (APV)

Frameworks for Valuation
3
Why Use APV?
  • When building an enterprise DCF or
    economic-profit valuation, most financial
    analysts discount all future flows at a constant
    weighted average cost of capital (WACC). Using a
    constant WACC, however, assumes the company
    manages its capital structure to a target
    debt-to-value ratio.
  • In cases where the capital structure is expected
    to change significantly, assuming a constant cost
    of capital can lead to misvaluation. In these
    situations, do not embed capital structure in the
    cost of capital, but instead model capital
    structure explicitly.
  • The adjusted present value (APV) model separates
    the value of operations into two components the
    value of operations as if the company were
    all-equity financed and the value of tax shields
    that arise from debt financing

Enterprise value as if the company were
all-equity financed
Present value of debt-related tax shields
APV

4
APV Valuation Free Cash Flow
  • To value a company using APV, start with a
    forecast of free cash flow (FCF). APV-based free
    cash flow is identical to that of enterprise DCF.
  • Rather than discount free cash flow at the WACC,
    discount free cash flow at the unlevered cost of
    capital, the cost of capital of an all-equity
    company. We discuss the unlevered cost of
    capital later in this presentation.

Home Depot Unlevered Valuation
Discount free cash flow at the unlevered cost of
equity. For Home Depot, the unlevered cost of
equity is estimated at 9.3 percent.
5
APV Valuation Interest Tax Shields
  • Next, compute the present value of
    financing-related benefits, such as interest tax
    shields (ITS). Interest tax shields can be
    discounted at either the unlevered cost of equity
    or the cost of debt, depending on your
    perspective of their risk.

Home Depot Interest Tax Shield




To forecast the interest tax shield, first
forecast the level of debt.
A forecast of the marginal tax rate is also
required. Be careful a company must be
profitable to capture tax shields!
6
APV Valuation Putting It All Together
  • To conclude the APV-based valuation, sum the
    present value of free cash flow and the present
    value of interest tax shields (ITS). This leads
    to the value of operations.

Home Depot Valuation ( million)
Present value of FCF using unlevered cost of
equity
73,557
Present value of interest tax shields (ITS)
2,372
Present value of FCF and ITS
75,928
1.041
Midyear adjustment factor
Value of operations
79,384
  • The value of operations for Home Depot is the
    same for both enterprise DCF and APV (79,384
    million). This occurs because we assumed the cost
    of capital for the tax shields (ktax) is equal to
    the unlevered cost of equity (ku). We used this
    assumption when deriving the unlevered cost of
    equity and while discounting the tax shields.

7
A Critical Component Unlevered Cost of Equity
  • The adjusted present value (APV) model separates
    the value of operations into two components the
    value of operations as if the company were
    all-equity financed and the value of tax shields
    that arise from debt financing

Discounted free cash flow at the unlevered cost
of capital
Discounted tax shields at the unlevered cost of
equity or the cost of debt
  • But how do we define the unlevered cost of
    equitythat is, the cost of equity when the firm
    has no leverage, when it is unobservable? We
    rely on the tools of economists Franco Modigliani
    and Merton Miller.

8
Modigliani and Miller
  • In the 1950s, economists Modigliani and Miller
    (MM) postulated that the value of a firms
    claims must equal the value of its assets.
  • They also argued that the weighted average risk
    of a companys financial claims must equal the
    weighted average.

9
The Levered and Unlevered Cost of Equity
  • Lets start with MMs risk formula
  • Multiply both sides by enterprise value. This
    eliminates each fractions denominator.
  • Next, use the first equation from the previous
    slide to eliminate Vu (an unobservable value
  • Redistribute the terms on the left to collect
    like terms.

10
The Levered and Unlevered Cost of Equity
(Continued)
  • Dividing the final equation on the previous slide
    by E leads to the generalized cost of equity
    equation

The cost of equity
A premium for increasing leverage
The unlevered cost of equity
A discount for the tax deductibility of interest
payments
  • The cost of levered equity (which can be measured
    via regression) is a function of the underlying
    economic risk, the amount of leverage, and tax
    deductibility of interest.

11
The Levered and Unlevered Cost of Equity
  • The levered cost of equity (ke) is related to the
    unlevered cost of equity via the following
    equation
  • Each of the variables can be estimated except the
    risk of tax shields. Most practitioners assume
    ktax ku. This is consistent with a constant
    D/V ratio. When ktax ku, the final term
    disappears and the equation simplifies to
  • Many academics assume ktax kd. This leads to
    an alternative representation

12
Levered Cost of Equity
  • The grid below summarizes the formulas that can
    be used to estimate the levered cost of equity.
    The top row in the exhibit contains formulas that
    assume ktax equals ku. The bottom row contains
    formulas that assume ktax equals kd. The formulas
    on the left side are flexible enough to handle
    any future capital structure but require valuing
    the tax shields separately. The formulas on the
    right side assume the dollar level of debt is
    fixed over time.

Dollar level of debt fluctuates
Dollar level of debt is constant
Tax shields have same risk as operating
assets ktax ku
Tax shields have same risk as debt ktax kd
13
Unlevered Cost of Equity
  • Since the unlevered cost of equity is
    unobservable, equations on the previous slide
    must be arranged to solve for the unlevered cost
    of equity. Depending on risk of tax shields and
    how the companys debt fluctuates, the formula
    will vary.

Dollar level of debt fluctuates
Dollar level of debt is constant
Tax shields have same risk as operating
assets ktax ku
Tax shields have same risk as debt ktax kd
14
Unlevering Example
  • Question
  • SampleCo maintains a debt-to-value ratio of 1/3.
    If the companys cost of debt is 6 percent, its
    cost of equity is 12 percent, and the marginal
    tax rate is 30 percent, what is the companys
    unlevered cost of equity?
  • Solution
  • Since the company maintains a constant capital
    structure, we can assume ktax ku. Therefore,
    ku equals
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