Peak oil and local authorities

1

• Peak oil and local authorities
• Adaptation 2009
• Leicester City Council
• 29th January 2009
• David Strahan
• odac_at_btconnect.com

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Crisis? What crisis?
Source ASPO
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Why they call it peak oil
Source ASPO
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Why oil peaks
United States
Source IHS Energy
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Peak oil why it matters

• Oil supplies 95 transport energy
• Agriculture critically dependent on oil and
  gas producing 1 calorie of food requires
• 10 calories of fossil energy.
• Oil and gas provide all petrochemicals and
  lubricants
• Oil price spikes cause recessions

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Peak predictions
Kenneth Deffeyes 2005 Colin Campbell
2010 Chris Skrebowski 2011 Energyfiles 2
016 PFC Energy 2020 IEA 2030 CER
A 2030 United States 2037
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Oil producers (98)
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Post peak oil producers (64)
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Couldnt we find some more?
Source IHS Energy Groppe, Long Littell
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Are we there yet?
Source EIA, Argus Media
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Serial oil price spikes and slumps
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Oil drives energy prices
Source John Hall Associates
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The threat and the challenge

• High and volatile oil, gas, power prices
• Physical shortages (2000 protests)
• Reduce oil and gas dependence asap
• Focus on transport public and private
• Bring the community with you

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Responses

• Political commitment
• Comprehensive energy/efficiency audit
• Demand constraint
• Planning the built environment
• Information campaign
• REFUEL for resilience

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Biofuels inadequate

• 1st generation food crops
• In Europe/US, 5 road fuel 20 cropland
  (IEA)
• 2nd generation woody biomass
• World transport fuel demand land
  area of China (Strahan)

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Small vehicles electrification
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Large vehicles biogas
Biomethane could provide 16 UK transport fuel
(NSCA, 2006) Public transport consumes lt5
Sources NSCA, DfT
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Biomethane benefits

• Carbon reductions 75 - 200
• Energy security
• Low duty (10p/L v 50p/L diesel)
• Waste strategy
• Digestate/fertilizer
• Flexibility bi-fuel vehicles
• Air quality/noise

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Summary

• Comprehensive energy consumption audit and
  resource assessment
• Amend Sustainability Commitment
• Emergency planning
• Public information campaign
• Detailed investigation of waste food oil,
  electrification and biogas

20

• Peak oil and local authorities
• Adaptation 2009
• Leicester City Council
• 29th January 2009
• David Strahan
• odac_at_btconnect.com