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Previously Learned Basic Terms

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How to Assess the Quality of Your Measures ... Julia Roberts. Tom Cruise. Vince Carter. Calista Flockhart. Julia Roberts. r = .76. r2 = 58% Variance explained ... – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: Previously Learned Basic Terms


1
How to Assess the Quality of Your Measures
  • Previously Learned Basic Terms
  • Correlation
  • Adding to Basic Terms with more new terms
  • Variance explained, measurement error
  • How the terms are related
  • Brand New terms (not learned in Econ)
  • What is reliability?
  • How are non-Econ terms related to previously
    learned new terms
  • Applying what you learned

2
What is a correlation?
  • Reflect directions (/-) strength (0 to 1) of
    the relation between two variables
  • E.g., height weight

3
Vince Carter
Tom Cruise
Julia Roberts
Calista Flockhart
4
r .76 r2 58
Vince Carter
Tom Cruise
Julia Roberts
Calista Flockhart
5
What is variance explained
  • Variance explained
  • Reflects the strength of relation of two
    variables
  • Square of correlation
  • Varies from 0 to 1
  • Recall that correlation
  • Reflect directions (/-) strength (0 to 1) of
    the relation between two variables

6
What is measurement error?
  • A persons score on a measure can be due to their
    true standing on the measure and due to error in
    measurement
  • E.g., Test scoretrue score measurement error
  • The error in measurement is random
  • E.g., The effects of temperature on measuring
    tape, whether object being measured is moving can
    all affect the measurement of height

7
  • An example of no-measurement error
  • When height is measured accurately objectively
    at two times
  • e.g., with a measuring tape that is not
    susceptible to temperature changes, and the
    person being measured is not moving
  • Then, correlation between the two measurements
    of height is 1 and the variance explained is 100

8
r 1.00 r2 100
9
  • One example of Measurement Error
  • E.g., on Correlations between objective and
    subjective reports of height
  • Why would you ask subjective reports of such an
    objective thing?
  • What may influence the measurement of subjective
    reports of height?

10
r .98 r2 96
11
  • A second example of Measurement Error
  • E.g., on Correlations between objective and
    subjective reports of weight
  • What may influence the measurement of subjective
    reports of weight?

12
r .92 r2 85
13
Review whats next
  • Some basic new terms
  • What are
  • Correlation? Variance explained? Measurement
    error?
  • How does measurement error affect correlation?
    Variance explained?
  • Whats next
  • What if you cannot assess accurately and in an
    objective way?
  • E.g., salary
  • Assess it in multiple ways
  • Compute the reliability of that assessment

14
  • Example of assessing something in multiple ways
  • Whether a person is in a dual career relationship
    (a student project)
  • How to assess that? Class suggest ideas orally
  • What may be random sources of measurement error?
    Class suggest ideas orally

15
What is reliability
  • Reliability is assessing something consistently
    with multiple ways
  • Whats next
  • How is reliability different from correlation

16
Example of multiple correlations
  • E.g., three TAs assessing 10 essays

17
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18
Example of multiple correlations
  • E.g., three TAs assessing 10 essays
  • How many correlations can you get?
  • ??
  • Will the magnitude of correlations change
  • With a decrease in the number of TAs?
  • What changes with a decrease in the number of TAs
  • What will change with an increase in the number
    of essays per TA?

19
Compute Correlations between raters
  • Save data file from class website to your desktop
  • Open SPSS
  • Open the file on your desktop within SPSS
  • Go to Analyze,
  • Pick correlations,
  • Pick bivariate

20
SPSS Screen you should arrive at when you pick
Analyze, Correlations, Bivariate
21
1. Choose all three variables in the Bivariate
menu2. Click middle button to move it to right
side, 3. Click ok to get output
22
Output file you should arrive at when you click
ok from bivariate menu choose all three
variables
23
Answer questions explore with the data
  • How many correlations can you get with 3 TAs
    grading 10 essays
  • Students answer orally
  • Will the magnitude of correlations change
  • With an increase in the number of TAs?
  • Download file with more TAs to the data file
  • With a decrease in the number of TAs?
  • Download file with fewer TAs in the data file
  • What will change with an increase in the number
    of essays per TA?
  • Download file with more essays to the file

24
What can you get from multiple correlations?
  • An assessment of how consistent one measure is
    with another
  • i.e., the correlation of one measurement with
    another
  • E.g., correlation between one TA with another
  • It does not change with number of measurements
  • E.g., does not change with the number of TAs
  • You will get more correlations the more TAs you
    have
  • It could change with the number of essays
  • Dependsexplain in a later class

25
How is reliability different from multiple
correlation
  • Reliability assesses the consistency of multiple
    measurements
  • It is the average of the measurements
  • Average is more accurate the more the number of
    measurements
  • Can increase with the number of measurements
  • E.g., 2 TAs gives you lower reliability than 3 TAs

26
Compute Reliability between Raters
27
1. Choose all three variables in the Reliability
menu2. Click middle button to move it to right
side, 3. Click ok to get output
28
Output file you should arrive at when you click
ok from reliability menu choose all three
variables
29
Answer questions explore with the data
  • How many reliability coefficients can you get
    with 3 TAs grading 10 essays
  • Students answer orally
  • Will the magnitude of reliabilities change
  • With an increase in the number of TAs?
  • Use file with more TAs to the data file
  • With a decrease in the number of TAs?
  • Use file with fewer TAs in the data file
  • What will change with an increase in the number
    of essays per TA?
  • Use file with more essays to the file

30
Summary of differences b/w correlation
reliability
  • Correlation assesses how consistent one measure
    is
  • It is the correlation of one measurement with
    another
  • It does not change with number of measurements
  • Reliability assesses the consistency of multiple
    measurements
  • It is based on the number of measurements
  • It is the average of the measurements
  • Increases with the number of measurements

31
Types of Reliability
  • Inter-rater
  • Consistency across raters
  • Test-retest
  • Consistency across time
  • Internal
  • Consistency across items
  • Parallel forms
  • Consistency across versions
  • Split Half
  • Consistency across halves of the scale

32
Inter-Rater Reliability
Compute reliability of TA1 TA2 TA3
33
Assessing life satisfaction with multiple items
The Satisfaction with Life Scale (SWLS) 1. In
most ways my life is close to ideal. 2. The
conditions of my life are excellent.3. I am
satisfied with my life.4. So far I have gotten
the important things I want in my life.5. If I
could live my life over, I would change almost
nothing. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7Strongly
StronglyDisagree Agree
34
Compute reliability of SWLS
  • Use data set of IRE2002Y student responses to
    professor constructed survey
  • Convert Excel spreadsheet to SPSS
  • Compute reliabilities

35
  • Internal Reliability of SWLS
  • Satisfactory (if above .70)
  • Means that participants respond similarly to
    items that are supposed to measure the same thing

36
Test-retest reliability
  • Consistency of scores on the same measure taken
    at two different times
  • Assumes no memory/learning effects within the two
    time intervals (or that error is random!)

37
Test-retest Reliability
38
  • Example of Test-retest reliability
  • Good test-retest reliability of SWLS
  • Participants have similar scores at Time 1
    (beginning of semester) and at Time 2 (end of
    semester).
  • Measurement error accounts for half of the
    variance in SWLS scores

39
  • Why use test-retest reliability
  • Retest reliability is useful for constructs
    assumed to be stable
  • E.g., you wont apply test-retest reliability for
    current mood (e.g., how you feel right now)
    because it will show low-retest correlations, but
    that does not mean that the mood measure is not
    reliable

40
What you learned today
  • Review of Previously Learned Terms
  • What is correlation?
  • Adding to Previously Learned Terms with more new
    terms
  • Variance explained, measurement error
  • How all these terms are related
  • How measurement error affects correlations
    variance explained
  • Brand New (non-Econ) terms
  • What is reliability?
  • How are brand new terms related to previously
    learned basic terms
  • How is reliability related to correlation? How
    does measurement error affect reliability?
  • Applying what you learned
  • Computing correlations reliability with software

41
Types of reliability not covered in todays
lecture
42
Parallel Forms Reliability
  • Consistency of scores on similar versions of the
    measure
  • Assumes/checks that
  • Forms are equivalent on mean, standard
    deviations
  • Can have time interval between administration of
    the two forms and assumes that the time interval
    has a random effect on scores

43
Parallel forms Reliability
Pparticipant
Iitem
44
Split Half Reliability
  • Correlation of scores on two halves of the
    measure
  • Length of measure increases reliability

45
Types of Reliability
46
r .70 r2 49
47
Aspects of how measurement error works not
covered in todays lecture
  • A persons score on a measure can be due to their
    true standing on the measure and due to error in
    measurement
  • E.g., Test scoretrue score error

48
Assumptions of measurement error
  • E.g., Test scoretrue score error
  • The error in measurement is random
  • E.g., Effects of learning, mood, changes in
    understanding etc.
  • They have zero mean
  • Are uncorrelated with each other
  • Are uncorrelated with true score
  • They are a constant part of the true score

49
Standard Error of Measurement
  • SD of scores when a measure is completed several
    times by the same individual
  • Mostly used in selection contexts
  • Decide which of two individuals are hired
  • Decide whether a test score is significantly
    higher/lower than a cutoff score

50
Correction for Attenuation
  • Real correlation between two variables after
    removing unreliability of each measure
  • Divide observed correlation by product of the
    square roots of individual reliabilities
  • Note Selection research only controls for
    unreliability in criterion bec. we are more
    interested in the value of the predictor given a
    perfectly reliable criterion
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