uncalibrated 1-day forecast. 16. Precipitation: 5-mm reliability diagrams ... Global ensemble forecast system; plan to do 1 reforecast member per day in real ...
... size -- small benefit. large training sample size ... The benefit you'll get from a much smaller training sample size is correspondingly much smaller. ...
Reconfigured : 2x/day, 10 members out to 1 month, then single member to 9 months ... Reconfigured: 10-member ensemble to 1 month every 2nd day (alternating 00Z, ...
Summer and Winter Season Reforecast Experiments with the NCEP Coupled Forecast System (CFS) using Different Land Models and Different Initial Land States
A tool for exploring calibration issues: CDC's 'reforecast' data set. 17. Why reforecast? ... From http://www.cdc.noaa.gov/map/images/ens/ens.html. ...
Definition of 'reforecast' : a data set of retrospective ... Hacienda Heights, CA muds, 22 Feb 2005 (also rain on snow event for intermountain west) ...
Verification. Climatology. Obs. SREF members (reforecasts) Analog finders ... Run verification stats on those cases. Correct model output for biases ...
Exploring sample size issues. for 6-10 day forecasts using. ECMWF's reforecast data set ... large ensemble size. T2m results, smaller reforecast than 15-mbr ...
... of Home Affairs FDHA. Federal Office of Meteorology and Climatology MeteoSwiss ... 30 years reforecasts. 1 deterministic run. calibrate with climatology ...
... once, say, every 4 years, minimal impact to operations integrated over time. ... ECMWF exploring once-weekly ensemble reforecasts (with my participation) ...
Title: Scientific Data Stewardship - is the modern paradigm in data management, consisting of an integrated suite of functions to preserve and exploit the full ...
NOAA/CPC is actively involved in the monitoring of the Reanalysis ... NCDC/NOAA will be responsible for the archival and distribution of both the CFS ...
Key simplifying assumption: ... Get smaller training data set of obs & forecast (w,x) ... same 1.6 power transformation on forecast as was used on observed? ...
Propagate changes to adjacent points in space and time. Extra points. ASAP verification to calibrate forecaster guts. Ability to re-run SREF for cases chosen by WFO ...
Definition: a data set of retrospective numerical forecasts using the same model ... Local analogs are patched together. Initial implementation very simple: ...
Glenn White has provided diagnostics of the stratus ... Bob Grumbine provided sea ice analysis. NESDIS provided recalibrated SSU and MSU data (Goldberg's team) ...
Review of Ocean Data Assimilation and Forecasting at NCEP/EMC S. Lord, D. Behringer, H-L Pan, H. Tolman Overview GODAS and operational CFS CFS Reanalysis (and ...
Improving Seasonal Hydrologic Prediction at NCEP via Land Surface Modeling and Assimilation Advancements and Collaborations in Coupled and Uncoupled Prediction ...
Introduction to Climate forecast System Version 2 (CFSV2) AM, OM, LM, Sea-ice GODAS and GLDAS Shrinivas Moorthi Acknowledgement; Many of the s presented ...
The corresponding 230 2m T maps are used to formulate probabilistic 3-class forecasts. ... Top un-calibrated GFS 23-member ensemble. Bottom 230-member ...
A new Reanalysis of the atmosphere, ocean, seaice and land over the 31-year ... will be generated from a coupled atmosphere ocean seaice - land system ...
Report of Inclusion of FNMOC Ensemble into NAEFS S. Lord (NCEP/EMC) Andre Methot (MSC) Yuejian Zhu, and Zoltan Toth (NOAA) Acknowledgements Bo Cui (EMC), Stephane ...
Hyperion Planning for Budget entry and Monitoring ... It can facilitate quarterly budgeting and variance reporting ... To identify and analyze variances from budget ...
Impact on the CBC market. BA-CBG 19th Nov 08. What we are ... Pre EPOS. Pre Internet. Pre Onix. New Medias ....Changing a business,not just the IT system ...
NAEFS Forecasts for 8-14 Day Mean Temperatures ... Provide the probability of occurrence in the ... Design Probability of Exceedence (PoE) forecast format. ...
COSMO-LEPS: present status and plans Andrea Montani, C. Marsigli, T. Paccagnella ARPA-SIMC HydroMeteoClimate Regional Service of Emilia-Romagna, Bologna, Italy
Store image and format, atmospherics, value proposition, fashion trends, target customers ... From The Grocer Magazine. New product additions. Fit with ...