Demographics

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Demographics

• Sharon Wilhelm
• Interim Associate Vice President

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• High School Graduates

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State of Wisconsin High School Graduate
Historyand Projections, 2001-2019
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Why are graduates projected to decline?
K-12 School Enrollment is declining. Between
2001-2006, 69 of school districts declined. Age
structure of K-12 students is older. Births in
Wisconsin were low in 1990s and early 2000s.
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High School Graduate Projections by Sex, 2001-2019
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Public High School Graduate Projections by
Race/Ethnicity
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The Proportion of GraduatesWho are Persons of
Color is Increasing
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Summary Points

• Peak numbers 2008, then projected decline
• Similar trends for males and females overall
• Similar for different race/ethnic groups, except
  Hispanics who will see substantial increase
• Changing race/ethnic make-up of population under
  18 will likely introduce new challenges and
  opportunities

Wisconsins Public School Enrollment Past,
Present, Future
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• High School Graduates going on to Higher Education

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College Participation Rates New Freshmen
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College Participation Rates Fall 2004 New
Freshmen
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New Freshmen by High School Rank
Excludes students who did not have a high school
rank.
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New Freshmen by High School RankNeeding Math or
English Remediation
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Access Enrollment of WI HS Grads in the UW
System Actual and Projected
Source of Wisconsin high school graduates
projections UW-Madison Applied Population
Laboratory, 2008
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Access by High School Class Rank

• Current access rate 32.5
• Scenario 1 New freshmen at 2007 level
• Scenario 2 Increase access rate to 40
• Assumes no change in admissions selectivity

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• Potential to serve older adult populations

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18-24 Year Olds Percent of Population
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65 and Older Percent of Population
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Undergraduate Enrollment of StudentsAged 25 and
Over
Data source IPEDS, Fall 2005
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Retention and Graduation RatesFull-Time New
Freshmen
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Associate and Bachelors AttainmentPersons 25
years and over, 2006
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Change in WisconsinPercent with Bachelors or
Higher Degree, by Age
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Wisconsin ComparedPercent with Bachelors or
Higher Degree, by Age, 2006