A Modern Day Chicken Little Tale - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

1 / 17
About This Presentation
Title:

A Modern Day Chicken Little Tale

Description:

Example: Match builder buy down on $525,000 home/cost of $9,318.00. Enhance Commissions/Bonus ... New Home Sales Problematic. Types of Properties to Consider ... – PowerPoint PPT presentation

Number of Views:86
Avg rating:3.0/5.0
Slides: 18
Provided by: brendada
Category:
Tags: chicken | day | modern | tale

less

Transcript and Presenter's Notes

Title: A Modern Day Chicken Little Tale


1
A Modern Day Chicken Little Tale
  • Impact of the Softening Real Estate Market on
    Corporate Relocation Programs

2
Chicken Little Gets the Call
  • Once upon a time there was a dear little
    Relocation Counselor named Chicken Little
  • One morning as she was working in her cubicle,
    she received a call from a transferee who claimed
    that his home was not selling
  • As Chicken Little talked to other relocation
    professionals, she realized that throughout the
    kingdom there were
  • Decreasing traffic
  • Decreasing home prices
  • Increasing incentives
  • Oh dear me! she cried, homes are not selling!
    I must go and tell the Queen, and quickly she
    headed off to share the news

3
Early Indicators
  • In early 3Q of 2006, Bank of America Relocation
    Counselors began sharing anecdotal stories about
    Associates reaching out for additional assistance
    in selling their homes
  • We also began seeing significant increases in
    exception requests for more temporary living,
    duplicate housing additional household goods
    storage days
  • As we started looking at our hard data we noted
    that our Days on Market (DOM) was rising
  • In 2005 our DOM average was 23 Days
  • Through 3Q 2006 the average increased to 47 DOM
  • And by 4Q 2006, the average hit 82 DOM
  • Not only were we experiencing longer Days on
    Market, but more of our active inventory was
    becoming aged

4
Increasing Days on Market
  • By the Fall of 2006 we were tracking over two
    thirds of our Associates with BVO homesale
    eligibility experiencing DOM in excess of 90
    Days.
  • Half of this same group had their homes on the
    market for over half a year
  • As of Monday, 63.6 are still in excess of 90 DOM
  • 35.2 have had their home on the market for
    180DOM
  • The Associates with their homes on the market for
    over 180 days also have borrowed Millions in
    equity advances from the Bank
  • And for one of the first times, we were having
    Associates threatening to default on these equity
    advances due to their inability to sell their
    home and/ or carry two mortgage payments
  • A popular pastime with our team was having
    conversations with our HR partners trying to
    explain the difference between our Loss on Sale
    benefit and the Associates perceived Loss on
    Equity

5
Is it a Loss or a Gain
  • For Example
  • Joe Transferee paid 500,000 for home in Las
    Vegas in May 2003, putting down 20, obtaining a
    mortgage for 400,000
  • In May 2005, Joe is able to obtain a mortgage
    appraisal valuing his home at an appreciated
    value of 820,000
  • Joe adds a HELOC with a bit higher LTV ratio
    (90) to pull out even more funds mortgage liens
    now total 738,000
  • December 2006, Joe is offered a position in
    Charlotte and after marketing his home secures an
    offer for 700,000
  • Did Joe Gain 200,000 on the sale of his home? Or
  • Did Joe Lose 38,000 on the sale of his home?

6
The Sky is Falling
  • Research provided by Banc of America Securities
    for their investor population presented
    additional snapshots on the conditions of real
    estate markets around the country
  • Greatest deterioration seen in Arizona and
    Florida D.C., Seattle, and Texas show most
    improvement
  • Rate of price declines unchanged from January
  • Incentives index points to higher incentives
  • Inventory levels worsen, likely to pressure home
    prices
  • Time needed to sell a home lengthens further, a
    leading indicator of pricing trends
  • BofA Monthly Real Estate Agent Survey March 2,
    2007

7
Redesigned Relo Policy
  • Effective April 1 Bank of America will be
    converting our 400-500 BVO eligible Associates to
    a Delayed Appraisal homesale program
  • We will be ordering appraisals up front in the
    process to establish both the Equity Advance
    basis and marketing guidelines
  • As of today, Associates must list within 105 of
    the average of the two BMAs Most Likely Sale
    Price
  • At Day 60 and every 30 days thereafter, the
    Associate must comply with new list caps driven
    by the appraisal values
  • At Day 120, we will update the initial appraisals
  • At Day 135, we will extend a buyout to the
    Associate that they can accept between Days 165
    and Day 180
  • If the home is not sold by Day 180, the Associate
    can choose to market their home outside of our
    homesale program and be eligible for direct
    reimbursement of sellers closing costs (but no
    tax protection)

8
Time for a Change
  • Coca Cola Bottling Co. Consolidated
  • 6,000 employees
  • 50 to 75 moves annually
  • Like Bank of America, we have been witnessing
  • Increased costs
  • Longer days on market
  • Frustrated employees
  • Financial and Family Hardships
  • Our experience with our Delayed
    Appraisal/Guaranteed Buyout Programs resulted in
    Coca Cola acquiring an average of 39 of employee
    homes annually over the past 5 years

9
A Proactive Approach
  • Budget constraints dictated the need for Policy
    Changes
  • Proactive Approach
  • Employee Relocation Self- Assessment Form/Are you
    Relocate-able?
  • Questionnaire addresses the following
    Considerations
  • Timing
  • Housing
  • Financial
  • Personal/Family
  • Posted on our CAPS System (Consolidateds
    Application Posting System)
  • Internal Employees must complete prior to posting
    for a position

10
Redesigned Relo Policy
  • Redesigned Policy BVO with a Buyout
  • Two BMAs
  • Appraisals after 60 days
  • Sales Incentive Bonus
  • 2 Sales Incentive Initial 60 days
  • 1 Sales Incentive After Appraisals
  • Average of Appraisals Established Value
  • Accept offer within 97 of EV/Company absorbs 3
    loss
  • 120 days
  • Inspections
  • Buyout after 150 days/ 90 of appraisal average

11
New Construction Competition
  • Competing with New Construction?
  • Match Builder Incentives
  • Pay 1 year HOA Dues
  • Closing Cost Assistance
  • Lender 2/1 Buy down
  • Example Match builder buy down on 525,000
    home/cost of 9,318.00
  • Enhance Commissions/Bonus
  • Additional Assistance Available only on an
    Exception Basis

12
Buyout Elimination
  • Why Eliminate Guaranteed Buy Out?
  • Reorganization in Fall 2005
  • 12 homes in inventory
  • 1 in Panama City
  • BMA 320,000/listed 10/17/05 for 320,000
  • 60 days/Appraisals 290,000/289,000
  • Purchased 12/30/05 - 289,500
  • Repaired/Painted/Reduced/Reduced/Reduced
    (264,500)
  • Auction 8/1/06
  • Sold 9/14/06 - 240,000
  • I Wish We Had Contacted Williams Williams
    Earlier

13
Asset Management Challenges
  • Organizations are changing their model of real
    estate disposition to mitigate their losses on
    these non-earning assets and stem the
    ever-increasing costs of vacant properties
  • Current Challenges
  • Inability to accurately forecast expenses
  • Inability to accurately predict market value
  • Potential negative financial and/or liability
    exposure
  • Inability to anticipate changing market cycles
  • Ever-increasing market supply
  • Ever-increasing days on market

14
Auction Facts
  • Extensive growth for the auction industry in 2006
    with a 7.1 percent increase over 2005 in gross
    revenue, translating into 257.2 billion in total
    revenue generated (1)
  • EBay's 2005 gross value of goods and services
    sold 44.3 Billion (2)
  • 16 billion gross auction revenue for real estate
    in 2006 (1)
  • 12.5 increase in 2006 residential real estate
    gross auction revenues (1)
  • 1 in 3 properties will be sold by auction in the
    near future, according to the National
    Association of Realtors (3)

1.Morpace International Global Market Research
Firm on behalf of National Auctioneers
Association 2006 2. eBay, Inc. 2005 Financial
Results 3. National Association of Realtors
15
The Sky May Not be Falling
  • Price Certain / Time Uncertain (traditional real
    estate sales)
  • Price Uncertain/ Time Certain (auction
    marketing)
  • In theory, 2 supports goals of Guaranteed Offer
    process in addition to inventory disposition

16
Strategic Considerations
  • Auction Companies
  • Buyers Premium vs. Seller Commission
  • Local vs. National
  • Timelines
  • Absolute Sales vs. Seller Reserve
  • New Home Sales Problematic
  • Types of Properties to Consider
  • Unique Assets
  • Difficult to Comp
  • Understand net present value and
  • Market value is what a ready, willing able
    buyer is willing to pay and what a motivated
    seller is willing to accept

17
For More Info
Write a Comment
User Comments (0)
About PowerShow.com