Title: Frameworks for Valuation:
1Chapter 6
Instructors Please do not post raw PowerPoint
files on public website. Thank you!
- Frameworks for Valuation
- Adjusted Present Value (APV)
2Adjusted Present Value
- There are five well-known frameworks for valuing
a company using discounted flows. - In theory, each framework will generate the same
value. In practice, the ease of implementation
and the interpretation of results varies across
frameworks. - In this presentation, we examine how to value a
company using adjusted present value (APV)
Frameworks for Valuation
3Why Use APV?
- When building an enterprise DCF or
economic-profit valuation, most financial
analysts discount all future flows at a constant
weighted average cost of capital (WACC). Using a
constant WACC, however, assumes the company
manages its capital structure to a target
debt-to-value ratio. - In cases where the capital structure is expected
to change significantly, assuming a constant cost
of capital can lead to misvaluation. In these
situations, do not embed capital structure in the
cost of capital, but instead model capital
structure explicitly. - The adjusted present value (APV) model separates
the value of operations into two components the
value of operations as if the company were
all-equity financed and the value of tax shields
that arise from debt financing
Enterprise value as if the company were
all-equity financed
Present value of debt-related tax shields
APV
4APV Valuation Free Cash Flow
- To value a company using APV, start with a
forecast of free cash flow (FCF). APV-based free
cash flow is identical to that of enterprise DCF. - Rather than discount free cash flow at the WACC,
discount free cash flow at the unlevered cost of
capital, the cost of capital of an all-equity
company. We discuss the unlevered cost of
capital later in this presentation.
Home Depot Unlevered Valuation
Discount free cash flow at the unlevered cost of
equity. For Home Depot, the unlevered cost of
equity is estimated at 9.3 percent.
5APV Valuation Interest Tax Shields
- Next, compute the present value of
financing-related benefits, such as interest tax
shields (ITS). Interest tax shields can be
discounted at either the unlevered cost of equity
or the cost of debt, depending on your
perspective of their risk.
Home Depot Interest Tax Shield
To forecast the interest tax shield, first
forecast the level of debt.
A forecast of the marginal tax rate is also
required. Be careful a company must be
profitable to capture tax shields!
6APV Valuation Putting It All Together
- To conclude the APV-based valuation, sum the
present value of free cash flow and the present
value of interest tax shields (ITS). This leads
to the value of operations.
Home Depot Valuation ( million)
Present value of FCF using unlevered cost of
equity
73,557
Present value of interest tax shields (ITS)
2,372
Present value of FCF and ITS
75,928
1.041
Midyear adjustment factor
Value of operations
79,384
- The value of operations for Home Depot is the
same for both enterprise DCF and APV (79,384
million). This occurs because we assumed the cost
of capital for the tax shields (ktax) is equal to
the unlevered cost of equity (ku). We used this
assumption when deriving the unlevered cost of
equity and while discounting the tax shields.
7A Critical Component Unlevered Cost of Equity
- The adjusted present value (APV) model separates
the value of operations into two components the
value of operations as if the company were
all-equity financed and the value of tax shields
that arise from debt financing
Discounted free cash flow at the unlevered cost
of capital
Discounted tax shields at the unlevered cost of
equity or the cost of debt
- But how do we define the unlevered cost of
equitythat is, the cost of equity when the firm
has no leverage, when it is unobservable? We
rely on the tools of economists Franco Modigliani
and Merton Miller.
8Modigliani and Miller
- In the 1950s, economists Modigliani and Miller
(MM) postulated that the value of a firms
claims must equal the value of its assets. - They also argued that the weighted average risk
of a companys financial claims must equal the
weighted average.
9The Levered and Unlevered Cost of Equity
- Lets start with MMs risk formula
- Multiply both sides by enterprise value. This
eliminates each fractions denominator.
- Next, use the first equation from the previous
slide to eliminate Vu (an unobservable value
- Redistribute the terms on the left to collect
like terms.
10The Levered and Unlevered Cost of Equity
(Continued)
- Dividing the final equation on the previous slide
by E leads to the generalized cost of equity
equation
The cost of equity
A premium for increasing leverage
The unlevered cost of equity
A discount for the tax deductibility of interest
payments
- The cost of levered equity (which can be measured
via regression) is a function of the underlying
economic risk, the amount of leverage, and tax
deductibility of interest.
11The Levered and Unlevered Cost of Equity
- The levered cost of equity (ke) is related to the
unlevered cost of equity via the following
equation
- Each of the variables can be estimated except the
risk of tax shields. Most practitioners assume
ktax ku. This is consistent with a constant
D/V ratio. When ktax ku, the final term
disappears and the equation simplifies to
- Many academics assume ktax kd. This leads to
an alternative representation
12Levered Cost of Equity
- The grid below summarizes the formulas that can
be used to estimate the levered cost of equity.
The top row in the exhibit contains formulas that
assume ktax equals ku. The bottom row contains
formulas that assume ktax equals kd. The formulas
on the left side are flexible enough to handle
any future capital structure but require valuing
the tax shields separately. The formulas on the
right side assume the dollar level of debt is
fixed over time.
Dollar level of debt fluctuates
Dollar level of debt is constant
Tax shields have same risk as operating
assets ktax ku
Tax shields have same risk as debt ktax kd
13Unlevered Cost of Equity
- Since the unlevered cost of equity is
unobservable, equations on the previous slide
must be arranged to solve for the unlevered cost
of equity. Depending on risk of tax shields and
how the companys debt fluctuates, the formula
will vary.
Dollar level of debt fluctuates
Dollar level of debt is constant
Tax shields have same risk as operating
assets ktax ku
Tax shields have same risk as debt ktax kd
14Unlevering Example
- Question
- SampleCo maintains a debt-to-value ratio of 1/3.
If the companys cost of debt is 6 percent, its
cost of equity is 12 percent, and the marginal
tax rate is 30 percent, what is the companys
unlevered cost of equity? - Solution
- Since the company maintains a constant capital
structure, we can assume ktax ku. Therefore,
ku equals