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Measuring Poverty: Inequality Measures Charting Inequality Share of Expenditure of Poor Dispersion Ratios Lorenz Curve Gini Coefficient Theil Index – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: Measuring Poverty: Inequality Measures


1
Measuring Poverty Inequality Measures
  • Charting Inequality
  • Share of Expenditure of Poor
  • Dispersion Ratios
  • Lorenz Curve
  • Gini Coefficient
  • Theil Index
  • Comparisons
  • Decomposition

2
Poverty Measures, Lao PDR
3
Income Distribution
  • Types of analysis
  • Functional distribution
  • Size distribution
  • Functional distribution
  • income accrued to factors of production such as
    land, labor, capital and entrepreneurship
  • Size distribution
  • income received by different households or
    individuals

4
What is Inequality?
  • Dispersion or variation of the distribution of
    income/consumption or other welfare indicator
  • Equality everyone has the same income
  • Inequality certain groups of the population have
    higher incomes compared to other groups in the
    population

5
Why measure inequality? (1)
  • Indicator of well-being
  • Position of individual relative to rest of
    population
  • Position of subgroup relative to other
    subgroups
  • Different measures, different focus
  • Poverty measures (HC, PGI, SPGI, etc) focus on
    the situation of individuals who are below the
    poverty line the poor.
  • Inequality is defined over the entire population,
    not only for the population below a certain
    poverty line.

6
Why measure inequality? (2)
  • Inequality is measured irrespective of the mean
    or median of a population, simply on the basis of
    the distribution (relative concept).
  • Inequality can be measured for different
    dimensions of well-being consumption/expenditure
    and income, land, assets, and any continuous and
    cardinal variables.

7
Charting Inequality Histogram
  • Divide population into expenditure categories
  • Example 20 of households are in category 4

8
Example Income Classes
9
Example Bar Chart, Income Classes
  • Percentage of families falling in each class

10
Example CDF of Per Capita Expenditure
11
Distribution Quintile and Deciles
12
Expenditure/Income-iles
  • Divide population into groups ranked from
    poorest to richest based on expenditure (or
    income)
  • Divide into 5 groups income or expenditure
    quintiles
  • Lowest 20 or first quintile poorest
  • Highest 20 or fifth quintile richest
  • Divide into 10 groups income or expenditure
    deciles

13
Expenditure per capita by Quintile, Viet Nam
(1993)
Quintile Per Capita Expenditure of Total Expenditure
First Lowest 518 8.4
Second Low-middle 756 12.3
Third Middle 984 16.0
Fourth Mid-upper 1,338 21.8
Upper Fifth 2,540 41.4
All 1,227 100.0
14
Share of Income of Poorest, Korea
Income decile 2000 2001 2002 2003
1st 2.9 2.9 3.0 2.7
2nd 4.7 4.6 4.7 4.8
3rd 5.8 5.7 5.8 6.1
4th 6.9 6.8 6.9 7.1
5th 7.9 7.8 7.9 8.1
6th 9.1 9.1 9.2 9.3
7th 10.5 10.5 10.5 10.7
8th 12.2 12.3 12.4 12.5
9th 14.7 15.0 15.1 15.0
10th 25.4 25.4 24.6 23.8
15
Inequality Measures Based on -iles
  • Share of income/consumption of lowest ile
  • Dispersion ratios

16
Share of Consumption of the Poorest
  • Definition Total consumption/income of the
    poorest group, as a share of total
    consumption/income in the population.
  • Where
  • N is the total population
  • m is the number of individuals in the lowest x
    .

17
Poorest Quintiles Share in National Income or
Consumption (UNSD, 2005)
18
Dispersion Ratio
  • Definition measures the distance between two
    groups in the distribution of expenditure (or
    income or some other characteristic)
  • Distance average expenditure of the richest
    group divided by the average expenditure of the
    poorest group
  • Example

19
Dispersion Ratios Examples
Expenditure decile Median
1st 37,324
2nd 47,289
3rd 54,397
4th 62,929
5th 74,775
6th 89,478
7th 108,633
8th 129,890
9th 172,011
10th 267,214
(1) 10th1st
(2) 10th 1st 2d(Kuznets ratio)
20
Lorenz Curve and Gini Ratio
21
Lorenz Curve
22
Lorenz Curve Interpretation (1)
  • If each individual had the same consumption
    (total equality), Lorenz curve would be the line
    of total equality.
  • If one individual had all the consumption, Lorenz
    curve would be the curve of total inequality.

23
Lorenz Curve Interpretation (2)
  • The further away from the line of total equality,
    the greater the inequality.
  • Example Inequality is greater in country D than
    in country C.

C
D
24
Comparing Lorenz Curves

25
Lorenz Criterion
  • Whenever one Lorenz curve lies above another
    Lorenz curve the economy with the first Lorenz
    curve is more equal, and the latter more unequal
  • e.g. A is more equal D is more unequal
  • When 2 curves cross, the Lorenz criterion states
    that we need more information (or additional
    assumptions) before we can determine which of the
    underlying economies are more equal
  • e.g. curves B and C

26
Constructing Lorenz Curve, Example (1)
Quintile Cumulative Share of Population (p) of Total Expenditure Cumulative share of expenditure (e)
First 20 8.4 8.4
Second 40 12.3 20.7
Third 60 16.0 36.7
Fourth 80 21.8 58.5
Fifth 100 41.4 100.0
27
Constructing Lorenz Curve, Example (2)
28
Gini Coefficient Definition
  • Measure of how close to or far from a given
    distribution of expenditure (or income) is to
    equality or inequality
  • Varies between 0 and 1
  • Gini coefficient ? 0 as the expenditure/income
    distribution ? absolute equality
  • Gini coefficient ? 1 as the expenditure/income
    distribution ? absolute inequality

29
Gini Coefficient Lorenz Curve (1)
Area between line of equality and Lorenz Curve
(A) If A0 then G0 (complete equality).
A
30
Gini Coefficient Lorenz Curve (2)
Area below Lorenz Curve (B) If B0 then G1
(complete inequality).
31
Gini Coefficient Lorenz Curve (3)
  • Gini coefficient (G) is the ratio of the area
    between the line of total equality and the Lorenz
    curve (A) to the area below the line of total
    equality (AB)

A
B
32
Lorenz Curve and Gini Coefficient
e
33
Gini Coefficient A Formula
  • Heres one. (There are other formulations.)
  • Where
  • N is population size
  • y is expenditure of individual
  • f is rank of individual in the distribution

34
Gini Coefficient s and s
  • () Easy to understand, in light of the Lorenz
    curve.
  • (-) Not decomposable the total Gini of the total
    population is not equal to the sum of the Ginis
    for its subgroups.
  • (-) Sensitive to changes in the distribution,
    irrespective of whether they take place at the
    top, the middle or the bottom of the distribution
    (any transfer of income between two individuals
    has an impact, irrespective of whether it occurs
    among the rich or among the poor).
  • (-) Gives equal weight to those at the bottom and
    those at the top of the distribution.

35
Measures of Inequality, Example
36
Poor people in Senegal get bigger share of income
than poor people in the US
37
General Entropy Indexes
  • ? represents the weight given to distances
    between incomes at different parts of the income
    distribution
  • Sensitive to changes at the lower end of the
    distribution if a is close to zero
  • Equally sensitive to changes across the
    distribution if a is 1 (Theil index)
  • Sensitive to changes at the top of the
    distribution if a takes a higher value.

38
GE(1) and GE(0)
  • GE(1) is Theils T index
  • GE(0), also known as Theils L, is called mean
    log deviation measure

39
The Theil Index Definition
  • Varies between 0 (total equality) and 1 (total
    inequality). The higher the index, the more
    unequal the distribution of expenditure (or
    income).

40
Theil Index s and s)
  • () Gives more weight to those at the bottom of
    the income distribution.
  • () Can be decomposed into sub-groups the
    population Theil is the weighted average of the
    index for each sub-group where the weights are
    population shares of each sub-group
  • (-) Difficult to interpret
  • (-) Sensitive to changes in the distribution,
    irrespective of whether they take place at the
    top, the middle or the bottom of the distribution
    (any transfer of income between two individuals
    has an impact, irrespective of whether it occurs
    among the rich or among the poor).

41
Atkinsons Index
  • This class also has a weighting parameter e
    (which measures aversion to inequality)
  • The Atkinson class is defined as
  • Ranges from 0 (perfect equality) to 1

42
Criteria for Goodness of Measures
  • Mean independence If all incomes are doubled,
    measure does not change.
  • Population size independence If population size
    changes, measure does not change.
  • Symmetry If two individuals swap incomes, the
    measure does not change.
  • Pigou-Dalton transfer sensitivity Transfer of
    income from rich to poor reduces value of
    measure.
  • Decomposability It should be possible to break
    down total inequality by population groups,
    income source, expenditure type, or other
    dimensions.

43
Checklist of Properties
Property Dispersion Gini Theil
Mean independence
Population size independence
Symmetry
Pigou-Dalton Transfer Sensitivity
Decomposability
44
Inequality Comparisons
  • Extent and nature of inequality among certain
    groups of households. This informs on the
    homogeneity of the various groups, an important
    element to take into account when designing
    interventions.
  • Nature of changes in inequality over time. One
    could focus on changes for different groups of
    the population to show whether inequality changes
    have been similar for all or have taken place,
    say, in a particular sector of the economy.
  • Other dimensions of inequality land, assets, etc

45
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46
Example Inequality Changes over Time
Year Poverty Rate Gini Coefficient
1985 48 0.4466
1988 40 0.4446
1991 40 0.4680
1994 36 0.4507
1997 32 0.4872
2000 34 0.4818
47
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48
Example Gini Ratios, Indonesia
49
Decomposition of Inequality
50
At One Point in Time (1)
  • Inequality decompositions are typically used to
    estimate the share of total inequality in a
    country which results from different groups, from
    different regions or from different sources of
    income.
  • Inequality can be decomposed into between-group
    components and within-group components. The
    first reflects inequality between people in
    different sub-groups (different educational,
    occupational, gender, geographic
    characteristics). The second reflects inequality
    among those people within the same sub-group.

51
Example, Viet Nam (1993)
52
Decomposition of Inequality, Egypt
53
At One Point in Time (2)
  • Inequality decompositions can be calculated for
    the General Entropy indices, but not for the Gini
    coefficient. For future reference, the formula
    is
  • where fi is the population share of group j
    (j1,2, k),
  • vj is the income share of group j
  • yj is the average income in group j.

54
Changes over Time (1)
  • Changes in the number of people in various groups
    or allocation effects
  • Changes in the relative income (expenditure) of
    various groups or income effects
  • Changes in inequality within groups or pure
    inequality effects.

55
Changes over Time (2)
  • The formula can get complicated, and is typically
    used for GE(0) only, as follows

56
Poverty Changes over Time (1)
  • Poverty is fully determined by the mean income or
    consumption of a population, and the inequality
    in income or consumption in the population.
  • Changes in poverty can result from changes in
    mean income/consumption growth or from
    changes in inequality.

57
Poverty Changes Over Time (2)
Growth effect Inequality
effect
58
Poverty Changes Over Time (3)
  • Decomposition can be done as follows

59
Conclusions Recommendations
  • Inequality is a difficult concept to measure.
  • For analysis, use several measures
  • Lorenz curve
  • Gini coefficient
  • Dispersion ratios
  • Share of expenditure of the poorest x
  • Theil Index
  • Analysis
  • Comparisons across subgroups
  • Comparisons over time
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